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new coronavirus outbreak China, Korea, USA - mod warnings in OP (updated 24/02/20)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,212 ✭✭✭Mr.Wemmick


    khalessi wrote: »
    For handwashing use the Ayliffe Technique,its what they teach med staff, does front and back of hands, thumbs, between fingers, repeat a couple of times.

    People often forget to wash their thumbs properly. It is usually where the germs are found.

    ““Half the world is composed of people who have something to say and can't, and the other half who have nothing to say and keep on saying it.” - Robert Frost



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,980 ✭✭✭✭tuxy


    I also forgot about all the ozone created by that process, could that kill passengers? It would at least make many very ill

    I know,miles off topic(sorry)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,004 ✭✭✭Panrich


    tuxy wrote: »
    I also forgot about all the ozone created by that process, could that kill passengers? It would at least make many very ill

    I know,miles off topic(sorry)

    At least they’d be virus free though.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,980 ✭✭✭✭tuxy


    Panrich wrote: »
    At least they’d be virus free though.

    I shouldn't be giving the CPC ideas.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭notobtuse


    A student attending a college just down the road from where I work has been taken to a hospital with suspicions of coronavirus, due to symptoms exhibited, after she returned from a trip to China. Students and people here are not worried even though she might have interacted with hundreds of people at the large local grocery store the students frequent. The government is doing a good propaganda job of making sure the attitude is the virus is not something to worry about.

    You can ignorantly accuse me of "whataboutism," but what it really is involves identifying similar scenarios in order to see if it holds up when the shoe is on the other foot!



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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,577 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    You'd be suspicious of the WHO, saying not to avail of (5-10secs) UV light in hand dryers
    https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public/myth-busters
    'Skin irritation' from a very quick blast of low wattage UV light?

    Most theories and studies show that even low-power (LED) UV-C may be 'useful' in lowering the presence of any virus.

    Even after someone discovered salt infused N95's will kill the virus on contact,
    they'd still have to wait 18mths for patent processing before actual sales and release.

    Guessing BGates(vax) has too much money already invested for any other (cheap or free) non-trademarked 'novel' solution(s).
    Get ready for the jab(s) at end of the year, beware of the side-effects.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 336 ✭✭ThePopehimself


    notobtuse wrote: »
    A student attending a college just down the road from where I work has been taken to a hospital with suspicions of coronavirus, due to symptoms exhibited, after she returned from a trip to China. Students and people here are not worried even though she might have interacted with hundreds of people at the large local grocery store the students frequent. The government is doing a good propaganda job of making sure the attitude is the virus is not something to worry about.
    What county are you in, if it's okay to ask? If you are not comfortable answering, that's okay.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭notobtuse


    What county are you in, if it's okay to ask? If you are not comfortable answering, that's okay.
    On the east coast of USA. Right on the border of New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

    You can ignorantly accuse me of "whataboutism," but what it really is involves identifying similar scenarios in order to see if it holds up when the shoe is on the other foot!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 336 ✭✭ThePopehimself


    notobtuse wrote: »
    On the east coast of USA. Right on the border of New Jersey and Pennsylvania.
    Oh! I had just assumed you were in Ireland, but thank you for the reply.

    I hope the student gets a negative test result.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29 Scrabbles38


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    Ok, for the 2% to become even lower the assumption to make is for more people to get infected and no one out of the total currently infected are going to die. That's the most unrealistic scenario


    For the 20% to become a more accurate stat we would need to analyses a specific sample of people who all got infected at the same time and have now either died or survived, This % may or may not be lower than 20%
    We don’t know how many people are at home in China with mild symptoms that won’t get tested... or have been tested and are not in hospital... China’s figures are **** ... but that’s how it could be lower...

    Only be watching what happens outside China will we know... and at the moment it’s not 20% .


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    We don’t know how many people are at home in China with mild symptoms that won’t get tested... or have been tested and are not in hospital... China’s figures are **** ... but that’s how it could be lower...

    Only be watching what happens outside China will we know... and at the moment it’s not 20% .

    20% is the rate of death out of total Death+Recovery, this is the best estimate you can get with the current avaialbe data, which is released daily and is shared by WHO

    As for cases outside China, at the moment theree are 3 cases in italy. The most recent one is still mild, while the other 2 have been in intensive care for the last 2 weeks, they both had mild syntoms when they were initially detected


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,699 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    It's strange that US confirmed cases have remained at 12 for ages now. The only further infections to be confirmed have been spouses of those diagnosed. This has not been the case in germany and the UK where infections outside of family units have occurred. Is this a result of the travel restrictions and screening?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,751 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    ceadaoin. wrote: »
    It's strange that US confirmed cases have remained at 12 for ages now. The only further infections to be confirmed have been spouses of those diagnosed. This has not been the case in germany and the UK where infections outside of family units have occurred. Is this a result of the travel restrictions and screening?


    It might well be. It really seems to be the only way to control it, in cities it becomes hard to stop. It could also be that the US don't want to panic the population.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,740 ✭✭✭✭MD1990


    notobtuse wrote: »
    A student attending a college just down the road from where I work has been taken to a hospital with suspicions of coronavirus, due to symptoms exhibited, after she returned from a trip to China. Students and people here are not worried even though she might have interacted with hundreds of people at the large local grocery store the students frequent. The government is doing a good propaganda job of making sure the attitude is the virus is not something to worry about.

    Someone returning from China should be quarantined for a few weeks after returning even if they show no symtoms at the time of returning


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,699 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    saabsaab wrote: »
    It might well be. It really seems to be the only way to control it, in cities it becomes hard to stop. It could also be that the US don't want to panic the population.

    Logically, chances are it is spreading but going unnoticed as people just think they have a cold or the flu. The only people being tested right now are those with a travel history to china or those who have had direct contact with a confirmed case.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,751 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    ceadaoin. wrote: »
    Logically, chances are it is spreading but going unnoticed as people just think they have a cold or the flu. The only people being tested right now are those with a travel history to china or those who have had direct contact with a confirmed case.


    Unfortunately, this could well be the case.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,424 ✭✭✭notobtuse


    MD1990 wrote: »
    Someone returning from China should be quarantined for a few weeks after returning even if they show no symtoms at the time of returning
    Perhaps it will come to that, but right now in the US it would be considered a radical move. The student participated in health screenings when the students returned from China to the campus. She was sent to a hospital by the college to be tested for coronavirus after a respiratory virus was detected. The college's director of health services made the decision to admit the student to the hospital after consulting with the Pennsylvania Department of Health and the Chief of Epidemiology and Infection Control at the large hospital.

    You can ignorantly accuse me of "whataboutism," but what it really is involves identifying similar scenarios in order to see if it holds up when the shoe is on the other foot!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    saabsaab wrote: »
    It might well be. It really seems to be the only way to control it, in cities it becomes hard to stop. It could also be that the US don't want to panic the population.

    it also takes a while for the infection to pick up speed.
    China had 50 cases in Dec, 6,000 in Jan, 40,000 in Feb
    Europe had around 5 cases in Jan, it took 1 month to get to 50, from now it will move a lot faster
    US is only now at 12


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,246 ✭✭✭ardinn




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29 Scrabbles38


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    20% is the rate of death out of total Death+Recovery, this is the best estimate you can get with the current avaialbe data, which is released daily and is shared by WHO

    As for cases outside China, at the moment theree are 3 cases in italy. The most recent one is still mild, while the other 2 have been in intensive care for the last 2 weeks, they both had mild syntoms when they were initially detected

    I know where and how you got that estimate...
    But that’s not how you get a mortally rate....

    Outside of China I’m talking about the 300+ confirmed...
    2 deaths .... not 3 and ones you can’t use in your metho


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,136 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    The Death Rate Is Up To 5%": The Harrowing Admission Of A Wuhan Doctor
    https://www.zerohedge.com/health/death-rate-5-harrowing-admission-wuhan-doctor

    Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Chongqing have all been placed under strict quarantine

    Coronavirus latest: WHO warns of ‘concerning’ transmissions in Europe


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    I think 'the death rate is 5%' is a bit of a misleading headline. It is not 5% everywhere and certainly not outside of China, but it does demonstrate how bad this pandemic could get if the healthcare infrastructure of other cities and countries was as overwhelmed as it is in Wuhan and several other cities currently. And it is a real possibility given how quickly the virus spreads. Outside of China there are 260 cases (excluding the 130 just diagnosed yesterday on the boat in Japan and symptoms have only just begun to appear) and a dozen are in a critical state and one death. That is nearly a 5% severe complication rate and is still very significant, this sample of people are getting the best care possible.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,579 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,912 ✭✭✭✭bodhrandude


    igCorcaigh wrote: »

    I think that was discussed yesterday you might need to go back a few pages.

    If you want to get into it, you got to get out of it. (Hawkwind 1982)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    The Death Rate Is Up To 5%": The Harrowing Admission Of A Wuhan Doctor
    https://www.zerohedge.com/health/death-rate-5-harrowing-admission-wuhan-doctor

    Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Chongqing have all been placed under strict quarantine

    Coronavirus latest: WHO warns of ‘concerning’ transmissions in Europe

    If that 5% stat is accurate we are in big trouble in this country. Our health care system will collapse completely if it takes hold here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,293 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    BanditLuke wrote: »
    If that 5% stat is accurate we are in big trouble in this country. Our health care system will collapse completely if it takes hold here.

    Yes. The severity of this is related to the number of people infected. If that 5% of the infected who get complications is more than the capacity of the hospitals to treat them.
    This isn't a linear progression... the mortality rate could spike \ go off a cliff.
    In Wuhan it looks like it has been overwhelmed.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,999 ✭✭✭s7ryf3925pivug


    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    https://www.windy.com/-Weather-radar-radar?radar,25.721,117.358,5

    That querystring looks too short to communicate the filters. If you turn off everything except sulphur dioxide you see a fairly even distribution across all those major cities.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,579 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    odyssey06 wrote: »
    Yes. The severity of this is related to the number of people infected. If that 5% of the infected who get complications is more than the capacity of the hospitals to treat the complications.
    This isn't a liner progression... the mortality rate could speak \ go off a cliff.
    In Wuhan it looks like it has been overwhelmed.

    I think serious cases (requiring hospital treatment) is at 18%


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,751 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    odyssey06 wrote: »
    Yes. The severity of this is related to the number of people infected. If that 5% of the infected who get complications is more than the capacity of the hospitals to treat them.
    This isn't a liner progression... the mortality rate could speak \ go off a cliff.
    In Wuhan it looks like it has been overwhelmed.


    Any system would be overwhelmed. Only real defense is to keep out those from affected areas..


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,888 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    Lots of buildings on fire there is seems, reports on twitter say they weld the doors shut and then set apartment blocks on fire to kill the effected within.


This discussion has been closed.
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