UFC/MMA LOG 2019

mailburner wrote: »

BET 36

Moraes 1.83
100
888


First max bet since aldo beat stephens, minute this match up was made I was thinking Moraes.
He's been unstoppable lately and has been the only man to stop sterling, rivera and the first to stop assuncao since 2011.
I'm amazed he was as big as 10/11 for a few hours a couple of days ago, odds have been dropping slowly over the past day or two.
I think he'll be no better than 4/7 on the day, possibly even 1/2.
The 12/5 for a ko isn't bad value either, if he win I'd be confident he'll get cejudo outa there at some stage.

I can't see cejudo being able to deal with his power myself.

couldnt have been more confident especially after round one
-100

mailburner wrote: »

BET 37

Moraes round one 11/1
6

Moraes round two 11/1
4
bet365


Yan
Grasso
Chooka
4 returns 18.75
bet365

price on the round one ko is 4pts bigger than the next best on round one, fancy it to happen.

treble wins
staked 14
ret 18.75
+4.75

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 38


ferguson by ko round two
ferguson by ko round three
shevchenko round three ko :mad:
shevchenko round four ko
moraes round one ko :mad:
moraes round two ko
kattar round one ko
kattar round two ko

Doubles/trebles/fourfolds betfred/pp (had to do fourfold on pp)

total staked 17.12



fotn
lamas kattar 20/1
2.80
betfred (max stake allowed)

staked 19.92
ret 17.80
-2.12

mailburner wrote: »

BET 39



365

One out for a big payout
-1

mailburner wrote: »

BET 40

barbarena
moicano
20 returns 41.33


de la rosa by ko or sub 9/2
4

bet365

not even close
-24

staked 158.92/ret 36.55/-122.37

Total staked 891.42/ret 719.6/-171.82

mailburner wrote: »

BET 41


Greene
martin
15 ret 75.17

martin pts 11/4
5

jds pts 13/2
2

green pts 7/2

1 trixie


bet365

I don't rate albini at all and think martin could well be
good enough to avoid the takedown

jds is overpriced imo

no good
-26


Total staked 917.42/ret 719.6/-197.82

Some sh1tty run I'm on...gonna finish tonight

BET 43


Jones ko 6/4
14

nunes pts 5/2
10

blach ko 5/1
4

masvidal ko 16/5
3

coral

BET 45


Accumulator (x1)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos - Method & Round Combo (5 Rounds)
Jon Jones KO/TKO & Round 4
18/1
Stake:
€0.20
Potential Returns:
€6,395.40


Trebles (x4)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos - Method & Round Combo (5 Rounds)
Jon Jones KO/TKO & Round 4
18/1
Stake:
€0.80
Potential Returns:
€2,025.70


Trixie (x4)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Stake:
€2.00
Potential Returns:
€1,063.75

Single
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Stake:
€2.00
Potential Returns:
€22.00



Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
18/1
Stake:
€3.00
Potential Returns:
€57.00

Paddy

mailburner wrote: »

BET 42


Masvidal 2/1
15

sanchez 3/1
8.58

Markos dec 5/2
5

1 treble

bet365

masvidal only
staked 29.58/ret 45/+15.42

mailburner wrote: »

BET 43


Jones ko 6/4
14

nunes pts 5/2
10

blach ko 5/1
4

masvidal ko 16/5
3

coral

masv and blach oblige
staked 31/ret 36.60/+5.60

mailburner wrote: »

BET 44

Jon Jones - KO / TKO
Odds
3/2
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos

Amanda Nunes - Decision
Odds
5/2

Amanda Nunes v Holly Holm

Jorge Masvidal - KO / TKO
Odds
16/5
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Jorge Masvidal v Ben Askren

Jan Blachowicz - KO / TKO
Odds
5/1
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Jan Blachowicz v Luke Rockhold

Randa Markos - Decision
Odds
9/4
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Claudia Gadelha v Randa Markos


Stake
£2.50
Est. Returns
£500.98

4x50c four folds
50c accum


Jorge Masvidal
Odds
19/10
Fight Betting
Jorge Masvidal v Ben Askren

Jon Jones - KO / TKO
Odds
3/2

Jon Jones v Thiago Santos

Amanda Nunes - Decision
Odds
5/2

Amanda Nunes v Holly Holm

Diego Sanchez
Odds
13/5
Fight Betting
Diego Sanchez v Michael Chiesa
Stake
£1.00
Est. Returns
£91.35


coral

-3.50

mailburner wrote: »

BET 45


Accumulator (x1)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos - Method & Round Combo (5 Rounds)
Jon Jones KO/TKO & Round 4
18/1
Stake:
€0.20
Potential Returns:
€6,395.40


Trebles (x4)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Jon Jones v Thiago Santos - Method & Round Combo (5 Rounds)
Jon Jones KO/TKO & Round 4
18/1
Stake:
€0.80
Potential Returns:
€2,025.70


Trixie (x4)
Ben Askren v Jorge Masvidal - Method & Round Combo
Jorge Masvidal KO/TKO & Round 1
15/2
Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
17/1
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Stake:
€2.00
Potential Returns:
€1,063.75

Single
Luke Rockhold v Jan Blachowicz - Method & Round Combo
Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO & Round 1
10/1
Stake:
€2.00
Potential Returns:
€22.00



Michael Chiesa v Diego Sanchez - Method of Victory
Diego Sanchez by Submission
18/1
Stake:
€3.00
Potential Returns:
€57.00

Paddy

-8

mailburner wrote: »

BET 46

Melendez pts 4/1
5
bet365

-5

staked 77.08/81.6/+4.52

Total Staked 994.5/ret 801.20/-193.3

Thought I actually made more on that card :pac:

BET 48

De randamie by ko or on pts 7/5
20


de randami by ko or sub
bektic pts
fili pts
2 returns 51.48

bet365

mailburner wrote: »

BET 47

simon
bektic
20 at 2.02

simon will have little problem beating faber imo, and bektic is a much better fighter than emmet...of course emmet may well have
to come out swinging late on to win this which is never good for the heart when betting against him.
taken a few days back, now available at 2.15...don't like that

debating what size bet to put on de randamie who I think is
seriously over priced

still can't believe faber won, will have to stop backing again Emmet also.
-20

mailburner wrote: »

BET 48

De randamie by ko or on pts 7/5
20


de randami by ko or sub
bektic pts
fili pts
2 returns 51.48

bet365

de randamie gets it done early
staked 22
ret 48
+26

mailburner wrote: »

BET 49

De randamie by ko 7/2
5

bektic pts 7/4
5

2 double

coral

ko lands
staked 12
ret 22.50
+10.50

staked 54/ret 70.50/+16.50

Total Staked 1048.50/ret 871.70/-176.80

BET51

hardy
hooker
rda
harris
4/41.91

hooker pts
rda pts
harris pts
2/88.08

BET 52

SINGLES
POWERED UP
Alexandre Pantoja v Deiveson Figueiredo - Match Betting
Alexandre Pantoja
4/5
10/11
Stake:
€50.00
Potential returns:
€90.00
€95.45
Paddy

It's been in my head to back this this after his dominant win last time out.
Pantoja couldn't have been more impressive and was slightly bigger than evens and the underdog everywhere days back for this.

mailburner wrote: »

BET 52

SINGLES
POWERED UP
Alexandre Pantoja v Deiveson Figueiredo - Match Betting
Alexandre Pantoja
4/5
10/11
Stake:
€50.00
Potential returns:
€90.00
€95.45
Paddy

It's been in my head to back this this after his dominant win last time out.
Pantoja couldn't have been more impressive and was slightly bigger than evens and the underdog everywhere days back for this.

pretty one sided sadly
-50

mailburner wrote: »

BET 53

niko price 3/1
9


araujo by sub 6/1
2

same two with pantoja

1 treble

skyb

Price on niko seems too big, can't leave it

-12

-62

Total staked 1131.50/ret 920.38/-211.12

mailburner wrote: »

BET 54

luque
oezdemir
12 returns 27.99

luque pts
oezdemir ko
3 returns 26.25

888

both oblige, luque by split (thought he was a certainty :eek:

staked 15/ret 54.24/+39.24

Total Staked 1136.50/ret 974.62/-161.88

mailburner wrote: »

BET 55

Anthony Pettis v Nate Diaz
Anthony Pettis
(To Win the Bout - Match)
Odds: 20/23
Stake: 100.00
Possible Return: 186.96
betv



Minute this match up was made I figured pettis would be too short to back so was very suprised to see 10/11 a week back, been shortening steadily over the past week and this price is best right now.

I can't for the life of me see how diaz will come back after three years
and beat pettis and would strongly fancy pettis anyway as he has more
ways to win unless this turns into an all out brawl but for me pettis wins this
with is superior speed, leg kicks etc and for me a diaz pts win is his only way of winning this one.

It's safe to say if this loses it'll guarantee me a losing year barring miracles.

Oh dear!
-100

Whether Pettis breaking a foot in rnd one made a difference I don't know... possibly not
Long road back from here

Total Staked 1236.50/ret 974.62/-261.88

mailburner wrote: »

BET 55

Felder 6/5
14

poirier 7/2
10


2 double


felder pts 3/1
3
poirier pts 14/1
2
1 double

felder wins on pts
staked 32/ret 42.80/+10.80

Total Staked 1268.50/ret 1017.42/-251.08

Torn on tonights event on whether to take gaethje ko or just double
him with antonio carlos jnr

BET 57


antonio carlos jnr on pts 9/2
2
pp

carlos pts
tex sub
gaethje ko round one
1 returns 68.52
pp

BET 58


Brandon Moreno By Submission @6/1
22 Sep 2019 - Brandon Moreno v Askar Askarov - Method of Result
Stake€5.00
To return €35.00

Accumulator (4)


Arianne Carnelossi By Decision @ 7/4
21 Sep 2019 - Arianne Carnelossi v Angela Hill - Method of Result
Brandon Moreno By Submission @ 6/1
22 Sep 2019 - Brandon Moreno v Askar Askarov - Method of Result
Carla Esparza By Decision @ 13/8
22 Sep 2019 - Carla Esparza v Alexa Grasso - Method of Result
Jeremy Stephens By KO/TKO/DQ @ 6/4
22 Sep 2019 - Yair Rodriguez v Jeremy Stephens - Method of Result
Stake€1.00
To return €126.32

Treble(s)
Arianne Carnelossi By Decision @ 7/4
21 Sep 2019 - Arianne Carnelossi v Angela Hill - Method of Result
Brandon Moreno By Submission @ 6/1
22 Sep 2019 - Brandon Moreno v Askar Askarov - Method of Result
Carla Esparza By Decision @ 13/8
22 Sep 2019 - Carla Esparza v Alexa Grasso - Method of Result
Jeremy Stephens By KO/TKO/DQ @ 6/4
22 Sep 2019 - Yair Rodriguez v Jeremy Stephens - Method of Result
Stake€4.00 (€1.00 x 4)
To return €162.64

Hills

price on the moreno sub looks big imo

mailburner wrote: »

BET 58


Brandon Moreno By Submission @6/1
22 Sep 2019 - Brandon Moreno v Askar Askarov - Method of Result
Stake€5.00
To return €35.00

Accumulator (4)


Arianne Carnelossi By Decision @ 7/4
21 Sep 2019 - Arianne Carnelossi v Angela Hill - Method of Result
Brandon Moreno By Submission @ 6/1
22 Sep 2019 - Brandon Moreno v Askar Askarov - Method of Result
Carla Esparza By Decision @ 13/8
22 Sep 2019 - Carla Esparza v Alexa Grasso - Method of Result
Jeremy Stephens By KO/TKO/DQ @ 6/4
22 Sep 2019 - Yair Rodriguez v Jeremy Stephens - Method of Result
Stake€1.00
To return €126.32

Treble(s)
Arianne Carnelossi By Decision @ 7/4
21 Sep 2019 - Arianne Carnelossi v Angela Hill - Method of Result
Brandon Moreno By Submission @ 6/1
22 Sep 2019 - Brandon Moreno v Askar Askarov - Method of Result
Carla Esparza By Decision @ 13/8
22 Sep 2019 - Carla Esparza v Alexa Grasso - Method of Result
Jeremy Stephens By KO/TKO/DQ @ 6/4
22 Sep 2019 - Yair Rodriguez v Jeremy Stephens - Method of Result
Stake€4.00 (€1.00 x 4)
To return €162.64

Hills

price on the moreno sub looks big imo

two void, one win one loss
staked 10
ret 2.63
-7.37

mailburner wrote: »

BET 59

stephens by ko 7/4
15.50
skybet

torn between this and the win at evens but feel if he gets it
done it'll be by ko

void


Total Staked 1329.50/ret 1120.47/-209.03

BET 61

Hermansson sub
gunni gilbert fight to go the distance
11@3.17/1
skybet

BET 63


whittaker pts 5/1
5
pp


Dan Hooker v Al Iaquinta - Method of Victory
Dan Hooker by Points
13/8
Stake:
€12.00
Potential returns:
€31.50

Doubles
14.75/1
1 line(s) at €2.00 per line
Robert Whittaker v Israel Adesanya - Method of Victory
Robert Whittaker by Points
Dan Hooker v Al Iaquinta - Method of Victory
Dan Hooker by Points
Stake:
€2.00
Potential returns:
€31.50

pp

BET 64

thought about going more on this but it's gracie's biggest test to date.
I still think if he gets hold of cub it'll be all over though.

SINGLES
POWERED UP
Kron Gracie v Cub Swanson - Method of Victory
Kron Gracie by Submission
EVS
11/10
Stake:
€50.00
Potential returns:
€100.00
€105.00

pp

BET 66


Deiveson Figueiredo by Points
23/10
Stake:
€5.00
Potential Returns:
€16.50



Niko Price v James Vick - Method of Victory
James Vick by Points
9/2
Stake:
€5.00
Potential Returns:
€27.50


Deiveson Figueiredo v Tim Elliott - Method of Victory
Deiveson Figueiredo by Points
23/10
Niko Price v James Vick - Method of Victory
James Vick by Points
9/2
Stake:
€1.50
Potential Returns:
€27.23

pp

BET 68


Kron Gracie v Cub Swanson - Method of Victory
Kron Gracie by Submission
EVS
Stake:
€40.00
Potential returns:
€80.00
pp


Feck it confidence is high

BET 69


Double To Win

Jeremy Stephens By KO/TKO/DQ @5/2
Sat 04:05 - Yair Rodriguez v Jeremy Stephens - Method of Result
Open
Dominick Reyes By KO/TKO/DQ @10/11
Sat 04:35 - Dominick Reyes v Chris Weidman - Method of Result
Open
Stake: €10.00
To return:€66.81

hills

BET 71

Jorge Masvidal - KO / TKO
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Nate Diaz v Jorge Masvidal
Odds 16/5
Unit Stake £5.00
Total Stake £5.00
Est. Returns £21.00

Kelvin Gastelum - KO / TKO
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Darren Till v Kelvin Gastelum
Odds 19/
Unit Stake £22.00
Total Stake £22.00
Est. Returns £63.80
Kelvin Gastelum - KO / TKO

Method of Victory (7 Way)
Darren Till v Kelvin Gastelum
Odds 19/10
Jorge Masvidal - KO / TKO
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Nate Diaz v Jorge Masvidal
Odds 16/5
Unit Stake £3.00
Total Stake £3.00
Est. Returns £36.54

CORAL

Bet 73


Double @7.94/1
Stake Potential Returns
€10.00 €89.38
Geoff Neal - to win by Decision or Technical Decision
Round Betting, Match
Geoff Neal v Mike Perry
@9/4
Petr Yan - to win by Decision or Technical Decision
Round Betting, Match
Petr Yan v Urijah Faber
@7/4
Betv

mailburner wrote: »

BET 69


Double To Win

Jeremy Stephens By KO/TKO/DQ @5/2
Sat 04:05 - Yair Rodriguez v Jeremy Stephens - Method of Result
Open
Dominick Reyes By KO/TKO/DQ @10/11
Sat 04:35 - Dominick Reyes v Chris Weidman - Method of Result
Open
Stake: €10.00
To return:€66.81

hills

-10

mailburner wrote: »

BET 70

dariush
johnson
20 @ 1.19/1
bet365

dariush pts
johnson pts
3 double (24.48)

-23

mailburner wrote: »

BET 71

Jorge Masvidal - KO / TKO
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Nate Diaz v Jorge Masvidal
Odds 16/5
Unit Stake £5.00
Total Stake £5.00
Est. Returns £21.00

Kelvin Gastelum - KO / TKO
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Darren Till v Kelvin Gastelum
Odds 19/
Unit Stake £22.00
Total Stake £22.00
Est. Returns £63.80
Kelvin Gastelum - KO / TKO

Method of Victory (7 Way)
Darren Till v Kelvin Gastelum
Odds 19/10
Jorge Masvidal - KO / TKO
Method of Victory (7 Way)
Nate Diaz v Jorge Masvidal
Odds 16/5
Unit Stake £3.00
Total Stake £3.00
Est. Returns £36.54

CORAL

staked 30
ret 21
-9

mailburner wrote: »

BET 72

Simon 2.15
18

rozens by ko 5/4
8

4 double
888

rozen got lucky
staked 30
ret 18
-12

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 73


Double @7.94/1
Stake Potential Returns
€10.00 €89.38
Geoff Neal - to win by Decision or Technical Decision
Round Betting, Match
Geoff Neal v Mike Perry
@9/4
Petr Yan - to win by Decision or Technical Decision
Round Betting, Match
Petr Yan v Urijah Faber
@7/4
Betv

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 74

Neal pts 21/10
Yan pts 7/4
Moraes pts 3/1
3 Trixie
Betfred


Same three with Holloway pts 7/4
4x2 eu dbls 2 accum
Betfred

-32

staked 125/ret 39/-86

Total Staked 1653.50/Ret 1250.20/-403.30

It's fair to say I'll be hard pushed to have a worse year than that with almost every big bet I did losing...marlon moraes being the one that would have put me ahead for the year.

Time to try all over again....