Boxing betting thread

diusmr8a504cvk · 12-03-2019 3:37pm

Any odds for Lee Reeves and Edward Torres at the weekend?

Boooourns · 13-03-2019 7:11am

Morrison J wrote: »

Yeah I'm seeing loads of people picking Garcia this week and I can't understand it at all. People trying to be a bit too smart I think. He'll likely look good for a few rounds and fade before getting stopped. Really can't see how he wins. Basically three weight divisions between them.

Completely agree, it's Brook v GGG all over again although Garcia will be a bit smarter and not get too brave like Brook did.

Morrison J · 19-03-2019 6:13pm

Wilder to KO Breazeale has been priced at 4/6 with Paddy Power. That price isn't going to last long.

Morrison J · 26-03-2019 7:43pm

Robbie Davies Jr to beat Joe Hughes on pts @ 4/5

Morrison J · 29-03-2019 8:54pm

Also have Donovan on points at 5/6 and Keeler points at 4/6.

Angliru · 30-03-2019 1:13pm

Fowler by points @6.5 is a fantastic bet imo. Hills have Smith on points boosted to @3.75 so I'm taking that too.

Morrison J · 30-03-2019 6:14pm

Not sure how true they are but there's a lot of rumours around boxing that Fitzgerald has been on the piss for the majority of his training camp and hasn't put the work in at all. I think Fowler probably knocks him out and maybe early but there's no value in that for me. Value definitely in betting on Fowler points but what I've heard about Fitzgerald would put me off.

Morrison J · 13-04-2019 12:27am

Lomachenko in rounds 7-12 @7/5

Morrison J · 13-04-2019 5:42am

Meant 7-12 mins...

Demolition job by Loma. Very impressive. Thought Crolla would be able to take his shots better but everything was hurting him.

Angliru · 13-04-2019 2:06pm

Might have to have a play on Christina Hammer tonight. I think Shields is a very vulnerable fighter. Hammer has a lovely jab too. I do fear a robbery though.

normanoffside · 18-04-2019 5:38pm

Lucas Browne is 9/4 to beat David Allen
Am I missing something?

You can also get 9/1 on Browne by decision :eek:

Angliru · 18-04-2019 7:23pm

Browne has looked levels worse than he did against Whyte in his fights since then. Have a look at his fight he had last month, he looked awful, got dropped and arguably lost. Dave Allen isn't much better, but given he seems to have copped on and this could lead to a decent named fight, he should be beating an off the juice 40 year old.

normanoffside · 18-04-2019 8:02pm

Angliru wrote: »

Browne has looked levels worse than he did against Whyte in his fights since then. Have a look at his fight he had last month, he looked awful, got dropped and arguably lost. Dave Allen isn't much better, but given he seems to have copped on and this could lead to a decent named fight, he should be beating an off the juice 40 year old.

I don't know. Allen is terrible. He nearly got knocked out last fight by a fat Argentine bin man last fight.
I looked at the odds expecting Allen to be a slight underdog and but at those odds I think Browne is value.

Angliru · 18-04-2019 9:12pm

normanoffside wrote: »

I don't know. Allen is terrible. He nearly got knocked out last fight by a fat Argentine bin man last fight.
I looked at the odds expecting Allen to be a slight underdog and but at those odds I think Browne is value.

Just did some research, Browne appears to be in somewhat decent shape judging from Instagram and apparently there was no drug testing for this fight the good people on Twitter tell me...hmmm. I still favour Allen and feel the odds are pretty accurate as they are.

Garcia by decision @1.57 is a potential but the children's savings on bet tbh. I also think Verdejo @1.55 is more of the same. Verdejo has been working with Memo Heredia recently so I expect him to look the best he ever has.

normanoffside · 19-04-2019 1:48pm

Angliru wrote: »

Just did some research, Browne appears to be in somewhat decent shape judging from Instagram and apparently there was no drug testing for this fight the good people on Twitter tell me...hmmm. I still favour Allen and feel the odds are pretty accurate as they are.

.

Allen 244lbs
Browne 249 lbs

I wouln't say that either looks in particularly good shape.

Morrison J · 19-04-2019 2:13pm

Heavier than Allen came in for the Lenroy Thomas rematch I'm pretty sure. Allen is an absolute chancer imo. Don't think he's trained half as hard as he's let on. Turned down Adam Booth to train with his friend Darren Barker who has zero experience as a trainer and doesn't strike me as the type to force Allen to put the work in.

Browne is great odds imo. Should be a slight favourite for me. Both will be gassed out by half way but Browne is the bigger puncher and better boxer. Got to be favoured. He's obviously shot to bits so Allen has a chance but I've no clue why he's the favourite. He's done absolutely nothing to prove he's better than the very worst version of Lucas Browne.

jeremyj1968 · 19-04-2019 11:39pm

Amir Khan at 8/1 hmmmm I'm thinking of pulling the trigger.

catrat12 · 20-04-2019 7:00am

I don’t think khan is the worst bet

I mean Crawford is slick and some fighter but he has not really fought the best of the best in my opinion and khan has a punchers chance

Also I’m all over Browne to beat Allen I think there as bad as each other but Allen has been very lucky last few fights

jeremyj1968 · 20-04-2019 7:30am

catrat12 wrote: »

Also I’m all over Browne to beat Allen I think there as bad as each other but Allen has been very lucky last few fights

It's an interesting match up. Not sold on Browne after what went on before the Whyte fight. He didn't seem mentally or physically right going in to the fight and got knocked out. He was in so bad shape I thought his purse should have been held. But Allen is also guilty of not taking the whole thing seriously enough at times as well. He has done well in the last few fights though.

normanoffside · 20-04-2019 8:42am

jeremyj1968 wrote: »

. He has done well in the last few fights though.

I am not sure where people get this idea?
His last might was against Bracamonte and Hearne publicly slated him afterwards. Allen had to apologise for his poor performance and preparation.

normanoffside · 20-04-2019 11:14am

With the bookies closed yesterday I only got the bet on this morning. Browne is in to 19/10 outright, I also got a small bet on Browne Decision at 7/1.
They were 9/4 and 9/1 respectively yesterday.

normanoffside · 20-04-2019 1:08pm

I just noticed that Chisora weighed in at 260lbs.

Is Gashi worth a small punt at 11/2?

Morrison J · 20-04-2019 3:05pm

Had a bit on Chisora points myself at 11/4. Gashi is tough and has had a full camp for this. Don't think he'll have enough to win but may have enough to go the distance. Only a ten rounder too.

normanoffside · 20-04-2019 3:16pm

Morrison J wrote: »

Had a bit on Chisora points myself at 11/4. Gashi is tough and has had a full camp for this. Don't think he'll have enough to win but may have enough to go the distance. Only a ten rounder too.

Delboy was 254 when he stank the place out against Kabayel, he's 5lb heavier against a similar level opponent.

I think I'll just put Gashi in an accumulator.

normanoffside · 20-04-2019 3:21pm

Morrison J wrote: »

Had a bit on Chisora points myself at 11/4. Gashi is tough and has had a full camp for this. Don't think he'll have enough to win but may have enough to go the distance. Only a ten rounder too.

Actually, just looked at the weigghin video.
Despite being heavy Chisora doesn't look in too bad a shape (for him).

Morrison J · 20-04-2019 3:39pm

normanoffside wrote: »

Actually, just looked at the weigghin video.
Despite being heavy Chisora doesn't look in too bad a shape (for him).

I think the Haye link up has sorted his conditioning to an extent. Whether he's mentally up for it can be a different thing. I just think Kabayel is half decent and would've given him problems on Chisora's best night. Not as convinced about Gashi although will be interesting to see how he looks with a full camp.

murphyebass · 20-04-2019 4:19pm

3 fights I’m interested in.

Odds below on Betfair....

I’ll be taking each one all as single bets by KO/TKO...

10/3 for Browne

8/15 Chisora

8/15 Benn

Browne looks value at 10/3 to me. That said if he doesn’t knock Allen out it’ll be a slow painful points victory for him imo while they both gas out horribly. I don’t rate Allen at all.

Chisora will know that a big KO victory here could put him in the frame for a gig against AJ following Millers stupidity. I know they’re looking for an American opponent but they might not get one so with Chisora still a name to look out for and a big knockout win here this could be his ticket to that fight.

But the big one here for me anyway is Benn. He’s learning all the time and looks dangerous as fook when he’s on point. Can look vulnerable don’t get me wrong but I’ll be having 8/15 here all day long for him to get the knock out.

jeremyj1968 · 20-04-2019 4:34pm

normanoffside wrote: »

I just noticed that Chisora weighed in at 260lbs. Is Gashi worth a small punt at 11/2?

God, he looked tiny next to Chisora at the weigh in.

PEACEBROTHER · 20-04-2019 9:49pm

Took Browne at 5/2

I find it very hard hard to take Allen seriously !!

normanoffside · 20-04-2019 10:39pm

Morrison J wrote: »

Had a bit on Chisora points myself at 11/4

Good bet!

murphyebass · 20-04-2019 10:55pm

normanoffside wrote: »

Good bet!

What an incredibly woeful fight though. Gashi was terrible. Didn’t want any of Chisora and Chisora just took the win. Doesn’t do anything for him career wise though. He looked piss poor.

Angliru · 21-04-2019 11:04am

Boxrec tells me Oscar Negrete and Joshua Franco are having their rematch on Thursday (for those that missed it, the first fight was insane...both threw over 1100 punches. It was like a Marquez-Vasquez fight. Well worth a watch, definite FOTY candidate). Anyway first fight was a draw but I felt Franco finished stronger and arguably deserved the nod. He's a @2.5 underdog, I think that'll tighten closer to the fight and once again it should be a super close fight.

Angliru · 23-04-2019 10:52am

Angliru wrote: »

Boxrec tells me Oscar Negrete and Joshua Franco are having their rematch on Thursday (for those that missed it, the first fight was insane...both threw over 1100 punches. It was like a Marquez-Vasquez fight. Well worth a watch, definite FOTY candidate). Anyway first fight was a draw but I felt Franco finished stronger and arguably deserved the nod. He's a @2.5 underdog, I think that'll tighten closer to the fight and once again it should be a super close fight.

Best price is now @2.1, gone odds on favourite on places like 365 and Hills, @1.8/1.73

Morrison J · 25-04-2019 7:08pm

Gallo Estrada on points @ 13/5

Lerrone Richards on points @ 13/10

Viktor Postol on points @ 11/10

Robert Easter on points @ 4/7

Angliru · 26-04-2019 11:14am

Franco wins by SD. I read somewhere that Negrete opened as a 2/7 favourite and drifted out to 6/4 by fight time. Wish I opposed that early but I doubt it was available on European books. Another very close fight, not as exciting as the first fight but still one of the fights of the year. A trilogy is surely on the cards.

Fancy Estrada tonight although I might be blinded by favouritism. Face off was intense enough, should be another war.

Angliru · 26-04-2019 12:39pm

Prograis by decision vs Relikh @3.5 should be a play. Prograis should win but Relikh is a bit of a beast himself, and very durable. Prograis seemed to be in second gear against Flanagan but he still should have got him out of there when he had him hurt. It did look like he just wanted the 12 rounds so maybe one can't look at that fight too closely. I think Relikh @7.5 on the Exchange might even be worth a gamble though, I think he's going to cause Prograis some bother.

Morrison J · 26-04-2019 1:40pm

Angliru wrote: »

Prograis by decision vs Relikh @3.5 should be a play. Prograis should win but Relikh is a bit of a beast himself, and very durable. Prograis seemed to be in second gear against Flanagan but he still should have got him out of there when he had him hurt. It did look like he just wanted the 12 rounds so maybe one can't look at that fight too closely. I think Relikh @7.5 on the Exchange might even be worth a gamble though, I think he's going to cause Prograis some bother.

I'll take Prograis by decision also. Relikh is a solid fighter and should be unbeaten imo. Got two rotten decisions go against him. Prograis should be too much for him but I don't expect Relikh to look completely out of place and he should go some rounds.

Morrison J · 28-04-2019 5:45am

Morrison J wrote: »

Gallo Estrada on points @ 13/5

Lerrone Richards on points @ 13/10

Viktor Postol on points @ 11/10

Robert Easter on points @ 4/7

A draw in the last fight has done me in on a 26/1 accumulator. Sickened.

markc91 · 28-04-2019 6:04am

Morrison J wrote: »

A draw in the last fight has done me in on a 26/1 accumulator. Sickened.

I took your first 3 and prograis by points sickened

Angliru · 18-05-2019 9:09pm

Quick one before it starts. Inoue on points @4.33. Insane value imo.

Angliru · 18-05-2019 9:22pm

Angliru wrote: »

Quick one before it starts. Inoue on points @4.33. Insane value imo.

Never mind, Inoue is the f*cking GOAT.

weemcd · 18-05-2019 9:34pm

I'd never go for Inoue on points, he is an absolute freak and one of the most monster P4P punchers I've ever seen. That was too easy for him.

Morrison J · 19-05-2019 4:51am

Morrison J wrote: »

Wilder to KO Breazeale has been priced at 4/6 with Paddy Power. That price isn't going to last long.

The problem with Breazeale is that he blocks punches with his chin. Can't get away with that against a puncher like Wilder. Free money.

Boooourns · 24-05-2019 4:12pm

Morrison J wrote: »

The problem with Breazeale is that he blocks punches with his chin. Can't get away with that against a puncher like Wilder. Free money.

Ended up doing a treble of that with Inoue KO and Taylor to win.

Angliru · 25-05-2019 3:09pm

Canizales vs Kimura is pretty much a 50/50 fight yet you can grab Canizales @3.0. Kimura is known to struggle with weight cuts and although he looks in very fine shape, I do think the odds aren't near as tight as they should be.

Very little else of value this weekend I feel. There's been a fairly decent drift on Tarver Jr. which is interesting.

Angliru · 26-05-2019 5:07pm

Angliru wrote: »

Canizales vs Kimura is pretty much a 50/50 fight yet you can grab Canizales @3.0. Kimura is known to struggle with weight cuts and although he looks in very fine shape, I do think the odds aren't near as tight as they should be.

Very little else of value this weekend I feel. There's been a fairly decent drift on Tarver Jr. which is interesting.

Canizales wins by almost shutout UD

Angliru · 01-06-2019 12:18pm

Algieri by decision @2.2 ... Am I missing something here? Absolutely no way Algieri gets a stoppage victory imo.

Angliru · 01-06-2019 6:14pm

Two more. Joshua in 7-12 @3.75 and Rodney Hernandez @3.5

Angliru · 01-06-2019 11:23pm

Oh my God Chris Algieri managed to get a stoppage win. ****ing lump on Andy Ruiz the sky is about to fall.

Angliru · 02-06-2019 2:27pm

Angliru wrote: »

Oh my God Chris Algieri managed to get a stoppage win. ****ing lump on Andy Ruiz the sky is about to fall.

The sky fell.... Literally and figuratively.

At least Hernandez won. Weird night of Boxing.

Boxing betting thread

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