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So who's going to see the Pope?

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 10,375 ✭✭✭✭kunst nugget


    Is the 130,000 number based on the amount of tickets scanned?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,740 ✭✭✭Arthur Daley


    AlanG wrote: »
    The incompetence of the NTA kept a lot of people away - of 11 people who asked me to get them tickets online only 1 went once their their transport routes came through - People living in belville, 10 meters from Ashtown gate were been told to walk through the dunard gate - an 5km detour. Those who wanted to cycle were told to park their bikes in Blanchardstown village - 5.5 KM from the site and further out than the ridiculous bus hubs. Meanwhile hundreds of acres that were used for Ed Sheerhan and could have been utilised as a bike / coach park in the Park itself were simply closed off. The whole orgaisation of the mass was a shambles and reflects very poorly on whoever was in charge.

    Amen


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,498 ✭✭✭Fighting Tao


    I've already heard and seen a couple of people blaming the low turnout on the tickets that where snapped up by people protesting the visit who had no intention of going. I reckon we're going to see more of that over the next couple of weeks as well. I really wish people hadn't done the ticket thing because then there would have been no excuses they could have used for the poor turnout.

    Some guards were handing out tickets to anyone that didn’t have one at the gates.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,750 ✭✭✭Avatar MIA


    Trasna1 wrote: »

    Number of donations at the collection (not total collected) can also act as as a proxy for attendance.

    How would a donation be defined? If I drop 2 €1 coins into the box will that be considered two donations (apart from being cheap :) )


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,140 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Is the 130,000 number based on the amount of tickets scanned?
    It was based on the attendance numbers from AGS/fire brigade.
    I assume it was based on the tickets scanned + the number of staff on site.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,325 ✭✭✭xi5yvm0owc1s2b


    lawred2 wrote: »
    :rolleyes:

    A roll-eyes emoticon? What a rebuttal.
    how was that measured? and when? and by whom?

    because it's not really credible

    The European Social Survey, published last November, found that 36 percent of Irish adults attend a religious service at least once a week. The Irish attend church at a higher rate than almost any other population in Europe.

    If you believe the European Social Survey is "not really credible," feel free to make your case for why academics who devote their time to measuring attitudes, beliefs, and behavioural patterns across 30+ nations should not be viewed as "credible."


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 565 ✭✭✭Trasna1


    Avatar MIA wrote: »
    How would a donation be defined? If I drop 2 €1 coins into the box will that be considered two donations (apart from being cheap :) )

    Donations are made in envelopes. It's a poor enough proxy method since its one envelope per family, so doesn't capture children and visitors.

    Priests would have a fair idea of their ongoing attendance, and they have no incentive to lie about it really anyway. They don't want to be giving masses to empty churches, not only is it demoralizing, but they would see that time could be better spent in ministry.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,753 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    A roll-eyes emoticon? What a rebuttal.



    The European Social Survey, published last November, found that 36 percent of Irish adults attend a religious service at least once a week.

    If you believe the European Social Survey is "not really credible," feel free to make your case for why academics who devote their time to measuring attitudes, beliefs, and behavioural patterns across 30+ nations should not be viewed as "credible."

    Well the census figures are self evidently not credible but whatever

    The ESS is interesting - can you link to the section in the report itself rather than the homepage?

    I'd be interested to see the source data, questions asked and of whom and how the results are broken down.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,750 ✭✭✭Avatar MIA


    Trasna1 wrote: »
    Donations are made in envelopes.

    Really? It's been a while Father *cough*


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,325 ✭✭✭xi5yvm0owc1s2b


    lawred2 wrote: »
    I'd be interested to see the source data, questions asked and of whom and how the results are broken down.

    Great. Have a look for it yourself, then. I'm not your research assistant.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,750 ✭✭✭Avatar MIA


    Great. Have a look for it yourself, then. I'm not your research assistant.

    No, but have you an interest in being credible?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,454 ✭✭✭EyesClosed


    Great. Have a look for it yourself, then. I'm not your research assistant.

    Could you please back up your point with the data? FIND IT YOURSELF.
    Very helpful :D:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,521 ✭✭✭bobmalooka


    lawred2 wrote: »
    I'd be interested to see the source data, questions asked and of whom and how the results are broken down.

    Great. Have a look for it yourself, then. I'm not your research assistant.
    Coif you link to the 36% figure even?
    It’s difficult to find


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 565 ✭✭✭Trasna1


    ELM327 wrote: »
    It was based on the attendance numbers from AGS/fire brigade.
    I assume it was based on the tickets scanned + the number of staff on site.

    As one of the 120000 you branded as scum earlier I can tell you that tickets were not scanned in Phoenix Park. All that was checked was that you had a piece of paper. Security was poor overall, not in any way thorough.

    Counting was done via overhead radar gantries on the entrance routes. The total official attendance will be known in time, soon probably


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,325 ✭✭✭xi5yvm0owc1s2b


    bobmalooka wrote: »
    Coif you link to the 36% figure even?
    It’s difficult to find

    You'll find it quoted in a Irish Times article from August 11th:
    A European Social Survey of 18 countries that year, and published last November, showed that weekly Mass attendance by Irish Catholics remained high by European standards. It found that 36 per cent of Irish adults attended a religious service at least once a week. The average weekly attendance for the 18 European countries surveyed was 12.8 per cent.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/religion-and-beliefs/the-faith-of-ireland-s-catholics-continues-despite-all-1.3592019


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,465 ✭✭✭CruelCoin


    Avatar MIA wrote: »
    No, but have you an interest in being credible?

    This is after hours.

    Harvard style proofs belong in the legal/debating forums thataway--->


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 23,495 ✭✭✭✭Billy86


    Strazdas wrote: »
    The abuse statistics go right back to 1947 so presumably the number of priests would be much higher. Didn't Ireland have 6000 priests at one point in the mid 1950s? That would easily equate to tens of thousands of priests in a sixty year period and I imagine the same for Penn.
    Except that number, which was 5,500, was such an outlier that is caused Pope John XXIII at the time to say: "Any Christian country will produce a greater or lesser number of priests. But Ireland, that beloved country, is the most fruitful of mothers in this respect."

    As we both know full well, numbers have been drastically dwindling since that point in Ireland. In 2012 we had 2,800 priests, down from It had fallen from 3,200 in 2002 so around 2,500 today might be a fair guess for our 3.7mn Catholics.

    Pennsylvania has 3.2mn Catholics so using Ireland as a barometer, somewhere between 2,000-2,500 Catholic priests would be a highly generous estimate (especially with the Pennsylvania Catholic Conference claiming only half of that figure). Added to that, PA is historically highly Germanic in terms of the origin of it's inhabitants, which would have a much stronger Protestant following so unlike Ireland it would be highly unlikely to have descended to that number from a much higher one.

    Then there is the fact that priests tend to serve for life - they do move diocese(s?), but with 982 of them in PA and the depth of the cover ups there I would reckon a lot of the movement was within the same state.

    And all of this is before mentioning that the report than held 300 priests accountable for over 1,000 victims also explicitly stated that they believed there were 'thousands' of others that could not be fully proven for a myriad of reasons - this would also hint at the number off offending priests being higher than just those mentioned.

    In other words, the number of Catholic priests in Pennsylvania over that time would likely exceed 10,000 but would be very unlikely to run into many multiples of that, while the number of offenders could be a lot higher than the just 300. It would be interesting to see if someone could find the records go over this, actually.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,325 ✭✭✭xi5yvm0owc1s2b


    EyesClosed wrote: »
    Could you please back up your point with the data? FIND IT YOURSELF.
    Very helpful :D:D

    The Irish-specific data files are all on the ESS website. One must log in with an email address to download them. If the poster is that interested, he should feel free to create an account and access whatever files he wants.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 565 ✭✭✭Trasna1


    Avatar MIA wrote: »
    Really? It's been a while Father *cough*

    Yeah, been like that in most parishes for over 20 years. Not a particularly recent innovation.

    It keeps donations anonymous from the person sitting beside you. Envelopes are numbered and accounted for. Parishes can claim a tax deduction for each person's envelope at the end of the year, if the individual agrees.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,750 ✭✭✭Avatar MIA


    CruelCoin wrote: »
    This is after hours.

    Harvard style proofs belong in the legal/debating forums thataway--->


    That's where you're wrong. Someone serious enough to state a percentage as a fact will always be called on it, no matter the forum. And it's the wrong topic to ask someone to take something on faith :D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,140 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Trasna1 wrote: »
    As one of the 120000 you branded as scum earlier I can tell you that tickets were not scanned in Phoenix Park. All that was checked was that you had a piece of paper. Security was poor overall, not in any way thorough.

    Counting was done via overhead radar gantries on the entrance routes. The total official attendance will be known in time, soon probably
    There was obviously a count done as even the national broadcaster (usually a social right wing propaganda machine) did not try to inflate the numbers above 120000-130000.

    If you look at the aerial shots during the mass even 130000 seems fanciful.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,722 ✭✭✭nice_guy80


    Trasna1 wrote: »
    Yeah, been like that in most parishes for over 20 years. Not a particularly recent innovation.

    It keeps donations anonymous from the person sitting beside you. Envelopes are numbered and accounted for. Parishes can claim a tax deduction for each person's envelope at the end of the year, if the individual agrees.
    Didn't know about that last bit


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,750 ✭✭✭Avatar MIA


    Trasna1 wrote: »
    Yeah, been like that in most parishes for over 20 years. Not a particularly recent innovation.

    It keeps donations anonymous from the person sitting beside you. Envelopes are numbered and accounted for. Parishes can claim a tax deduction for each person's envelope at the end of the year, if the individual agrees.

    And it's also a good way of keeping track of who pays.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    A less thesis-driven observer might look at numerous other metrics, such as the percentage of the Irish population identifying as Catholic (78 percent in Census 2016, or 3,729,100 people -- more than the entire population of Ireland in 1979)
    Isn't that just more proof that the RCC is in a shambles? 3.7m people "identifying" as Catholic, yet just 3.5% of that figure came out for a once-in-a-lifetime event to celebrate with the deified head of their religion?

    Gather together the 3 events and that's still only 7% of the reported # of Catholics in Ireland who came to witness the Pope. The planned and available capacity was 17.5% of the country's "Catholics".

    And those numbers are assuming everyone only attended on a single a event and that the volume of foreign visitors was very low. Both of which are assumptions that can't be made.

    So whatever figures you want to use, it's proof that the church in Ireland is in a terrible state. Less than a tenth of Irish Catholics came to see "God's representative on earth" - the highest and most celebration position in the church - and less than half of the capacity made available, was taken up.
    or the percentage of Catholics attending weekly mass (around 35 percent, very high by European standards).
    A: I would love to know your source for this figure because it matches up with nothing else.
    B: "Very high by European standards" sounds really like someone desperately looking for something positive to say. 35% is about half of the attendance rate at the turn of the millenium.
    If you genuinely believe that there are only 130,000 observant Catholics in Ireland to "carry the can" in 20 years' time, or that there will be no Catholics left in Ireland in 20 years, you really need to think again.
    https://www.irishcatholic.com/young-irish-mass-attendance-still-remarkably-high-numbers-show/

    Crunch the numbers here:
    54% of 16-29 year olds claim to be Catholic
    10% of these attend Mass weekly.

    That's approx. 472,000 young people who claim to be catholic, and 47,200 who attend on a weekly basis.

    Less than 50,000 young Irish people attend Mass weekly. If we assume they will remain to do so and all go on to have 3 children, who also attend weekly (lofty assumption), then in 20 years' time when the older generation are dead, you'll have 100,000 weekly attendees between the ages of 16 and 49 at Mass.

    Sure, you might have the same figure again in the 49+ age bracket. But this cannot be spun as anything but a disastrous and immense decline for the RCC in Ireland.

    Anyone claiming otherwise is the embodiment of comical Ali saying "Everything is fine" while tanks roll through the streets.

    And tbh, I'm perfectly happy for the church to stick its fingers in its ears about this.


  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators, Regional South East Moderators Posts: 28,571 Mod ✭✭✭✭Cabaal


    Says it all https://www.broadsheet.ie/2018/08/27/the-great-multitude/

    Papal Mass, Phoenix Park, 1979
    459525.jpg

    Papal Mass, Phoenix Park, yesterday
    459526.jpg

    Evidence nobody is really that bothered with the church and its events anymore,

    However many will no doubt continue to be bouncy castle Catholics, going to mass a few times a year coming up to confirmation and communion....important for some people to have that money and bouncy castle for their kids.
    :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,785 ✭✭✭The Golden Miller


    I've no problem with people condemning the church during the popes visit, it's only right. But where was this universal outrage when the queen came to visit, an institution that caused alot more pain to alot more people over here? But that's "progress", and any condemnation was swept under the carpet by the media. Surely the pope's visit will bring in all this "tourist money" too, or does that myth only exist when we bend over to by Britain's lapdogs for international attention, to show how "matured as a nation" we are?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,040 ✭✭✭optogirl


    I've no problem with people condemning the church during the popes visit, it's only right. But where was this universal outrage when the queen came to visit, an institution that caused alot more pain to alot more people over here? But that's "progress", and any condemnation was swept under the carpet by the media. Surely the pope's visit will bring in all this "tourist money" too, or does that myth only exist when we bend over to by Britain's lapdogs for international attention, to show how "matured as a nation" we are?

    They are not comparable. Practically every street in the country is named after someone who stood up to the crown. We are told all about what the British did to us through education, theatre, songs, poetry, movies, documentary. The time before the Republic is barely in living memory.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 565 ✭✭✭Trasna1


    ELM327 wrote: »
    There was obviously a count done as even the national broadcaster (usually a social right wing propaganda machine) did not try to inflate the numbers above 120000-130000.

    If you look at the aerial shots during the mass even 130000 seems fanciful.

    I never said there wasn't a count done, only that tickets weren't checked. They weren't, I was one of the scum there, as you said.

    A count was done - using overhead radar like you'd see at a marathon, or other mass non-ticket events


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 565 ✭✭✭Trasna1


    nice_guy80 wrote: »
    Didn't know about that last bit

    True for any charitable donation. I'm surprised more sports clubs and the like don't use it (although it may only be available to religious and those with a charity number)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,140 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Trasna1 wrote: »
    I never said there wasn't a count done, only that tickets weren't checked. They weren't, I was one of the scum there, as you said.

    A count was done - using overhead radar like you'd see at a marathon, or other mass non-ticket events
    It's immaterial how the count was done. There was a count done by emergency services, and that count is accurate.


    I've already received moderator comment for, and corrected, the scum comment. I don't see the need for you to continue to refer to it, while it was not even on this thread. It's getting tedious now.
    IN the interest of bringing your tedious tangent to an end, here are the related comments:
    ELM327 wrote: »
    Apologies.I'm just rather annoyed at those who can support such an organisation given that the head of it can continue to lie, from the lies about the mother and baby homes, to the fact a known paedophile cover up priest was in the cavalcade directly behind the pope yesterday.


    What I was trying to say was that the RCC organisation is corrupt and they derive validation from the numbers who tick boxes or attend events.

    Perhaps I could/should have worded my initial post a little clearer. Mea Culpa.
    ELM327 wrote: »
    I will not respect nonsense and bunkum tbh, but that doesn't mean it is acceptable to insult people because of it. Hence why I have apologised for the comment.


    There's a big difference between respecting someone's beliefs and respecting their right to hold those beliefs.


    I will do the latter begrudgingly but not the former.


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