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Exit poll: The post referendum thread. No electioneering.

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Comments

  • #962
    ytpe2r5bxkn0c1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 32,688 ✭✭✭✭ytpe2r5bxkn0c1


    Deleted User wrote: »
    RTE's one at 11.30. Can't understand why they want to wait so long. Polls are long shut.

    They only closed at 10.


  • #963
    GarIT
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,671 ✭✭✭GarIT


    Teyla Emmagan wrote: »
    Only a margin or error of 1 to 1.5% so either way, it's gone!!


    The margin of error is only within a particular confidence interval. It's not guaranteed to be within 1.5%, they predict there is a 95% chance that it will be within 1.5%.


  • #964
    Wheeliebin30
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,593 ✭✭✭Wheeliebin30


    123balltv wrote: »
    Looks like a yes she'll have a lot more innocent angels to talk too next year.

    Bahahahaha!!


  • #965
    tigger123
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,593 ✭✭✭tigger123


    Shurimgreat wrote: »
    Unrestricted abortion up to 12 weeks was only proposed in the last year.
    Another misrepresentation from the Yes side.
    In fact no legislative proposals to deal with this came from any side until the last year.

    The whole thing came from ground up.

    This is democracy in action.


  • #966
    vienne86
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,078 ✭✭✭✭vienne86


    Wow! This has made my year!


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  • #967
    meeeeh
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,624 ✭✭✭✭meeeeh


    fergus1001 wrote: »
    I am celebrating, we have swept the iona institute into the dustbin

    It will take a bit more to kill them off. They will be around when issues around religion in schools heat up.

    Great result.


  • #968
    Shurimgreat
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,133 ✭✭✭Shurimgreat


    RobertKK wrote: »
    Landslide for Yes according to the IT, but I am happy I voted No as whatever happens from here on, I will know I voted for what I believed in, and anything legislated for has nothing to do with my actions.

    Good post and I take comfort from my No vote too.

    I'm glad not to be celebrating tonight the very easy access to abortion in Ireland.

    And I feel sorry for anyone who does.


  • #969
    CruelCoin
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,465 ✭✭✭CruelCoin


    Excellent result!

    A clear decisive margin that can't be weaseled at, so we can move on and put laws into action.


  • #970
    mirrorwall14
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,751 ✭✭✭mirrorwall14


    I can’t breathe. I can’t think. That is unreal. I know it’s only a prediction but bloody hell thats a massive margin!!!!

    Who’s watching the count tomorrow??


  • #971
    Rechuchote
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,171 ✭✭✭Rechuchote


    Irish Times giving 68/32 for Repeal, based on interviews with people leaving 60 polling stations around the country.


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  • #972
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,547 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    RobertKK wrote: »
    Landslide for Yes according to the IT, but I am happy I voted No as whatever happens from here on, I will know I voted for what I believed in, and anything legislated for has nothing to do with my actions.

    Yep one has to accept the democratic result. Anyone though who goes out celebrating this result ala gay marriage vote needs to get their head examined.


  • #973
    Windorah
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 210 ✭✭Windorah


    I hate to be a Debbie Downer but didn't Hilary win the popular vote in 2016 by over 2 million votes??
    I'll be holding my breath until each and every vote is counted.


  • #974
    wexie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 7,480 ✭✭✭wexie


    eeepaulo wrote: »
    An I right in thinking exit polls are usually close to accurate?

    Doesn't matter, they won't be far enough off to make a difference.


  • #975
    VinLieger
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,939 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    I wont believe this unless RTE show a similar number


  • #976
    suicide_circus
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,802 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus


    Abortions for all!


  • #977
    judeboy101
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,246 ✭✭✭judeboy101


    https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=jay+silent+abortion&ru=/search?q=jay+silent+abortion&FORM=EDGENA&view=detail&mmscn=vwrc&mid=E53774B35BD6EBD6CB56E53774B35BD6EBD6CB56&FORM=WRVORC


  • #978
    fergus1001
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭fergus1001


    eviltwin wrote:
    How likely is this to be completely wrong?


    extremely unlikely as stated there usually 1.5% +-


  • #979
    Nettle Soup
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,312 ✭✭✭Nettle Soup


    BarryD2 wrote: »
    That is not possible with the 8th in place and you know it.

    If the result does turn out more than 2:1, it's going to be very hard for FF hardliners to impose their will in any forthcoming legislation. They will have to face the electorate sooner or later.

    Correct. Fianna Fail TDs on the No side will keep the head down now. They cant ride both horses in the race anymore.


  • #980
    Rechuchote
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,171 ✭✭✭Rechuchote


    Shurimgreat wrote: »
    Good post and I take comfort from my No vote too.

    I'm glad not to be celebrating tonight the very easy access to abortion in Ireland.

    And I feel sorry for anyone who does.

    Abortion is dropping all across the EU where it's legal. Nobody celebrates an abortion, it's never a happy decision. But I'll certainly celebrate safety for women and trust for women in looking after their own health.


  • #981
    PurvesGrundy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 532 ✭✭✭PurvesGrundy


    You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.


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  • #982
    Shurimgreat
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,133 ✭✭✭Shurimgreat


    tigger123 wrote: »
    The whole thing came from ground up.

    This is democracy in action.

    It came from citizens assembly of 100 people.

    Most opinion polls would require 500 people minimum to be considered credible.

    After that the referendum was foisted on the people, many of whom had no clue what they were voting for.


  • #983
    Try_harder
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,681 ✭✭✭Try_harder


    The No side knew the game was up earlier in the week when they started conceding over FFA and Hard Cases
    They will lobby hard re proposed legislation by if this is the result their influence will be significantly weakened


  • #984
    Telchak
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 892 ✭✭✭Telchak


    Windorah wrote: »
    I hate to be a Debbie Downer but didn't Hilary win the popular vote in 2016 by over 2 million votes??
    I'll be holding my breath until each and every vote is counted.

    Referendums are decided by popular vote, not electoral colleges.


  • #985
    Rechuchote
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,171 ✭✭✭Rechuchote


    PurvesGrundy wrote: »
    You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

    Nonsense, frankly. In that polling both it's you and your voting slip. It's a secret ballot and no one can bully you.


  • #986
    martingriff
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,339 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    Trasna1 wrote: »
    The no side knew the game was up at the start of the week. According to sources on another forum, their private polling was indicating a similar result to the exit poll. That's why No went into meltdown, went off message and became (more) hysterical.

    The no side knew it was up from day one. The only thing that was in doubt was when people were casting there votes were they thinking of the hard cases or the abortion limit. What they really wanted to see was a close vote so there be a bit of pressure to even limit the 12 weeks down


  • #987
    Kiith
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 23,406 Mod ✭✭✭✭Kiith


    PurvesGrundy wrote: »
    You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

    Bollox. If you don't have enough of a spine to vote what you believe, you shouldn't be voting at all.


  • #988
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Barbara Melted Bassoon wrote: »
    They only closed at 10.


    True, but the I.T. had theirs out in a matter of minutes.


  • #989
    lawred2
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,745 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    Shurimgreat wrote: »
    Sad day for Ireland if so. I feel ashamed to be Irish if that's the way it goes.

    If democracy shames you well then you know where the exits are...


  • #990
    spookwoman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    RobertKK wrote: »
    Landslide for Yes according to the IT, but I am happy I voted No as whatever happens from here on, I will know I voted for what I believed in, and anything legislated for has nothing to do with my actions.
    If your partner ever has the misfortune to be in a situation where she needs an abortion will you stop her? Honest answer please


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  • #991
    Try_harder
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,681 ✭✭✭Try_harder


    PurvesGrundy wrote: »
    You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

    What evidence have you of this!


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