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Exit poll: The post referendum thread. No electioneering.

Ozymandius2011

This is for people who have already voted in the referendum. How did you vote? I voted yes.

Mod: This thread is little more than a survey about how you voted. Please don't the ins and outs of abortion.

Mod: This is not a reiteration of the previous 8th threads. If you were threadbanned from those, you are not threadbanned here.

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ytpe2r5bxkn0c1

Deleted User wrote: »

RTE's one at 11.30. Can't understand why they want to wait so long. Polls are long shut.

They only closed at 10.

GarIT

Teyla Emmagan wrote: »

Only a margin or error of 1 to 1.5% so either way, it's gone!!

The margin of error is only within a particular confidence interval. It's not guaranteed to be within 1.5%, they predict there is a 95% chance that it will be within 1.5%.

Wheeliebin30

123balltv wrote: »

Looks like a yes she'll have a lot more innocent angels to talk too next year.

Bahahahaha!!

tigger123

Shurimgreat wrote: »

Unrestricted abortion up to 12 weeks was only proposed in the last year.
Another misrepresentation from the Yes side.
In fact no legislative proposals to deal with this came from any side until the last year.

The whole thing came from ground up.

This is democracy in action.

vienne86

Wow! This has made my year!

meeeeh

fergus1001 wrote: »

I am celebrating, we have swept the iona institute into the dustbin

It will take a bit more to kill them off. They will be around when issues around religion in schools heat up.

Great result.

Shurimgreat

RobertKK wrote: »

Landslide for Yes according to the IT, but I am happy I voted No as whatever happens from here on, I will know I voted for what I believed in, and anything legislated for has nothing to do with my actions.

Good post and I take comfort from my No vote too.

I'm glad not to be celebrating tonight the very easy access to abortion in Ireland.

And I feel sorry for anyone who does.

CruelCoin

Excellent result!

A clear decisive margin that can't be weaseled at, so we can move on and put laws into action.

mirrorwall14

I can’t breathe. I can’t think. That is unreal. I know it’s only a prediction but bloody hell thats a massive margin!!!!

Who’s watching the count tomorrow??

Rechuchote

Irish Times giving 68/32 for Repeal, based on interviews with people leaving 60 polling stations around the country.

munsterlegend

RobertKK wrote: »

Landslide for Yes according to the IT, but I am happy I voted No as whatever happens from here on, I will know I voted for what I believed in, and anything legislated for has nothing to do with my actions.

Yep one has to accept the democratic result. Anyone though who goes out celebrating this result ala gay marriage vote needs to get their head examined.

Windorah

I hate to be a Debbie Downer but didn't Hilary win the popular vote in 2016 by over 2 million votes??
I'll be holding my breath until each and every vote is counted.

wexie

eeepaulo wrote: »

An I right in thinking exit polls are usually close to accurate?

Doesn't matter, they won't be far enough off to make a difference.

VinLieger

I wont believe this unless RTE show a similar number

suicide_circus

Abortions for all!

judeboy101

https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=jay+silent+abortion&ru=/search?q=jay+silent+abortion&FORM=EDGENA&view=detail&mmscn=vwrc&mid=E53774B35BD6EBD6CB56E53774B35BD6EBD6CB56&FORM=WRVORC

fergus1001

eviltwin wrote:

How likely is this to be completely wrong?

extremely unlikely as stated there usually 1.5% +-

Nettle Soup

BarryD2 wrote: »

That is not possible with the 8th in place and you know it.

If the result does turn out more than 2:1, it's going to be very hard for FF hardliners to impose their will in any forthcoming legislation. They will have to face the electorate sooner or later.

Correct. Fianna Fail TDs on the No side will keep the head down now. They cant ride both horses in the race anymore.

Rechuchote

Shurimgreat wrote: »

Good post and I take comfort from my No vote too.

I'm glad not to be celebrating tonight the very easy access to abortion in Ireland.

And I feel sorry for anyone who does.

Abortion is dropping all across the EU where it's legal. Nobody celebrates an abortion, it's never a happy decision. But I'll certainly celebrate safety for women and trust for women in looking after their own health.

PurvesGrundy

You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

Shurimgreat

tigger123 wrote: »

The whole thing came from ground up.

This is democracy in action.

It came from citizens assembly of 100 people.

Most opinion polls would require 500 people minimum to be considered credible.

After that the referendum was foisted on the people, many of whom had no clue what they were voting for.

Try_harder

The No side knew the game was up earlier in the week when they started conceding over FFA and Hard Cases
They will lobby hard re proposed legislation by if this is the result their influence will be significantly weakened

Telchak

Windorah wrote: »

I hate to be a Debbie Downer but didn't Hilary win the popular vote in 2016 by over 2 million votes??
I'll be holding my breath until each and every vote is counted.

Referendums are decided by popular vote, not electoral colleges.

Rechuchote

PurvesGrundy wrote: »

You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

Nonsense, frankly. In that polling both it's you and your voting slip. It's a secret ballot and no one can bully you.

martingriff

Trasna1 wrote: »

The no side knew the game was up at the start of the week. According to sources on another forum, their private polling was indicating a similar result to the exit poll. That's why No went into meltdown, went off message and became (more) hysterical.

The no side knew it was up from day one. The only thing that was in doubt was when people were casting there votes were they thinking of the hard cases or the abortion limit. What they really wanted to see was a close vote so there be a bit of pressure to even limit the 12 weeks down

Kiith

PurvesGrundy wrote: »

You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

Bollox. If you don't have enough of a spine to vote what you believe, you shouldn't be voting at all.

[Deleted User]

Barbara Melted Bassoon wrote: »

They only closed at 10.

True, but the I.T. had theirs out in a matter of minutes.

lawred2

Shurimgreat wrote: »

Sad day for Ireland if so. I feel ashamed to be Irish if that's the way it goes.

If democracy shames you well then you know where the exits are...

spookwoman

RobertKK wrote: »

Landslide for Yes according to the IT, but I am happy I voted No as whatever happens from here on, I will know I voted for what I believed in, and anything legislated for has nothing to do with my actions.

If your partner ever has the misfortune to be in a situation where she needs an abortion will you stop her? Honest answer please

Try_harder

PurvesGrundy wrote: »

You can be guaranteed that many people were bullied into a Yes vote.

What evidence have you of this!