FI Charts (T120+ onwards) Winter 2018 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

Yea - they aren't your picture postcard Synoptics but they are cold and very interesting with numerous sliding snow events possible. An interesting 10 days aheadðŸ‘

Ahhhh The auwl elongated triangular finger of green slime.

There it is,stretching from deep in the Azores,curving and arching beautifully with precision,so as to envelope Ireland and only Ireland in its moist intimate Bossom.Its a deep,deep love affair,oh saucy! ...

...Deep cold to our north east,and unusual cold splurging southwards in the north Atlantic,but there it is,the ever present elongated triangular finger of green slime that somehow manages to position itself perfectly to prevent the cold reaching ireland,the same finger of slime that prevents hot Spanish plumes encroaching over Ireland in summer.

It prevents and shunts the deep cold pool away to the east before it strides slowly eastwards, then as the deep cold from the north Atlantic staggers foward,it falls apart moments before reaching our shores,by about 50 miles,modifies and dilutes into watery mi-wadi,like an unfit athlete that's run out of breath.Its hilarious,if you ever watch the -10 hpa isotherm approach Ireland it just dies a death as it approaches,no matter which angle it's coming from,it will side step us and hop up to Scotland,it's will dance around us and easily pour itself over southern england,
Before the final kick in the teeth - watching it ouzze down towards Spain and the med with such grace and ease and swagger.

Rinse & Repeat.

I'm a bit depressed looking at Meteorites chart!

The first week in February has been kind to us before back in the 80s and 90s. Let's hope we get a (easterly) blast from the past this time again.

Definitely heading in the right direction. Just checked out the ensembles and some stunners in there.

Increasingly cold over the weekend and a heightening risk of snow is the headline...it's not just the snow potential but also some very, very cold nights.



Still 96 hrs + potential, still a lot that can go wrong.



Screw it, go nuts

The Iberian peninsula potentialy frozen solid as next week progresses also,all but the coastal extremities at freezing and below.

The slurry muck is coming in quicker,wafting over the top of the Azores high,bringing temperatures up to 10/11/12 degrees briefly next saturday...

The slurry muck wins out towards the end of the run this time.

ECM advecting cold eastern air further west than any other model by 96 hours. This is what we want to see.



The difference may look subtle between the UKMO and ECM but it's actually fairly significant for our prospects.

UKMO



ECM



And by Monday night we see the Atlantic front over the country occluding and stalling with exceptionally cold air east and west turning to snow over the country.

MJohnston wrote: »

What was that periodic pattern that someone mentioned a few weeks ago, that suggested a higher frequency of cold spells vaguely around February 10th?

Buchans cold spells. 7 to 14 Feb is the relevant one here. The last really proper easterly I remember came in those dates in 1991.

Still too much left to verify. At the moment the balance of outcomes is for cold nights, spells of showers with mixed wintry falls and any accumulations on higher ground in the east and north. At lower populated levels im seeing daytime temps of 4-7C in the early days of next week, nothing to write home about.

Larbre34 wrote: »

Still too much left to verify. At the moment the balance of outcomes is for cold nights, spells of showers with mixed wintry falls and any accumulations on higher ground in the east and north. At lower populated levels im seeing daytime temps of 4-7C in the early days of next week, nothing to write home about.

lol - oh how wrong...:D