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Wildcard Thread 2016/2017

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 17,022 ✭✭✭✭Iused2likebusts


    havent really been following price rises. What is the best site for checking this info and who is looking like going up and down tonight. Seriously debating wildcarding tonight.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,654 ✭✭✭✭extra gravy


    havent really been following price rises. What is the best site for checking this info and who is looking like going up and down tonight. Seriously debating wildcarding tonight.

    Fpl stats seems to be the most reliable so far. It has Jak and Fer going up tonight.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,254 ✭✭✭✭km79


    havent really been following price rises. What is the best site for checking this info and who is looking like going up and down tonight. Seriously debating wildcarding tonight.

    Fpl statistics
    FFFix is all over the shop


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,831 ✭✭✭shineon23


    Fpl stats seems to be the most reliable so far. It has Jak and Fer going up tonight.

    At this stage it feels like Jakupoic has been set for a rise since McGregor got injured during the summer.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Trying to decide if I am wildcarding or not.... because if I am, I jump right now and bring in Fer and Capoue.... but if I'm not, I probably just bring in Capoue....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,274 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    Paully D wrote: »

    Zero chance. People still not getting it. And this guy sells himself as a price changes expert on twitter!

    Last 2 seasons.
    Max 0.2 or more rises in any GW = 4.
    Last 2 early international breaks, 0.2 or more rises; 14/15 = 3, 15/16 = 1
    Last 2 years prices rises in first international break lowest of weeks 3 to 7.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,274 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    ElTel wrote: »
    GW5 is a Friday night kick-off.
    I think that looks a better time for my WC notwithstanding the Manchester Derby this week.

    Now this is spot on advice though. The two Friday nights factor is new and will tend toward more rice changes in the GW.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,303 ✭✭✭Mike Ehrmantraut


    FHFC wrote: »
    Zero chance. People still not getting it. And this guy sells himself as a price changes expert on twitter!

    Last 2 seasons.
    Max 0.2 or more rises in any GW = 4.
    Last 2 early international breaks, 0.2 or more rises; 14/15 = 3, 15/16 = 1
    Last 2 years prices rises in first international break lowest of weeks 3 to 7.

    Have no stats to back it up but think the week before and the gw just after the first international break are probably best times to get the most out of price rises on a wildcard.
    Saying that, right now it's really tempting to press the button.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,274 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    Have no stats to back it up but think the week before and the gw just after the first international break are probably best times to get the most out of price rises on a wildcard.
    Saying that, right now it's really tempting to press the button.

    There is no week to get any tangible benefit from price rises on the actual wildcard week. The wildcard value gain bonanza is a myth.

    Gaining value from wildcard is about avoiding drops and having the rising players over the GW3 to GW7 period as well as being able to get in players you want long term before they go up 0.1 or 0.2.

    E.g. if you need Hazard (and you do need Hazard) and you wait till GW4 or 5 you'll probably pay 0.3 or 0.4 more for him which reduces your budget elsewhere substantially.


    Edit. I really don't want to constantly repost my own article here but will reluctantly do so again as all the relevant stats from last 2 seasons are here and very relevant to people considering wildcarding. As above, a 'double friday' week (like GW5) is new and probably a significant benefit price rise wise. And generally the GW immediately after the break is better than the break itself.

    http://fantasyfootballpundits.com/early-season-fpl-price-change-trends-and-implications-for-wildcard-strategy/


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,654 ✭✭✭✭extra gravy


    First draft with Ozil rather than Sanchez

    Heaton Jak
    Valencia Baines Kone Evans Amat
    Hazard Ozil Redmond/Bolasie Snodgrass Capoue
    Kun Ibra Benteke

    Looks fairly well balanced I think.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,254 ✭✭✭✭km79


    First draft with Ozil rather than Sanchez

    Heaton Jak
    Valencia Baines Kone Evans Amat
    Hazard Ozil Redmond/Bolasie Snodgrass Capoue
    Kun Ibra Benteke

    Looks fairly well balanced I think.

    I like that


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,342 ✭✭✭✭SlickRic


    I said on the matchday thread that I'm happy to wildcard, but I might not now.

    I do want Arsenal and Everton coverage though. And I probably need rid of Gray. But if that's it, there's no need at all really.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,056 ✭✭✭Sooner or Later


    First wildcard draft:

    Courtois ,Jak
    Valencia, McAuley, Evans, Kone, Amat
    Hazard, Sanchez, Lamela, Capoue, Fer
    Aguero, Ibra, Diomande

    0.5 in the bank

    Defence: Chelsea, United and double Pulisball. I know Jak is under threat from the new signing but as long as Courtois is fit he plays. Amat least likely of 4.0 players to be dropped (I hope) Maybe use the 0.5 to upgrade Jak to Heaton or wait and see if Jak is dropped first?

    Attack: Will play the big four and Lamela every week. Rotating Capoue, Fer and Diomande based on fixtures.


  • Registered Users Posts: 756 ✭✭✭Who_8_Paul?


    First wildcard draft:

    Courtois ,Jak
    Valencia, McAuley, Evans, Kone, Amat
    Hazard, Sanchez, Lamela, Capoue, Fer
    Aguero, Ibra, Diomande

    0.5 in the bank

    Defence: Chelsea, United and double Pulisball. I know Jak is under threat from the new signing but as long as Courtois is fit he plays. Amat least likely of 4.0 players to be dropped (I hope) Maybe use the 0.5 to upgrade Jak to Heaton or wait and see if Jak is dropped first?

    Attack: Will play the big four and Lamela every week. Rotating Capoue, Fer and Diomande based on fixtures.

    3 cheapies in your front 8 is not worth it in my opinion, unless the big 4 go bananas and most mid pricers fail


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,056 ✭✭✭Sooner or Later


    3 cheapies in your front 8 is not worth it in my opinion, unless the big 4 go bananas and most mid pricers fail

    Hmm... could downgrade Sanchez to Ozil freeing up enough to convert Fer to Antonio


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  • Registered Users Posts: 756 ✭✭✭Who_8_Paul?


    Hmm... could downgrade Sanchez to Ozil freeing up enough to convert Fer to Antonio

    This will be an ongoing debate here over the next 2 weeks, it feels like the good old Lampard, Gerrard, Ronaldo days. I'm tempted by the big 4 myself but it does leave a fairly unbalanced team possibly with less flexibility without taking -4s when injuries inevitably happen


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,585 ✭✭✭✭Dont be at yourself


    Not really understanding the Sanchez bandwagon myself. Far too streaky a player, and Ozil likely to score similar for cheaper...


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,831 ✭✭✭shineon23


    And I'm live.

    Couldn't see the point in me holding it much longer

    Will be using it to downgrade premium defence and try fit in:
    Aguero
    Zlatan
    Hazard
    Sanchez (or Giroud long term as my 3rd striker)

    Had a few players in danger of dropping price and losing their starting coupled with rises elsewhere.

    Allows me some flexibility for new signings potentially displacing my main men Amat and Jakupovic and injuries during the break.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,056 ✭✭✭Sooner or Later


    And Agureo's probable ban makes me start from scratch again!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,654 ✭✭✭✭extra gravy


    And Agureo's probable ban makes me start from scratch again!

    Hope it's sorted out sooner rather than later.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,274 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    I'd say if he's being charged he'll be charged tomorrow. They have tomove fast to give h an opportunity to respond if he wants.

    I was set on holding my wildcard till next week but the factors are stacking up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,191 ✭✭✭✭Shanotheslayer




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,685 ✭✭✭✭wonski


    After a disaster of a week there was no other option but to click the button :D

    395596.png

    Defence is a weak point. Both Holding and Holgate are short term options and may cause a trouble long term, especially that Shaw or Valencia will have to come back to my team at some point. Looking at United fixtures I decided I can be without one for a while.

    West brom have a decent chance of a clean sheet in each of their next four games so doubling up makes sense now.

    Amat at 4.0 and still playing is a steal, Kone might be replaced as I don't fancy Sunderland defenders (their record is appalling).

    Midfield is strong. The only weak point is Lamela that I am not to sure about, but favourable fixtures ( next 6 games are: Stoke(a), Sunderland(H), Middlesbrough(a), City(H), West Brom(a), Bournemouth(a) ) and the fact that he got me 7 points in his first game in my team wouldn't let me get rid of him yet.

    With 0.1 in the bank now, and extra 0.4 available if I downgrade Stuani to Diomande, I might find myself in trouble as it will take few transfers to get the defence sorted when Holding and Holgate are dropped, but there are other options within 4.5 limit so I should be fine.

    Have I missed anything?


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,094 ✭✭✭SpaceCowb0y


    WILDCARD ACTIVATED

    5 transfers made for now

    De Gea -> Foster
    Friend -> McAuley
    Stones -> Valencia
    Redmond -> Lamela
    Firmino -> Cazorla

    .6mil in the bank so debating whether to transfer Gray/Mirallas out also. Will definitely ship out Gray if he gets this ban, Aguero will need monitoring too although i'd be happy enough just to leave him on the bench for 1 week if that was the case.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,191 ✭✭✭✭Shanotheslayer


    For people playing with Amat have you seen there fixtures? Can't see them keeping any clean sheet in next 5-6 games


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,654 ✭✭✭✭extra gravy


    For people playing with Amat have you seen there fixtures? Can't see them keeping any clean sheet in next 5-6 games

    Don't think anyone intends on playing him, he's bench fodder that enables investment elsewhere in your team.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,191 ✭✭✭✭Shanotheslayer


    Don't think anyone intends on playing him, he's bench fodder that enables investment elsewhere in your team.

    Love off Sunderland is 4.0m so is cheaper by 0.1 probably won't play but he'd be my last sub


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,274 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    Love off Sunderland is 4.0m so is cheaper by 0.1 probably won't play but he'd be my last sub

    But as of now Amat plays. 2 points is better than 0 points!?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,654 ✭✭✭✭extra gravy


    Love off Sunderland is 4.0m so is cheaper by 0.1 probably won't play but he'd be my last sub

    A lot of us have Amat since the start though so got him for 4m.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,274 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    A lot of us have Amat since the start though so got him for 4m.

    I think Amat owners will be keeping a nervous eye on the transfer window closing though. Good chance he'll be under threat.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,191 ✭✭✭✭Shanotheslayer


    FHFC wrote: »
    But as of now Amat plays. 2 points is better than 0 points!?

    Not if somebody needs the 0.1 and is using somebody as a 3rd sub?

    Sorry can't multi quote on phone Extra Gravy.

    Aye noticed that unfortunately I missed the memo on that one :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,366 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    See alot of people saying they're activating already. You should wait until the last day before the GW start to activate the wildcard

    It is generally accepted that wildcard transfers don't affect prices so it's completely mad to try and use the wildcard week to increase value but to take the option of the transfers you make not making a difference

    Don't worry about the -24 hit youre currently on, it will be wiped out at the end of next week when you activate the wildcard - make your transfers now as normal


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,164 ✭✭✭✭Scorpion Sting


    8-10 wrote: »
    See alot of people saying they're activating already. You should wait until the last day before the GW start to activate the wildcard

    It is generally accepted that wildcard transfers don't affect prices so it's completely mad to try and use the wildcard week to increase value but to take the option of the transfers you make not making a difference

    Don't worry about the -24 hit youre currently on, it will be wiped out at the end of next week when you activate the wildcard - make your transfers now as normal

    I'm doing that but the worry many people have with this tactic is that they would somehow forget to confirm their wildcard and end up taking a massive hit the next gameweek.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,685 ✭✭✭✭wonski


    8-10 wrote: »
    See alot of people saying they're activating already. You should wait until the last day before the GW start to activate the wildcard

    It is generally accepted that wildcard transfers don't affect prices so it's completely mad to try and use the wildcard week to increase value but to take the option of the transfers you make not making a difference

    Don't worry about the -24 hit youre currently on, it will be wiped out at the end of next week when you activate the wildcard - make your transfers now as normal

    I am guilty of this. We could look at this from two angles, though.

    There are players I consider, but can't have them all now so if all of you wildcarding could click the button when bringing them in, please :D

    To be fair I doubt I will make any money anyway. But will remember for future reference.

    One thing to note - when I finally decided to play wildcard, I had to make random transfers first, otherwise it wouldn't allow me to play it, despite the fact I was already on -16. Need to get used to this new website, everything seems to be more awkward rather than user friendly.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,832 ✭✭✭✭Blatter


    If Aguero is the prime reason as to why people are going to use their wild card, I think it's worth bearing in mind that there's an excellent chance that he's going to have to be transferred out again at some stage given his injury record. He'll also probably hit an out of sorts dry patch at some stage as he usually does. He's excellent but is prone to dry spells like every other forward that's not Ronaldo/Messi/Suarez.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,685 ✭✭✭✭wonski


    Blatter wrote: »
    If Aguero is the prime reason as to why people are going to use their wild card, I think it's worth bearing in mind that there's an excellent chance that he's going to have to be transferred out again at some stage given his injury record. He'll also probably hit an out of sorts dry patch at some stage as he usually does. He's excellent but is prone to dry spells like every other forward that's not Ronaldo/Messi/Suarez.

    I don't think Aguero has anything to do with most wildcards on this forum.

    Everyone built their team starting with Aguero.

    He is the best ff player capable of doing double digit scores in any game.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,366 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    I'm doing that but the worry many people have with this tactic is that they would somehow forget to confirm their wildcard and end up taking a massive hit the next gameweek.

    I would assume the people on this forum are people who wouldn't forget that. The casuals, yes, but I'm talking about people who will be monitoring their team and price rises throughout the week. If you're that kind of person, you should wildcard at the end. If not then fire away


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,333 ✭✭✭✭PARlance


    wonski wrote: »
    I don't think Aguero has anything to do with most wildcards on this forum.

    Everyone built their team starting with Aguero.

    He is the best ff player capable of doing double digit scores in any game.

    I think he meant the potential ban that Aguero could get as opposed to people on here not already owning him.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,685 ✭✭✭✭wonski


    PARlance wrote: »
    I think he meant the potential ban that Aguero could get as opposed to people on here not already owning him.

    Didn't think of that:D

    It is only one transfer, I doubt anyone is going to rebuild the team due to him being banned. There are good replacements available for 1-3 weeks anyway.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 369 ✭✭Jaggo


    8-10 wrote: »
    I would assume the people on this forum are people who wouldn't forget that. The casuals, yes, but I'm talking about people who will be monitoring their team and price rises throughout the week. If you're that kind of person, you should wildcard at the end. If not then fire away

    I am already nervous that I will forget. The deadline is on Friday week this gameweek, you could easily see the site crashing after 5pm that evening too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,685 ✭✭✭✭wonski


    Jaggo wrote: »
    I am already nervous that I will forget. The deadline is on Friday week this gameweek, you could easily see the site crashing after 5pm that evening too.

    Next deadline is on Saturday I think.


  • Registered Users Posts: 40 JOhnty78


    Im going in!!! When will we know about Aguero?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,366 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Jaggo wrote: »
    I am already nervous that I will forget. The deadline is on Friday week this gameweek, you could easily see the site crashing after 5pm that evening too.

    Yep if you're nervous then I'd go ahead. If you're planning on closely managing your team then getting to at least Thursday next week should be safe enough.

    Not suggesting it's the only way to do it, just reminding people that the price rises probably don't count wildcards so the more logical option is to wait if you can


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,274 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    I think I may yet wildcard.

    Looking at the next few weeks and who would be in a likely wildcard team I think I could easily be 0.4 at least worse off with probably 3 likely incoming players rising and Townsend dropping.

    Having already been a bit behind on that front I'm not sure I can stomach that. Plus my team, especially in defence looks a bit ragged for GW4. I could possibly patch it up and limp through to GW5 but would need at least -4. Given that I'll certainly wildcard by then it seems a waste to take hits now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 458 ✭✭Xaniaj


    Presume a good few of us on WC are considering how to get the 'big 4' of Aguero, Zlatan, Hazard and Sanchez in but I can't get a balanced team with the four.

    Is anyone considering foregoing Sanchez (for Ozil) or a little more crazily, considering Rooney as Utd cover?!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,787 ✭✭✭Benimar


    Xaniaj wrote: »
    Presume a good few of us on WC are considering how to get the 'big 4' of Aguero, Zlatan, Hazard and Sanchez in but I can't get a balanced team with the four.

    Is anyone considering foregoing Sanchez (for Ozil) or a little more crazily, considering Rooney as Utd cover?!

    I'm leaning towards the first option, so obviously think it has merit. I wouldn't touch Rooney personally.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,502 ✭✭✭spock.


    Xaniaj wrote:
    Presume a good few of us on WC are considering how to get the 'big 4' of Aguero, Zlatan, Hazard and Sanchez in but I can't get a balanced team with the four.

    Is anyone considering foregoing Sanchez (for Ozil) or a little more crazily, considering Rooney as Utd cover?!

    Going without Zlatan doesn't mean you need Rooney.


  • Registered Users Posts: 458 ✭✭Xaniaj


    spock. wrote: »
    Going without Zlatan doesn't mean you need Rooney.

    Oh absolutely true, I did say it was the crazy option!


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,022 ✭✭✭✭Iused2likebusts


    Xaniaj wrote: »
    Presume a good few of us on WC are considering how to get the 'big 4' of Aguero, Zlatan, Hazard and Sanchez in but I can't get a balanced team with the four.

    Is anyone considering foregoing Sanchez (for Ozil) or a little more crazily, considering Rooney as Utd cover?!

    I'm considering pogba but really not sure about that one as I haven't seen him play for utd yet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,333 ✭✭✭✭PARlance


    It really is crazy to be even considering the 5th highest scoring striker so far lads.


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