FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2024/2025 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

WolfeEire

An outlier alright but a few colder members appearing. GFS has a habit of going out on a limb two weeks out and often being right so let's see.

WolfeEire

I expect the GFS 12z Ensembles mean to be colder for the Christmas period than the 06z based on latest output. The op run will be at the colder end but will have some support. That Azores High is a bugger though

pauldry

Phone app showing none of the above.....for now. 13c on many days including Dec 25th. No real cold from what I see yet. Wet and windy next week for a couple of days then quite but quite mild.

Rebelbrowser

seems consensus this morning on the Azores High winning the battle and giving us a mild, but at least very dry, Christmas period….

esposito

You’d take this for midday on Xmas day. Nothing special but seasonal.
GFS6z:

WolfeEire

Barometric pressure of 925hPa on this low res GFS output for Christmas Day to our north, driven by a very active jetstream along the dividing line between warm tropical air and cold polar air.
The lowest air pressure ever recorded in Ireland was 931.2 hPa in Limerick on 28 November 1838.

The outlook for Christmas Day remains 'up in the air' less than 2 weeks out. It remains to be seen how far north the Azores high pressure system extends. Milder than average conditions will occur if it extends over Ireland, cooler than average if we have a polar maritime airmass.

esposito

12z GFS for Xmas Day:

Gonzo

The overall trend currently is that we could have a cold snap in the run up to Christmas that may last 2 to 4 days, most have it returning milder by Christmas Day. The GFS 12z operational has one of the coldest outcomes for Christmas Day itself with the control run being the coldest of them all over the Christmas.

Looks relatively dry until mid week next week.

pauldry

There's a stormy period to the N and NE of us around Dec 18th to 21st. Shows on most GFS runs. Not as bad as Darragh but 70mph possible in Hollyhead again. Definitely doing no more online shopping from UK before Xmas.

Not made with hands

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122955157#Comment_122955157

Don't think Holyhead is in the equation at all to reopen this side of Christmas.

The other ports have extra capacity now but a storm won't help.

pauldry

Ya ordered a present off amazon but hasn't even shipped from UK yet so ordered another from Germany that's meant to come next week. Sure UK has all that customs sh#t too so I'm avoiding there.

Anyways after the stormy period around 18/12 it quietens down with HP in the run up to Xmas but charts keep changing. Next ones will prob show a blizzard again but this windy/stormy period keeps showing.

Gonzo

GFS is kinda backing off the idea of a cold spell before Christmas, none of the other models we're going for it with most supporting a mild pattern between now and end of the year.

Gonzo

Best chance of a white Christmas is to book a flight to Athens!

This all looks so familiar.

Billcarson

The charts would drive anyone to drink. Might start the Christmas drinking early this year.

mcburns07

Still way too early to call, don’t think the charts will verify like above.

Gonzo

GFS pumps up the warmth for Christmas Day with 9 to 14C for Ireland, if this verifies we would be the warmest location in Europe with the exception of some southern and eastern Spanish coastal areas and south-western Portugal.

A big shift in the GFS ensembles towards a very mild Christmas to New Years period, double figures all around.

squarecircles

Warm air from the canaries in the depths of December and an airmass originating from Greenland in June. No snow this Christmas being delivered by santa just a moist Brussels sprout fart incased inside a prism of perspex and a small lump of coal. That's what ireland always reminds me of at Christmas, trapped inside a plastic condensating bag, that has accidentally fallen behind a chair in a dark damp mouldy corner. Tacky Christmas lights reflecting in puddles of rain as people scurry with haunted faces, ladden with wet brown papper Dunnes stores bags.

giveitholly

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122956880#Comment_122956880

You have a great way with words🤣

igCorcaigh

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122956880#Comment_122956880

Prose Award of the Year.

Meteorite58

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122956880#Comment_122956880

😅😅

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122956490#Comment_122956490

Noooo I want a cold Christmas 🎄 😩 maybe we'll have a cold newyear or hopefully January is cold 🥶

InAtFullBack

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122956880#Comment_122956880

Deep, very deep. Hat tip!

Birdnuts

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122955475#Comment_122955475

You could copy and paste that chart for Xmas day for the past 30 years at least

.Donegal.

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122956880#Comment_122956880

There’s not a poet living or dead that can capture sheer depression like you can haha. Sadly you’re right.

Not made with hands

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122956880#Comment_122956880

Jesus I can't argue with any of that.

CruelSummer

Are the charts saying wet or dry for Christmas Day/St Stephen’s Day?

Rebelbrowser

dry at the moment

Robwindstorm

There's not even a tease in the charts for Christmas. All we can hope for is it stays dry for walking 🚶‍♀️.

I think Squarecircles will meet Gonzo for a pint on Christmas eve and give each other a big hug 🫂. No tongues mind you !

Gonzo

I think we can all agree that from a cold and snow perspective the charts at the moment are as bad as it gets, it's not possible for us to get charts much milder than what is being shown at the moment.

It doesn't get more insulting than a warm dome for Christmas.

Let's see if we get any luck in January but I think we can all agree the rest of December is a write off, I don't see how we are going to magically flip into winter wonderland charts over the next few days.

esposito

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122958254#Comment_122958254

Can the weather gods be anymore cruel like. Obviously not surprised we are in store for yet another mild Xmas but you’d think our luck has to change some time. Grim stuff. I’d give anything for a very cold January but in all likelihood it will probably be mild again. Maybe February will go cold and we’ll end winter on a high.