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China v Taiwan. The next big conflict?

[Deleted User] · 2023-04-24 13:40:53

As suggested by @correct horse battery staple over in the 'Russia' thread, I think this topic is worth a dedicated thread as it seems to pop up from time to time in that thread. So why is Taiwan (or the Republic of China to give it it's full title) important in the global scheme of things? Basically semiconductors. As oil…

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#212 24-05-2024 9:57am
zerosquared

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https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122176562#Comment_122176562

Oh yes you can have a global war in a world with nukes, what you probably won’t have is a march into Moscow or Beijing with demand for unconditional surrender in 1945 style as that’s when nukes fly
Let’s say China starts an invasion of Taiwan, the US assuming they come to defence won’t immediately reach for nukes but will meet a conventional response with conventional military and boom you are in a global war.
Or look at Ukraine, or before that Vietnam and even Korean wars
Now you might have a point of Biden came on stage today and clearly stated the following “Taiwan is being take under US nuclear umbrella, any invasion will be escalated immediately to nukes” but he hasn’t
The problem with “strategic ambiguity” is that ambiguity cuts both ways

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