China v Taiwan. The next big conflict?
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Japan, south Korea, Australia and New Zealand have been attending Nato summits for the last while too , while China has been vocal over Taiwan for decades and have isolated them from most countries political and military supports it still hasn't gotten them Taiwan under it's control, military action is the only step left ,as it stands they have the ability to take Taiwan by force and to keep any allies at arm's length before any one can intervene, it's already been claimed in war games America would loose most of its naval vessels including aircraft Carriers in the first week Alone if China decided to launch an attack on Taiwan ,
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The Chinese were laughed at a few years ago when they announced they were planning to build 4 new destroys similar to the US Arlie Burke class destroyers they now operate 40 with another similar number being built, along with 20 aircraft carriers
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I believe that are are complete clones of the Arlie Burkes , built from stolen US plans wether they are similar in capabilities is a different story operational wise is a different story,but it you look at the new stealth fighters experts are saying they are extremely Capable aircraft,
The biggest issue will likely having experienced crews and commanders Operating the ships and naval warfare in general,not a lot of countries out side the US and Uk and france have conducted any kind of naval warfare operations over the last 60 + years
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@Overheal I can think of a few ways the Pentagon could already be planning for the eventuality but I appreciate how easily this will keep people up at night that if WW3 were to indeed break out, China could in theory spawn naval supremacy in the Pacific within short order. However, I really don't see China having the motivation to do any such thing, or waste that much economy and labor floating at sea to measure dicks, or engaging in wars of attrition...
It won't be a war of attrition when it comes to China,they have already looked at the grand chess board and decided we won't take America head on yet ,but we have the weapons America has zero defence against mainly hypersonic anti ship missiles with extended range to keep American aircraft carriers at least 1000km away from their areas of operations , these weapons aren't the Putin type wuderwaffens seen in Ukraine rebadged ballistic missiles these are the real Deal modern hypersonic glide weapons which they isn't a counter for and one can easily sink a US carrier , with the loss of hundreds of aircraft and thousands of men , the US will be forced to keep their ships out of range which in turns takes US aircraft out of the game too , American aircraft wouldn't be able to even get close to the Chinese mainland before being forced to turn around or face running out of fuel ,
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Fuel is China's big achilles heel and why NATO doesn't have to worry about a chinese superfleet anytime soon without a revolution in chinese energy economy, right now they have to receive their oil shipments all primarily through the Singapore Strait, from the Middle East.
And they have pipelines with Russia but of course this means those pipelines have to be hardened to surgical attacks or acts of sabotage (gl,hf) and China and Russia have to remain buds (at last count China was just pleading with Russia not to dick around with nuclear fallout in Ukraine)
In general I'm not clear that NATO or the US have any interest in the Chinese mainland so they don't have an interest in getting their carriers dinged up but the ring of defenses they have around China's naval capabilities ensure a stand-off for the foreseeable future.
I don't know that the hype in hypersonic missiles matters anymore, artillery/strike missiles all have been for some time now, in the hypersonic range, but so too have been the countermeasures like the Patriot battery, which fires a hypersonic interceptor (up to mach 4.1 (officially)). I think if the US ever did for some yet unforseen reason, really want to penetrate into Chinese airspace for military objectives, the US have other means in the pipeline* for deep strikes than the carrier groups of last century's wars.
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Lockheed Martin is preparing their NGAAD fighter to replace the F22 raptor along with Boeing and Grumman with similar aircraft,this is no big secret it's been public knowledge for years , along with the new B21 raider new generation stealth bomber , along with the other NGAAD aircraft pronounced NjAAD for the US navy next fighter
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