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The Jumpers are Coming 2020/2021

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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,809 ✭✭✭Doctors room ghost


    GO ON THE PERCY


  • Registered Users Posts: 976 ✭✭✭supremenovice


    I'm more surprised Elliott let him win so easy, considering he's being aimed at the Grand National. Handicapper will lump on the pounds after that


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,809 ✭✭✭Doctors room ghost


    akelly02 wrote: »
    today will finally prove he cannot win a gold cup

    race fit over the other two

    plus kemboy wont like the ground

    lets hear the excuses afterwards




    Stand and take yere beating kelly

    GO ON THE PERCY


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,484 ✭✭✭Andrew00


    HE'S BACK BABY


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 125 ✭✭AnniePowwa


    ryanair was all he was ever good for madness not sending him


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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    We'll never hear the end of this now, you're all going on ignore!


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭RivetingRoger


    Come Akelly Man
    Come out and take it like a man
    Tell your wife how you thought Percy was all over
    Tell her how the mighty buck
    Mad ye all go "Holy f*ck"
    In the green and white silks, winning drunk or sober!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,963 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Slattsy wrote: »
    I see there's a Pertemps qualifier in Market Rasen today.......

    Tower Bridge... No Comment :pac:


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    Tower Bridge... No Comment :pac:

    I assume 4th was enough??


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,809 ✭✭✭Doctors room ghost


    Elliot has him shining lads.
    Jumping out of himself.
    Old twinkle toes is back.
    GO ON THE PERCY


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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 2,034 Mod ✭✭✭✭The Mig


    Slattsy wrote: »
    I assume 4th was enough??
    Top 6 does ya in Qualifiers I think


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,775 ✭✭✭✭Slattsy


    The Mig wrote: »
    Top 6 does ya in Qualifiers I think

    4th is fine just checked the conditions. I didnt see the race but thought there was only a handful of runners but it doesnt matter.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,133 ✭✭✭akelly02


    Stand and take yere beating kelly

    GO ON THE PERCY



    Beating took .

    fair play to whoever backed him . couldnt see it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,133 ✭✭✭akelly02


    Come Akelly Man
    Come out and take it like a man
    Tell your wife how you thought Percy was all over
    Tell her how the mighty buck
    Mad ye all go "Holy f*ck"
    In the green and white silks, winning drunk or sober!!



    christ almighty

    is this the second coming of jesus christ !!!

    what chance has he in a gold cup?? id say 25/1 shout roughly


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,809 ✭✭✭Doctors room ghost


    Go on the Percy


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    I think Darrosso is the one to take out of the race.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,744 ✭✭✭Brock Turnpike


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    I think Darrosso is the one to take out of the race.

    I think Percy is.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭RivetingRoger


    akelly02 wrote: »
    christ almighty

    is this the second coming of jesus christ !!!

    what chance has he in a gold cup?? id say 25/1 shout roughly

    Will you relax you innocent boy lol


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,133 ✭✭✭akelly02


    Will you relax you innocent boy lol



    lostintranslation for the gold cup anyway


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    akelly02 wrote: »
    christ almighty

    is this the second coming of jesus christ !!!

    what chance has he in a gold cup?? id say 25/1 shout roughly
    Will you relax you innocent boy lol

    Best price 16's.

    https://www.oddschecker.com/cheltenham-festival/cheltenham-gold-cup/winner

    I can here the Rocky theme tune in the background...

    De de de de de de de de de de de de de de de.... de de de de de de dd de de de de.. de de de de de, de.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    That was unexpected and fairly impressive from Percy.
    The Ryanair would be a very interesting path to take but there's just 0 chance Reynolds goes anywhere but the Gold Cup, right?


  • Registered Users Posts: 567 ✭✭✭stretchaq


    Colm Murphy sending relegate over for haydocks hanicap hurdle on Saturday, well handicapped I think 10-6 on her back on at 6s

    Also backing real steel, drumconner lad in the handicap chase and lost in translation unless there is a deluge


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    stretchaq wrote: »
    Colm Murphy sending relegate over for haydocks hanicap hurdle on Saturday, well handicapped I think 10-6 on her back on at 6s

    Also backing real steel, drumconner lad in the handicap chase and lost in translation unless there is a deluge

    I hope it jumps better than the hound that phucked Fogarty off it this afternoon, was going to win by a mile.


  • Registered Users Posts: 567 ✭✭✭stretchaq


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    I hope it jumps better than the hound that phucked Fogarty off it this afternoon, was going to win by a mile.

    I had it backed!! Was starting to flatten out a bit though may not have stayed on


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    stretchaq wrote: »
    I had it backed!! Was starting to flatten out a bit though may not have stayed on

    Was going to win handy, I think it might need to go left handed, it got awkward when he tried to steer the thing. Murphy is a great trainer, I hope he wins on Saturday, up Wexford.


  • Registered Users Posts: 567 ✭✭✭stretchaq


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    Was going to win handy, I think it might need to go left handed, it got awkward when he tried to steer the thing. Murphy is a great trainer, I hope he wins on Saturday, up Wexford.

    Don’t no if he’s a great trainer, don’t really agree with that part but,, up Wexford


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    stretchaq wrote: »
    Don’t no if he’s a great trainer, don’t really agree with that part but,, up Wexford

    He is a savage trainer, how many trainers can say they have won A Queen Mother and a Champion Hurdle with the ammo he had. Won several Grade 1's also. Empire of Dirt was another Cheltenham winner, Murphy is a class act.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,941 ✭✭✭krustydoyle


    Puppy is on Relegate on Saturday lads


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    I wouldn't be getting to crazy about 5/1 either. Haydock in November will be boggy enough, they are all looking to scoop the money. Gets a nice weight but the price is tight enough.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,273 ✭✭✭del roy


    It’s been a bit of a quiet midweek on the racing front – just some average meetings to keep us ticking over, but don’t worry as things ramp-up a few notches today with top jumping cards from Haydock and Ascot.

    We’ve EIGHT LIVE ITV races to look forward to – four at each venue – and plenty to get excited about too, with the feature race of the day the Grade One Betfair Chase (3.00) from Haydock.

    This 3m Chase is an early-season pointer ahead of races like the King George and the Cheltenham Gold Cup, and although we’ve a select field it’s still set up to be a fascinating affair. We’ve last year’s winner – Lostintranslation, the 2017 & 2018 hero Bristol De Mai, plus the two-time King George winner – Clan Des Obeaux – all having their seasonal reappearances – who’s your money on?

    The trio are separated by only 2lbs in the official ratings, so a case can certainly be made for all three – we’ll be looking at the race in more details below, plus we’ve got all the main trends for this ‘must-see’ race.

    Did you know? Saturday: Haydock (3.00) Betfair Chase – 12 of the last 15 winners had run in the last 4 weeks, while 11 of the last 15 winners had raced at Haydock before.

    Then, dovetailing with Haydock, we’ve a decent card down at Ascot, with four more LIVE races that include the Chanelle Pharma 1965 Chase (2.05) and the Coral Hurdle (2.40) – the last-named contest looks another intriguing race with Laurina, who is now housed with Paul Nicholls, amongst the entries of a small but select field – can her new stable get her back to winning ways?

    Did you know? Saturday: Ascot (2.40) Coral Hurdle – ALL of the last 18 winners returned 7/2 or shorter, plus 10 of the last 18 favourites have won the race.

    So, there’s bundles to look forward to and as always, we’ve got it all covered with free tips and all the key trends for ALL today’s EIGHT LIVE ITV races!

    Enjoy!

    Have a Great Weekend


    TRAINERS QUOTES: HORSES TO NOTE

    NASSALAM – Trainer Gary Moore and owner John Stone have had a lot of success over the years – most notably with Baron Alco – but they could have another useful one on their hands with this 3 year-old. Bought from France, he made his UK debut at Fontwell last Sunday and even though it probably wasn’t the best of races, he bolted-up by an incredible 59 lengths! He’s sure to be upped in grade after this but it was a nice pipe-opener for the horse. Plus, it was great to see jockey Jamie Moore steering him home on his first ride back after a serious injury – top marks all round, and this is certainly a horse we’ll be looking out for in the coming months.

    VADREAM – The Charlie Fellowes yard told us that they liked this horse and that was certainly justified when she won well on debut up at Newcastle on Tuesday – winning by just under 2 lengths. She’s sure to improve for that run and experience and after speaking to Charlie the next day he told us that they really, really like this 2 year-old and are very excited for next season. One for the notebook, guys and gals!

    GARY FIRES IN 'MOORE' WINNERS

    The Gary Moore yard suffered a blow earlier in the week when their chaser Bad Boy Du Pouldu broke down in its race at Plumpton and had to be put down and we know the team were understandably gutted.

    However, either side of that terrible news the Moore stable did have a lot to cheer about with their good form continuing. They introduced a nice sort in Nassalam to win at Fontwell on Sunday, and also sent out Waikiki Waves (1st 10/1) and Gleno (1st 9/5) to win, plus their Gorhams Cave (2nd 40/1) also ran well and looks a horse to note next time. This spell takes their jumps winners tally to 19 (as 18th Oct) already so will be heading for another top season.


    USE THE TQ INFO TO BACK OR LAY - Also, a lot of our members use the TRAINERS-QUOTES info to lay horses as well as back them – there are plenty of angles these days with the betting exchanges!! Or even back other horses in certain races with the trainers also taking about other horses in races they’ve heard good words about!

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    TQ has some leading jumps yards – like Gary Moore, Tim Vaughan, Oliver Sherwood, Jamie Snowden, Robin Dickin, Henry Oliver, Michael Scudamore, Suzy Smith and James Evans – keep things ticking over for jump fans.

    While the likes of Gary Moore, Scott Dixon, Charlie Fellowes, Harry Dunlop, Gay Kelleway, Julia Feilden, Ed Dunlop, Simon Dow, Daniel Kubler and Lee Carter continue to supply members with top-class info on the flat.

    You can meet all the TQ trainers here and also find out a bit more about them.

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    SATURDAY LIVE ITV RACING FREE TIPS AND TRENDS

    HAYDOCK: It’s Betfair Chase Day

    Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

    1.15 Back And Lay On Betfair Exchange Graduation Chase Cl2 (4 yo+) 2m 5 1/2f RTV

    9/9 – 0-2 wins over fences
    8/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
    8/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
    7/9 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
    7/9 – Rated between 144-148
    6/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
    6/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
    6/9 – 0-2 runs over fences before
    4/9 – Won last time out
    4/9- - Winning favourites
    2/9 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
    2/9 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
    Keeper Hill won the race 12 months ago

    TQ VERDICT: A tight-looking renewal of this Graduation Chase. Ravenhill Road and Dashel Drasher are both proven CD winners at the track so have that as a plus, but it’s hard to get away from the record of trainer Paul Nicholls in the race – he’s won the prize 6 times in the last 9 years. He pins his hopes on MASTER TOMMYTUCKER this year and after a smooth win at Huntingdon last time out heads here in tip-top order. He’s a horse that likes to get on with things from the front and his jumping has not always been the best, but he’s still very lightly-raced (8 runs) for his age so could still getting to grips with chasing. The signs in his last two runs are that his jumping is improving and the form of his second behind Al Dancer last month is solid with that horse running well in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last weekend. Of the rest, the Twiston-Davies runner – Good Boy Bobby – might be the one to give the pick most to think about after a nice return win at Banger, while Deyrann De Carjac and Commanche Red make up the field, with the former interesting on the pick of his form last season.

    1.50 – Betfair Racing Only Bettor Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV

    8/9 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
    8/9 – Had won between 1-2 times before
    7/9 – Irish bred
    7/9 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
    7/9 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
    7/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
    6/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
    3/9 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
    3/9 – Winning favourites
    Bold Plan won the race in 2019
    Black Mischief won the race in 2018
    Limited Reserve won the race in 2017

    TQ VERDICT: 17 runners head to post here in a very tricky race to unravel. It’s a contest, however, that’s seen a 5 or 6 year-old win in 7 of the last 9 years and that should help narrow down the runners – of the 17 entries 10 fit the bill – KAIZER, ENDLESSLY, EBONY JEWEL, SHAKEM UP’ARRY, WAR LORD, OUR POWER, ARRIVECERCI, FIX SUN, UMBRIGADO and KID COMMANDO. With 7 of the last 9 winners also carrying 11st 10lbs or more in weight then of those 10 runners we are left with six – WAR LORD, OUR POWER, ARRIVECERCI, FIX SUN, UMBRIGADO and KID COMMANDO. Of that bunch, the Anthony Honeyball runner – Kid Commando – was a nice winner at Ascot last time out and should go well, but it’s worth noting he’s up 7lbs for that and also up 3 furlongs in trip here so does have slightly different conditions. With that in mind, I’d prefer to stick with the Jonjo O’Neill runner – ARRIVECERCI to say ‘goodbye’ to his rivals. This 5 year-old was a nice winner at Wetherby last time out over this trip and also had War Lord back in second that day. He’s expected to confirm that running despite being up 8lbs this time as I feel there should be a bit more improvement to come still with that last run coming off a 301-day break – the yard also won this race in 2013 with their classy More Of That. Of the rest, the Pipe runner UMBRIGADO (e/w) is also worth chancing. He was last seen running down the field in the Martin Pipe race at the Cheltenham Festival, but is a pound lower but also has a 7lb claimer on here. He ran well at Haydock on this day 12 months ago off a break too and looks the sort to have benefitted from the summer off and hails from a yard that have been doing well this month.

    2.25 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

    14/15– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
    14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
    13/15 – Carried 10-9 or more
    12/15 – Rated between 132 and 143
    10/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
    9/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
    8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
    8/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
    8/15 – Placed favourites
    7/15 – Won last time out
    6/15 – French bred
    6/15 – Had raced at Haydock before
    3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
    3/15 – Trained by David Pipe
    2/15 – Trained by Nick Williams
    Stoney Mountain won the race in 2019
    Paisley Park won the race in 2018
    Sam Spinner won the race in 2017

    TQ VERDICT: Some good winners of this race in recent years so it will be interesting to see how this year’s winner progresses. It’s a competitive renewal though but the key will be getting home in what is likely to be testing conditions. With that in mind the Irish raider – THE JAM MAN – who won well over 3m at Navan last time out gets the nod. This improving horse won by an easy 18 lengths the last day and prior to that came over to win a nice staying handicap at York so travelling isn’t an issue. Connections also have a claiming jockey on (5lbs) and that will be an added bonus. With a lot of the others having potential but also questions to answer over this trip then I’d prefer to stick with a horse we know will get home. Pipe’s Main Fact has won his last 8 races (flat and hurdles) so is another that punters will latch onto and he’s run like this 3m trip is within range. The likely favourite will be the Fergal O’Brien runner – Imperial Alcazar – who has won two of his four hurdles runs and should have more to come, but he’s another that will be trying this trip for the first time. Third Wind and Collooney are others to consider, while the former Cheltenham bumper winner (2018) – Relegate would be interesting on his best form. But the other one I’ll take a chance on is the Amy Murphy runner – KALASHNIKOV (e/w). This useful hurdler didn’t quite go on over fences despite winning three times so it could be a good move to run him back over hurdles. He was a close second in the 2018 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle and is worth a try over this longer trip. He’s still only 7 and we know he loves the soft ground, while a recent wind op could spark some further improvement.

    3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

    15 Previous runnings
    13/15 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
    12/15 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
    12/15 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (8) bred horse
    12/15 - Placed in the top three in their last race
    12/15 - Won a Grade One chase previously
    11/15 - Raced at Haydock previously
    10/15 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
    10/15 – Favourites placed
    8/15 – Aged 8 or older
    8/15 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
    7/15 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
    7/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
    7/15 – Winning favourites
    6/15 – Won their latest race
    4/15 - Raced at Aintree last time out
    Lostintranslation won this in 2019
    Bristol De Mai won this in 2017 and 2018
    The average winning price in the last 15 runnings is 5/1
    The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
    The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017 and 2018
    The Colin Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

    TQ VERDICT: Just the five runners, but a stellar cast with last year’s winner Lostintranslation, the 2017 and 2018 hero, Bristol De Mai and the two-time King George winner – Clan Des Obeaux – in attendance – it will be a big shock if the winner isn’t coming from one of these three, with Keeper Hill and Bellshill, useful on their day, making up the five runners. For me, we all know Bristol De Mai loves it here at Haydock – he’s won here four times over fences! But it would be a worry that his last win was in this race in 2018 and that’s a while ago now, while he was well behind Lostintranslation in the Gold Cup last time out in March. I think that if this race was at Kempton then Clan Des Obeaux would certainly be getting my pick. Yes, he’s won here at Haydock, but he seems a much better horse at Kempton and this really should get him spot-on for a tilt at winning a third King George on Boxing Day. So that leaves me with LOSTINTRANSLATION. This Colin Tizzard runner is rated 171 (the same as Clan Des Obeaux) and relishes soft/heavy ground. The yard have won four of the last 7 runnings and the form of his close third in the Gold Cup last time is the best on offer. He beat Bristol De Mai by 1 ½ lengths last year but you feel it could have been more and always looked in control. The only niggle was that he’d had a run before winning this last season but his record fresh is a good one and with recent winners of this race having a good record of following up, then I’ll take him to continue that trend.

    3.35 – My Odds Boost On Betair Stayers’ Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 3m 4 1/2f ITV

    8/9 – Aged 8 or younger
    8/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
    7/9 – Aged between 7-8 years-old
    7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
    7/9 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
    7/9 – Rated between 129-135
    6/9 – Unplaced last time out
    6/9 – Carried 11st 9lbs or more
    6/9 – Won between 1-2 times fences
    2/9 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
    1/9 – Winning favourites

    TQ VERDICT: A competitive staying chase here so stamina and getting home will be key in this soft ground. Oldtimers, Perfect Candidate and Pobbles Bay are the two proven distance winners in the field, while the 11 year-old Don Poli, who ran well last time (4th) at Aintree should love this test. But with 8 of the last 9 winners aged 8 or younger then we’ve only a few that fit the bill – KINGS MONARCH, FINANCIAL OUTCOME (e/w) and FORTIFIED BAY (e/w), so a the prices there might not be any harm in having an interest in all three. The first-named looks to have the best chance having won well at Ffos Las last time out and a 5lb rise might not be enough to stop this Kerry Lee runner. He has another of the picks – Financial Outcome – just 2 ½ lengths back that day so on slightly better terms there shouldn’t be a lot between them. Fortified Bay will need to run better than last time but that was his first run back since February and he’s normally a horse that takes a race or two to blow away the cobwebs – we can expect better this time.

    ASCOT: Four LIVE ITV Races From The Berkshire Track

    Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

    2.05 – Chanelle Pharma 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

    16/17 – Aged 8 or younger
    14/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
    13/17 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
    13/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
    12/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
    12/17 – Favourites placed
    12/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
    12/17 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
    11/17 – Ran at Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
    10/17 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
    9/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
    9/17 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
    8/17 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
    8/17 – Won last time out
    4/17 – Aged 5 years-old
    3/17 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
    2/17 – Won by trainer Alan King
    2/17 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
    2/17 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
    Cyrname won the race in 2019
    Politologue won the race in 2018
    Top Notch won the race in 2017
    Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

    TQ VERDICT: Just the four runners here, but a cracking little race with all the runners sure to have their supporters. Imperial Aura is a fast-improving chaser that was a Cheltenham Festival winner last season and returned earlier his month with a top win at Carlisle. From the in-form Kim Bailey yard and a chaser that is clearly going the right way but is up again in grade here so will need another step forward being rated 9lbs lower than REAL STEEL. This last-named horse is another that the Paul Nicholls yard have got from the Willie Mullins yard and his sixth in the Gold Cup last season would make him the one to beat here. Yes, he returns from an 8-month break, but he won first time out last season and his overall record when fresh is a good one. The ratings suggest he’s the one to beat and with 5 chase wins from 11 starts is a horse that knows how to get his head in front. Nicholls also has the consistent Black Corton in the race and he’s sure to have his backers too – especially getting 6lbs off his stablemate. He ran well for much of the way in the Sodexo Gold Cup here last time over 3m so the drop in trip is a plus and should be better for that too. He’s the only course winner in the field and should go well – the only niggle for me is that he just doesn’t win enough. He’s now won just one of his last 15. Itchy Feet makes up the four and he’d had a squeak too – if finding a bit of improvement. A good Novice last season and he returned to run well in the Old Roan Chase (3rd) at Aintree last month. The step up slightly in trip will suit and he’ll be fine on the soft ground. He should have more to come, but being rated 11lbs inferior to Real Steel (does receive 3lbs), does have a bit still to find at this stage of his career.

    2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

    18/18 – Priced 7/2 or less
    16/18 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
    15/18 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
    15/18 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (3) bred horse
    14/18 – Favourites placed
    11/18 – Won their latest race
    11/18 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
    11/18 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
    11/18 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
    10/18 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
    11/18 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
    6/18 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
    5/18 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
    6/18 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
    4/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
    3/18 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
    2/18 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
    4 of the last 14 winners were Irish-trained
    If The Cap Fits won the race in 2018 & 2019
    Lil Rockerfeller won the race in 2017
    Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

    TQ VERDICT: Another small but select field here with just three runners, but all eyes will be on another Paul Nicholls runner – LAURINA, who is yet another ex-Willie Mullins runner that is now housed at Dicheat. This talented mare does, however, have a bit to prove at present after being a beaten favourite the last three times. But the change of scenery and having had a recent wind op give hope she can recapture that old er form and being a mare, she also gets a handy weight allowance – 13lbs! Trip and ground are fine and she’s another that’s gone well fresh, so the long break doesn’t worry me too much. Call Me Lord and Song For Someone make up the trio and are certainly no back-numbers. Both are more than capable of mixing it up and are sure to give Laurina a race if the Nicholls mare turns up in-form. Call Me Lord returned recently with a fair fourth in a good race at Aintree but he’s a funny horse for me. Clearly talented, but a hard one to catch right and is not the most consistent. He’s rated 154 – the same as Laurina – but having to give the Nicholls runner 13lbs swings things in the favour of Laurina. Song For Someone was last seen winning the Kingwell Hurdle at Kempton back in February and is an improving hurdler – for sure. He’s another that’s gone well off a break in the past and the soft ground is fine. He would have to prove himself over this slightly longer trip though and even though he’s certainly a hurdler to note this season, that might be the only concern this time – all his wins to date have been over 2m1f or less.

    3.17 – Coral Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

    13/14 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
    13/14 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
    12/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
    11/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
    10/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
    9/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
    9/14 – Rated 142 or higher
    8/14 – Ran at either Ascot (4) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
    8/14 – Had raced at Ascot before
    7/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
    7/14 – Placed favourites
    6/14 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
    4/14 – Won last time out
    4/14 – Aged 6 years-old
    4/14 – Winning favourites
    3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
    2/14 – Trained by Gary Moore
    Capeland won the race in 2019
    Caid du Lin won the race in 2018

    TQ VERDICT: The 13 year-old – Gino Trial – is still going at his grand old age, and should make a bold bid from the front, but he’s likely to find some of the younger legs too good here. The Skelton runner – Amoola Gold was a good winner over this CD last time out and can go well, but a 6lb rise here makes life harder. First Flow is another that likes to race up with the pace and he represents the in-form Kim Bailey yard, so if getting into a rhythm might be hard to peg back and is certainly one for the shortlist. We’ve a couple of decent Irish raiders in the race too – Drumconnor Lad and Abbey Magic – and you can be sure these two are not just coming over for a day trip. Both are fit and well from recent wins and of the pair the De Bromhead runner – ABBEY MAGIC – is one to support. She’s won four of her 5 chase starts and acts on all ground. She also stays further than this trip and that proven stamina will be a big asset in what’s likely to be testing ground – she’s normally ridden by Rachael Blackmore and connections are keeping the ‘girl power’ connection with Bryony Frost booked to ride. But it’s also a race the Paul Nicholls yard do well in, and they’ve got a strong hand again here with recent Cheltenham winner – Magic Saint and the winner of this race last year – Capeland. The former is up 7lbs from that last win though and jockey Bryan Carver can only claim 3lbs here and not the 5lbs he could last week. So, I’d prefer to stick with CAPELAND, who does need to bounce back from unseating last time out at Ascot, but will be better for the run and despite being rated 7lbs higher this year, did win this race by an easy 12 lengths last season. The first-time cheekpieces are an interesting addition too and Harry Cobden returns to the saddle.

    3.50 – Coral Supporting Prostate Cancer UK Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race 1m7 1/2f ITV

    10/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
    8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
    7/10 – Aged 4 years-old
    6/10 – Had had a run before
    6/10 – Irish bred
    5/10 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
    4/10 – Winning favourites
    3/10 – Won last time out
    2/10 – Ran at Bangor last time out
    2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
    Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% record with his NH Flat runners at the track

    TQ VERDICT: Not a race to get too heavily involved in as many are lightly-raced, plus those that have run it will be hard to know how much they’ve improved. It goes without saying the market will be a good guide too and with big yards like Henderson, Tizzard and Nicholls having entries. Henderson has two runners – one of which is one for the Queen – Hamilton’s Fantasy, but jockey bookings suggest the Nico de Boinville runner – Wraysford – is their more fancied – we’ll see. But I’ll take a chance on the Paul Nicholls runner – KANDOO KID. The yard have a decent 25% record with their NH Flat runners at the track and Harry Cobden also has a good strike-rate in these races. This 4 year-old is yet to run but you can expect Nicholls to have had a few options here so this one must be showing up well enough at home.


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