Storm Ciara - Strong Winds & Potential Snow **TECHNICAL DISCUSSION**

YanSno

Compared to last week westerly this is somewhat different, showers will penetrate far inland, less modifications even the east coast might have some wintry type precipitation. It will be fast moving leaving a dusting on high grounds during Monday and Tuesday even Wednesday. There's an interesting feature with a more prolonged band of sleet and snow moving in from the west on Monday night, one to watch.

Gonzo

pad199207 wrote: »

ESB Crews will have their work cut out for them

they certainly will. Storm Ciara could last more than 24 hours in parts of the west, Kerry in particular and winds of over 100km/h in built up areas. The GFS is looking far more conservative compared to the ECM, Icon and Arpege, will be interesting to see who is right. We should get a much better idea by tomorrow evening what we are in store for.

Doctors room ghost

Where could I buy a cheap rain gauge

lcasey90

Doctors room ghost wrote: »

Where could I buy a cheap rain gauge

You can make one cheap using a cylinder shape and a ruler lots of videos on howto online

Graces7

Gonzo wrote: »

Sunday 3pm see's winds dropping slightly across much of the country, but if anything gaining strength across the south and far north.



Poor Kerry still getting hit hard:


6pm Sunday, the storm moves into the Uk, Ireland is still fairly windy with gusts up to 90km/h in many places, thats 12 hours of very gusty and windy conditions. Kerry still taking the brunt of it.



The ECM wants to keep gusts of over 100km/h in Kerry till 6am Monday morning, a full 24 hour window of gusts.

The far western coastal areas still look very gusty all through Monday with winds over 100km/h for most of the day.

Ouch

Gaoth Laidir

12Z ECM mean winds at 100 metres amsl. That core of gold hurricane-force winds should get into the Belmullet before 6 am Sunday morning, then another larger core off the Donegal coast in the afternoon. Reduce these winds by about 30% to get the 10-metre mean, but add about 8% to get the likely gusts. That gives around 45-knot mean winds with max gusts up to around 65-68 knots in that area.

Pangea

Gonzo wrote: »

Sunday 3p

Poor Kerry still getting hit hard:
.

You would think Kerry would be in an orange warning then?

hawkwing

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Tomorrow's frontal passage does look interesting alright. Slow moving convergence zone moving NW to SE. Could dump a lot of rain in a short space of time in places.

Still up in the air as to exactly what sort of a dumping will come from Ciara's back passage also

km79

hawkwing wrote: »

Still up in the air as to exactly what sort of a dumping will come from Ciara's back passage also

Ooohhhh matron

Spanish Eyes

Is there any way these weather warning threads could have the coloured scary banner back on the OP like in the old days!

It would make many more sit up and take notice I think.

Spanish Eyes

Oops I see a banner! Must go to spec savers

eastmayo

Pangea wrote: »

You would think Kerry would be in an orange warning then?

Orange warnings are for 2morrow...Met eireann will update for Sunday tomorrow would expect Kerry to be in the orange by then.

Doctors room ghost

lcasey90 wrote: »

You can make one cheap using a cylinder shape and a ruler lots of videos on howto online

Cheers I’ll check it out

littlema

We can compare this Friday evenings wind with Sunday if it materialises.

Kermit.de.frog

There is Monday's prolonged snowfall for the southern half of the country. Where that line across the country precisely is between the haves and have-nots remains to be nailed down.



On this chart, Munster, most of Connaught and most of Leinster having a fun day.

5 - 10 cms should be expected but more on high ground.

SleetAndSnow

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

There is Monday's prolonged snowfall for the southern half of the country. Where that line across the country precisely is between the haves and have-nots remains to be nailed down.



On this chart, Munster, most of Connaught and most of Leinster having a fun day.

5 - 10 cms should be expected but more on high ground.

Here's to hoping we get some in cork city, none this year yet! Judging by the charts it seems to be a small circle of cork city with none but the rest with!

JanuarySnowstor

We had snow 2 weeks back in many parts of highground Cork? Anyway I agree with Kermit the charts look quite tasty for the South on Monday afternoon...

Oneiric 3

Probability maps for Sunday morn regarding gust speeds in excess of 48 knots and 64 knots respectively.





High for the former over most of the country, but pretty low, away from hills and exposed coasts, for the latter.

SleetAndSnow

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

We had snow 2 weeks back in many parts of highground Cork? Anyway I agree with Kermit the charts look quite tasty for the South on Monday afternoon...

Hence the "city" part! Only had a few brief showers here with very wet snow or else very small parts.

Oneiric 3

hawkwing wrote: »

Still up in the air as to exactly what sort of a dumping will come from Ciara's back passage also

Santy2015

Joanna with a very good forecast just there! Upgrades likely tomorrow

BullBauld

Possible drifting mentioned on weather forecast there.....yarrrrrr.

TTLF

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

There is Monday's prolonged snowfall for the southern half of the country. Where that line across the country precisely is between the haves and have-nots remains to be nailed down.



On this chart, Munster, most of Connaught and most of Leinster having a fun day.

5 - 10 cms should be expected but more on high ground.

I know this is a silly annoying question, but how does the capital fare in that chart

Dancewithme

I wonder if that leahyl girl has seen your post kermit

mayo.mick

Last 20hrs here in east Mayo

Gonzo

TTLF wrote: »

I know this is a silly annoying question, but how does the capital fare in that chart

I would imagine most of the snow would be south of Dublin to Galway. I'm hoping it moves north by about 100km so we can finally see some flakes.

YanSno

That feature i was talking about we will have to wait until tomorrow or Sunday to know exactly how far north it will go . At the moment looks like Galway and South Dublin line. There could be up to 5cm the Southern half of the country by Monday evening.

Oneiric 3

Surprised at how wild it has gone here in the last 15 mins with frequent gusts over 40 knots. Quite the racket.

Oscar Bravo

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Surprised at how wild it has gone here in the last 15 mins with frequent gusts over 40 knots. Quite the racket.

same here in Castlebar. Rain belting off the windows!

Monkeynut

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Surprised at how wild it has gone here in the last 15 mins with frequent gusts over 40 knots. Quite the racket.

Where is here. I am here. Malahide