Storm Ciara - Strong Winds & Potential Snow **TECHNICAL DISCUSSION**

Gaoth Laidir

Analysis at 00Z. Low centre 961 hPa, the same pressure but a fraction further east than the 24 hour forecast had it for the same time (2nd chart).

Gaoth Laidir

mod Snip
Anyway, the Met Éireann aviation chart for 06Z shows the low 953 hPa centred at 57N 11W, with the cold front moving eastwards at 45 knots across the country, closely followed by a showery trough. Freezing level behind the front 6000 ft.

JCX BXC

Anyway......

Met Éireann' model showing almost 14mm of rain in Galway city between 4-5am.

Gaoth Laidir

These planes are all doing groundspeeds of at least 670 knots at the moment. One is doing 695 knots.

spookwoman

Sparks on the way? Looks like squall line forming

pistolpetes11

Please try keep the thread on topic I’ve removed a lot of posts that have no place here

Impetus

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Freezing level behind the front 6000 ft.

One presumes you mean 1'800m? (ie 1'829 to be more precise) There is no terra firma on the island of Ireland at that level. Unless you are expecting a massive Icelandic style quake to give Ireland a la Mount Fuji.... something that would create a rain shadow which would hopefully be of benefit to some part of the damp island.

Impetus

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

These planes are all doing groundspeeds of at least 670 knots at the moment. One is doing 695 knots.

ie 1'280 km/h to non Anglos. JFK > SNN is 4'040 km which implies about 4h flying time in the gush. Who needs Concorde?!

Impetus

The latest HIRLAM model run forecasts about 9 m/s wind for Cork Airport compared with 14 m/s per the same model two days ago. Dublin is showing 10/11 m/s for tomorrow peaking at 13 km/h at 08h00.

Overall less than expected a few days ago when the tabloids were writing their copy made up of dated sensational rubbish.

https://www.yr.no/place/Ireland/Leinster/Dublin/hour_by_hour_detailed.html

JCX BXC

Very intense rain in West Clare at the moment, wind is nothing significant at the moment.

Also looking like quite a thunderstorm pushing into West Kerry at the moment.

pauldry

Rainfall

Newport 60mm
Knock 51mm
Sligo 35mm

Gales
Belmullet 115
Malin 103

spookwoman

JCX BXC wrote: »

Very intense rain in West Clare at the moment, wind is nothing significant at the moment.

Also looking like quite a thunderstorm pushing into West Kerry at the moment.

One to watch

kerrycork13

JCX BXC wrote: »

Very intense rain in West Clare at the moment, wind is nothing significant at the moment.

Also looking like quite a thunderstorm pushing into West Kerry at the moment.

Debating on staying awake for it here in east of the county!!!

spookwoman

kerrycork13 wrote: »

Debating on staying awake for it here in east of the county!!!

Moving pretty quickly

aisling86

Going to stay up here in macroom until squall line passes through lost of lightning popping up not too far away. Winds picking up rapidly.

SeaFields

Can verify the thunder in Kerry. Am awake because of it just now.

paddywroks

Big lightning flashes here in birdhill

spookwoman

nice activity on http://map.blitzortung.org/#7/52.396/-9.154

BlueSkyDay

Nothing out of the ordinary wind wise and a heavy drizzle Co.Wexford.

Timistry

Lighting in Kerry at the moment

kerrycork13

aisling86 wrote: »

Going to stay up here in macroom until squall line passes through lost of lightning popping up not too far away. Winds picking up rapidly.

Me too started here now. Thunder and lightening and start to pour.

kerrycork13

BlueSkyDay wrote: »

Nothing out of the ordinary wind wise and a heavy drizzle Co.Wexford.

Not expected there until morning at the earliest

YFlyer

paddywroks wrote: »

Big lightning flashes here in birdhill

Same in Limerick City.

hawkwing

Sparks now in South East Tipp. 150m asl

BlueSkyDay

Surely the squall line will make it south eastwards?

Santy2015

Sparks a plenty in Kanturk Cork. Right over us it seems

kerrycork13

SeaFields wrote: »

Can verify the thunder in Kerry. Am awake because of it just now.

What part?

Timistry

kerrycork13 wrote: »

What part?

Kenmare for one but out west. Seems to be from orographic lift on the reeks

RobertKK

Saw a flash of lightning and near immediate thunder here in Kilkenny.
Rain rate went to 22.4mm/hr, currently 11mm/hr
10.5C
Wind gusting currently to 62km/hr (got near 71km/hr yesterday)

spookwoman

Just heavy rain so far in Waterford city. Looks like squall lost a lot of its punch on the way