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Storm Ciara - Strong Winds & Potential Snow **TECHNICAL DISCUSSION**

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    #482
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Analysis at 00Z. Low centre 961 hPa, the same pressure but a fraction further east than the 24 hour forecast had it for the same time (2nd chart).

    ukmo_nat_fax_2020020900_000.png

    ukmo_nat_fax_2020020800_024.png


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    #483
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    mod Snip
    Anyway, the Met Éireann aviation chart for 06Z shows the low 953 hPa centred at 57N 11W, with the cold front moving eastwards at 45 knots across the country, closely followed by a showery trough. Freezing level behind the front 6000 ft.


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    #484
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Anyway......

    Met Éireann' model showing almost 14mm of rain in Galway city between 4-5am.


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    #485
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    These planes are all doing groundspeeds of at least 670 knots at the moment. One is doing 695 knots.

    502267.PNG


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    #486
    spookwoman
    Registered Users Posts: 9,922 ✭✭✭spookwoman


    Sparks on the way? Looks like squall line forming
    XpcF5FDl.png

    ltoFOrRl.png


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    #487
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    Please try keep the thread on topic I’ve removed a lot of posts that have no place here


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    #488
    Impetus
    Registered Users Posts: 1,667 ✭✭✭Impetus


    Gaoth Laidir wrote: »
    Freezing level behind the front 6000 ft.


    One presumes you mean 1'800m? (ie 1'829 to be more precise) There is no terra firma on the island of Ireland at that level. Unless you are expecting a massive Icelandic style quake to give Ireland a la Mount Fuji.... something that would create a rain shadow which would hopefully be of benefit to some part of the damp island.


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    #489
    Impetus
    Registered Users Posts: 1,667 ✭✭✭Impetus


    Gaoth Laidir wrote: »
    These planes are all doing groundspeeds of at least 670 knots at the moment. One is doing 695 knots.

    502267.PNG


    ie 1'280 km/h to non Anglos. JFK > SNN is 4'040 km which implies about 4h flying time in the gush. Who needs Concorde?!


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    #490
    Impetus
    Registered Users Posts: 1,667 ✭✭✭Impetus


    The latest HIRLAM model run forecasts about 9 m/s wind for Cork Airport compared with 14 m/s per the same model two days ago. Dublin is showing 10/11 m/s for tomorrow peaking at 13 km/h at 08h00.

    Overall less than expected a few days ago when the tabloids were writing their copy made up of dated sensational rubbish.

    https://www.yr.no/place/Ireland/Leinster/Dublin/hour_by_hour_detailed.html


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    #491
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Very intense rain in West Clare at the moment, wind is nothing significant at the moment.

    Also looking like quite a thunderstorm pushing into West Kerry at the moment.


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    #492
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,892 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Rainfall

    Newport 60mm
    Knock 51mm
    Sligo 35mm

    Gales
    Belmullet 115
    Malin 103


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    #493
    spookwoman
    Registered Users Posts: 9,922 ✭✭✭spookwoman


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Very intense rain in West Clare at the moment, wind is nothing significant at the moment.

    Also looking like quite a thunderstorm pushing into West Kerry at the moment.

    One to watch


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    #494
    kerrycork13
    Registered Users Posts: 241 ✭✭kerrycork13


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Very intense rain in West Clare at the moment, wind is nothing significant at the moment.

    Also looking like quite a thunderstorm pushing into West Kerry at the moment.

    Debating on staying awake for it here in east of the county!!!


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    #495
    spookwoman
    Registered Users Posts: 9,922 ✭✭✭spookwoman


    kerrycork13 wrote: »
    Debating on staying awake for it here in east of the county!!!

    Moving pretty quickly


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    #496
    aisling86
    Registered Users Posts: 584 ✭✭✭aisling86


    Going to stay up here in macroom until squall line passes through lost of lightning popping up not too far away. Winds picking up rapidly.


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    #497
    SeaFields
    Registered Users Posts: 6,551 ✭✭✭SeaFields


    Can verify the thunder in Kerry. Am awake because of it just now.


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    #498
    paddywroks
    Registered Users Posts: 116 ✭✭paddywroks


    Big lightning flashes here in birdhill


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    #499
    spookwoman
    Registered Users Posts: 9,922 ✭✭✭spookwoman


    nice activity on http://map.blitzortung.org/#7/52.396/-9.154


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    #500
    BlueSkyDay
    Registered Users Posts: 16 ✭BlueSkyDay


    Nothing out of the ordinary wind wise and a heavy drizzle Co.Wexford.


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    #501
    Timistry
    Registered Users Posts: 742 ✭✭✭Timistry


    Lighting in Kerry at the moment


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    #502
    kerrycork13
    Registered Users Posts: 241 ✭✭kerrycork13


    aisling86 wrote: »
    Going to stay up here in macroom until squall line passes through lost of lightning popping up not too far away. Winds picking up rapidly.

    Me too started here now. Thunder and lightening and start to pour.


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    #503
    kerrycork13
    Registered Users Posts: 241 ✭✭kerrycork13


    BlueSkyDay wrote: »
    Nothing out of the ordinary wind wise and a heavy drizzle Co.Wexford.

    Not expected there until morning at the earliest


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    #504
    YFlyer
    Registered Users Posts: 9,717 ✭✭✭YFlyer


    paddywroks wrote: »
    Big lightning flashes here in birdhill

    Same in Limerick City.


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    #505
    hawkwing
    Registered Users Posts: 1,804 ✭✭✭hawkwing


    Sparks now in South East Tipp. 150m asl


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    #506
    BlueSkyDay
    Registered Users Posts: 16 ✭BlueSkyDay


    Surely the squall line will make it south eastwards?


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    #507
    Santy2015
    Registered Users Posts: 1,065 ✭✭✭Santy2015


    Sparks a plenty in Kanturk Cork. Right over us it seems


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    #508
    kerrycork13
    Registered Users Posts: 241 ✭✭kerrycork13


    SeaFields wrote: »
    Can verify the thunder in Kerry. Am awake because of it just now.

    What part?


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    #509
    Timistry
    Registered Users Posts: 742 ✭✭✭Timistry


    kerrycork13 wrote: »
    What part?

    Kenmare for one but out west. Seems to be from orographic lift on the reeks


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    #510
    Doctor Jimbob
    Registered Users Posts: 7,634 ✭✭✭Doctor Jimbob


    Flash and a rumble in carlow just now


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    #511
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,730 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    Saw a flash of lightning and near immediate thunder here in Kilkenny.
    Rain rate went to 22.4mm/hr, currently 11mm/hr
    10.5C
    Wind gusting currently to 62km/hr (got near 71km/hr yesterday)


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