General Election and Government Formation Megathread (see post #1)

Sir Oxman

Eoin O Broin SF Dub MW is frantically tweeting about the reported tailing off of voters in DMW.
Looks like it won't be even 60% final turnout if current trend keeps up.
mind you, I think it was 50 something percent last time so at least it'll be a bit up.

(weather is rotten)

namloc1980

Despite the talk earlier turnout has really died down since late afternoon. No evening rush you'd usually see on a weekday.

Hurrache

I'd never have expected an evening rush though, the evening rush midweek is people stopping off on their way home. The morning may be busier on a Saturday with people stopping off to and from kids training of all sorts, matches and the likes.

sjb25

Big turnout in south Wexford if this is correct

charlie14

Sir Oxman wrote: »

Eoin O Broin SF Dub MW is frantically tweeting about the reported tailing off of voters in DMW.
Looks like it won't be even 60% final turnout if current trend keeps up.
mind you, I think it was 50 something percent last time so at least it'll be a bit up.

(weather is rotten)

65.1% turnout in 2016

L1011

#ExitPoll is unusable on Twitter as there's also elections in Delhi (state population - more than 3x Ireland) today and they're using it too.

Necro

ddarcy wrote: »

Just voted in Sligo. It was after the rugby match, but the boxes are full. I’ve never seen that. And queues were forming after the match.

Only word of caution is that Sligo is running a lot of candidates, so the ballot paper is longer than normal (I think 18 in total).

But will be interesting to see if a high turnout is bad for FG our not.

19 candidates for four seats. It's mental. Some mixture of crazies on the Independent side and add in the National Party fella....

namloc1980

55% at one station in East Cork at 9pm. Poor show.

Hurrache

L1011 wrote: »

#ExitPoll is unusable on Twitter as there's also elections in Delhi (state population - more than 3x Ireland) today and they're using it too.

First World problems, but Luas is another pain in the ass when people in another part of the world have the temerity to use twitter at the same time.

votecounts

RTE saying no surge in voter turnout, weather obviously a factor. A lot of people could not care less and then whinge online.:(

blackwhite

Now there’s some exit poll

blackwhite

Hard to know who is most transfer friendly based on polling over the campaign

Sir Oxman

Dead heat.
FF were underestimated in 2016
SF first time holding their polling in exit poll

Margin of error is 1.3%

Interesting few days.

Stacksofwacks

Sinn fein not transfer friendly to FF/FG and vice versa. Think we'll end up with a a FF/FG government with maybe a few independents when all is said and done

Sir Oxman

Well done RTE and it's RTE Player.
A bag of sh1te!

LuckyLloyd

So the polls were real last weekend and the parties knew it. The full court media press on fabricated IRA nonsense over the last week looks even worse now. They *knew* they had to throw the kitchen sink at it.

This is a massive exit poll for SF. 31% with 18 - 24 year olds. They will get there, the long game is working.

stephenjmcd

FF lead government it is then, propped up by FG would be my guess.

Inquitus

stephenjmcd wrote: »

FF lead government it is then, propped up by FG would be my guess.

Well it could be either way round if they can agree to work together, either could end up with more TD's based on that exit poll. SF made a complete bollox of their chance which is amusing, selecting far too few candidates.

Stacksofwacks

FF-FG needs to become one party imo. They essentially represent the same constituency and putting all these candidates against each other is hurting them and letting the left in the door

KOR101

Sir Oxman wrote: »

Well done RTE and it's RTE Player.
A bag of sh1te!

Yes.....had to switch to iptv which worked a treat.

Imreoir2

stephenjmcd wrote: »

FF lead government it is then, propped up by FG would be my guess.

Another election within e few months is not unlikely on that result.

10000maniacs

On those figures, FF will possibly get the largest number of seats, maybe 45. FG a few less, and SF mid 30's.

blackwhite

Another election in 2020 now 5-2 with Paddy Power

Was 5-1 yesterday

Hurrache

LuckyLloyd wrote: »

So the polls were real last weekend and the parties knew it. The full court media press on fabricated IRA nonsense over the last week looks even worse now. They *knew* they had to throw the kitchen sink at it.

This is a massive exit poll for SF. 31% with 18 - 24 year olds. They will get there, the long game is working.

Several things, there's no media conspiracy. And nothing was fabricated.

blackcard

Stacksofwacks wrote: »

FF-FG needs to become one party imo. They essentially represent the same constituency and putting all these candidates against each other is hurting them and letting the left in the door

FF and SF need to become one party. Each of them claims to be the Republican party. FF frigged up our economy, SF would do the same if their manifesto was implemented

Stacksofwacks

blackcard wrote: »

FF and SF need to become one party. Each of them claims to be the Republican party. FF frigged up our economy, SF would do the same if their manifesto was implemented

Major differences between FF and SF and who they represent

tabby aspreme

votecounts wrote: »

RTE saying no surge in voter turnout, weather obviously a factor. A lot of people could not care less and then whinge online.:(

58-60% from two area's here in south kildare, I'm reliably informed, which sounds good

BonnieSituation

Stacksofwacks wrote: »

FF-FG needs to become one party imo. They essentially represent the same constituency and putting all these candidates against each other is hurting them and letting the left in the door

You tell them.

stephenjmcd

Inquitus wrote: »

Well it could be either way round if they can agree to work together, either could end up with more TD's based on that exit poll. SF made a complete bollox of their chance which is amusing, selecting far too few candidates.

Fully agree could be the other way around either. All depends on how the actual poll goes.
Personally didnt vote SF, the manifesto economically didnt stand up.

I'd be surprised if we had another election this year. The big 2 will come to some sort of arrangement

Umaro

SF would've been pretty foolhardy to run more candidates after how they did in the local/European elections. Hindsight is 20/20, this surge was never on the cards.