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Cold Snap,Frost,Ice,Snow Showers - Saturday December 14th -16th
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12-12-2019 10:09am#1
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too me, those charts show rain/sleet for the city/coastal areas and snow for north north-west cork. Or else they are just so low res that they don't make it out correctly! Temps in the city look to be about 2-5 degrees too for the day so i'd say more north alright. The snow-shield lives
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squarecircles wrote: »mostly west,north midlands as of now,if snow showers pop up in the forecast further East theyll start crawling out of the woodwork.
Ffs if I was a Mod now I know what I’d do with ya
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That Cork snow shield might want to check its armour
It's a hard one to call with lot of variance in the details on the weather models, need to get into high resolution time frame but I think it might be a slushy mess in many places with sleet/snow/sleet mix. Higher ground though certainly looks good, it is really a question of which mountain to climb Sunday
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Join Date:Posts: 13982
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Arpege shows a narrow band of wintryness crossing the country on Saturday:
Hirlam looks a bit more hopeful, but much of it could be light and patchy.
Icon has a dryer scene with some patchy rain and sleet on Saturday.
GFS usually overcooks the snow potential, showing some possible wintryness on Saturday.
My guess is most places may see some rain with some flakes mixed in over the weekend, but doesn't look like any of us will be seeing lying snow away from high ground. Looks very marginal.0 -
This is ninja snow territory which is best snow.
Unfortunately the nature of ninja snow is there are winners and losers based on location.
Upper air temperatures are fine on Saturday combined with freezing level being at a lower height in the atmosphere than usual
This will help snow fall to lower levels particular in heavy or prolonged precipitation. Always at this time of year snow will tend to settle as there is very little solar radiation reaching the surface and the sun is very low in the sky. So if you get lucky you'll have a nice time with it.
It's a question of where that precipitation occurs and i'd give it another 24 hours before nailing whether it's scattered showers or something a bit more organised. The GFS this evening for example has a more organised trough feature.
Exciting eh?0 -
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My shot at trying to decipher the charts for this weekend : Late Fri into Sat should start seeing wintry showers but yeah looks like a wet mix. Quite breezy at times more so in coastal counties. Northern counties are standing out as getting a fair share of snow / freezing rain Sat and Sunday. One thing for sure is that it is going to be bitterly cold especially in Northern counties with the ECM showing dropping well below zero early Sat night and freezing in the late afternoon Sun possibly enhanced by snow fields there. Very hard to pinpoint where gets what type of wintry precipitation but of course the higher you go the better chance of snow, early sat morning some in higher elevations might have some snow on the ground and it looks like a rain band pushing up from the SW on Sat afternoon could produce sleet /snow , localized heavy. temperatures look to struggle to get up to 5 or 6 C on Sat.
Have a low pressure added into the mix on Sunday which will keep us guessing where it might get wintry or possibly snow.
Icy roads might be a problem especially Monday morning.
A lot of mountains could have good white ridges as we move into the weekend.
Windchill !!!
Very interesting I must say.
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Rock Lesnar wrote: »A potential Snow thread and Kermit didnt start it
Its not happening!!!
*Update* Kermit has spoken
Its definitely not happening now 0 -
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