Summer 2019 - General Discussion

km79

Just stepped outside
Apparently into November
SO COLD

The Specialist

If I squint really really really hard out the office window...I can't see anything, so I can pretend the sun is out there and not a mass of grey miserable ****e

ronnie3585

km79 wrote: »

Just stepped outside
Apparently into November
SO COLD

Feels exactly the same in Galway City. It's like a cold, grey November day.

carltonleon

It's an absolute beautiful sunny day around Dublin City Centre, not a cloud in the sky and 23c ... absolutely gorgeous out ......

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Think it may be time I took this VR headset off !!!!

Calibos

carltonleon wrote: »

It's an absolute beautiful sunny day around Dublin City Centre, not a cloud in the sky and 23c ... absolutely gorgeous out ......

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Think it may be time I took this VR headset off !!!!

Same here in Bray. I could feel the burning radiant heat of the Sun on my face through the 'windscreen' and my vehicle started overheating.
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I'd come out of Hyperspace too close to a star!

pauldry

10c but wind chill of 4 or 5c today.

I think coldest June on record will be scuppered though as next week looks slightly milder.

But after then it could get cold once more so it will be a top 5 cold June surely

Hooter23

People going around Galway with winter jackets and wooly hats on in the middle of June...only in ireland sure:pac:

Thelonious Monk

Is it possible we wont breach 20c in Dublin this June? Has that happened before?

Xenji

Just 9.6C in Castlebar and feeling colder in a moderate breeze that is gusting close to 60 km/hr.

kingshankly

11 degrees here in the north east feels a good 3/4 degrees leas this has got to be record breaking stuff for the middle of june

Gonzo

cold, cloudy and damp in Meath this morning. Definitely up there with one of the coldest days I've ever felt in any Irish summer.

Gonzo

Thelonious Monk wrote: »

Is it possible we wont breach 20c in Dublin this June? Has that happened before?

we will see how the rest of the month pans out, but so far it's looking unlikely we will reach 20C this month, unless it warms up properly into the last few days of the month. Getting beyond 14C has even been a struggle a this month. 19C is my warmest temperature this month and that was on the 1st, temperature fell off the cliff after that.

pauldry

Same here it was 20c in Collooney on June 1st but since then 17c yesterday the top

Very shocked just there to see that the middle part of last June (the scorcher!) was freezing cold in Northwest too.

I spoke to someone and they said the Northwest had some sea fog type days during this period and drizzly ones too.

Mobhi1

Gonzo wrote: »

we will see how the rest of the month pans out, but so far it's looking unlikely we will reach 20C this month, unless it warms up properly into the last few days of the month. Getting beyond 14C has even been a struggle a this month. 19C is my warmest temperature this month and that was on the 1st, temperature fell off the cliff after that.

The first two days of this month I recorded highs of 19.2C. It hasn't got anywhere near that since.

Zipppy

Hooter23 wrote: »

People going around Galway with winter jackets and wooly hats on in the middle of June...only in ireland sure:pac:

I haven't really taken off my winter jacket and wooly hat this year yet

pauldry

That bloomin Arctic has the whole Jet Stream f$$ked

pad199207

Looks like it could be drying up a bit out there.

Gonzo

signs of temperatures becoming normal again from next Friday 21st of June with temperatures peaking at 16 or 17C across the country, staying in the low to mid teens up to then, which would make 3 weeks of temperatures well below normal.

Gonzo

pad199207 wrote: »

Looks like it could be drying up a bit out there.

still damp here, but a very slow drying trend, however it's possibly even colder than yesterday. We will have the -2C upper air temperatures @850hpa sitting over us for next 24 hours which is fairly exceptional for mid June.

Kutebride

Winter coat on walk to schools his afternoon. I stopped at putting on gloves .....just!

Clonmel1000

Gonzo wrote: »

signs of temperatures becoming normal again from next Friday 21st of June with temperatures peaking at 16 or 17C across the country, staying in the low to mid teens up to then, which would make 3 weeks of temperatures well below normal.

Is there dry settled weather coming with that or just more of the same unsettled stuff? Thanks

Oneiric 3

Reached over 17c here in the west yesterday, which if anything, was a little above normal for the time of year. Now that the clouds are breaking I'd not be surprised to see something similar recorded this afternoon.

One thing I will say is how crap the ECMWF has been with regards temperature forecasts for my region recently. It has consistently forecast lower daytime temperatures than what has actually occurred. An increasingly over-rated model in my opinion, especially regarding its operational runs.

ZX7R

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Reached over 17c here in the west yesterday, which if anything, was a little above normal for the time of year. Now that the clouds are breaking I'd not be surprised to see something similar recorded this afternoon.

One thing I will say is how crap the ECMWF has been with regards temperature forecasts for my region recently. It has consistently forecast lower daytime temperatures than what has actually occurred. An increasingly over-rated model in my opinion, especially regarding its operational runs.

I wouldn't say it's over rated , definitely an over reliance on it , there's no other model to match it's performance.
With the low uppers we have it's not surprising it's carts are pegging daytime temperatures to be so low and as we all know its cold biased anyways.
When it picks up on a trend for warmth I always sit up and take notice.
Anyways though it's temperature charts are an average over 12 hour period or 24 hours

sryanbruen

Thelonious Monk wrote: »

Is it possible we wont breach 20c in Dublin this June? Has that happened before?

Dublin Airport has failed to reach at least 20.0c in June 1972 (the coldest June on record in the last 50 or so years, monthly absolute max of only 18.4c), 1985 (monthly absolute max of 19.6c) and 1991 (monthly absolute max of 19.8c).

Casement Aerodrome has failed to reach at least 20.0c in June 1972 (monthly absolute max of only 18.4c), 1985 (monthly absolute max of 19.7c), 1991 (monthly absolute max of 19.2c) and 1997 (monthly absolute max of 19.8c). Fun fact is that every other June back to 1964 at the station (since its records began) has successfully reached at least one day with a max of 21.0c.

Data from Met Éireann.

Oneiric 3

pauldry wrote: »

That bloomin Arctic has the whole Jet Stream f$$ked

Temperatures this June so far in the Arctic region are the highest since 2012...



Data - Climate Reanalyzer.

Oneiric 3

ZX7R wrote: »

I wouldn't say it's over rated , definitely an over reliance on it , there's no other model to match it's performance.

The current odd pattern, for example, was picked up by the GFS before the ECM, and as far out as 280 hrs.

Regarding its ensembles, the ECM is second to none, but its operational runs are no better than the next most popular model - the GFS. A recent example was the rain we got in the west earlier this month. The ECM had it totally missing us right up to the last minute (and which was reflected in the Met's forecast at the time) while GFS showed that we'd squeeze something out of it... which we certainly did.

ZX7R

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

The current odd pattern, for example, was picked up by the GFS before the ECM, and as far out as 280 hrs.

Regarding its ensembles, the ECM is second to none, but its operational runs are no better than the next most popular model - the GFS. A recent example was the rain we got in the west earlier this month. The ECM had it totally missing us right up to the last minute (and which was reflected in the Met's forecast at the time) while GFS showed that we'd squeeze something out of it... which we certainly did.

Fair point, but if you're looking at precipitation charts I would not believe any of the model's

Kermit.de.frog

10c and grim.

The sooner we develop the ability to control the weather the better.

SleetAndSnow

(taken from r/ireland reddit)

Just had to put my hands into a bowl of hot water to help warm them up!

Gonzo

Clonmel1000 wrote: »

Is there dry settled weather coming with that or just more of the same unsettled stuff? Thanks

no signs of any dry/settled weather for at least two weeks. However the end of the month doesn't look as wet or as cold as it has been, we could get the odd dry day before the end of the month, but I wouldn't call that dry and settled weather.

Once we get the odd dry day with temperatures hitting 17C or 18C, that could feel unusually warm after what seems like almost two weeks of mid November temperatures with many places struggling to even reach double digits.

There is a chance we could have a slight ridge of high pressure around the 21st to 24th of June, but it's over a week away and could easily miss us, so not going to get excited about that yet.