Saturday PM (10th) - Tuesday AM (13th), Snow and Ice

Meteorite58

All that cold airmass ready to flood in over Ireland, interesting day ahead.

sdanseo

Big downgrades on WRF for tomorrow. Way too warm, temps of 3-5 degrees.



HIRLAM seems to show a bit less precip but temps just holding on

Happygosad33

WRF has 10 to 15cm of snow for the sweet spots at 3pm tomorrow. Increases as the run goes on. Some downgrade.

sdanseo

Happygosad33 wrote: »

WRF has 10 to 15cm of snow for the sweet spots at 3pm tomorrow. Increases as the run goes on. Some downgrade.

Just realised what I posted is the 6Z - meteociel doesn't have the 12Z yet for some frames.

Still looks to be a much lower amount of red than blue vs some of the runs posted last night.

Happygosad33

I haven't seen earlier runs to compare. I will say it has shown completely rain a couple of times this winter when we had snow. I don't know which high resolution model has the best verification stats when it comes to snow but I've found hirlam to be pretty decent when it comes to what precipitation will be falling. Accumulated snow predictions are a different ball game, haven't a clue which one is most trustworthy. Hard to judge with showers.

Pangea

Temperature dropping rapidly here, it's gone from 7c to 1.7c. in the past hour or so..

Happygosad33

Pangea wrote: »

Temperature dropping rapidly here, it's gone from 7c to 1.7c. in the past hour or so..

Could be some back edge wintryness for you

George Sunsnow

Just started raining near Arklow again after the dry sunny day that followed the earlier rain
Temp here is 9.6c having peaked at 12.1c

Jean Byrne mentioned just now that there is a risk Tuesdays front could turn to sleet and snow as it moves inland

I reckon tomorrow will see snow falling in west Clare btw perhaps settling, the showers do look like they will be beefy enough!

JCX BXC

George Sunsnow wrote: »

I reckon tomorrow will see snow falling in west Clare btw perhaps settling, the showers do look like they will be beefy enough!

I'll hold ya to that!

George Sunsnow

JCX BXC wrote: »

I'll hold ya to that!

carltonleon

Just got into the car here in Swords and it says 13c 😳😬

Pangea

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Jean Byrne mentioned just now that there is a risk Tuesdays front could turn to sleet and snow as it moves inland

!

She also mentioned to stay tuned to tonight's warning. An upgrade later perhaps?

ronnie3585

carltonleon wrote: »

Just got into the car here in Swords and it says 13c 😳😬

3c in Galway...

YanSno

Currently 10c in swords except big temperature drop once the front passes and snow showers packing in behind it

Meteorite58

Orange warning on the way for snow perhaps. Seems to be getting colder faster then forecast.

Criteria: 'Significant falls of snow likely to cause accumulations of 3 cm or greater below 250m AMSL'

Gaoth Laidir

carltonleon wrote: »

Just got into the car here in Swords and it says 13c ����

Currently 10 degrees at Dublin Airport and dewpoint 8. With such a mild day today, soaked ground and strong winds it'll be more wet sloppiness at low levels in the morning. Some wet snow falling in places but quickly turning to a slushy mess. If only these northwesterlies had been northeasterlies...

Meteorite58

Dew Point. Bring it on!

Jimbob1977

Air is mild near Limerick City.

Probably still around 7c

Light drizzle at the moment

Gaoth Laidir

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Dew Point. Bring it on!

But look to our west. Hovering at or above zero. No way we can get anything decent from that airmass. Relying on cold downbursts is nothing that I get excited about. Ok to watch some fat flakes falling, but if it doesn't accumulate into anything that lasts more than 30 minutes then I don't want to know.

pad199207

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

But look to our west. Hovering at or above zero. No way we can get anything decent from that airmass. Relying on cold downbursts is nothing that I get excited about. Ok to watch some fat flakes falling, but if it doesn't accumulate into anything that lasts more than 30 minutes then I don't want to know.

Unfortunately your right GL. However higher elevations going to get a decent carpet. Mr Mountainy Man going to have lots of fun!

sdanseo

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Currently 10 degrees at Dublin Airport and dewpoint 8. With such a mild day today, soaked ground and strong winds it'll be more wet sloppiness at low levels in the morning. Some wet snow falling in places but quickly turning to a slushy mess. If only these northwesterlies had been northeasterlies...

After dark tomorrow and Monday night look the best chance for the East Coast. I'd be surprised if we saw anything settling before then.

Everything on the ground needs to evaporate or freeze, because there simply won't be the intensity of precipitation this far over to cause accumulations otherwise.

munsterlegend

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Orange warning on the way for snow perhaps. Seems to be getting colder faster then forecast.

Criteria: 'Significant falls of snow likely to cause accumulations of 3 cm or greater below 250m AMSL'

Looks fairly poor for the south west! Oh well

Gaoth Laidir

sdanseo wrote: »

After dark tomorrow and Monday night look the best chance for the East Coast. I'd be surprised if we saw anything settling before then.

Everything on the ground needs to evaporate or freeze, because there simply won't be the intensity of precipitation this far over to cause accumulations otherwise.

The coldest uppers will have passed east by then. Increasing heights and temperatures will cut down showery activity. Tomorrow morning 0600-1200 is the best window.

Happygosad33

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Currently 10 degrees at Dublin Airport and dewpoint 8. With such a mild day today, soaked ground and strong winds it'll be more wet sloppiness at low levels in the morning. Some wet snow falling in places but quickly turning to a slushy mess. If only these northwesterlies had been northeasterlies...

Looks good for the NW. More than a slushy mess for inland areas there. I know it'll be crap for Dublin but there's more to the country.

Carb

Mid-Monghan - I was in the car an hour ago and it was reading 4 degrees after a couple of hours of torrential rain. It is now snowing.

Happygosad33

Carb wrote: »

Mid-Monghan - I was in the car an hour ago and it was reading 4 degrees after a couple of hours of torrential ringing. It is now snowing.

Yeah lots of reports of snow falling across the North on netweather Ireland forum.

Gaoth Laidir

Happygosad33 wrote: »

Looks good for the NW. More than a slushy mess for inland areas there. I know it'll be crap for Dublin but there's more to the country.

I'm quite aware of that. I am talking countrywide.

Pa ElGrande

Strong wind gusts started in last 10 minutes Dublin 7.

Happygosad33

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

I'm quite aware of that. I am talking countrywide.

So it'll be a slushy mess countrywide in your opinion?

Gaoth Laidir

Happygosad33 wrote: »

So it'll be a slushy mess countrywide in your opinion?

Yes. We won't see any dry snow anywhere except for on mountains. Brief accumulations at low levels but the usual wet slop after 30 minutes. If you like that sort of thing then great. Not me.

Pangea

Temp back up to 3.7 now

Happygosad33

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Yes. We won't see any dry snow anywhere except for on mountains. Brief accumulations at low levels but the usual wet slop after 30 minutes. If you like that sort of thing then great. Not me.

I seem to recall you being similarly negative earlier in the season several times and low levels had snow lying for day. Also with the slider too you said there would be nothing an hour before, people reported snow, then you told them they lived on high ground, they said no, then you said it's wet snow not proper snow lol. I guess will find out tomorrow and if it is a proper snow day you'll find some petty fault with it as usual.

Pangea

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Yes. We won't see any dry snow anywhere except for on mountains. Brief accumulations at low levels but the usual wet slop after 30 minutes. If you like that sort of thing then great. Not me.

In fairness I got a good 4 hours out of my snowfall on Friday morning before it melted The kids throwing snowballs at the school enjoyed it anyway

typhoony

Nothing wrong with liking all types of wintry weather, just seeing snow falling is great, the only type I don't like is the frozen slush, but usually that melts fairly quickly

Gaoth Laidir

Happygosad33 wrote: »

I seem to recall you being similarly negative earlier in the season several times and low levels had snow lying for day. Also with the slider too you said there would be nothing an hour before, people reported snow, then you told them they lived on high ground, they said no, then you said it's wet snow not proper snow lol. I guess will find out tomorrow and if it is a proper snow day you'll find some petty fault with it as usual.

I don't remember telling anyone where they lived or anyone at low levels (<100 metres) reporting snow lying for days. I did say wet snow because that's what it was.

You can call me petty if you want, it really doesn't bother me. If 1 cm of wet snow does it for you then great.

Happygosad33

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

I don't remember telling anyone where they lived or anyone at low levels (<100 metres) reporting snow lying for days. I did say wet snow because that's what it was.

You can call me petty if you want, it really doesn't bother me. If 1 cm of wet snow does it for you then great.

Check through your posts you'll find it. And places in the NW and North below 100m had lying snow for days. I should know I'm one of them. And it was more than 1cm of wet snow. It was so dry it lay for days Personally I'd say arrogant and can't admit when there wrong more so than petty.

pauldry

Parts of Donegal seeing snow arrive presently

Meteorite58

Mod Note: Happygosad33 you might read through the forum charter and abide by it please.

loughside

moderate snow here in the Banbridge, Co. Down area, covering cars and roads,
strange that Netweather is still giving blue colour in this area?

JanuarySnowstor

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

I don't remember telling anyone where they lived or anyone at low levels (<100 metres) reporting snow lying for days. I did say wet snow because that's what it was.

You can call me petty if you want, it really doesn't bother me. If 1 cm of wet snow does it for you then great.

Understand your point and in essence would agree.
BUT beggars can't be choosers and in our climate even falling snow is a rarity. To be honest even if we do get an easterly I think it's too late in the season for anything disruptive

KingBobby

Its mild and very blustry in the dublin hills at the moment. Its hard to imagine anywhere will get snow when it like this!

sryanbruen

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Understand your point and in essence would agree.
BUT beggars can't be choosers and in our climate even falling snow is a rarity. To be honest even if we do get an easterly I think it's too late in the season for anything disruptive

I've shown you examples of where there have been very disruptive late falls of heavy snowfall including blizzards, what more could you want?

The too late in the season, sun is stronger etc excuses are just ridiculous.

The greatest blizzard to hit Ireland was on the 24th/25th February 1947 for Christ Sakes.

squarecircles

Snow showing up near belmullet now on netweather radar,always a good omen.

igCorcaigh

Windy and 8C in Cork.
Met.ie can be buggy sometimes... says 0C and calm

Gaoth Laidir

Happygosad33 wrote: »

Check through your posts you'll find it. And places in the NW and North below 100m had lying snow for days. I should know I'm one of them. And it was more than 1cm of wet snow. It was so dry it lay for days Personally I'd say arrogant and can't admit when there wrong more so than petty.

Charming. Good luck with the snow so. Hope you have the shovel at hand...

United road

loughside wrote: »

strange that Netweather is still giving blue colour in this area?

Personally have found it to perform very poorly of late in my location! Showed rain all night last week but place was white outside !!!
Strange

Kermit.de.frog

Gentlemen, gentlemen it's only the weather

Gaoth Laidir

loughside wrote: »

moderate snow here in the Banbridge, Co. Down area, covering cars and roads,
strange that Netweather is still giving blue colour in this area?

Because you're not in Banbridge, you're in Reykjavik, well above 100 metres... And it's wet snow! :pac:

Nearby Glennane (160 metres) has gone from rain to snow now at 8 pm, temp 0.4, dp. 0.1, wbt 0.3. Strangely, Lough Fea (225 m) is reporting rain. Heavy snow at Aldergrove (1.3, 0.9, 1.2)

Meteorite58

Happygosad33 wrote: »

Check through your posts you'll find it. And places in the NW and North below 100m had lying snow for days. I should know I'm one of them. And it was more than 1cm of wet snow. It was so dry it lay for days Personally I'd say arrogant and can't admit when there wrong more so than petty.

Mod Note : Happygosad33 has received a warning for this post. Read the forum charter and abide by it. Need to cut out the personal attacks.

Itssoeasy

igCorcaigh wrote: »

Windy and 8C in Cork.
Met.ie can be buggy sometimes... says 0C and calm

It's a night for a high stool and a fire.