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Summer 2017 - General Discussion

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  • Registered Users Posts: 18,105 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    I'd say the east coast will love that ;)


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    I'd say the east coast will love that ;)

    Honestly would.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,105 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Honestly would.

    You're inland you don't count!


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    You're inland you don't count!

    Oh you meant the east coast literally.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,501 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Body&Soul festival weekend is starting to edge into the wildly FI extents of the GFS, I'll be refreshing that precip chart every day until then!


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    Lovely day today if it was early April.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The weekend of the 17th/18th looking like quite a BBQ weekend at the moment.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,105 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    STATUS YELLOW

    Rainfall Warning for Cavan, Monaghan, Donegal, Dublin, Kildare, Longford, Louth, Wicklow, Offaly, Westmeath, Meath, Leitrim and Sligo
    Thundery downpours with localised flooding this afternoon and evening.

    Issued:Thursday 08 June 2017 14:00
    Valid:Thursday 08 June 2017 14:00 to Thursday 08 June 2017 22:00


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    The weekend of the 17th/18th looking like quite a BBQ weekend at the moment.

    Is it likely to last Syran or what do you reckon?


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Is it likely to last Syran or what do you reckon?

    At the moment yes. Once this Azores High ridges through Ireland (The GFS says Thursday 15th, the ECMWF says Tuesday 13th/Wednesday 14th), there is no sign in the forecast period for at least a week and a half of an Atlantic regime returning right now. We could be going into quite an extended period of fine, settled weather if this Azores High truly does come into play here.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,559 ✭✭✭pedigree 6


    Just watching low level cloud blowing along briskly on the wind and a bank of cumulonimbus just barely moving behind it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,060 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Dry and bright in castlebar with light winds, nice day in between weather systems


  • Registered Users Posts: 470 ✭✭catrat12


    Is the warmer more settled weather to come in next week or has that changed


  • Registered Users Posts: 48,132 ✭✭✭✭km79


    catrat12 wrote: »
    Is the warmer more settled weather to come in next week or has that changed

    Was just about to ask the same cos based on MTc and mets forecast today ........


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    catrat12 wrote: »
    Is the warmer more settled weather to come in next week or has that changed

    I've been frequently mentioning Thursday 15th as the transitional day when the settled weather comes, still no change to that.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,060 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    STATUS YELLOW

    Rainfall Warning for Cork and Kerry
    Heavy rain on Friday night could see 12 hour accumulations in excess of 25mm in parts of Cork and Kerry, with the highest accumulations expected about higher ground and the coastal fringes.

    Issued:Thursday 08 June 2017 19:00
    Valid:Friday 09 June 2017 18:00 to Saturday 10 June 2017 06:00


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The models are continuing to play around with the position of the high. The basis is that we are getting more settled weather but the temperatures are varied depending on the position of the high.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,707 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    The models are continuing to play around with the position of the high. The basis is that we are getting more settled weather but the temperatures are varied depending on the position of the high.

    Hopefully we won't be plagued by a cool onshore east or south-east wind.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,877 ✭✭✭pauldry


    well be plagued by drizzle and cloud in the West and Northwest.

    Temps of 17 to 24c prob


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,816 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Getting quite blustery overnight as the frontal bands cross over the country, High ground in the S and SW taking most of the rainfall. Tomorrow looks like a good enough fresh day for the most part until showers arrive in the W in the afternoon.

    wWOjHdQ.png

    tempresult_oun5.gif


    dZWohI9.png

    3X3jTu0.png


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Mmmm, I don't like the looks of this.

    The GFS is now showing a trough to the north on Thursday 15th

    GFSOPEU06_144_1.png

    And look at this for Tuesday 20th from the GFS:

    GFSOPEU06_264_1.png

    Retrogression of high pressure up to Greenland along with a trough over Scandinavia? If this Winter with that setup, we'd be talking about Arctic blasts.

    The ECMWF is very similar with Thursday 15th:

    ECMOPEU00_144_1.png

    Looks like it could be changing now guys :cool::(.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Annnnd...its all starting to go down the ****ter...doubt the fine spell will be as fine as we thought it would be,or lasting as long.

    besides that either way someones going to suffer from a cooling sea breeze or low cloud impinging,coastal drizzle during the supposed fine spell.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,488 ✭✭✭Hooter23


    I knew it would all go wrong once I started telling people summer will be back next week definately:pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Mmmm, I don't like the looks of this.

    The GFS is now showing a trough to the north on Thursday 15th

    GFSOPEU06_144_1.png

    And look at this for Tuesday 20th from the GFS:

    GFSOPEU06_264_1.png

    Retrogression of high pressure up to Greenland along with a trough over Scandinavia? If this Winter with that setup, we'd be talking about Arctic blasts.

    The ECMWF is very similar with Thursday 15th:

    ECMOPEU00_144_1.png

    Looks like it could be changing now guys :cool::(.

    The map for the 20th Syran what would that signal here?


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The map for the 20th Syran what would that signal here?

    Very cool and dry, an unusual Summer combination.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    Thanks Syran what's your feeling on it? Is the good weather kaput


  • Registered Users Posts: 54 ✭✭Luke-m


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Very cool and dry, an unusual Summer combination.

    All change again on the 12z run. Settled throughout from next Friday.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Luke-m wrote: »
    All change again on the 12z run. Settled throughout from next Friday.

    Indeed. No northerly on the 20th with the 12z run. There's still hope yet people.

    GFSOPEU12_264_1.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,506 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Thanks Syran what's your feeling on it? Is the good weather kaput

    Not just yet ^.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 10,060 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    It will be unseasonably windy tomorrow afternoon in the West, Knock airport forecast giving gusts up to 41knots in the afternoon which is very rare for June indeed


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