Summer 2017 - General Discussion

JCX BXC

I'd say the east coast will love that

sryanbruen

JCX BXC wrote: »

I'd say the east coast will love that

Honestly would.

JCX BXC

sryanbruen wrote: »

Honestly would.

You're inland you don't count!

sryanbruen

JCX BXC wrote: »

You're inland you don't count!

Oh you meant the east coast literally.

MJohnston

Body&Soul festival weekend is starting to edge into the wildly FI extents of the GFS, I'll be refreshing that precip chart every day until then!

Clonmel1000

Lovely day today if it was early April.

sryanbruen

The weekend of the 17th/18th looking like quite a BBQ weekend at the moment.

JCX BXC

STATUS YELLOW

Rainfall Warning for Cavan, Monaghan, Donegal, Dublin, Kildare, Longford, Louth, Wicklow, Offaly, Westmeath, Meath, Leitrim and Sligo
Thundery downpours with localised flooding this afternoon and evening.

Issued:Thursday 08 June 2017 14:00
Valid:Thursday 08 June 2017 14:00 to Thursday 08 June 2017 22:00

Clonmel1000

sryanbruen wrote: »

The weekend of the 17th/18th looking like quite a BBQ weekend at the moment.

Is it likely to last Syran or what do you reckon?

sryanbruen

Clonmel1000 wrote: »

Is it likely to last Syran or what do you reckon?

At the moment yes. Once this Azores High ridges through Ireland (The GFS says Thursday 15th, the ECMWF says Tuesday 13th/Wednesday 14th), there is no sign in the forecast period for at least a week and a half of an Atlantic regime returning right now. We could be going into quite an extended period of fine, settled weather if this Azores High truly does come into play here.

pedigree 6

Just watching low level cloud blowing along briskly on the wind and a bank of cumulonimbus just barely moving behind it.

Oscar Bravo

Dry and bright in castlebar with light winds, nice day in between weather systems

catrat12

Is the warmer more settled weather to come in next week or has that changed

km79

catrat12 wrote: »

Is the warmer more settled weather to come in next week or has that changed

Was just about to ask the same cos based on MTc and mets forecast today ........

sryanbruen

catrat12 wrote: »

Is the warmer more settled weather to come in next week or has that changed

I've been frequently mentioning Thursday 15th as the transitional day when the settled weather comes, still no change to that.

Oscar Bravo

STATUS YELLOW

Rainfall Warning for Cork and Kerry
Heavy rain on Friday night could see 12 hour accumulations in excess of 25mm in parts of Cork and Kerry, with the highest accumulations expected about higher ground and the coastal fringes.

Issued:Thursday 08 June 2017 19:00
Valid:Friday 09 June 2017 18:00 to Saturday 10 June 2017 06:00

sryanbruen

The models are continuing to play around with the position of the high. The basis is that we are getting more settled weather but the temperatures are varied depending on the position of the high.

Gonzo

sryanbruen wrote: »

The models are continuing to play around with the position of the high. The basis is that we are getting more settled weather but the temperatures are varied depending on the position of the high.

Hopefully we won't be plagued by a cool onshore east or south-east wind.

pauldry

well be plagued by drizzle and cloud in the West and Northwest.

Temps of 17 to 24c prob

Meteorite58

Getting quite blustery overnight as the frontal bands cross over the country, High ground in the S and SW taking most of the rainfall. Tomorrow looks like a good enough fresh day for the most part until showers arrive in the W in the afternoon.

sryanbruen

Mmmm, I don't like the looks of this.

The GFS is now showing a trough to the north on Thursday 15th



And look at this for Tuesday 20th from the GFS:



Retrogression of high pressure up to Greenland along with a trough over Scandinavia? If this Winter with that setup, we'd be talking about Arctic blasts.

The ECMWF is very similar with Thursday 15th:



Looks like it could be changing now guys :cool::(.

squarecircles

Annnnd...its all starting to go down the ****ter...doubt the fine spell will be as fine as we thought it would be,or lasting as long.

besides that either way someones going to suffer from a cooling sea breeze or low cloud impinging,coastal drizzle during the supposed fine spell.

Hooter23

I knew it would all go wrong once I started telling people summer will be back next week definately:pac:

Clonmel1000

sryanbruen wrote: »

Mmmm, I don't like the looks of this.

The GFS is now showing a trough to the north on Thursday 15th



And look at this for Tuesday 20th from the GFS:



Retrogression of high pressure up to Greenland along with a trough over Scandinavia? If this Winter with that setup, we'd be talking about Arctic blasts.

The ECMWF is very similar with Thursday 15th:



Looks like it could be changing now guys :cool::(.

The map for the 20th Syran what would that signal here?

sryanbruen

Clonmel1000 wrote: »

The map for the 20th Syran what would that signal here?

Very cool and dry, an unusual Summer combination.

Clonmel1000

Thanks Syran what's your feeling on it? Is the good weather kaput

Luke-m

sryanbruen wrote: »

Very cool and dry, an unusual Summer combination.

All change again on the 12z run. Settled throughout from next Friday.

sryanbruen

Luke-m wrote: »

All change again on the 12z run. Settled throughout from next Friday.

Indeed. No northerly on the 20th with the 12z run. There's still hope yet people.

sryanbruen

Clonmel1000 wrote: »

Thanks Syran what's your feeling on it? Is the good weather kaput

Not just yet ^.

Oscar Bravo

It will be unseasonably windy tomorrow afternoon in the West, Knock airport forecast giving gusts up to 41knots in the afternoon which is very rare for June indeed