Severe Frost countrywide + Occasional Snow Showers in the East from Thursday 9th Feb

Gonzo

Storm 10 wrote: »

Not looking good for snow now looking at the latest from Met Eireann, only cold thing mentioned is hail in the showers.

http://www.met.ie/forecasts/

there is gonna be very little precipitation anyway, more like drizzle/snizzle showers. A dusting is about the best we'll get.

This is not a proper easterly dumping a few inchs of snow per hour.

highdef

Looking at Hirlam, it is showing light snow showers (the odd heavier one too) from tonight until Saturday. During Friday night/Saturday morning, a band of moderate snow moves from east to west over Britain:

highdef

Then by 1pm, the same band is almost across the Irish Sea. It shows mainly moderate rain over the sea but I guess that it could dump a few cm of snow inland and over higher ground. This is as far as this model goes until the next run later this evening.

Oneiric 3

Even the super duper hi-res Arome model has showers being most of rainy sleet on the east coast of the UK overnight, though more of snow inland. Some dots of sleety snow showers up over the NE here too but not much.





TBH, if I was living on the east coast, I'd not be looking forward to the upcoming short cool snap: just looks cool, damp and non-descript. Much like we get in the west under weak polar westerlys, which is hardly anything to celebrate.

Rougies

Jordan Quiet Comma wrote: »

Light precip showing up between IOM and down, no shadow in effect as such for streamers at present?

Yeah looks that way. One theory would be the shorter distance of land to be crossed when coming from a SE direction, especially the southern half of the IOM. When coming from a NE direction (like 2010), you have to pass over the whole length of the island so convection would be hampered more and the shadow more pronounced.

Also currently the fetch to Belfast is all the way down to Liverpool, so convection has plenty of time to get going before getting a brief interruption from the IOM.

Oneiric 3

Gonzo wrote: »

there is gonna be very little precipitation anyway, more like drizzle/snizzle showers. A dusting is about the best we'll get.

This is not a proper easterly dumping a few inchs of snow per hour.

With surface pressure hovering between 1025 and 1032mb ('fair weather' territory) over the Irish sea during this 'easterly', deep convection is never really going to get going.

horsefarm

Its currently 1.8c and a dewpoint of -4.7
We're in for a chilly night anyway! (South Dublin 260m)

ninebeanrows

One must remember the forecast on ME must focus on the country as a whole and weather impacts.

It is not going to discuss any precipitation or its type near the east coast in much detail as it is unlikely to cause any disruption etc.

Personally If I am on shift the flurries will be called hail/sleet/snow as that is what the airmass from 00z to 12z Say will deliver. But they will be light and probably on deliver a dusting locally.

nacho libre

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Even the super duper hi-res Arome model has showers being most of rainy sleet on the east coast of the UK overnight, though more of snow inland. Some dots of sleety snow showers up over the NE here too but not much.





TBH, if I was living on the east coast, I'd not be looking forward to the upcoming short cool snap: just looks cool, damp and non-descript. Much like we get in the west under weak polar westerlys, which is hardly anything to celebrate.

Yes, Paddy1, it won't be a proper snowy easterly, still no one was expecting it to be a beast from the east, and there might be one or two surprises lower down- a slight dusting for some away from coastal areas

Currently there is a light drizzle here in a light easterly breeze. Maybe some snow after dark and tomorrow night. There is more precipitation around Saturday, but of course the dew points will be marginal for snow by then. Longer term the GFS and M.T. Cranium seem keen on lows to our north west. I am beginning to lose hope winter will go out on a snowy note.

uck51js9zml2yt

Whats the forecast for Kerry this weekend?

Larbre34

Solomon Shallow Banjo wrote: »

Whats the forecast for Kerry this weekend?

Dry, cold, breezy at times, variable cloud by day, frosty inland where cloud breaks. Very little precipitation, perhaps some light drizzle / snizzle on high ground.

arctictree

1.3c here and cloudy. Any precip from now on should be snowy.

Snowbiee21

arctictree wrote: »

1.3c here and cloudy. Any precip from now on should be snowy.

doesn't look like there will be much precip

arctictree

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

doesn't look like there will be much precip

Very very light flakes in the breeze. Can just about be seen on a torch beam. Nothing on the radar though.

Snowbiee21

arctictree wrote: »

Very very light flakes in the breeze. Can just about be seen on a torch beam. Nothing on the radar though.

What location ?

arctictree

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

What location ?

Near Roundwood, Wicklow. 250m ASL

Planet X

Crikey!!!!..... Jean had the long sleeves on even.....must be getting nippy:-D :-D

highdef

Here you go.... Ah you got there before me, Arctictree

Meteorite58

I reckon a good few could be seeing a light dusting in the morning running from the North down the East coast ( especially Wicklow ) and into the SE.

Looks Like Cork and Waterford could get the most Wintry Precipitation tonight/ early morning ( maybe a surprise if it gets cold enough ) although looking more wet then snow ( maybe North Cork might see a bit of settling snow ? )

Meteorite58

East coast of England getting a lot of snow showers atm.



A bit to go here yet before a chance . Probably into the early hours.

nacho libre

come back February 1991...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qc49oYbAIr4

"Temperatures rising from -11 to -5". "Depths in excess of a foot". "It's all downhill from now". "Further snow causing chaos and disruption". that's what i like to hear in a forecast:D

JanuarySnowstor

Well the colder air is now starting to move across Eastern areas
Snow showers will hit coastal areas of East and South over the weekend.
How much is open to debate but we have a solid chance of seeing lying snow in parts of Cork and Dublin

Meteorite58

That through passing over the South of the country Sat night/ early Sun morning will be interesting to watch

Oneiric 3

nacho libre wrote: »

come back February 1991...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qc49oYbAIr4

"Temperatures rising from -11 to -5". "Depths in excess of a foot". "It's all downhill from now". "Further snow causing chaos and disruption". that's what i like to hear in a forecast:D

Another BBC forecast from the mid-eighties. When you even have a respected forecaster complaining of the cold, you know that it was in a completely different time and place!

(Jump to 1.48 for forecast)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y1ScfBGh0GQ

Gonzo

nacho libre wrote: »

come back February 1991...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qc49oYbAIr4

"Temperatures rising from -11 to -5". "Depths in excess of a foot". "It's all downhill from now". "Further snow causing chaos and disruption". that's what i like to hear in a forecast:D

I remember watching that exact forecast before going to school that morning. School was suspended by lunchtime and we were off for about a week and a half. That was a proper easterly.

Iancar29

Meteorite58 wrote: »

That through passing over the South of the country Sat night/ early Sun morning will be interesting to watch

Yeah thats the vort streak highlighted earlier. 200m asl is where id say itll stick from. But we can all live in hope .

pad199207

A few flakes blowing in the wind here in Kildare now. 120m asl

Spanish Eyes

Who and when forecast (ed) the 2010 snow?

Just wondered. I along with many others was caught up in it and hadn't a clue it would be that bad.

The current urge for snow is just that, a childish wish for Snow.

Gonzo

snizzle here now too.

3C outside but it is snow.

nacho libre

Snow showers- or grains of snow seem to be making it as far as Athlone according to the rain today radar.

nacho libre

Spanish Eyes wrote: »

Who and when forecast (ed) the 2010 snow?

Just wondered. I along with many others was caught up in it and hadn't a clue it would be that bad.

The current urge for snow is just that, a childish wish for Snow.

Guilty as charged!

The UK Met Office forecast it well in advance, it was unusual for them to be so bullish about it, normally they would be more cautious. M.T Cranium was warning about it in advance too. It would be great to see a similar forecast from him again soon. Maybe next year!

MJohnston

Spanish Eyes wrote: »

Who and when forecast (ed) the 2010 snow?

Just wondered. I along with many others was caught up in it and hadn't a clue it would be that bad.

The current urge for snow is just that, a childish wish for Snow.

Nothing wrong with being a child once in a while

Kermit.de.frog

Don't know what the issues are with the thread forecast. Temperatures won't be quite as low but overall it seems fairly accurate, except it's less favorable to maintain the cold next week now.

We are not Mystic Megs.

Showers will pep up a little in the East through the night but very cold further west later on. That breeze will be cutting.

cavan4sam

MJohnston wrote:

Nothing wrong with being a child once in a while

"We're All Babies in Big Clothes"

Spanish Eyes

nacho libre wrote: »

Guilty as charged!

The UK Met Office forecast it well in advance, it was unusual for them to be so bullish about it, normally they would be more cautious. M.T Cranium was warning about it in advance too. It would be great to see a similar forecast from him again soon. Maybe next year!

Ah no worries.

It was unreal though back in 2010 and from what I can remember it was also a bit of a shock too at the time!

Oneiric 3

Current temp and 'wind chill' readings here currently:



While out moon bathing, I have to say I found this current coolness much more pleasant on the skin and much easier to tolerate than what you usually get when winds are from the west, which usually feels more brutal even when temps are higher.

Oneiric 3

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

We are not Mystic Megs.

True, as her high standards are just simply impossible to live up to..

Gaoth Laidir

Doctor Shivering wrote: »

@ Su campu I definitely heard the word widespread referring to the east

I'll split the difference with ya! He said "the odd shower" on Friday, becoming "a lot more frequent" on Saturday.

http://www.rte.ie/radio/utils/radioplayer/rteradioweb.html#!rii=b9%5F21128141%5F48%5F09%2D02%2D2017%5F

nacho libre

Spanish Eyes wrote: »

Ah no worries.

It was unreal though back in 2010 and from what I can remember it was also a bit of a shock too at the time!

Froze were the days!

I remember thinking at the time will I ever be fortunate enough to experience another winter month like it in my lifetime. Little did I think we'd would go seven years without a meaningful snowfall, though.

squarecircles

Beginning to feel very chilly in the easterly breeze here in West Mayo,possible to see your breath despite the wind, something I associate more with calm nights.

q85dw7osi4lebg

Snizzle grains blowing in the wind - coastal Meath

squarecircles

-1 here on the Mayo coast.wind has eased off.

Rougies

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

While out moon bathing, I have to say I found this current coolness much more pleasant on the skin and much easier to tolerate than what you usually get when winds are from the west, which usually feels more brutal even when temps are higher.

That would be the fancy expensive moisturisers getting evaporated from our precious eastern skin and being blown westwards. You may even wake up with a free spray tan if you're lucky!

squarecircles

There's a smell of slurry in this easterly wind.

Larbre34

If we had the next weeks patterns in late July it would break the all time temp record.

Rougies

Larbre34 wrote: »

If we had the next weeks patterns in late July it would break the all time temp record.

If my aunt had balls she'd be my uncle.

Widdershins

It doesn't *feel* like snow. Science, shmience!

Rougies

The notorious IOM Shadow has entered the ring early.

Graces7

Spanish Eyes wrote: »

Ah no worries.

It was unreal though back in 2010 and from what I can remember it was also a bit of a shock too at the time!

"AH yes, I remember it well.." As long as the enthusiasts will get out and dig others out! No one did in that year, until a boardsie came to the rescue

Safer here.

Graces7

Bitter stultifying cold.. no way was I TAKING the dog out... door open long enough for her to squeeze through then firmly closed Just is frigid.