Fight Time From 4am-McGregor vs Mayweather**MOD Warning in 1st Post**

Burial.

Floyd via DQ

Even with takedowns I'd give Floyd a relatively live chance of counter KOing him cold coming in with his arms low.

Red F Warrior

All McGregor needs to do is send a few kicks at Mayweathers legs and he'd be rocking like a baby tree in a storm.

Sweet Science

Conor on points

Oh i agree McGregor would make mince meat of him .

I just think it would be more likely in 100 MMA fights Floyd could catch him flush on the chin.

In boxing , Floyd wins 100 times out of 100 and i cant see anyway McGregor wins .

Mellor

Draw

walshb wrote: »

Yes, but the MMA fighter still has to get close to do this, and this is where a trained boxer has the chance to land the KO shot. That chance for me is better than the reverse, ie Conor scoring a KO on Floyd

You don't have to get into punching range to shoot a takedown. McGregor would just kick him without getting close enough to be punched. Cut him off, and then shoot a low takedown from the outside.

No issue with the opposing view here, but IMO Carl Froch is not delusional with his take on it.

Carl was suggesting it's be competive i under MMA rules :pac:

Caged Muay Thai, traditional Muay Thai. Floyd has a better chance, but still very slim.
I'm not sure if there's a ruleset, where it's be an even right.

4068ac1elhodqr

Conor via DQ

walshb wrote: »

BTW, percent wise I would say Floyd would have a 1/100 chance and Conor a 1/200 chance.

Bookies have this event priced at 7/1 at best for CMcG to win.
Although FM is priced so short it's not really worth considering.

What's the view on a draw scenario, if they both take a defensive posture and have an agenda to do at least bare minimum 6 rounds in order to reap in millions through live advertising revenue, that could be a viable option, 33/1.

Mellor

Draw

Helena Billions Recipe wrote: »

[
Although FM is priced so short it's not really worth considering.

Floyd is 1/10,
If people are serious about Conor having zero chance, 500/1 shot, etc. Then 1/10 is a great price. No risk, 10% return.
You'd have to imagine people will have the mortgage on if they're confident in their prediction .

walshb

Floyd via KO-TKO

pac_man wrote: »

What weight will this shambles be at?

I think Conor should push for MW. Gives him a springboard to then challenge the winner of Canelo-GGG fight to find out p4ps number 1.

Lukker-

walshb wrote: »

I think Conor should push for MW. Gives him a springboard to then challenge the winner of Canelo-GGG fight to find out p4ps number 1.

His next fight after that will be SHW when he fights Santa Claus

4068ac1elhodqr

Conor via DQ

Mellor wrote: »

Floyd is 1/10,
If people are serious about Conor having zero chance, 500/1 shot, etc. Then 1/10 is a great price. No risk, 10% return.
You'd have to imagine people will have the mortgage on if they're confident in their prediction .

Yes 1/10 or 1.10, but the average across the board, and many shop prices are just 1.065. Which means just 6.50 profit from every 100 notes. This price is likely to shorten further as people load on FM, probably at 1.05 during July/Aug.

I'd advise never loading on anything, and at such short single prices. Even when confident of the Trump and Brexit wins, they were just line selections on my accumulators with various risk reduction factors added.

Do like the idea of a very small bit on draw@34. Just think of how much $$$ they can milk from the ad agencies during those 12 rounds. Light Entertainment: yes. Boxing: sort-of.

walshb

Floyd via KO-TKO

Mellor wrote: »

Floyd is 1/10,
If people are serious about Conor having zero chance, 500/1 shot, etc. Then 1/10 is a great price. No risk, 10% return.
You'd have to imagine people will have the mortgage on if they're confident in their prediction .

If people were guaranteed that the fight was above board they may bet their house on it. But this really is uncharteted territory. Circus act..wwf buzz off it...no way would I put a shilling on it.

Copper_pipe

Floyd via DQ

https://twitter.com/TheNotoriousMMA/status/875101558584856578

The best bet would be to put money on mcregor and when it gets to the second round and the mma fans lose their **** and lump on him his odds will have shortened and then lay him on betfair , guaranteed profit.

callaway92

Floyd via DQ

Wow. Floyd has confirmed. Just wow

Frank Bullitt

Floyd via DQ

Speechless that this calamity is going ahead.

People will pay to watch some bloke make millions to get a pounding from the best boxer of his generation. **** that.

Burial.

Floyd via DQ

Sad news lads. Media/internet will be unbearable for the summer. I'm going to Vegas for WSOP in a few weeks and I'm already dreading opening my Irish mouth :pac:

It'll be nice to see Floyd put on a clinic again though.

walshb

Floyd via KO-TKO

Gintonious wrote: »

Speechless that this calamity is going ahead.

People will pay to watch some bloke make millions to get a pounding from the best boxer of his generation. **** that.

Come on, you cannot believe that. This has to be a staged con job. Both teams in on it to feed us a farce...nobody is getting beaten up here.

Burial.

Floyd via DQ

The Charismatic Mango wrote: »

The same twats who sad thr Pacquiao fight would never happen look like fools once again, biggest fool being walshb.

Ugh...our lovely little forum is going to be ruined. Make it stop mods make it stop.

Floyd via DQ

Mayweather will toy with him for a few rounds which is a pity as Conor's deluded fans will than reckon it was an honourable performance by the man who dresses like Toad from the wind of the willows.

Some one mentioned something about fancying their own chances against Floyd in an MMA bout... unreal. You wouldn't get near him without being knocked out.

Burial.

Floyd via DQ

On paper this should be like Floyd/Gatti only x100 more brutal. As much as I liked Gatti I really enjoyed that performance from Floyd. I hope Floyd is legit taking it seriously. Trespassers aren't welcome.

Mellor

Draw

Helena Billions Recipe wrote: »

Yes 1/10 or 1.10, but the average across the board, and many shop prices are just 1.065. Which means just 6.50 profit from every 100 notes. This price is likely to shorten further as people load on FM, probably at 1.05 during July/Aug.

Nobody should be concerned with the average price. It doesn't mater what other bookies are doing, if 1.1 is availible, thats the price.
Brexit and Trump weren't never 99.5% shots, completely unrelated.
If somebody believes Conor to be a 1 in 200 shot, the optimal amount is 95% of bankroll. Higher if shorter.

hbhook

Floyd via DQ

McGregor will have a connect rate of about 8%. All shoulders and arms.

degsie

August 26th in Las Vegas, confirmed.

Mellor

Floyd via DQ

Mellor wrote: »

Nobody should be concerned with the average price. It doesn't mater what other bookies are doing, if 1.1 is availible, thats the price.
Brexit and Trump weren't never 99.5% shots, completely unrelated.
If somebody believes Conor to be a 1 in 200 shot, the optimal amount is 95% of bankroll. Higher if shorter.

No competent gambler puts 95% of their bankroll on anything regardless how much they reckon the available price is incorrect by.

Also .. whoever is offering the biggest odds won't take too much money on it.

Mellor

Draw

Augeo wrote: »

Some one mentioned something about fancying their own chances against Floyd in an MMA bout... unreal. You wouldn't get near him without being knocked out.

I assume you are referring to me. While I was being slightly tongue-in-cheek, you seem to be missing the point. I wasn't suggesting he'd suddenly be unable to strike in little gloves. No striking involved, once taken down it'd be over. I'd be confident somebody with a little experience gets him down a reasonable amount of times. A pro gets him down 100% of the time.

Frank Bullitt

Floyd via DQ

I am a McGregor fan, but no chance I support him in this.

He only wants money, simple as that.

And if anyone says "Well Floyd has trouble with southpaws", Mayweather only beat 3 world champion southpaws, so piss off with that crap.

Propane Nightmare

Will this be the fight to single handedly save boxing?

Burial.

Floyd via DQ

Propane Nightmare wrote: »

Will this be the fight to single handedly save boxing?

Boxing hasn't been relevant since John Cena's fight against The Rock.

Seve OB

I hope McGregor gets seven shades of sh1te thumped out of him.

Frank Bullitt

Floyd via DQ

Propane Nightmare wrote: »

Will this be the fight to single handedly save boxing?

It could potentially ruin 2 sports. Makes a show of boxing with Mayweather walking through McGregor, and MMAs golden boy gets a pounding from a boxer.

Who cares though, they make their money.

Mellor

Draw

Augeo wrote: »

No competent gambler puts 95% of their bankroll on anything regardless how much they reckon the available price is incorrect by.

Also .. whoever is offering the biggest odds won't take too much money on it.

I was said what was optimal. Not what was wise. It was to illustrate how big a price 1/10 is on a supposed >99.5% shot.

But payouts being 20x the probability doesn't actually exist.