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2014 share picks

  • 13-12-2013 2:59pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 838 ✭✭✭


    Just for a bit of fun for the season thats in it, how about posting your 3 favourite picks for the new year.

    I'll kick it off with mine.

    1. Smurfitt Kappa. €15.95 today. Big gains this year but still undervalued. Very sound company with a lot of ground work done to push on next year.

    2. Air Lingus €1.28 today. I have them on my short list every year but cross them off because unions, ryanair holding, pensions ect. Sooner or later these negatives will have to be delt with and the positives will drive the share price at last. 2014 has to be the year if they ever intend to make something of this company.

    3. INM. €0.12. I know. Everyone has all but given up on these, including myself. But I can't believe that two of the smartest and wealthiest business men in this country have invested in here again without seeing opportunity. They are starting the year with practical a clean sheet so the ground work has been done. INM have practically a monopoly here now and surely ad revenue can only grow in 2014.


«134

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 650 ✭✭✭euroboom13


    iseq

    1. bank of ireland(26.3c)
    2.inm(12c)
    3.ptsb(4.72c)

    good luck all!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,834 ✭✭✭Sonnenblumen


    euroboom13 wrote: »
    iseq

    1. bank of ireland(26.3c)
    2.inm(12c)
    3.ptsb(4.72c)

    good luck all!!

    Euroboom

    1. would seem a good bet but #2 & # 3 would suggest you know something nobody else knows? :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,834 ✭✭✭Sonnenblumen


    1. Royal Mail Group
    2. Greencore
    3. RSA Insurance


    Penny Stocks
    Tomco Energy (Fracking)
    Bank of Ireland


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 650 ✭✭✭euroboom13


    Euroboom

    1. would seem a good bet but #2 & # 3 would suggest you know something nobody else knows? :D
    inm =if deal completed on Monday will be well undervalued.
    ptsb= worthless at the moment but is still afloat and I believe ,liquidity in Ireland is starting to return, which may hand It a life line.... pure gamble

    1 and 2 best of 2013 recovery plays and more to follow 2014


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 650 ✭✭✭euroboom13


    1. Royal Mail Group
    2. Greencore
    3. RSA Insurance


    Penny Stocks
    Tomco Energy (Fracking)
    Bank of Ireland

    Greencore ....tops...watched it all year ,welldone 2013
    g.luck


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,919 ✭✭✭simongurnick


    short the s&p. This bull market has to correct soon!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 337 ✭✭Value Hunter


    Not to sure on how they'll perform for 2014, but here's a couple i'm looking at buying and holding for the next 3+ years

    1. Steel and Tube (STU - NZX)

    Current price $2.97 with 87.63 million shares outstanding = market cap of $260.43 m

    Shareholder equity of $157.18 m = 60% of market cap!

    Net Income $16.23 m in 2013.

    These guys are going to be the main suppliers for the Christchurch rebuild, and I know categorically that sales in the Christchurch branch will grow exponentially once rebuilding work actually starts.

    A simple valuation formula I'll use for here is multiplying current earnings by 15 (a higher rate being used due to the high future growth) and adding it to shareholders equity.

    $16.23 x 15 = $243.45m
    Shareholders equity = $157.18

    Value = $400.63m

    Divided by shares outstanding = $400.63/87.63m

    Share price value = $4.57
    Current Value = $2.97

    Potential upside = 53.87%

    This is quite conservative in my view, as the market will obviously react very positively to such growth, I believe it could go as high as $6 a share


    2. IBM (NYSE) $172.80

    Attracted to this for their huge share buyback program. Planning to increase EPS to $20 a share from roughly $14.50 now. Low valuation at present means its one of the few stocks that hasn't been pulled out of value by this bull market.

    Expecting it to reach a minimum of $240 per share in 2/3 years.


    The fact I can't find a third stock that i'm happy to open a new position with says a lot about the market right now


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 838 ✭✭✭lucky john




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 838 ✭✭✭lucky john




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 534 ✭✭✭chompdown


    1. Sirona Biochem
    2. Allied Nevada Gold Corp
    3. Exxon Mobil


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 65 ✭✭wenxue


    BOI

    ARIA

    OSTK

    KEY

    YGE


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,370 ✭✭✭ranger4


    Bank of Ireland
    SOLG
    LLOY
    BARC.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14 Interested in food


    BOI
    DCC
    Ryanair


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 838 ✭✭✭lucky john


    High expectations for BoI in 2014. I hope Richie obliges.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,834 ✭✭✭Sonnenblumen


    IFG delivers a Christmas surprise!:D

    In @ € 1.39 (30/10/13)
    Current : € 2.10 (+51%, jumped 23% yesterday!!)

    Dividend cheque payments currently being posted (Y2.85%) and now I read some reports of possible take-over talks taking place?

    Now sitting back and watch how Royal Mail SP will do (expecting more SP uplift) on when it enters the FTSE100 next week! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 213 ✭✭tommylimerick


    ostk saw someone else posted this like amazon
    cea china eatern airline
    ddd 3d printing


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40 Procyon


    Vedanta, (ved), Indian miner/oiler. Hopefully the share price will bounce back from recent falls.

    Genel, (genl), Kurdistan based oil producer/explorer. Will have a good year if politics and the pipeline to turkey are sorted out. Will be digging holes around Africa next year.

    Unilever. Sensible share, less risky than the other two.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 241 ✭✭1st dalkey dalkey


    Prefer bigger beasts that have been around a while and have lived through this and previous recessions while delivering a dividend throughout.
    Also like international exposure, even with the fx risks. Ireland is too small and peripheral, with possible exceptions of Kerry, Ryanair, CRH and a few others lately making shapes (SKG, Glanbia, Greencore maybe).

    General Mills (NYSE-GIS) - US$

    Associated British Foods (LDN-ABF) - Sterling

    Wesfarmers (ASX-WES) - Aus$

    Everything is a bit expensive lately, but when will the 'correction' come? Just dripping for now, awaiting the off.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14 Interested in food


    I like Gen Mills. They have great brands, supported by consistent innovation and strong spend. Sales for the last half were up 4% but diluted EPS was down. They are $3 off their 52 wk high. They look a little expensive

    I also like ABF. They too have great brands like Primark (expanding in Europe) Ryvita, Jordans and great commodities and Agri busiesses. They are at their 52 week high at the moment. They look expensive but certainly one I will take a look at.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,919 ✭✭✭simongurnick


    Tesla Motors (TSLA)
    Has already had a huge year,going from $30 to $160, but could still see further growth. Has a lot of short interest right now but if this thing stays on an uptrend the bears will have to close out and that will only push it up more. Elon Musk is a true innovator and could change the auto industry not only with the electric cars, but with their direct to consumer sales.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42 venividi


    Barclays Barc
    Volkswagen Vow
    CLS holdings Cli ~ UK/European commercial prop small cap

    Bearish for 2014 though! Lloyds and JPM German equity fund are my only material holdings.
    Don't thing anybody is going to get rich on boi this year. That's my guess anyways.....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,834 ✭✭✭Sonnenblumen


    There was an excellent article on interview with former CEO Glanbia.
    I'm putting them back high on my radar for 2014. ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9 PHayes86


    My first 3 picks of 2014. Speculative buys, expecting at least to double my money as I have researched these well over Christmas and they all have much higher projected price targets, analysts are bullish and there is just general good sentiment and news stories around them.

    Xencor Inc (XNCR) - $9.14 (Biopharmaceutical Vaccines)
    Venaxis Inc (APPY) - $2.10 (Appendicitis detection)
    Tiger X Medical (CDOM) - $0.08 (Biomedical - knee injuries)

    Of course do your own research, but these are my picks for the new year.

    Good luck for 2014!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 650 ✭✭✭euroboom13


    PHayes86 wrote: »
    My first 3 picks of 2014. Speculative buys, expecting at least to double my money as I have researched these well over Christmas and they all have much higher projected price targets, analysts are bullish and there is just general good sentiment and news stories around them.

    Xencor Inc (XNCR) - $9.14 (Biopharmaceutical Vaccines)
    Venaxis Inc (APPY) - $2.10 (Appendicitis detection)
    Tiger X Medical (CDOM) - $0.08 (Biomedical - knee injuries)

    Of course do your own research, but these are my picks for the new year.

    Good luck for 2014!

    Bit heavy on the $$$,good luck($1.36)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 492 ✭✭The Cuban


    Mediatek Inc. (2454.TW) -Taiwan

    A mature microchip maker who have over the last 18 months taken a huge piece of the Chinese phone market with their low to mid priced CPUs. Just after releasing a 2 ghz 8 core chip which is now shipping.
    They have developed a great business model whereby they sell the phone CPU and motherboard to other Cellphone manufacturers who tailor them (or kit them out) to their own spec. So basically you end up with a huge number of manufacturers installing the Mediatek chips in their phones.
    The rate of growth of their market share has really accelerated over the last 5 months , the benefits of which will not be seen until July 2014 dividend which I suspect is going to be very good.
    Also with Intel failing to make inroads into the cellphone CPU market with their Atom processors they are soon to go after a chip maker like this, if only to use up the spare cash and spare Manufacturing capability that Intel have.
    The Taiwan dollar has lost some ground to the Euro over the last year and with the Euro starting to weaken it should recover again before the end of 2014


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 59 ✭✭Pennystockwhiz


    Tesco - Still reasonably priced. One of the world's largest retailers, solid record of consistent growth for the past decade. Even we slip back into a recession it should hold up well.

    Yahoo - Alibaba IPO expected to happen in the 1st Q of 2014 and Yahoo owns 20% of Alibaba. Up over 100% year-to-date due to cost-cutting, share buyback plan, and speculation over the Alibaba IPO. Alibaba is expected to be valued at $100 billion so that is a key event to look out for.

    Ivanhoe Mines Ltd (IVAN) - Trades on the Nasdaq. Canadian mineral exploration company headquartered in Vancouver, British Columbia. Long term play, investors will need to hold for at least 3-5 years and will be rewarded nicely. Run by Robert Friedland, the world's most successful mining entrepreneur in the last 50 years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 65 ✭✭wenxue


    PHayes86 wrote: »
    My first 3 picks of 2014. Speculative buys, expecting at least to double my money as I have researched these well over Christmas and they all have much higher projected price targets, analysts are bullish and there is just general good sentiment and news stories around them.

    Xencor Inc (XNCR) - $9.14 (Biopharmaceutical Vaccines)
    Venaxis Inc (APPY) - $2.10 (Appendicitis detection)
    Tiger X Medical (CDOM) - $0.08 (Biomedical - knee injuries)

    Of course do your own research, but these are my picks for the new year.

    Good luck for 2014!

    all stocks under $10,very brave!!:D:D:D:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9 PHayes86


    wenxue wrote: »
    all stocks under $10,very brave!!:D:D:D:D

    you have to speculate to accumulate ;) I'm in for the long haul (hopefully)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 97 ✭✭wired117


    3 unlikely picks. I don't recommend these for any substantial investment but you could have some good volatility and gains.

    1. Independent news and media approx 12.5 cents. Massive debts paid down, cost base reducing.
    2. Zamano 12 cents. Dog of a share but worth a minimal punt.
    3. TEG - 4.5p. Listed on AIM. This share has taken a lot of pain in last few years.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 158 ✭✭iamfromcork


    Hey , three stocks i added

    Zalicus Inc ZLCS @ $1.13 just today when up 20%
    Hansen Medical inc @ $ 1.76
    Skypharma SKP.L @ £0.85

    Looking into Robo-Stox Gibi Robotics ROBO

    Got into Bank of Ireland at 0.07 doing good and AIB at .05 both doing well enough, treating as very Long term . Amgen Inc last march @ 57. Holding all long term.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,272 ✭✭✭championc


    Anyone with an Penny Stocks suggestions / recommendations ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,834 ✭✭✭Sonnenblumen


    championc wrote: »
    Anyone with an Penny Stocks suggestions / recommendations ?

    The only one I'm on is Tomco Energy (http://www.tomcoenergy.uk.com/ ), been waiting a few years now under water, bought more recently as this year is probably boom or bust! DYOR :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,272 ✭✭✭championc


    I'll look them up. I recently took a punt on Tower Resources (TRP.L) @ 4p


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,834 ✭✭✭Sonnenblumen


    ICG, current SP around € 28.00 (YTD + 50%) and pays a good divi (> 3.5%). Back in 2009 this was down at € 10.00 and spent much of 2012 around € 12.00!

    But look at it now, this stalwart of the ISEQ is sailing! ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,761 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    No one recommended Intercept Pharmaceuticals ICPT :P

    Yesterday shares were up over $200 to $275, or a 218% rise...how did we all miss that one :mad: :pac:


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,272 ✭✭✭championc


    For a real risk for buttons, check out Vialogy VIY.L, now at 0.15p (that's zero point one five pence per share). So 100,000 shares would cost you £150 !!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,834 ✭✭✭Sonnenblumen


    I'm going to watch the Boiler Room and check if any others were missed?:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 65 ✭✭wenxue


    RobertKK wrote: »
    No one recommended Intercept Pharmaceuticals ICPT :P

    Yesterday shares were up over $200 to $275, or a 218% rise...how did we all miss that one :mad: :pac:

    I recommended ARIA already doubled,only a few week ago!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 627 ✭✭✭zpehtsfd


    RobertKK wrote: »
    No one recommended Intercept Pharmaceuticals ICPT :P

    Yesterday shares were up over $200 to $275, or a 218% rise...how did we all miss that one :mad: :pac:

    Hit $497 today. I went crazy and shorted 25 shares on the way down @ $437 and covered after 3 minutes @ $425. What a wild ride. That's my crazy trade of 2014 done and dusted. :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 97 ✭✭wired117


    Kudos for getting in and out!!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,788 ✭✭✭Cute Hoor


    wenxue wrote: »
    ARIA

    Great call wenxue, up 50% since you posted, in less than a month, were up 75% on the 2nd of January, hopped on and off the carousel a couple of times on the way up.

    I bought PLUG on December 27th for $1.64, sold a couple of days later for a very nice profit but look what I left behind, up 125% now, could have waited until the 8th January and made almost 200% profit (in little over a week!), hindsight is great, ifs and buts, that's why Warren Buffett does what he does and I do what I do.

    Still no regrets, onwards and upwards, best of luck to all for 2014.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 65 ✭✭wenxue


    Cute Hoor wrote: »
    Great call wenxue, up 50% since you posted, in less than a month, were up 75% on the 2nd of January, hopped on and off the carousel a couple of times on the way up.

    I bought PLUG on December 27th for $1.64, sold a couple of days later for a very nice profit but look what I left behind, up 125% now, could have waited until the 8th January and made almost 200% profit (in little over a week!), hindsight is great, ifs and buts, that's why Warren Buffett does what he does and I do what I do.

    Still no regrets, onwards and upwards, best of luck to all for 2014.

    I bought ARIA 11 Dec

    :D

    watch BIOS and ONVO on Monday! any advise?

    AMRN,Irish business,I will buy some for FDA appeal,dont care whatever gain or loss.Just support Dublin business,:P


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9 PHayes86


    championc wrote: »
    Anyone with an Penny Stocks suggestions / recommendations ?

    tiger x medical CDOM currently 8-9 cents, expect to rise to 12c plus...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22 Manlord


    BMN Bushveld Minerals - massively undervalued after II selling (non company direct reasons) and now have 4 platforms of news due (overdue actually) currently 5.5p with a q1 target of 10-12p (pre II selling SP but with more potential)

    ALO - Alecto minerals currently 2p again with a target exist point of 4p given JV update due along with gold resource in Mali. Great BoD and low cost exploration as they own 100% of their drilling rig. Lots of potential here with many sitting on the sidelines awaiting next RNS.

    STGR Stratmin Global - UK's only graphite producer with order book ready. Currently 15p (down from 50p) but almost certainly due to sentiment caused by upgrades and investor impatience. Big bounce from lows of 11.25p two weeks ago and upgrades due for completion end of January with grade increases in graphite content (large flake)

    BOI - economy turning and it's that simple.

    GLA

    ML


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 97 ✭✭wired117


    ICPT should take a big hit today reports in media suggest questions around cholesterol impact

    Down 20% today


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 350 ✭✭Palmy


    Thanks for the tip on Tesla Motors Inc.. Got in and brought this morning at $140.50 and it is now trading at $161.20.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,104 ✭✭✭manonboard


    lucky john wrote: »
    Just for a bit of fun for the season thats in it, how about posting your 3 favourite picks for the new year.

    3. INM. €0.12. I know. Everyone has all but given up on these, including myself. But I can't believe that two of the smartest and wealthiest business men in this country have invested in here again without seeing opportunity. They are starting the year with practical a clean sheet so the ground work has been done. INM have practically a monopoly here now and surely ad revenue can only grow in 2014.
    euroboom13 wrote: »
    2.inm(12c)


    good luck all!!
    euroboom13 wrote: »
    inm =if deal completed on Monday will be well undervalued.
    wired117 wrote: »
    3 unlikely picks. I don't recommend these for any substantial investment but you could have some good volatility and gains.

    1. Independent news and media approx 12.5 cents. Massive debts paid down, cost base reducing.

    I'd just like to extend Thanks to the posters quoted here. I bought in when you recommended and it's going really well. I did some research at the time but without your tip, I wouldn't of noticed the company. Much appreciated!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9 PHayes86


    PHayes86 wrote: »
    My first 3 picks of 2014. Speculative buys, expecting at least to double my money as I have researched these well over Christmas and they all have much higher projected price targets, analysts are bullish and there is just general good sentiment and news stories around them.

    Xencor Inc (XNCR) - $9.14 (Biopharmaceutical Vaccines)
    Venaxis Inc (APPY) - $2.10 (Appendicitis detection)
    Tiger X Medical (CDOM) - $0.08 (Biomedical - knee injuries)

    Of course do your own research, but these are my picks for the new year.

    Good luck for 2014!

    I'll just leave these here:
    XNCR: http://www.wkrb13.com/markets/245182/xencor-receives-new-coverage-from-analysts-at-credit-suisse-xncr/

    APPY +23% :http://www.smallcapnetwork.com/The-Venaxis-Switch-Was-Just-Flipped-to-On-APPY/s/via/1789/article/view/p/mid/3/id/471/

    CDOM: No news but up 11%

    Have BOI and MEET as well so sweet start to 2014

    See you at the top!

    P


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 534 ✭✭✭chompdown


    chompdown wrote: »
    1. Sirona Biochem
    2. Allied Nevada Gold Corp
    3. Exxon Mobil

    Sirona up 10%
    Allied Nevada up 41%
    Exxon down 2%


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 650 ✭✭✭euroboom13


    euroboom13 wrote: »
    iseq

    1. bank of ireland(26.3c)
    2.inm(12c)
    3.ptsb(4.72c)

    good luck all!!

    Up ave 55%

    Won't be a straight road but couldn't have started better.gla:)


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