Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

thomond2006

sydthebeat wrote: »

I see its narrowed to 6/5 now

Punters must have lumped on

Sometimes they are slow to adjust those specials to be in line with the individual odds

sydthebeat

I'm pretty sure sale moved about 3 points wider and connacht 2 points wider, and leinster stayed the same.. Since they offered the 3/1.

Im on will Jordan to score 2 or more @ 12/5
And blues - 8 @ 10/11

thomond2006

Sale were -12, Leinster were -11 and Connacht were -4 and the 3/1 was still there and way overpriced.

sydthebeat

thomond2006 wrote: »

Sale were -12, Leinster were -11 and Connacht were -4 and the 3/1 was still there and way overpriced.

Exactly, sale are now -18 and connacht -6 and the acca odds have moved to match.

We got a great price @3/1

Its down to 11/10 now

Bazzo

I'm not sure I'd take Connacht to win any match at 11/10 :pac:

Leinstertomas

Reds +8
Connacht win
@ 1.7/1

thomond2006

Never Trust Connacht Leinster

sydthebeat

Even after that crazy game the bookies still got the ulster spread right...

The real mccoy 91

Powers a bit slow updating again for the Exeter game

Exeter Chiefs to win by 20 or more points

Was 2/1 now 5/2

True price is in or around 6/4 so I'll have a bit of the 5/2

Joe Simmonds 5/1 to score anytime also seems a bit too big they will do for me

thomond2006

Took Munster -16 on SkyBet. It had moved to -20 on PP.

Leinstertomas

Laumape anytime @evens

Laumape anytime & over 25 points in 1st half @2/1

Collins anytime @2/1

Highlanders
Racing HT/FT
Leinster -22
@2/1

sydthebeat

Highlanders -8 @ evens
Highlanders grand final winners @8/1

L Lonergan 1st @14/1
Nareki 1st for highlanders @4/1
Nareki 2 or more @11/4

Crusaders - 27 @evens
Jordan 1st @ 17/2
Jordan 2 or more @13/5

Leinster - 28 @10/11
Baird 2 or more @10/1

sydthebeat

Crusaders gone from - 27 to - 40 on the back of the Highlanders result this morning.

sydthebeat

In play munster -15 @evens

sydthebeat

In play scannal anytime @5/4

Leinstertomas

Leinster -13 at HT
-27 FT
Penny anytime
Leinster win second half by 15 or more
@6/1

-7 HT
-24 FT
Kelleher and Doris anytime
@ 11/2

sydthebeat

highlanders to win SR TT @8/1
(bet since the 1st round)

highlanders to win 13+ @17/2

Benetton +13 @evens

sydthebeat

Treviso spread started at +13

Down to +4 now.

thomond2006

sydthebeat wrote: »

Treviso spread started at +13

Down to +4 now.

I regret not taking that during the week.

It's a bit of a crapshoot game but Bulls -4 is tempting.

sydthebeat

thomond2006 wrote: »

I regret not taking that during the week.

It's a bit of a crapshoot game but Bulls -4 is tempting.

i fancy Benetton to win TBH. taken then at 13/10

They will be so pumped for this.
A final, at home, a one off tournament for posterity.
an extra weeks down time and prep.

Bulls squad is split in 2, as the have a currie cup game against western province on the same day... theugh theyve taken a lot of their available first teamers...
on top of that, theyre travelling a long way, without boks, and isolating.

sydthebeat

big win last weekend on benetton

not much happening competitively this week but im on

LAR -1 @ evens. They owe Toulose for the HC and i think they will have too much and that spreads about 4 points too short.

samoa +21 v maoris.
Maoris have a much better team on paper, but i think it will be quite an open game and the maoris would be happy with any win so may not be too driven to scramble.

for the craic Japan to win @ 5/1 (available at 7/1 now)
K Owens 1st e/w @ 16/1
J Conan 1st e/w @ 10/1

Tour
DVDM top Scottish try scorer @ evens
Conor murray top Irish try scorer @ 7/2

sydthebeat

added:

England U20s @ -28
Japan + 19 @ 10/11

ash dixon 1st @ 6/1
ash dixon 2 or more @ 11/4

thomond2006

Took the Lions post lineups at -13. Out to -20 now for some reason which feels too high.

thomond2006

Australia -9 Vs France. I know little of the Australian side but the France team is missing so many names.

sydthebeat

thomond2006 wrote: »

Australia -9 Vs France. I know little of the Australian side but the France team is missing so many names.

and yet they have a lot of the france team that were beaten only on pens by a fully loaded english team... and some of the replacements are better imo.

Iribaren, penaud, boutier, jalibert, bamba, grod, taofifenua and cretin didnt feature in that english game, and id have them ahead of the guys that did appear in their place.

australia are always greater than the sum of their parts though, similar to wales.

im not convinced at all by Gordon at 9. Nic white and tate mcdermott are better scrum halfs who bring better tempo. Lolesio at 10 is a very skilful young guy whos been earmarked as the long term aussie 10 for the last couple of seasons, however he hasnt really pushed on though. some of his appearances for the brumbies this year have been really really poor.

the aussies definitely have the better front row replacements and if its a close game going into the last 20 they will be the difference.

probably going to be a high scoring game so an 8 point spread may not be much play with

sydthebeat

lions to win the tour 3-0 @ 4/1

Thrashssacre

sydthebeat wrote: »

lions to win the tour 3-0 @ 4/1

Not a great return id have expected it to be a lot higher to be honest.

sydthebeat

Thrashssacre wrote: »

Not a great return id have expected it to be a lot higher to be honest.

The lions are 4/5 favourites to win the tour

so essentially im getting a 3/1 odds on the lions winning 1 game extra.

ive a feeling if the first game is a resounding victory (which i expect) then the next two games they will go in at a lot shorter than the 4/5 they are going into the first game at.
an acca of 4/5, 8/13, 8/13 gives less of a return than 4/1

and even at that, i used a power up to go from 7/2

Miley Byrne

5 points SA +1 @ evens

2 points on SA -8 @ 5/2

Leinstertomas

SA -1 evens

SA -4 @ 11/8

SA first try and win @ 21/10

Kolbe anytime @ 21/10

Henshaw anytime @ 15/2

Smith anytime @ 4/1