The Golf Tips Thread

LuckyGent88

Actually quite hard to look past Webb Simpson this week.
Form player, top ranked player in field and has an absolute love affair with this course. So much so he named a child after the tournament!!!!

Others I like are;
Justin Rose (feel he is really getting his game back in shape after the equipment change)

Brendan Todd. ( May be running out of gas but best driver on tour for accuracy and that is a requirement on this course)

Some outsiders would be Chez e/w and Jason Kokrak e/w

The real mccoy 91

Small stakes this week as itll be a birdie fest and it could throw up a winner from nowhere 5 picks for me

English 25/1 5 places
Kisner 28/1 8 places
Henley 45/1 8 places
Stanley 100/1 5 places
Ventura 150/1 8 places

Couple of cross doubles Henley and english into larrazabal 55s and arnaus 50s

And 2 frl pokes in america 5 places
Niemann 60/1
Varner III 66/1

The real mccoy 91

Small stakes this week as itll be a birdie fest and it could throw up a winner from nowhere 5 picks for me

English 25/1 5 places
Kisner 28/1 8 places
Henley 45/1 8 places
Stanley 100/1 5 places
Ventura 150/1 8 places

Couple of cross doubles Henley and english into larrazabal 55s and arnaus 50s

And 2 frl pokes in america 5 places
Niemann 60/1
Varner III 66/1

DJIMI TRARORE

EW LUCKY 15

Rose
Ames
Bjerregard
Hall

Mysterypunter

Kisner has been tipped up by a couple of people here, interesting price differences on him in the top 10, 20 40 markets. Top 10 finish is 23/10 in boyles, 4/1 Ladbrokes are 2nd best price. 9/2in powers, cut from 6-1. Top 20 9-4 powers and top 40 11/10. These prices are 21-20 & 2-5 in boyles. Big difference of opinion. The 6-1 went about 20 mins ago. He is still 33-1 outright in Ladbrokes ew quarter 5 places, or on the boyles machines, which sometimes have different prices. Think powers cut him outright, but didn't cut him in the other markets. The other player I was considering for this is Billy Horschel, but I binned him this week. Might back him on Saturday if he is in the frame, but he has started slowly in recent events, and can't play more than 3 or 4 holes without a mistake.

Mysterypunter

Forgot to say this as well, but boyles in running betting is sometimes slow to update, and if you listen to PGA tour radio, it is sometimes well ahead of it. Bet 365 updates in a flash at the weekend but is sometimes behind on Thursday and Friday, but boyles have often been slow on the Sunday, so that could be an angle, as it is perfectly within the rules to punt away at a better price.

Mantis Toboggan

Small each way on Brendan Todd at 35/1

okidoki987

Mysterypunter wrote: »

Forgot to say this as well, but boyles in running betting is sometimes slow to update, and if you listen to PGA tour radio, it is sometimes well ahead of it. Bet 365 updates in a flash at the weekend but is sometimes behind on Thursday and Friday, but boyles have often been slow on the Sunday, so that could be an angle, as it is perfectly within the rules to punt away at a better price.

Also happens on the SSBT machines when the machine prices don't update as quick as the exchanges.

Mysterypunter

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Small stakes this week as itll be a birdie fest

And 2 frl pokes in america 5 places
Niemann 60/1
Varner III 66/1

Good call on Varner

The real mccoy 91

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Small stakes this week as itll be a birdie fest and it could throw up a winner from nowhere 5 picks for me

English 25/1 5 places
Kisner 28/1 8 places
Henley 45/1 8 places
Stanley 100/1 5 places
Ventura 150/1 8 places

Couple of cross doubles Henley and english into larrazabal 55s and arnaus 50s

And 2 frl pokes in america 5 places
Niemann 60/1
Varner III 66/1

Full place for kisner and varner III tied for the first round lead so turns a profit for the week nonetheless. Henley a shot short of a place would have made it a very nice weekend

Mantis Toboggan

Small e/w On DJ at 20/1

and small e/w On Louis oosthezen...at 90/1

The real mccoy 91

3 from each for the small ew doubles this week

wales open 7 places
Pieters 10/1
Fox 33/1
Croker 40/1

Northern trust 8 places
DJ 18/1
Cantlay 25/1
Wolff 40/1

Main picks for the northern trust

Wolff 50s (5 places)
Woodland 55s (8 places)
Champ 80s (5)
Kuchar 100/1(8)

First round leader pokes
Finau 40/1 (6)
Moore 90/1(6)
Grillo 100/1(6)
Wolff 60/1(6)

LuckyGent88

Looking at Jason Day this week.

Seems to be much healthier now and back in form. Has a good record on the course too.

HV3 as an outside bet looks good value along with Kokrak and Abe Ancer.

Likelihood though is that it will be a big time player that wins.
Rory has a super record on this course so look for him to bounce back in form.
Also hard to look away from the Huld Bryson too anymore

DJIMI TRARORE

Small ew patent

Ancer US
Green Wales
Maguire Womens

charlesanto

E/W Trixie;
Womens British Open; Stacy Lewis 35/1, 7plcs
Wales Open; Andrew Johnston 22/1, 7plcs
The Northern Trust; Sung-Jae Im 45/1, 8plcs

Wales Open; 7plcs E/W
Andrew Johnston 22/1
Thomas Pieters 10/1
Sami Valimaki 60/1

The Northern Trust; 8plcs E/W
Webb Simpson 25/1
Sung-Jae Im 45/1
Kevin Kisner 60/1

zimmermania

It's a while since I had a golf winner and if I stuck to golf betting I could put PP down as ok ne of my dependants on my tax return,the only consolation is that golf betting is a long term investment compared to horse racing and it takes me longer to lose my money.

However undaunted I backed Patrick Reed ew to win on track that has good memories for him and he is playing well at the moment,a tenner ew as usual.

tinpib

Have also done Patrick Reed at 30 as he has a good recent record, likewise Matsuyama 42, and Woodland 80. Emiliano Grilo has a decent record and was priced at 410 so why not?

All done on BFX and have done a cautious top 20 finish on each at not great odds.

Mysterypunter

Has to be Phil Mickelson. Boyles went 11-4 and cut it without laying it as usual. Powers are the same price as them now at 5-2. Powers have pushed him out from 2-1. The tournament starts at 3:45, he is teeing off at 8:20, and its his senior tour debut, a 54 hole event. In the world rankings, Mickelson is at 52, the next man in the rankings is KJ Choi 467, followed by Els 481, Striker 521, Jerry Kelly 900 and Langer 1217. He looks a certainty against this mob, and should win.

If it is a wide open course then maybe, given he still drives on average longer on tour.

its just kinda short given phils disinterest at time if things go wrong earlier

Not to say he plays badly if he plays a lot he will dominate that tour but if these are short tighter courses im not sure id have much interest.

Mantis Toboggan

Mantis Toboggan wrote: »

Small e/w On DJ at 20/1

and small e/w On Louis oosthezen...at 90/1

Pity Louis never got going on Sunday it would have been a nice bonus.

Anyway should be enough to bankroll my golf betting for the rest of the year.

Mysterypunter

charlesanto wrote: »

E/W Trixie;
Womens British Open; Stacy Lewis 35/1, 7plcs
Wales Open; Andrew Johnston 22/1, 7plcs
The Northern Trust; Sung-Jae Im 45/1, 8plcs

Wales Open; 7plcs E/W
Andrew Johnston 22/1
Thomas Pieters 10/1
Sami Valimaki 60/1

The Northern Trust; 8plcs E/W
Webb Simpson 25/1
Sung-Jae Im 45/1
Kevin Kisner 60/1

Some nice placed ones in these selections, if you did the cross doubles, you would be well in front.

okidoki987

Noticed during the Northern Trust, the commentators mentioned an 11 year old golfer called Charlie Woods who had just won his 2nd junior tournament.
Two weeks after winning a nine-hole U.S. Kids event by five shots, Charlie aged 11, won his 9-11 age division by three shots at a PGA South Florida tournament.
Probably helps to have a dad called Tiger .
Wonder what price he would be to win a Major before he's 20? :rolleyes:

munster87

Another one very close to a nice return, disappointing.

4068ac1elhodqr

okidoki987 wrote: »

Noticed during the Northern Trust, the commentators mentioned an 11 year old golfer called Charlie Woods who had just won his 2nd junior tournament.
Two weeks after winning a nine-hole U.S. Kids event by five shots, Charlie aged 11, won his 9-11 age division by three shots at a PGA South Florida tournament.
Probably helps to have a dad called Tiger .
Wonder what price he would be to win a Major before he's 20? :rolleyes:

Couple of books have prices (likely shop only):
66/1 for the youngster to win a major before his 25th birthday.

Considering negative interest rates, and 10yr bonds worth junk. A much longer market is 50/1 for Charlie on winning a Major by 2050, and 14/1 about him representing the United States in the Ryder Cup (no date specified).

All looks fine on paper, however can see the new Federal States of EurAsia, and it's partner the CanAusZUk - outlawing all and every bet by 2035. If the bookies aren't done by then, there will also be plenty of mergers, splits, rebrands and acquisitions to null or void your lucky monkey.

Edit: the article this came from was 2009, more recent indications and articles indicate a low low low '5/1' price for Charlie to win a major.
Pass, not even worth contemplating.

okidoki987

Ladbrokes are giving Money Back if your player misses the cut in the BMW.
They must know something that we don't as there's no cut this week! :eek:

Mysterypunter

okidoki987 wrote: »

Ladbrokes are giving Money Back if your player misses the cut in the BMW.
They must know something that we don't as there's no cut this week! :eek:

It's not the first time with them chancers, Dermot Weld had a horse killed over hurdles at Fairyhouse, and Ladbrokes had him 25-1 for the supreme novice. Also last week, a bookmaker priced up Johann Cruyff at 18-1 in the market for next Barcelona manager.

charlesanto

BMW Championship 1/5 Odds, 7 Places
Daniel Berger 20/1
Kevin Kisner 35/1
Ryan Palmer 80/1

charlesanto wrote: »

E/W Trixie;
Womens British Open; Stacy Lewis 35/1, 7plcs <Missed Cut>
Wales Open; Andrew Johnston 22/1, 7plcs <37th>
The Northern Trust; Sung-Jae Im 45/1, 8plcs <Missed Cut>

Wales Open; 7plcs E/W
Andrew Johnston 22/1 <15th>
Thomas Pieters 10/1 <37th>
Sami Valimaki 60/1 <2nd>

The Northern Trust; 8plcs E/W
Webb Simpson 25/1 <T6>
Sung-Jae Im 45/1 <Missed Cut>
Kevin Kisner 60/1 <T4>

Mysterypunter

20-1 Daniel Berger is a good price, and boyles have priced up top South African, and there are only 2 in it. Dylan Fritelli is 13-8. He is a better player and in better form than ridiculous 4-9 chance Louis Oousthuizen. Accept the gift from John Boyle.

cknfriedrice1

I think John Rahm will win this week. Played reasonably well behind an inspired DJ last week and will be looking to get back to world no1. Course should suit ok.

charlesanto

For Tiger Woods, the situation is simple: play his best golf in seven months, or go home.

Woods enters this week’s BMW Championship at No. 57 in the playoff standings and will likely need a top-four finish to get into the top 30, qualify for the Tour Championship and have any chance to win a third career FedEx Cup title. Otherwise, his 2019-’20 PGA Tour season will come to an end one tournament earlier than he’d like.

https://www.golfdigest.com/story/tiger-woods-2020-bmw-championship-preview
I'm beginning to believe Tiger is worth a punt !!?
BMW Championship - 7 Places, Tiger Woods 30/1