Cold Snap, T0-180Hours Only

Wine Goddess

I think it's time to post that picture of a ramp with a tractor at the bottom of it! In the meantime here's one of my favourites......

yorlum11

They are creaming themselves over on NW .More realistic here.A good run though lets hope iy holds in upcoming runs.It has made my Friday evening happier!!

LoadofCROC

netweather giving 23% chance of snow for Wicklow/Wexford Feb 1st? :eek:

weatherfiend

I'm posting these now just cos it's exciting to watch.

secrecy_ie

sofia snow.jpg

Apparently, this is Sofia (Bulgaria) at the moment...fingers crossed this is us soon!

LoadofCROC

weatherfiend wrote: »

I'm posting these now just cos it's exciting to watch.

:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D

ninebeanrows

UKM shows the cold front slightly further west than the GFS.

Gonna be a tight one.

100 mile swing west is needed for eastern districts, more the further west etc

@ 60hrs



@ 72hrs

premiercad

I think it's time to post that picture of a ramp with a tractor at the bottom of it! In the meantime here's one of my favourites......

weatherfiend

Sponge Bob wrote: »

For us to have another 1982 the cold needs to move another 200 miles west, mug a few atlantic wet fronts like the one coming across on Sunday, and then freeze it hard in situ.

So far the models have shifted it 100 miles westwards, only 200 to go. However another 100 miles will give the East and Dublin some (perhaps a lot?) snow and as far as Sponge Bob is concerned ye are welcome to it. Sure it could be another 1933 .....never mind 1982..and I would be just as happy.

Now lets all be patient, what will happen will happen.

How long has it taken them to move that 100 miles (without stating the obvious of 4 months!!) I mean really?

Rebelbrowser

LoadofCROC wrote: »

netweather giving 23% chance of snow for Wicklow/Wexford Feb 1st? :eek:

No point looking at odds for different days. IF this cold spell comes off then nearer the time we can make these predictions. I remember at the start of the second cold spell (December) in winter 2010/11 it had snowed down here but not in Dublin yet (well not in two weeks!) and a lot of our cousins in the capital were getting tetchy. This was heightened when MT said there was (only) a 20% risk of snow in Dublin each day that week. When queried on this he pointed out that if you've a 20% shot for 5 days in a row you should see one day of snow. In fact shortly afterwards it snowed like mad in Dublin for a week or something. So worry not about such percentages. If this comes off there will be plenty chances for sneachta.

Musicman2000

Get the cold first and wait for the snow later, Fingers crossed the ECM run will be a good one.

pistolpetes11

Lets not got overboard folks things could still go array ,

Its looking good , but we still need the cold airmass to shift to west some more

H2UMrsRobinson

OMG WTF HAPPENED !!!

I've had a busy work day on, so just logging on now...Old thread locked, new thread opened and more positivity than you can shake a snow covered stick at...will ye's all be quiet before "they" hear you and put the mockers on it.

Right i'm off to the pub, to down a few gin and skinnies - no downgrades while I'm out please.

munsterlegend

I'd like to hear MT's view on all these changes/upgrades today..

quietriot

It can f*ck right off. I'd prefer a heatwave.

TheMilkyPirate

I've just ran through the 12z there and giggled like a child for 5 minutes straight.

Say hello to winter!

Musicman2000

quietriot wrote: »

It can f*ck right off. I'd prefer a heatwave.

Your better head down under so, Or wait 5 months.

Oscar Bravo

From Met.ie ....The week ahead looks like it will become much colder again.


Monday next looks cloudy and wet with the risk of some wintry falls in the East.

Tuesday and Wednesday look like they will bring some rain at times mainly to Western areas with drier but much colder weather in the East. Nights will be cold with frost in many places and the risk of icy patches.

Thursday looks mainly dry at the moment with rain moving down across the country on Friday followed by a cold and frosty night Friday night.

weatherfiend

Musicman2000 wrote: »

Your better head down under so, Or wait 5 months.

Musicman, she can't ruin our buzz!!

Kippure

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

From Met.ie ....The week ahead looks like it will become much colder again.


Monday next looks cloudy and wet with the risk of some wintry falls in the East.

Tuesday and Wednesday look like they will bring some rain at times mainly to Western areas with drier but much colder weather in the East. Nights will be cold with frost in many places and the risk of icy patches.

Thursday looks mainly dry at the moment with rain moving down across the country on Friday followed by a cold and frosty night Friday night.

From what Direction? Once the cold gets established, looking beyond 72 hours is pointless. Its really a now cast.:)

darkman2

ECM @ 120hrs. A bit more energy in the Northern arm of the Jet Stream but still broadly on track.

jo06555

OK iv read 1st page and last page and as we have all got our hopes up like this many times before can someone give a percentage of it actually happening this time??? And if so how's the south east going to fair??

Musicman2000

jo06555 wrote: »

OK iv read 1st page and last page and as we have all got our hopes up like this many times before can someone give a percentage of it actually happening this time??? And if so how's the south east going to fair??

30 to 40%

TheMilkyPirate

Musicman2000 wrote: »

30 to 40%

Maybe 2 days ago, I'd make it 50-60%

:P

jo06555

Musicman2000 wrote: »

jo06555 wrote: »

OK iv read 1st page and last page and as we have all got our hopes up like this many times before can someone give a percentage of it actually happening this time??? And if so how's the south east going to fair??

30 to 40%

I'll take that but I won't get my hopes up as it will more than likely be dashed very soon

Musicman2000

Especially with and easterly, Can be there on one run and gone the next:) but some brutal cold over Europe.

efrisby

I dont post that often, but when I see the uk weather report on metoffice.gov.uk showing the month of February outlook for cold, that's good enough for me, as they always play it safe

darkman2

ECM taking a more precarious route towards the extreme cold end of things but it should get there in the end

Harps

I was supposed to be in Germany/Switzerland this time next week, have to say looking at the latest charts that I'm glad I'm not going now, I'm all for a bit of cold but worrying levels of cold heading for central Europe, looks absolutely brutal with temps going below -30C

As for ourselves, sorry for the continued scepticism but until I actually see a consistency in delivering some proper cold to our shores I'm not too excited, plenty of promising signs today but its still just a case of 'almost' before the usual case of looking at +5 days away. Easily the best set up all winter though so hopefully we eventually get lucky

rKossi

:pac::eek::o:rolleyes:;)

Weather P*RN!!