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Potential for wind and snow (NW) 4th, 5th December - DISCUSSION ONLY

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    #32
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,334 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    The 12z runs seem about on par with the 06z and if anything it looks a bit colder for Sunday night and Monday so, all things considered, we are seeing the sort of model performance that often leads to a cycle of upgrade-downgrade. I suspect there will be a drift back towards a stronger wind scenario and at the moment I would estimate the chances of seeing snow in some parts of the northwest as about 30-40% on Wednesday night into Thursday morning, and 50-70% on Sunday night into Monday. Amounts are not likely to be very significant on the current maps but 1-3 cms here and there sort of thing with 5-10 cms possible on higher slopes.

    The Wednesday night potential is partly based on convection in a strong frontal passage, so it could be a brief burst of thunder-snow. This would be around 2300h to 0200h from the current guidance.

    As always, this reduces to very small potential in the 80% of Ireland east and south of about Roscommon with the exception of some very high summits as may become evident the day after the event if skies cleared.

    But there will be the possibility of thunder and hail or even snow pellets as the freezing level will be down around 300-500 metres at times.


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    #33
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    And the rollercoaster begins...


    A severe weather warning has been issued for Donegal for the next few days with forecasts for heavy rain, sleet, snow and winds of up to 110kph.

    The warnings come as the first real taste of winter bites in Co Donegal.

    This afternoon we have had reports of heavy sleet in Falcarragh, Downings, Kilmacrennan and Termon.

    And according to Met Eireann and BBC forecasters much more is to follow in the next few days.

    Worried islanders on Tory, afraid of being cut off from the mainland, had supplies flown out to them this morning.

    Vital supplies including foodstuffs such as milk and bread as well as fuel was taken onto the island by the rescue helicopter based at Sligo.

    With heavy seas and strong winds forecast, it is feared that boats will not be able to access the island for a number of days.

    A spokesman for Met Eireann said stormy conditions are certainly forecast beginning from later today.

    “It will get a lot colder and windier in the coming hours across the North West.

    “We still do not know how cold it will get just yet but temperatures are already plunging.

    “We are expecting very strong winds of up to 110 KPH and more rain.

    “Temperatures are getting much colder and because of that there is a strong possibility of snow in places.

    “We have already had reports of sleet in many places across Donegal and that looks likely to continue,” said the spokesman.

    Many roads around Termon and Kilmacrennan are reported to be white with heavy sleet this afternoon which could turn to snow this evening.

    Donegal County Council is currently on standby and may be forced to send out gritters if the temperatures continue to plummet.


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    #34
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    irish1967 wrote: »
    And the rollercoaster begins...

    Thanks, where did you get that from btw?
    Heres a bit on Highland.
    http://www.highlandradio.com/2011/11/29/met-eireann-warns-of-winds-of-up-to-110km-per-hour-to-hit-donegal/


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    #35
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    News just in, RNAG said it is snowing in Letterkenny town.


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    #36
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,886 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Can I just put on record here that I very much disagree with the thoughts of this thread.
    First of all the 18z last night was the only run that gave us severe wind.
    Secondly conditions next Monday look very borderline, even for high ground. Of course either way it an 18hour event at most.

    Next......


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    #37
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    Donegal's busiest road was flooded last night at an area called 'The Dry Arch'. :)


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    #38
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    One of my top ten weather fantasie's would be , to stay on Tory during a major storm, in a cottage with a big turf fire roaring. With all the supplies I needed for a month. Just hibernate.:)

    Would be heaven.


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    #39
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    Pangea wrote: »
    News just in, RNAG said it is snowing in Letterkenny town.

    Getting tweets of very large hail in Letterkenny but none of snow yet.


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    #40
    jimmy.d
    Registered Users Posts: 200 ✭✭jimmy.d


    Pangea wrote: »
    News just in, RNAG said it is snowing in Letterkenny town.
    anyone got pictures would be nice to see might ease the craving


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    #41
    HeidiHeidi
    Registered Users Posts: 28,814 ✭✭✭✭HeidiHeidi


    Jake1 wrote: »
    One of my top ten weather fantasie's would be , to stay on Tory during a major storm, in a cottage with a big turf fire roaring. With all the supplies I needed for a month. Just hibernate.:)

    Would be heaven.

    +1


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    #42
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    Jake1 wrote: »
    One of my top ten weather fantasie's would be , to stay on Tory during a major storm, in a cottage with a big turf fire roaring. With all the supplies I needed for a month. Just hibernate.:)

    Would be heaven.

    If you are staying for a month I suggest you bring two ;)


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    #43
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    irish1967 wrote: »
    Getting tweets of very large hail in Letterkenny but none of snow yet.
    Yeah who knows one weather report contradicts the other :)


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    #44
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Pangea wrote: »
    News just in, RNAG said it is snowing in Letterkenny town.

    No snow, just a crazy hail shower, looks exactly like snow outside now though with everything all white


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    #45
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Jake1 wrote: »
    One of my top ten weather fantasie's would be , to stay on Tory during a major storm, in a cottage with a big turf fire roaring. With all the supplies I needed for a month. Just hibernate.:)

    Would be heaven.

    I have a relative with cottage at Lough Swilly, that will have to do:)


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    #46
    sillymoo
    Registered Users Posts: 1,083 ✭✭✭sillymoo


    M.T. Cranium wrote: »
    The Wednesday night potential is partly based on convection in a strong frontal passage, so it could be a brief burst of thunder-snow.

    :eek: :eek: :eek:


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    #47
    thomasj
    Registered Users Posts: 4,785 ✭✭✭thomasj


    Jake1 wrote: »
    Jake1 wrote: »
    One of my top ten weather fantasie's would be , to stay on Tory during a major storm, in a cottage with a big turf fire roaring. With all the supplies I needed for a month. Just hibernate.:)

    Would be heaven.

    I have a relative with cottage at Lough Swilly, that will have to do:)

    I spent 3 weeks of my youth in the gaelteacht in falcarragh. IMO the best view of the atlantic that there is is in falcarragh!

    I never got the chance to get the boat from there to tory. Promised myself i would. I will go back and do so maybe before the year is out! :)


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    #48
    Rodar08
    Registered Users Posts: 280 ✭✭Rodar08


    Thunder and lightening in Buncrana!! Woohooo!! :D Long rumbles too!


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    #49
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Passed 5 miles north of me of course :mad:

    Disgusted looking at the radar, still thunder and lightning but well in the distance. Sounds like an amazing storm, almost a constant rumble!


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    #50
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Thunder and Lightning here too :)


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    #51
    h57xiucj2z946q
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,267 ✭✭✭h57xiucj2z946q


    Pangea wrote: »
    Thunder and Lightning here too :)

    Sure is! wherever the feck you are...


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    #52
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    None here.... Yet

    http://143.117.30.60/gapweather/lightning/gapstrikes.jpg


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    #53
    Rodar08
    Registered Users Posts: 280 ✭✭Rodar08


    Holeeee fook! The biggest clap of thunder, lights out, huge lightening right outside the house about 10 mins ago, lashing rain after. Calmed down now, think it's passed. Was great tho :D .. Inishowen..


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    #54
    h57xiucj2z946q
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,267 ✭✭✭h57xiucj2z946q


    Clickable :-)

    http://143.117.30.60/gapweather/lightning/gapstrikes.jpg


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    #55
    irish1967
    Registered Users Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭irish1967


    Sorry. On the phone here. Linking sucks.


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    #56
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Nice run of strikes being picked up over Donegal alright:
    183094.gif

    say's he, jealously!


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    #57
    naughto
    Registered Users Posts: 7,316 ✭✭✭naughto


    its times like these that we need iwo to be online.
    heres hoping we get whats promises thanks mt for the update


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    #58
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 768 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    irish1967 wrote: »
    Sorry. On the phone here. Linking sucks.

    Get an iPhone :)


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    #59
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Im waiting patiently for Muckish to appear online with the usual AMAZINGLY Jammy photos that he gets up in the north! , My guess , a lightning bolt on the left of the photo lightning up some sleety hail with the stars in the middle and the crescent moon on the right...

    SO ye.... * sits and waits*


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    #60
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Whats all this got to do with potential severe gales/snow for the weekend?
    Isn't there a seperate thread for todays weather? :confused:


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    #61
    smallwonder
    Registered Users Posts: 179 ✭✭smallwonder


    irish1967 wrote: »
    And the rollercoaster begins...

    This afternoon we have had reports of heavy sleet in Falcarragh, Downings, Kilmacrennan and Termon.

    My 85yr old da, who doesn't leave the house cos he loves weather watching said we had some hail.

    Worried islanders on Tory, afraid of being cut off from the mainland, had supplies flown out to them this m    orning

    This is a normal occurrence in rough weather. The island can usually be cut off for days. Mind you emergency rations were probably supplies of alcohol! It's a lovely island but if you want to survive you need to get to know the locals...and the currency is drink:-)

    Donegal County Council is currently on standby and may be forced to send out gritters if the temperatures continue to plummet.


    Highland Radio, who are based in Letterkenny, love a good snow shower… if they don't mention gritters then they are still in hibernation!


This discussion has been closed.
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