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Galway West General Election
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johngalway wrote: »Exactly my point
I don't particularly like Connolly, it's a toss up between the other two!0 -
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Sponge Bob wrote: »It is impossible. I'll have a crack
1. O Cuiv Tops Poll, does not have quota , however elected first after a few Connemara eliminations.
2. Nolan Second.
3 Walsh (
Third
4. Grealish Fourth....and while elected possibly on the same count as Grealish will have fewer votes.
5. So Naughton Fifth.
Possible reversal of 3 and 5 !
Just back in from the count. Based on tallies made of the #2 vote distribution during the main 1st count it appears that Kyne will pip Healy Eames at a key stage of the count thereby leaving himself as #2 FG candidate . HE to be eliminated with c 6000 votes and Kyne a netch higher. Sadly FG will find a place for her in the senate ...again
However FG will likely not get themselves a second seat and the sequence of the elected, in my opinion, now looks like.
1. O Cuiv ( elected after Fahey is eliminated)
2. Walsh ( elected after HE is eliminated but with small surplus)
3. Nolan ( steadily picking up dribs and drabs and making quota)
Finally on the last count.
4. Grealish
5. Connolly or Kyne but more likely Connolly I think.
Both without reaching the quota with c 8000 votes, Kyne on 7200 odd and not elected.
That is my final prediction
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Sponge Bob wrote: »Just back in from the count. Based on tallies made of the #2 vote distribution during the main 1st count it appears that Kyne will pip Healy Eames at a key stage of the count thereby leaving himself as #2 FG candidate . HE to be eliminated with c 6000 votes and Kyne a netch higher. Sadly FG will find a place for her in the senate ...again
However FG will likely not get themselves a second seat and the sequence of the elected, in my opinion, now looks like.
1. O Cuiv ( elected after Fahey is eliminated)
2. Walsh ( elected after HE is eliminated but with small surplus)
3. Nolan ( steadily picking up dribs and drabs and making quota)
Finally on the last count.
4. Grealish
5. Connolly or Kyne but more likely Connolly I think.
Both without reaching the quota with c 8000 votes, Kyne on 7200 odd and not elected.
That is my final prediction
I reckon Nolan will beat Walsh to second.
According to the figures I have, he's well on course to second place, possibly even challenging O Cuiv to first place.
Hope Connolly beats Healy Eames to 5th. Kyne did surprisingly well but don't think he'll feature as time goes on.0 -
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Healy Eames will be ELIMINATED around the 7th count, she will not pick up enough transfers to avoid elimination BEFORE KYNE. How clear do I have to make it. I have seen the key #2 vote tallies. Welby alone will give Kyne around 1700 transfers.
Back to the Senate she goes so
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Sponge Bob wrote: »Healy Eames will be ELIMINATED around the 7th count, she will not pick up enough transfers to avoid elimination BEFORE KYNE. How clear do I have to make it. I have seen the key #2 vote tallies. Welby alone will give Kyne around 1700 transfers.
Back to the Senate she goes so
Um, aren't FG proposing to abolish the Senate?0 -
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Full recount in Galway West. One objection as I understand is that spoiled votes were put into at least Connemara box and papers were reissued to the spoilers ...eg something like X against 2 candidates.
The number of voters who voted in that case would therefore be less than the number of papers in the box. If a paper is reissued the original should go into an envelope along with the report by the presiding officer and other material. It should not go in the box. It happens.
I understand that quite a number of technical and procedural objections have gone in too but I am not aware of what they are, I might head down again for the inside gossip and post it back here.
Anyway something clearly does not add up and we will be lucky to get a First Round result this evening...never mind all the recriminations that shall inevitably ensue if a candidate is eliminated by a small amount tomorrow as I would expect 0 -
Sponge Bob wrote: »Full recount in Galway West.
Anyway something clearly does not add up and we will be lucky to get a First Round result this evening...never mind all the recriminations that shall inevitably ensue if a candidate is eliminated by a small amount tomorrow as I would expect
Source? It's very hard to confirm that. Online sources are not in agreement and probably not fully informed anyway. I'm trying to get info from inside the count centre but no luck so far.
According to Irish Times website it's a recount, but Lorna Siggins said that about two hours ago.0 -
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Iwannahurl wrote: »There must be a new gold-plated parish pump or something in the village...
There is alot of people with Grealish as surname in Carnmore :P
Hell he wasnt even good enough to fix the potholes in the area, so one has to wonder 0 -
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The pump down my end of Claregalway was stolen a few years agoIwannahurl wrote: »Ask the people of Carnmore and environs! Apparently the ballot boxes coming out of that neck of the woods were stuffed with Grealish number ones. There must be a new gold-plated parish pump or something in the village...
I don't understand the vote either - disaffected FF? He was the only big candidate from that area.
He did have an ad with the former PD local candidates backing him.0 -
Sponge Bob wrote: »Healy Eames will be ELIMINATED around the 7th count, she will not pick up enough transfers to avoid elimination BEFORE KYNE. How clear do I have to make it. I have seen the key #2 vote tallies. Welby alone will give Kyne around 1700 transfers.
Back to the Senate she goes so
Keeping an eye on this prediction. We are getting close to the 7th count...0 -
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