UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

Mellor

Hoki wrote: »

Thatch has a massive height & reach advantage plus will be at least 180 lbs come fight time.

Only the absolutely smallest WWs would be 180. He's at least 190, but probably close to 200.

Mellor

Mellor wrote: »

Only the absolutely smallest WWs would be 180. He's at least 190, but probably close to 200.

Yep probably 200, you can't beat diuretics these days to drop 30 pounds before a fight Just ask Gleison!
Someone will just have to shout "Timber" tonight when Thatch eventually gets chopped down!

Lentz has cried off sick. Fat Pat missed weight by 6 pounds!

Kev M

darced wrote: »

This post has been deleted.

Yep, I agree with this!

TimRiggins

Kev M wrote: »

Yep, I agree with this!

I'd be shocked if he lost to Bendo to be honest, Think he's going to the top

mailburner

He'll bate the pish outa bendo

mailburner

TimRiggins wrote: »

I'd be shocked if he lost to Bendo to be honest, Think he's going to the top

All the way, can't wait go see how far he goes and who he gets next

Just can't see past him tonite for starters

mailburner

One last one with paddy
4 doubles

UFC Matches Benson Henderson v Brandon Thatch
15-02-2015 05:30
Round Betting
Brandon Thatch To Win in Round 2 @ 7/1

UFC Matches Benson Henderson v Brandon Thatch
15-02-2015 05:30
Round Betting
Brandon Thatch To Win in Round 1 @ 9/2

UFC Matches Max Holloway v Cole Miller
15-02-2015 05:00
Round Betting
Max Holloway To Win in Round 2 @ 11/2

UFC Matches Max Holloway v Cole Miller
15-02-2015 05:00
Round Betting
Max Holloway To Win in Round 1 @ 16/5

Kev M

mailburner wrote: »

He'll bate the pish outa bendo

After watching the weigh in the size difference is insane.

dulux99

I had Bendo backed before the weigh in, unfortunately. Not as confident after watching the weigh ins. Biggest size discrepancy I think I've ever seen in a non-heavyweight fight.

Mellor

Took Dan Kelly by decision at 13/2
Hoping Walsh's Weight acre up was legit and he fades by the end of the second.

callaway92

Rodrigo De Lima
Ray Borg
Neil Magny
Kevin Lee
Patrick Walsh

Happy to put the 5 of them into an accumulator. Adds a bit to a poor enough card.

Top 2 fights are too close to call imo but I'm leaning towards Ben Henderson and Cole Miller to take them.

Mellor

Mellor wrote: »

Took Dan Kelly by decision at 13/2
Hoping Walsh's Weight acre up was legit and he fades by the end of the second.

Sweet.
Missed weight plus attitude wasn't a good fight. But as predicted. Odds were very high for the decision imo.
€300 back on that

Mellor

Mellor wrote: »

Sweet.
Missed weight plus attitude wasn't a good fight. But as predicted. Odds were very high for the decision imo.
€300 back on that

I had him by sub, a judo guy with most of his wins by sub, and he decides to box for 3 rounds! Painful.

I picked 80% of the winners, and still somehow managed to come out with zero $ lol, Kunimoto was surprisingly bad.

dulux99

dulux99 wrote: »

Going big on Ben Henderson/Nik Lentz double at about 6/4.

Thatch is decent and has a lot of hype but I just think the quality of opponents that Bendo has fought is in another planet, even if it was at a lower weight class. Ben wasn't exactly small at that weight either.

Christ. Got quite a shock when I saw my returns for this... Hadn't realised that the Nik Lentz fight had been cancelled. Ah well.

mailburner

too feckin confident I was

thatch will learn from that one, pity the man that has to face him next

Mellor

Deleted User wrote: »

I had him by sub, a judo guy with most of his wins by sub, and he decides to box for 3 rounds! Painful.

I picked 80% of the winners, and still somehow managed to come out with zero $ lol, Kunimoto was surprisingly bad.

I truly hate when a carer grappler decides to come out and show off his "new striking".

Predictions for this weekend! Going against the grain quite a bit!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hSFS4ipbfEQ

mailburner

awful hard imo to find value in this one

torn between taking a load of shorties (brazilians) or taking a pop at
martins who I think is overpriced

andrade/silva/ferreira looks good at around 6/4

wonder is martins overpriced at 4/1?

even johnson pts at same price

so undecided on what to do

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

awful hard imo to find value in this one

torn between taking a load of shorties (brazilians) or taking a pop at
martins who I think is overpriced

andrade/silva/ferreira looks good at around 6/4

wonder is martins overpriced at 4/1?

even johnson pts at same price

so undecided on what to do

Dont see how Martins can beat Rustan, I would leave that one off. Andrade thats fighting Cody Gibson he is a much more interesting one. He's a killer and Cody Gibson is a bit susceptible to mistakes even if he is a very good fighter.

My hail mary for tonight is:

Selection Selection Details Result
1
UFC - MMA
UFC Matches
Douglas Silva De Andrade v Cody Gibson
22nd of February 2015 10:30 pm
Method of Victory
Douglas Silva De Andrade by KO @ 13/2
Pending

Selection Selection Details Result
2
UFC - MMA
UFC Matches
Jessica Andrade v Marion Reneau
23rd of February 2015 00:30 am
Method of Victory
Marion Reneau on Points @ 10/3
Pending

Selection Selection Details Result
3
UFC - MMA
UFC Matches
Rustam Khabilov v Adriano Martins
23rd of February 2015 02:00 am
Method of Victory
Rustam Khabilov on Points @ 7/5
Pending

Selection Selection Details Result
4
UFC - MMA
UFC Matches
Cezar Ferreira v Sam Alvey
23rd of February 2015 02:30 am
Method of Victory
Sam Alvey by KO @ 6/1
Pending

Selection Selection Details Result
5
UFC - MMA
UFC Matches
Edson Barboza v Michael Johnson
23rd of February 2015 03:00 am
Method of Victory
Michael Johnson on Points @ 10/3
Pending

Selection Selection Details Result
6
UFC - MMA
UFC Matches
Antonio Silva v Frank Mir
23rd of February 2015 03:30 am
Method of Victory
Frank Mir by Submission @ 7/2
Pending

Stake and Return Details
Bet placed at 22nd of February 2015 4:08 pm Total Stake €2.00
Bet type Accumulator (6) (To Win) Tax@Tax free 0
Number of lines 1 Total stake due €2.00
Stake per line €2.00 Freebets Redeemed €0.00
Channel Internet Total amount paid €2.00
Number of win lines -
Potential Returns €21,294.00

mailburner

too late el...bet done

silva round 2 9/2
silva round 3 17/2

khabilov on pts 7/5
martins on pts 9/1 (written on docket, mistake though as 5/1 on pp)

barboza on pts 2/1
johnson to win in round 3 14/1


doubles/trebles on that lot (paddy shop)

mailburner

and the safish one at around 11/4 (if ferreiras chin holds up that is)


Cezar Ferreira @ 2/7
(To Win the Bout - Match)
Antonio Silva @ 4/9
(To Win the Bout - Match)
Iuri Alcantara @ 1/8
(To Win the Bout - Match)
William Macario @ 1/4
(To Win the Bout - Match)
Jessica Andrade @ 2/5
(To Win the Bout - Match)

Yeah that Ferrara Alvey fight is an interesting one. Ferrara didn't impress me that much before. Even though he's probably a better fighter then Alvey he might not be able to handle the pressure and the heavy hands, Alvey just needs to land one or two decent shots to slow down Ferrara. Alvey is decent for an outside bet I reckon.

mailburner

Deleted User wrote: »

Yeah that Ferreira Alvey fight is an interesting one. Ferrara didn't impress me that much before. Even though he's probably a better fighter then Alvey he might not be able to handle the pressure and the heavy hands, Alvey just needs to land one or two decent shots to slow down Ferrara. Alvey is decent for an outside bet I reckon.

couldnt disagree with that tbh and after the cb ko I certainly wouldnt be doing ferreira in a single again
each time ive backed ferreira it nearly resulted in a heart attack
alvey probably weaker than hes faced though but you know he'll get hit five times to land one which might be enough

Mellor

Cesar's odds to win by sub appear high to me. If I was him that be where I'd be taking the fight.

Mellor

Mellor wrote: »

Cesar's odds to win by sub appear high to me. If I was him that be where I'd be taking the fight.

Yeah they are nice and he likes a sub.

Would have been nice if Andrade had finished Cody in that last fight, a nice start to most of my accumulators all the same!

Dwyer might be an interesting outside bet for KO. 5 first round KOs on his record

mailburner

Deleted User wrote: »

Dwyer might be an interesting outside bet for KO. 5 first round KOs on his record

you might be on to something there though I cant remember him having only fought once in the ufc
I see he beat shonie carter a year back and its sad to see shonie is still fighting despite a run of 2/9

who'll ever forget that spinning backfist when he beat serra

Deleted User

Deleted User wrote: »

Dwyer might be an interesting outside bet for KO. 5 first round KOs on his record

Bad a bing bad a BOOM!

mailburner

Deleted User wrote: »

Dwyer might be an interesting outside bet for KO. 5 first round KOs on his record

well done
darn how I wish I took that
what price was that, mustve been big when 7/2 just to win