One to keep an eye on!

isle of man

also with all them dead animals the risk of deiseases etc wil increase as the days go on once they start to return to what they used to call home

up for anything

A photo link. Checked each and every one myself so nothing more graphic than a couple of photos of soldiers carrying body bags.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/11/09/mountain_of_fire?page=0,8

An article giving a Japanese expert volcanologist's, Masato Iguchi from Kyoto University of Japan, view of the Merapi eruption.

http://www.republika.co.id/berita/breaking-news/nusantara/10/11/10/145886-vulkanolog-jepang-letusan-gunung-merapi-sulit-diprediksi

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Link to Flash Earth site with satellite image that says it updates daily. Nice view of the eruption plume from Merapi and the Atlantic between the US and Ireland is full of candy floss. If we got a big wind machine could we not blow it back at them!


Merapi webcam from Kaliurang

http://merapi.bgl.esdm.go.id/view-r.php?id=68

Merapi webcam from Deles

http://merapi.bgl.esdm.go.id/view-r.php?id=72

M. RANDOLPH KRUGER on November 12, 2010, 11:41 PM
Manuela, inside of the 15km zone not much. There are loads of villages that havent been relieved yet even at 18-20kms. There is no power, no food and no drinkable water. It is the rainy season start so the ash is going to wash off quickly and its starting in again in a few hours. As long as this thing keeps its temper then they can start to rebuild their lives.

The government absolutely wants them back and rebuilding as soon as possible, only if its safe. But the average income there is about 3800.

As for the land. As Eric indicated there is ash everywhere and there simply is no way to clear it other than by water erosion. That water is going to pour acidic ash mud into the streams and rivers and there will be more disasters coming from that. I saw a lahar on Tuesday from space and had no way to warn anyone. The Indons have issued a blanket statement mostly to stay away from the creeks and rivers. Lahars and lava follow the path of least resistance mostly and that means the already available valleys. Think of “Johnstown Flood.”

Water-Biggest commodity right now. If they have a well then it might elevate or it might have elevated from the volcano itself in Ph. Wouldnt want to be drinking anything below 6.5 as it can cut fillings out of teeth at 6.0. Probably be like tipping a Coke up and guzzling it straight down. Likley to burn a lot.

Below 6.0 it WILL do esophageal damage. The stomach wouldnt notice so much as its acidic too.

Structures-From space I have been looking at homes, buildings. Copyrights will not allow me to post them up…LandSat. But, as a rule the roofs and I think they are tile seem to have been collapsed by the weight of the ash. But thats at about 8 kms on out to as far as 18 kms in places. Most of the rafters are in place it would seem in a lot of places so not a total FUBAR.

Flora and Fauna-If there are any fauna inside of the 15 kms zone I have yet to see it. The flora is tropical. It will rebound quickly in the now very rich in minerals ash after the initial acid burns. Even the Bobsey Twins are not allowed to go farther up country yet. Their supplies will be out in six more days and it took two days to trek from their last supply so I doubt they will participate in that. They are church funded and while they will send money to them to buy stuff, its not readily available.

Their mission is just about done is the message. They physically carried a total of 225 out through the ash. Many didnt have shoes. Many were burned everywhere between first degree all the way to third degree…And worse. The and worse types they werent too sure of their outcomes with as much as 60% of their bodies involved. They could only stretcher them out to a truck and send them to the hospital.

John and James (yeah… I know) are pretty whipped. They are now able to do less and less for the victims. Everyone that could be saved likely has been. There will be a memorial and then they will move on with their lives in Indon. One good moment though as they were sent to an area for rest. A woman came and was thanking them for saving her daughter. They had pulled so many out that they couldnt say which one was her daughter. Couldnt remember who the child was but it was enough for them that she said it.

Both indicate as do the local EMA that planning an escape route with supplies along the way if Bulusan or any of them start to go is a good idea. Even if its energy bars and water, its something you cant carry enough of when you leave so you get into a position of deciding about this and that when you dont have time. Sheer physical effort of carrying a gallon of water is problematic when car and moped engines are failing due to ash ingestion.

Hopefully they learned their lessons from this one and when to call it. For me they were three days late. Now the finger pointing is about to start and when it does its going to be unmerciful.

It also wont be any ones fault. You make a call in government they want it to be Goldilocks each and every time else someone gets cooked over an open flame.

For some reason the URLs for these cams jump around but the Kaliurang one is working at the moment.

great view of merapi cam now.

http://merapi.bgl.esdm.go.id/view-r.php?id=72

screenshot

would ye look at the ash!!! Holy cow.


here the other cam angle

try this again, LOL heres the other cam view

Redsunset

I'd prefer to call them all ticking TIME BOMBS

Earthquake swarm in Yemen today. Over ten large earthquakes.

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/

http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/index2.php.

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Some recently uploaded photos of Merapi.

http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=167068233313271&set=a.167068043313290.33052.160013034018791


Jake, this is interesting in connection with your Yemen earthquakes.

RENATO RIO on November 14, 2010, 7:03 AM
@Luis: Bom dia! I’m not sure if you can call these quakes a “swarm”. There was a 5.4 near the coast of Yemen, with a 4.7 foreshock, and then many strong successive aftershocks. The plates are divergent at that zone, so I think this is what we should expect. Red Sea is widening a little bit further. Interesting the fact that on the other side, at MAR near the African coast, there was another 5.1.

up for anything

up for anything wrote: »

Some recently uploaded photos of Merapi.

http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=167068233313271&set=a.167068043313290.33052.160013034018791


Jake, this is interesting in connection with your Yemen earthquakes.

Cheers Theyve had over 19 big ones now,in that area and Somalia. Very Strange dont ye think? Like something is coming up from below

I wonder are they foreshocks to something massive.

That'll teach em to put bombs on cargo planes...

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Maps/10/45_15.php

up for anything

Double trouble may be in store for the Philippines. I hope not.

http://www.manilatimes.net/index.php/component/content/article/42-rokstories/31978-brace-for-mayon-bulusan

I can hardly keep up with all these quakes and canos.

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I had to take a break from Merapi, Jake. I was getting a bit obsessed and at this stage have had volcano dreams for the last seven nights. Not nightmare but dreams.

Anyhow about those earthquakes in the Yemen/Djibouti area - how many is it up to now?

up for anything

up for anything wrote: »

I had to take a break from Merapi, Jake. I was getting a bit obsessed and at this stage have had volcano dreams for the last seven nights. Not nightmare but dreams.

Anyhow about those earthquakes in the Yemen/Djibouti area - how many is it up to now?

Its over 50 I think. Quite something isnt it?

Once you start watching its hard to stop, I know the feeling The power of the earth never ceases to amaze me.

heres a list of some of them.

http://www.iris.washington.edu/seismon/zoom/events/?lon=43.64&lat=12.3

I started a thread, earthquake swarm in Arabian peninsula

TheInquisitor

Is this right? 34 plus earthquakes in that region all 4.5+!!?

14-NOV-2010 20:18:04 12.04 43.69 4.9 13.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 19:15:43 11.80 43.85 5.2 10.2 ETHIOPIA
14-NOV-2010 18:54:29 12.12 44.12 4.7 9.6 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 17:39:20 12.13 43.92 4.9 16.4 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 17:02:50 12.05 43.74 5.3 15.4 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 15:15:05 12.20 43.76 4.8 2.4 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 15:06:30 11.89 43.67 5.3 11.5 ETHIOPIA
14-NOV-2010 14:55:25 12.07 43.78 5.1 13.6 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 14:33:19 12.02 43.92 5.3 9.6 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 14:04:30 11.93 43.92 5.0 8.3 ETHIOPIA
14-NOV-2010 13:50:05 12.18 43.96 5.0 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 12:49:55 11.81 43.77 4.9 9.9 ETHIOPIA
14-NOV-2010 12:48:34 12.11 43.72 4.7 10.1 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 12:41:49 12.00 43.86 4.8 10.1 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 12:38:59 12.17 43.97 4.7 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 12:17:16 11.95 43.76 4.7 9.9 ETHIOPIA
14-NOV-2010 12:00:46 11.80 43.97 4.6 10.0 ETHIOPIA
14-NOV-2010 11:30:19 12.18 43.89 4.9 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 11:14:12 11.71 43.99 4.8 10.0 ETHIOPIA
14-NOV-2010 10:37:47 11.87 44.02 4.9 10.0 WESTERN GULF OF ADEN
14-NOV-2010 10:37:25 11.75 44.08 4.5 10.0 WESTERN GULF OF ADEN
14-NOV-2010 10:34:28 12.14 44.01 4.8 10.1 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 09:23:28 12.13 44.09 4.8 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 09:17:52 12.06 43.94 4.9 10.1 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 09:06:00 12.11 43.99 4.5 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 08:30:22 11.96 44.00 4.6 10.0 WESTERN GULF OF ADEN
14-NOV-2010 08:21:22 12.15 43.97 5.0 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 07:57:18 12.03 44.08 4.5 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 07:38:33 11.98 44.02 4.9 10.0 WESTERN GULF OF ADEN
14-NOV-2010 07:27:39 12.58 43.97 4.9 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 07:08:30 11.57 44.01 4.8 10.0 WESTERN GULF OF ADEN
14-NOV-2010 07:03:36 12.10 44.11 4.7 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 06:32:28 12.02 43.96 5.4 9.9 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA
14-NOV-2010 06:29:30 12.69 44.07 4.6 10.0 WESTERN ARABIAN PENINSULA

yes, thats right. Its up to 58 now I think.

http://www.iris.edu/seismon/zoom/events/?lon=43.96&lat=12.02

Im just watching the size of the ash plume in Merapi. Bloody hell.

up for anything

Stunning video footage taken from within 300m from the crater of Merapi. Crazy guy!

http://www.metrotvnews.com/read/newsvideo/2010/11/17/117071/Video-Amatir-Merapi-dari-Jarak-300-MeterAmateurvideo

up for anything

These photos taken of volcanoes and volcanic terrain in the Kamtchatka Penninsula have to be some of the most beautiful, stirring photos I have ever seen. If the banks had any money left I would rob them and travel there.

http://www.kamtchatka.ru/?p=92

up for anything

Suwanose-Jima volcano has exploded although to what extent I can't ascertain yet. It seems to be a fairly active chappie so it may just be one of it's regular coughs.

Subject: FVFE01 RJTD 181833

FVFE01 RJTD 181833 2010322 1835
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20101118/1833Z
VAAC: TOKYO
VOLCANO: SUWANOSEJIMA 0802-03
PSN: N2938E12943
AREA: JAPAN
SUMMIT ELEV: 799M
ADVISORY NR: 2010/142
INFO SOURCE: JMA
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: NIL
ERUPTION DETAILS: EXPLODED AT 20101118/1826Z VA CLD UNKNOWN
OBS VA DTG: NIL
OBS VA CLD: IN INVESTIGATING SATELLITE DATA. WINDS ABV THE VOLCANO
AT
18/1820Z FL100 280/18KT FL200 260/63KT FL300 260/108KT FL400 260/117
KT FROM JMA NWP MODEL.
FCST VA CLD +6HR: NIL
FCST VA CLD +12HR: NIL
FCST VA CLD +18HR: NIL
RMK: NIL
NXT ADVISORY: WE WILL ISSUE FURTHER ADVISORY IF VA IS DETECTED IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY=

up for anything

Gif of the northern lights over Katla this evening.

http://i54.tinypic.com/epn39d.gif

Check out the Eyja webcam for the same - greens and pinks but a bit indistinct at the moment.

http://live.mila.is/eyjafjallajokull-fra-thorolfsfelli/

up for anything

Forgot to mention this earlier.

Gunung Bromo in Indonesia is now on Level IV alert. It's a very picturesqueak volcano.

http://www.travelblog.org/Asia/Indonesia/Java/Mount-Bromo/map-mount-bromo.html

http://www.volcano.si.edu/world/volcano.cfm?vnum=0603-31=

ETA:

The volcano itself is a scoria cone within the larger Tengger caldera system. This is common in many calderas and other systems like Crater Lake in Oregon that has multiple scoria cones within the collapse caldera. Bromo is a fairly active cone within the Tengger caldera, having last erupted in 2004. That eruption was a VEI 2 eruption - one of many over the last century. Currently, the Ministry of Mines and Energy raised the alert status at Bromo after small ash eruptions. However, the warning is mostly to keep tourists away from the volcano as it is a popular destination. Remember, scoria cones behave very differently than composite/stratovolcanoes. At scoria cones, eruptions tend to be small, strombolian explosions that might produce ash and minor tephra, mostly in the form of basaltic tephra (debris), along with an occasional lava flow, but tend not to generate the large pyroclastic flows we saw at Merapi.

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Here's one to keep an eye on.

Krísuvik Volcano - location

From Jón Frímann's Iceland Volcano and Earthquake blog

Krísuvík volcano starts to inflate at fast rate
Posted on November 30, 2010 by Jón Frímann
There is currently no shortage of volcano news coming from Iceland at this moment. The newest volcano to make the news is the Krísuvík volcano. Small area of Krísuvík volcano have been inflating during the last few months with following micro-earthquakes swarms in the area where the inflation takes place. This process started last year (2009). But then the inflation was 30mm (3 centimeters). But last winter a process of deflation started and lasted until early spring this year (2010). But then it started to inflate again. I am assuming that the current levels of inflation is something similar to the inflation that was seen in the year 2009. The area in question is south-west of Krísuvík lake.

The inflation is currently taking place on the depth of 3 to 4 km according to geological scientists. This intrusion of magma is also having effects on geothermal features present in the area. But that makes new hot springs and makes current hot springs more active and warmer, it also changes them and often dramatically. It might also create new hot spring areas where no hot springs where before. This inflation process has been followed by a swarms of micro-earthquakes in the area where the inflation is taking place.

According to the news the Icelandic Met Office has alerted the Icelandic Civil Protection Authorities about the changes in this volcano. Two new GPS stations have also been installed in the area to monitor the inflation that is currently taking place. At current time scientists are not expecting a eruption in the area any time soon. But as history has shown that can change without warning and quickly. The authorities and IMO have increased there surveillance in the area due to this inflation. If a eruption takes place the type is going to be a Hawaiian type of eruption, unless a fissure opens up under water or in the ocean. Last eruption that took place in Krísuvík volcano was in the year 1340.

Also this one:

Small streams around Hekla volcano dry up
Posted on November 29, 2010 by Jón Frímann
According to Icelandic news there is little water in small streams that come from Hekla volcano. This lack of water in streams from Hekla volcano is often looked as indicators that a eruption is going to happen in coming months. This phenomenon has happened before a eruption took place in Hekla volcano, the last one that took place in the year 2000. But according to old news article (in Icelandic, pdf) (from the year 1995) this phenomenon was also observed before the big eruption in the year 1755. But I do not know if this happens always (it seems to do so. But I don’t have it confirmed) or just before some eruptions.

There has been drought in the area. But that might explain in part this lack of water in streams coming from Hekla volcano. But the rest of this lack of water might be related to changes in the area before Hekla volcano starts erupting. Far as I know there has not been any study into this phenomenon and why this happens to Hekla streams months before eruption takes place.

Hekla volcano does not give many long term signals on when it might start erupting. But far as this one goes, this might be the best signals we can get on the impending eruption in Hekla volcano. When the eruption might take place is impossible to know at current time.

In other news:

From Erik Klemetti's Big Think -Eruptions blog

GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report for November 17-23, 2010: Semeru, Tungurahua and more
Erik Klemetti on November 29, 2010, 1:13 PM

Quick note as I almost forgot to post last week's Smithsonian/USGS Global Volcanism Program's Weekly Volcanic Activity Report. Busy week all around for volcanoes - we've seen activity at Bromo, Merapi, Anak Krakatau, Bulusan, Kilauea and more ...

Some highlights include:

Semeru: Another Indonesia volcano made some noise, with Semeru producing a ~4.3 km / 14,000 feet plume and the sulfur dioxide plume was detectable as far as 75 km SW from the volcano. Semeru joins its neighbor Bromo (Tengger Caldera) along with Rinjani, Merapi, Anak Kratakau and Batur in the Report.

Tungurahua: I haven't had a chance to mention much about the new eruptions at the Ecuadoran volcano, but Tungurahua has been producing a steady ash plume for the past few weeks. Over the last few days, the plume has been consistently over 7 km / 20,000 feet and the ash has been causing problems in Ecuador (spanish), especially around Guayaquil to the southwest (spanish).

Guatemala: Both Fuego and Santa Maria in Guatemala made the report as well, with small explosions typified by short (< 1 km) ash plumes and frequent incandescent blocks. Ash fall was noticed as far at 8 km from Fuego.

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I've been neglecting my volcanoes recently due to our own snow problems and keeping up with them.

Tungurahua Volcano erupted yesterday and an 8 mile/12km evacuation/exclusion zone was declared.

Volcano erupts in central Ecuador, villagers flee

QUITO — Ecuadorean villagers fled their homes after the Andean country's "Throat of Fire" volcano erupted Saturday, spewing rocks, gas and ash that prompted officials to declare a maximum alert for nearby communities.

People living within 8 miles of the eruption have been evacuated, Felipe Bazan, a government official for emergency situations, told reporters.

The Tungurahua volcano, which means "Throat of Fire" in Ecuador's native Quechua language, has been rumbling off and on for more than 10 years since seismic activity began to pick up in the area in 1999.

Located 80 miles southeast of capital city Quito, the 16,500-foot Tungurahua is one of eight active volcanoes in the country. Parts of Banos, a central Ecuadorean town popular with foreign and local tourists, were among the places evacuated on Saturday.

An eruption of ash from Tungurahua last May caused a one-day shutdown of the international airport at Ecuador's largest city, Guayaquil. Thousands of people in near the volcano also were evacuated.

In 2006, an eruption buried entire villages and killed at least four people.

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Bits and pieces been erupting here and there but nothing to get worked up about unless you are living on top of them.

Kizimen Volcano, on the Kamchatka Peninsula in the far East of Russia, just over the 'road' from Alaska has begun erupting. However, it begins to look like they are anticipating a bigger and better eruption. A flank collapse causing a lateral eruption, much like Mount St Helens, is now expected. This should be a nice one to watch with lots of fireworks but no loss to human life as it's in a very isolated spot. There are some international flight paths in the area but nothing along the scale of Icelandic volcano air travel disruption.

If I can locate a webcam address I'll post it.

KVERT report

Wikipedia background on the geography of the Kamchatka Peninsula

Some recent images of Kizimen

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Just catching up on what's been going on while I've been away.

Kizimen still gearing up for a big one and I pulled this comment from another website.

Flank failure would not be a good thing for the weather if it was as hot as St. Helens was. VERY cold weather and I am waiting to see if there is a cooling line that is aligned with the aerosol plume from this latest one.

NB: The if in bold. I'm not sure what is mean by a cooling line but I'll find out.

Also according to Icelandic news a loud explosion noise has been heard from Eyjafjallajökull volcano. Currently there is nothing on seismometers around Eyjafjallajökull volcano. This explosion noise might indicate that something is going on at that volcano.

Aquote from Boris Behncke on the topic of Mount Etna:

Etna is not (yet) erupting, but there is a strong glow from the pit on the east side of the Southeast Crater cone, which is reflecting in the clouds. There is also a strong increase in the volcanic tremor amplitude, so things might evolve rapidly … we might see a lava fountain from that vent in the next few hours

Looks like January might be a busy month on the volcano front or it could all just fizzle out.

heres a web shot from etna. sorry cant imbed.

http://www.etnaweb.net/nunziata/webcam.php

4Sheets

How is this thread weather by any stretch of the imagination..
Is there not a better forum here on boards for you severe earth movement freaks whilst us weather freaks read relevant topics for the weather forum:)