M.T. Cranium wrote: »
Friday, 19 June, 2009
And feel free to add your own thoughts at any time, as I was hoping this would be a community effort.
darc wrote: »
Very hard to add anything (not that I have any great knowledge) to a very good and fairly precise forecast. Hoever with an average of 130 page views per day you can be sure its appreciated by many.
M.T. Cranium wrote: »
Thursday, 25 June, 2009
TODAY should continue warm and bright in most parts, although I am a bit concerned about the spread of low cloud into Ireland (as well as eastern England) overnight, and how fast this might dissipate today, given a slightly stronger east wind that may be more noticeable today at 15-25 mph in more exposed locations. This will, however, suppress the sea breeze on the west coast and allow those locations to warm to the maximum extent.
To be on the safe side, I am going to suggest a cloudy start with a brighter late morning, sunny by afternoon in most locations, but don't be surprised if some east coast locations stay foggy or get into a clammy low cloud situation for a while. Highs should be about 22-25 C in the west and central inland districts, near 20 C south coast (15 C over the water) and 18-20 C east coast assuming that it clears up somewhat this afternoon (16 C over the Irish Sea). The chance of showers seems slight although some are moving past the southwest early this morning in a northwesterly direction away from land. However, there could be a few light sprinkles of rain moving west across Clare and Galway towards Mayo this morning.
TONIGHT should see mainly clear skies and less breezy conditions, with fog becoming extensive in some east and south coast locations. Lows will be about 10-13 C inland, and 12-15 C in larger cities and near the coasts.
FRIDAY will be partly cloudy, warm and more humid again, with a higher risk of showers developing, once again mainly in the south and west. Highs will be about 23 C with some cooling near the east and south coasts.
SATURDAY also looks very warm and humid with isolated heavy thundershowers possible, highs near 25 C inland, 20 C near the coasts.
SUNDAY to TUESDAY could be somewhat unsettled but with very warm air seeping in from the near continent and the southern UK, it may reach 27 C in places. The situation is less than certain because a strong low well offshore will continue to spin off moisture just to the southwest of Ireland, and if this proves to be more progressive it could bring a lot of rain into the southwest at any point beyond Sunday night. On the other hand, if the pattern stays more blocked than the models are showing today, the warmth could evolve into a heat wave. So the forecast splits the difference and places Ireland on the edge of these two competing systems (for the time being).