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Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)
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Sunday, 4 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, rather warm and humid, a few outbreaks of mostly light rain more frequent near northwest coasts, but also the odd sunny break, with highs generally 15-18 C.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy, fog or mist developing, light rain becoming somewhat heavier at times near west coast (5-8 mm possible) with lows 10-12 C.
MONDAY ... Starting out dry in the east but rain advancing from the west to cover most regions by afternoon or early evening. Warm before the rain arrives, afternoon highs near 14 C west to 18 C inland east (could be closer to 16 C east coast due to onshore breezes). A further 5-10 mm rain is likely. Some improvement is possible in western counties by afternoon.
TUESDAY ... Rain tapering to showers after about 10 mm falls, then some sunny intervals, a further interval of showers likely by afternoon or evening, with lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C.
WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Generally a partly cloudy to overcast period with near normal temperatures, highs about 15-17 C. Some showers each day but also some brighter intervals.
OUTLOOK ... Models are currently showing another muggy, showery frontal system for next weekend, some chance this could shift north over time so we can't say that this pessimistic outlook is locked in yet, even so, temperatures could be into the 17-19 C range in the southeast, 15-17 C elsewhere.
My local weather on Saturday was showery and quite cool compared to last week at about 13 C.0 -
Monday, 5 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... A band of rainfall with some heavier downpours in parts of Munster this morning will make steady progress northeast, reaching Dublin around 1100h to noon, although there could be some light rain before that in Leinster. Once this band passes, a more variable regime follows with further lines of showers that could become thundery in a few spots. A few sunny intervals could also develop by afternoon. Rather warm and humid with highs 15-18 C.
TONIGHT ... A few more showers likely, lows around 5-7 C. Moderate southwest winds at times near exposed coasts. Some fog or mist near hills.
TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, breezy. Highs near 15 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 14 C.
THURSDAY ... Cloudy, warm and humid, showers or periods of rain developing, highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers more isolated, breezy, highs near 14 C.
OUTLOOK for NEXT WEEKEND ... Breezy to windy at times, showers and possible thunderstorms, also some clearer intervals in a strong westerly flow, highs about 15 C Saturday and 13 C Sunday.
My local weather on Sunday was wet and we are currently seeing bursts of heavy rain and localized flooding mostly to the east of my location where one station reported 80 mm in the past 12 hours, much less than that has fallen where I live -- the high earlier was about 12 C.0 -
Tuesday, 6 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Heavy showers and a few thunderstorms will develop across the west this morning and spread further east at times, but there may also be some sunny intervals. Highs near 15 C with moderate south to southwest winds gusting to 50 km/hr. Rainfalls around 10 mm on average.
TONIGHT ... Showers, misty at times, lows 5-8 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, breezy with westerly winds 40-60 km/hr at times, and highs near 14 C. Rainfalls about 3-5 mm.
THURSDAY ... Cloudy, warm and humid, showers or periods of rain developing, highs near 17 C. Rainfalls 10-15 mm.
FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers more isolated, breezy, highs near 14 C.
OUTLOOK for NEXT WEEKEND ... Breezy to windy at times, showers and possible thunderstorms, also some clearer intervals in a strong westerly flow, highs about 15 C Saturday and 13 C Sunday. Potential rainfalls 10-20 mm.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Just slight indications of an improving trend now, with the most likely scenario being a continuation of the unsettled but reasonably mild regime.
My local weather on Monday was cloudy with some late sunny breaks that allowed temperatures to recover a little, to about 15 C.
Another outbreak of severe storms will be developing in the plains states and lower Mississippi valley this week.0 -
Wednesday, 7 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Periods of rain or drizzle across the north with a more variable, showery regime for the south, followed by brighter skies in most regions by afternoon, in a moderate westerly (WSW 40-60 km/hr). Feeling cooler than recent days with highs 13-15 C. About 10 mm rain north, 2-5 mm south.
TONIGHT ... Any clear intervals will rapidly fade with rain setting in around midnight west and 0400h east, then rain becoming quite heavy and possibly thundery around morning. Lows 8-11 C.
THURSDAY ... Rain clearing east, lasting to mid-morning west and early afternoon east, 15-25 mm in total, some minor flooding likely. Warmer again with highs 15-17 C. Some sunshine in the afternoon but isolated thundershowers may develop inland from west coast.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, breezy or windy with gusts to 70 km/hr, morning lows near 7 C and afternoon highs near 14 C.
SATURDAY ... Showers or longer periods of rain, some embedded thunderstorms, and temperatures held down to about 12 C during this rainfall which may amount to 20-30 mm. Some areas could get a bit of clearing by afternoon and this could allow temperatures to reach 14 C. Winds veering from southwest to west-northwest 50-70 km/hr at times, although the stronger winds will be more prolonged around west and south coasts than most other regions, spreading across those areas towards late afternoon.
SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, cool and breezy or windy, showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 14 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Next week continues to look a little improved over this week, but confidence in this is moderate at best.
Severe storms will develop late tonight in some parts of Texas and Oklahoma, but a more widespread outbreak is due on Thursday a little further east as this front gets fully loaded with moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, my own (west coast) weather has returned to the placid mode once again with sunny intervals, scattered showers and highs around 16 C.0 -
Thursday, 8 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Watch for isolated flooding in south Wicklow and Wexford now to about 1100h, where heavy rain should end later this morning in the southeast, and elsewhere the less intense showers will also begin to clear east, with sunny intervals by mid-day west, afternoon east, and just isolated showers then, mostly in Connacht and west Munster. Feeling rather warm with highs between 15 and 18 C south, 13 to 15 C north.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy intervals, showers or periods of light rain, lows near 7 C.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, breezy or windy with gusts to 70 km/hr, and feeling cooler than today with afternoon highs near 14 C.
SATURDAY ... Showers or longer periods of rain, some embedded thunderstorms, and temperatures held down to about 12 C during this rainfall which may amount to 20-30 mm. Some areas could get a bit of clearing by afternoon and this could allow temperatures to reach 14 C. Winds veering from southwest to west-northwest 50-70 km/hr at times, although the stronger winds will be more prolonged around west and south coasts than most other regions, spreading across those areas towards late afternoon.
SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, cool and breezy or windy, showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 14 C.
MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Little change to mid-week with further showers and moderate southwest winds. Highs near 15 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Past about Wednesday of next week the trend continues to look a little improved over this week, but confidence in this remains moderate at best. Also there is quite a spread in the guidance on how strong the warming signal might be and how long it could last.
Forecasts for Britain
The heavy rain now over southeast Ireland and the Irish Sea will be moving through Wales and the (English) Midlands later today bringing some heavy totals near 30 mm, further south there will be a risk of thunder and highs closer to 19 C. From tonight on, the fast-moving parade of systems will mean that the forecast above will generally apply in Britain if perhaps a few hours later for the details.
Forecasts for North America
A large area of severe storms will develop later today from the northern plains states to the central Gulf states, and some moderate rain or thundershowers will advance ahead of this front into the lower Great Lakes and inland northeast. The warm sector of the system covering most of the eastern U.S. will bring temperatures near 28 C. Dry and warm in a zone behind the severe storms but ahead of colder air advancing out of the central Rockies, strong winds raising blowing dust and fanning range fires in parts of NM, TX, e CO and w KS, OK. ... My local weather on Wednesday was pleasant with sunshine and highs near 18 C. Expecting cloud and showers on Thursday though.0 -
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Friday, 9 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny intervals, these more frequent in the south. Passing showers may become less frequent around mid-day but will tend to pick up again towards late afternoon, in a steady WSW breeze of about 30-50 km/hr. Rather cool with highs only 12-15 C.
TONIGHT ... Showers becoming heavier with some local flooding possible as about 20-25 mm rain accumulates by morning. Foggy after midnight. Lows about 7 or 8 C.
SATURDAY ... Heavy showers and risk of thunder, some breaks developing and gusty winds near south and west coasts (gusting to 70 km/hr) although these stronger winds may take much of the day to move inland. Highs around 13 or 14 C. Further rainfalls near 10 mm.
SUNDAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy, showers or periods of light rain, amounts generally 5-10 mm, heavier in north. Lows near 7 C and highs near 13 C.
MONDAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy, showers, breezy, lows 3-5 C and highs around 12-14 C.
TUESDAY ... Mixture of sun and cloud, more isolated showers, lows 3-5 C and highs 13-16 C.
OUTLOOK ... More frequent sunny or settled intervals and warmer especially for daytime highs, nights could remain a little cool, as clear spells will become more frequent. There are still some variations on different models in terms of how long this improved spell might last, but at least three or four days of more settled weather seem likely (from about Wed 14th to Sat 17th). Highs in the south could reach 18-21 C in this interval, rain could brush parts of the north coast on occasion and cloud will hold temperatures there down to about 14-16 C. There are also some indications that this warmer and drier interval will not break down totally before it reloads the following week, meaning just some scattered showers between the dry spells although not ideally timed, during next weekend.
The outlooks for Britain and North America continue to evolve along similar lines to yesterday's outlooks with the severe storm potential in the U.S. running from about Chicago to New Orleans today. My local weather on Thursday was partly cloudy at first but rain developed mid-afternoon and has not let up since with 20 mm at least. The high was about 15 C.0 -
Saturday, 10 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
ALERT issued for strong winds mainly confined to south coastal counties and parts of west but spreading further inland towards late afternoon. Some exposed locations in the south could see gusts near 100 km/hr.
TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, strong winds across southern counties and parts of west coast (SW veering W 60-90 km/hr), generally more moderate elsewhere until late afternoon when the stronger winds could spread inland and to the east coast. Intervals of heavy showers with the risk of a thunderstorm, then a period of steady rain developing by afternoon, about 10-15 mm potential by evening (but despite this, there could be some dry slots). Highs 13-15 C.
Note also that even stronger wind gusts to near 120 km/hr could develop off the south coast and may briefly impact on exposed headlands.
TONIGHT ... Windy with rain tapering to showers, lows near 7 C and gusts to about 80 km/hr in exposed locations.
SUNDAY ... A mixture of cloud and sunshine with passing showers, gusty west to northwest winds (50-80 km/hr), and feeling rather cold, highs 12-14 C.
MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, still rather windy at times but not as windy as the weekend. Morning lows 3-5 C and afternoon highs 12-14 C.
TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers now more isolated, lows 3-5 C and highs about 13-16 C.
WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Finally an improvement to mostly dry, and partly sunny weather, warming up considerably in the south and central counties to allow highs 16-19 C. Any rain or low cloud would likely be confined to northwest coastal fringes.
OUTLOOK ... The warmer dry spell may try to hold on for part of the weekend as somewhat cooler air moves back into the west and north, then a return to rather cool, breezy and unsettled conditions seems likely from current guidance for a day or two, before another slow improving trend. For a change we can speculate that the deteriorating trend may be postponed in forthcoming model runs.
My local weather on Friday was cloudy with some sunny breaks and around 14 or 15 C -- our longer term trend is similar in terms of improvement although there's talk of 25 C here by Thursday.0 -
Sunday, 11 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... A band of moderate rain will continue to drift south through Leinster, reaching Dublin before noon, and it could become thundery at times when it interacts with the higher terrain and gets some added lift from daytime heating. Further west there will also be scattered showers but some sunny breaks too. Winds gradually diminishing for most after some moderate westerly gusts to about 60 km/hr. Highs 11-13 C and rainfalls 5-10 mm.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy with some clear breaks, showers becoming more confined to west, lows 3-6 C. Breezy near exposed coasts (WNW 40-60 km/hr).
MONDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sun, scattered heavy showers developing, one or two could become thundery with hail (inland south most at risk). Highs about 14 C.
TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers now quite isolated, light to moderate northerly winds. Morning lows 2-6 C and afternoon highs 13-15 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals, warmer, except for cloud and drizzle near north coasts. Lows 3-7 C and highs 14-18 C.
THURSDAY ... Hazy sunshine, coastal fog patches, warm inland with highs reaching high teens to near 20 C.
FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy west and north, coastal fog and possible isolated showers, sunny east and south, warm. Highs 17-21 C.
OUTLOOK ... There now seems to be a trend towards blocking high pressure to the east rather than the cool unsettled northwest flow, but rain does still appear in the outlook as this blocking so far looks to be too far east to hold back all of the Atlantic moisture that might build up during the preceding dry spell. So our outlook now calls for a relatively dry and pleasant Saturday, cloud and some light rain in west by late in the day, and a more widespread overcast with light rain on Sunday 18th, sometimes returning during the following week but also some drier interludes in a more easterly flow regime. This can sometimes promote some hefty showers and thunderstorms moving west across Ireland. Highs on the weekend near 18 C Saturday, 16 C Sunday and 14-17 C in the following few days.
Forecasts for Britain will be fairly similar to the above, meanwhile across the U.S.A., an outbreak of severe storms is developing ahead of a very strong cold front that will move into Nebraska, Kansas and western Oklahoma this afternoon (local time) with high risk of a tornado outbreak. Highs near 32 C ahead of this front, dropping to 7-10 C in the regions west of the front. The northeastern states will remain mild to warm and dry apart from some brief isolated showers. My local weather on Saturday started out damp and ended cloudy but dry with a high of 14 C.0 -
Monday, 12 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Light rain will continue across most of Ulster, but some sunshine at times for Connacht and Leinster with scattered showers developing mid-day. Munster will have heavier and possibly thundery showers that could lead to localized flooding. Winds mostly moderate W-NW but could become gusty near coasts and around heavy showers. Highs 13-15 C. Rainfalls near 5 mm in the north, locally 10-15 mm in south but some nearly dry areas central.
TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, rather chilly with isolated showers, lows 2-6 C.
TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers now quite isolated, light to moderate northerly winds with afternoon highs 13-15 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Sunny intervals, warmer, except for cloud and drizzle near north coasts. Lows 3-7 C and highs 14-18 C.
THURSDAY ... Hazy sunshine, coastal fog patches, warm inland with highs reaching high teens to near 20 C.
FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy west and north, coastal fog and possible isolated showers, sunny east and south, warm. Highs 17-21 C.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Cloud and some showers will spread in rather slowly from the northwest and may pivot around to cover mainly north and west by Sunday, possibly leaving eastern and some of the southern counties dry, but this remains highly uncertain. Highs would likely range from near 20 C south and east to 15 C north, 18 C west. It may become slightly cooler on Sunday due to increased cloud cover more than any change in air mass.
Most guidance now shows winds gradually backing around to southeast then east during the period. As the warm, dry air expected during the week will not be totally displaced, there is some hope for intervals of reasonably warm partly cloudy conditions to persist, but it's probably equally possible that cloud and light rain will push in far enough to cover most regions. This rather sedate atmospheric duel will continue into the following week and the regime then could be a mixture of passing showery disturbances (moving northwest) and dry intervals,
As that was a rather long outlook, I will just mention that trends in Britain and North America will be similar to what was discussed yesterday, with the severe storms in the central U.S. redeveloping a bit further east each day this week in a slow-moving frontal system. Also, the slow-moving systems expected by next weekend and the following week near Ireland would be quite slow to bring about changes in the developing dry spell over parts of Britain although Scotland is likely to see more cloud and showers.
My local weather on Sunday was pleasantly sunny with a high near 16 C.0 -
Tuesday, 13 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Partly cloudy, showers now more isolated, in relatively narrow bands extending NNW-SSE and tending to drift along those paths, so that locally many places should remain dry but a few will see 5-10 mm rain and one or two of these showers could become thundery around mid-day. Mostly light to moderate northerly winds with afternoon highs 13-15 C.
TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, sprinkles of light rain developing as a weak warm front pushes north, 1-3 mm western counties, trace to 1 mm east. Lows may occur around midnight where initially clear, then temperatures will rise from the 3-7 C range towards 10 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Cloud slowly breaking for east and south, likely to remain in place longer in west and north with some intermittent light rain or drizzle until early afternoon, then more widespread sunny intervals, turning considerably warmer, except for areas of persistent cloud and drizzle near north coasts. Highs 14-18 C.
THURSDAY ... Following a rather mild and misty overnight with some clear intervals, lows 6-10 C, the day will bring hazy sunshine, coastal fog patches, warm inland with highs reaching high teens to near 20 C. There could be some readings a little higher than that, if sunshine is able to overcome patchy cloud, with potential for readings near 23 C.
FRIDAY ... Hazy but mostly clear overnight with lows 7-11 C then daytime becoming partly cloudy west and north, coastal fog and possible isolated showers, sunny east and south, warm. Highs 17-21 C and once again possibly as warm as 23 or 24 C.
SATURDAY ... The warm and dry spell should continue in parts of the south while cloud increases across the north and west, with possible showers by late afternoon or evening there. Morning lows 7-11 C and afternoon highs near 21 for most, 15-17 C north.
SUNDAY ... More extensive cloud and outbreaks of light rain, possibly confined to west and north with south coast in low cloud and fog at times, not quite as warm with lows 7-11 C and highs 15-18 C.
OUTLOOK ... Much depends on how far east the frontal trough advances after approaching on Sunday, with each model giving us a somewhat different "look" that would make for quite a different outcome in Ireland. The most likely scenario at this point seems to be near normal temperatures and rather cloudy skies with occasional rain in a mild south to southeast flow. Some heavier showers could be embedded. There is some chance that the breakdown of the dry spell will be weaker and will allow some further dry and rather warm conditions if the connection to the ridge of high pressure is not entirely broken. These scenarios have been ebbing and flowing from day to day in recent model output and I don't think the scenario is anywhere near being nailed down yet. However, if you need an interval of dry weather, at this point we would suggest you take advantage of Thursday to Saturday or at least not count on anything too certain next week.
Worth noting that a strong low over central Europe late this week into this weekend could bring some very heavy rainfalls to countries around Serbia and Hungary into the southern Czech Republic and eastern Austria, with flood risks. This feeds into our forecast uncertainty because if energy breaks away from this system and moves west, it could either force the weak ridge to stall near southern Ireland, or even push moisture west towards Ireland. If the central Europe system just breaks down in place, then the Atlantic has a better chance to regain the upper hand by next week.
No real updates from a couple of days back elsewhere, today's heaviest storm potential in the U.S. will be from Indiana to Tennessee. That is turning more into a heavy rainfall producer with a secondary low moving up the stalled front tomorrow. As a result of all this blocking, the west is turning very warm again.
My local weather on Monday was sunny and warm with highs into the low 20s.0 -
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Wednesday, 14 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
Astronomy notes: Full moon occurs at 8:16 p.m. IST, or around the time of moonrise this evening. Before that, the Moon will brush past Saturn around 1 p.m. in your time zone -- and in fact the Moon moves in front of Saturn as seen from parts of the southern hemisphere. If you have clear skies tonight, you'll see Saturn to the right of the full Moon.
TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals developing, scattered drizzly light rain dying out in all but far northern counties. Rather warm and humid, highs 16-18 C south, 13-15 C north.
TONIGHT ... Some cloud and some mist or fog but also intervals of clear hazy skies, mild. Lows 6-10 C.
THURSDAY ... Morning cloud in parts of east, otherwise hazy sunshine, coastal fog patches, warm inland with highs reaching high teens to near 20 C. There could be some readings a little higher than that, if sunshine is able to overcome patchy cloud, with potential for readings near 23 C.
FRIDAY ... Hazy but mostly clear overnight with lows 7-11 C then daytime becoming partly cloudy west and north, coastal fog and possible isolated showers, sunny east and south, warm. Highs 17-21 C and once again possibly as warm as 23 or 24 C.
SATURDAY ... The warm and dry spell should continue in parts of the south while cloud increases across the north and west, with possible showers by late afternoon or evening there. Morning lows 7-11 C and afternoon highs near 21 for most, 15-17 C north.
SUNDAY ... More extensive cloud and outbreaks of light rain, possibly confined to west and north with south coast in low cloud and fog at times, not quite as warm with lows 7-11 C and highs 15-18 C.
OUTLOOK ... We still see some range of solutions for next week but most of them include some rain, heaviest around Tuesday into Wednesday at this point. Winds will likely remain in an east to southeast direction and so it may not cool off much past Sunday, remaining around normal values daytime but mild at night (range of 10-16 C). There could still be some intervals of sunshine in the mix, more likely for the north given the location of low pressure in the Biscay region.
My local weather on Tuesday was sunny and warm, about 22 C locally and up to 25 C further inland.0 -
Thursday, 15 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloud and scattered light showers this morning will gradually yield to partly sunny skies and it may get as warm as 21 C if that sunshine is prolonged enough, otherwise a rather close 18 C under greater cloud cover, either way it will be a taste of summery warmth with light winds. Some west to north coast districts may remain under a marine layer of low cloud and see only limited sunshine and 14-16 C.
TONIGHT ... Hazy but clear skies may give way to cloud or fog and mist at times, very mild at 7-10 C.
FRIDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sun, warm with highs 18-22 C.
SATURDAY ... After another hazy mild night with lows only 7-11 C, daytime will be partly sunny at times in the south and east, and continued warm, highs 18-21 C. Cloudy in west and north with light rain moving gradually inland by late afternoon or evening, highs 15-18 C.
SUNDAY ... Cloudy, cooler for most, periods of light rain or showers but also some chance of a few dry intervals, lows near 8 C and highs near 14 C.
MONDAY ... Cloudy, some fog or mist, rain more confined to south and west, could warm up somewhat in north and east, lows 8-10 C and highs 14-17 C.
TUESDAY ... Rain or heavy showers at times in south, more variable central and north as rather warm air tries to return from east, highs about 14 C in the south but could reach 17-19 C north.
OUTLOOK ... Details uncertain but likely to remain unsettled, somewhat warmer than average especially at night, with variable amounts of rain likely to be heavier in south at first, possibly shifting to north during the week.
Forecasts for Britain
This pattern will generally be a few degrees warmer each day as some 23-25 C temperatures may move across the Channel from a more extensive area of warmth in France and Belgium, but western and northern regions will be fairly similar to Ireland most of the time. When milder air moves back west, Scotland may see temperatures near 20 C much of next week. With any luck this will also be the case in parts of east Ulster and perhaps north Leinster and inland Connacht.
Forecasts for North America
Heavy rain continues to move east and will affect mostly coastal states and the lower Great Lakes regions today. But some areas of lighter rain will remain over the Midwest where it will be slightly cooler than average at 15-17 C. Most of the central and western regions will be very warm and dry. My local weather on Wednesday was sunny and warm with highs near 22 C.0 -
Friday, 16 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Filtered sunshine through rather extensive high clouds, warm and humid, highs 18-21 C. A few outer coastal headlands will have cooling sea breezes and local fog or drizzle, mainly in the northwest, but even there some locations will be fair and warm. There is a very slight chance of a local shower inland near sea breeze boundaries.
TONIGHT ... Hazy but essentially clear in the south, increasing cloud north with rain developing by morning in coastal districts. Lows 7-11 C.
SATURDAY ... Partly sunny with thicker cloud at times in the south and east, and continued warm, highs 18-21 C. Cloudy in west and north with light rain moving gradually inland by late afternoon or evening, becoming heavier at times in counties near Donegal Bay where 5-10 mm likely ... highs 15-18 C with this area of rainfall.
SUNDAY ... Cloudy, cooler for most, periods of light rain or showers but also some chance of a few dry intervals, lows near 8 C and highs near 14 C. Rainfalls rather variable but 5-15 mm on average.
MONDAY ... Cloudy, some fog or mist, rain more confined to south and west, could warm up somewhat in north and east, lows 8-10 C and highs 14-17 C.
TUESDAY ... Rain or heavy showers at times in south, more variable central and north as rather warm air tries to return from east, highs about 14 C in the south but could reach 17-19 C north.
WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY ... Rain may become heavy in the south, as warm and humid air makes a return from Britain across central and northern counties, highs near 15 C south to 20 C north. Potential for 20-30 mm rainfalls in the south. Scattered showers and some thunderstorms moving west across central and some northern regions.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... This disturbed period will probably ease back to partly cloudy, warm weather through the last week of May. Current projections suggest some potential for 22-24 C warmth at times late in the month.
Will update other forecasts tomorrow, as comments yesterday remain valid ... my local weather on Thursday was quite summer-like, despite a rather thick altostratus overcast, some sunshine got through at times and it reached 25 C.0 -
Saturday, 17 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... South and east will remain dry, partly cloudy to sunny at times, and warm with highs 18-21 C. North and west will be under increasing cloud and scattered outbreaks of light rain, becoming heavier around Donegal Bay late afternoon, highs 14-17 C. Moderate south to southwest breezes will develop by afternoon.
TONIGHT ... Rain will slowly edge further south and east to cover most of Ulster, Connacht and parts of west Munster. It will be dry further east and very mild in all regions with lows 8-12 C.
SUNDAY ... Rain will continue its slow eastward drift but may not fully overspread all parts of the east until afternoon, which will allow highs there to reach 15-17 C. Further west, some dry intervals will follow the initial 5-10 mm rainfall band, with highs 13-15 C.
MONDAY ... Periods of rain could become heavy in some western counties, elsewhere, showers, warm and humid with risk of a thunderstorm. Lows 10-13 C and highs 16-19 C.
TUESDAY ... Further showers, isolated thunderstorms, warm and humid, especially central, inland north and west. Lows 11-14 C and highs 17-21 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy, warm, humid with outbreaks of showery rain, lows around 12 C and highs around 18 C.
THURSDAY ... Cloudy, rain or drizzle at times, also some sunny breaks, possibly turning slightly cooler in western regions, lows near 11 C and highs around 15-16 C.
FRIDAY ... Showers or periods of rain, lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.
OUTLOOK ... The unsettled spell will probably trend slowly towards very warm and dry weather in a southeast to east flow, but details are far from certain. There will be potential for temperatures to rise into the 20s during the last week of May.
My local weather on Friday was cloudy and not quite as warm as recently although still rather pleasant at 19 C.0 -
Sunday, 18 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Rain will continue its slow eastward drift but may not fully overspread all parts of the east until about noon, which will allow highs there to reach 15-17 C. Further west, some dry intervals will follow the initial 5-10 mm rainfall band, with highs 13-15 C.
TONIGHT ... The rain will gradually become more drizzly with fog and mist developing, although a few clear intervals might prevail inland west, so that lows there will be 6-9 C but elsewhere 10-12 C.
MONDAY ... Periods of rain could once again become heavy, most likely in western counties, elsewhere, showers, warm and humid with risk of a thunderstorm. Rainfalls 5-15 mm. Lows 10-13 C and highs 16-19 C.
TUESDAY ... Further showers, isolated thunderstorms, warm and humid, especially central, inland north and west. Lows 11-14 C and highs 17-19 C. Rain likely heaviest in Munster with 20-30 mm potential in west, spot flooding could develop. Elsewhere amounts generally 10-15 mm.
WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy, warm, humid with outbreaks of showery rain, lows around 12 C and highs around 17 C.
THURSDAY ... Cloudy, rain or drizzle at times, also some sunny breaks, possibly turning slightly cooler in western regions, lows near 11 C and highs around 15-16 C.
FRIDAY ... Showers or periods of rain, lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.
OUTLOOK ... The unsettled spell could trend slowly towards very warm and dry weather in a southeast to east flow, but details are far from certain. The models have a lot of weak disturbances and associated low-level moisture hanging around but sometimes these types of outlook patterns get overwhelmed by fairly subtle pressure rises which are evident as a trend. There will be potential for temperatures to rise into the 20s during the last week of May.
Note that today in southern England will continue warm and dry, the rain is moving equally slowly southward across north-central Britain and may not make it much further than a central Wales to Yorkshire line before dissipating into scattered drizzly showers tomorrow. Also it is likely to be considerably warmer at times in southeast England all week (22-24 C at times).
My local weather on Saturday was partly to mostly cloudy but enough sun got through to make it feel reasonably warm at 18 C.0 -
Monday, 19 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Periods of rain could once again become heavy, most likely in central and western counties, also in east Ulster, and it will be rather warm and humid with risk of a thunderstorm. Rainfalls 5-15 mm, and highs 16-19 C.
TONIGHT ... Intermittent rain, drizzle and fog, a further 5 mm on average, lows about 10 to 13 C.
TUESDAY ... Further showers, isolated thunderstorms, warm and humid, especially central, inland north and west and highs 17-19 C. Rain likely heaviest in Munster with 20-30 mm potential in west, spot flooding could develop. Elsewhere amounts generally 10-15 mm.
WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy, warm, humid with outbreaks of showery rain becoming more confined to west and north, some sunny intervals developing in central, eastern counties, with lows around 12 C and highs around 17 C.
THURSDAY ... Cloudy, rain or drizzle at times, also some sunny breaks, possibly turning slightly cooler in western regions, lows near 11 C and highs around 15-16 C.
FRIDAY ... Showers or periods of rain, lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.
OUTLOOK ... The weekend is looking overcast with drizzly light rain at times but also some brighter intervals, highs 16-18 C, and if that regime doesn't persist much beyond the start of the following week it could turn more settled with temperatures into the low 20s.
My local weather on Sunday was cloudy with sunny intervals, isolated showers and highs near 17 C.0 -
Tuesday, 20 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
ALERT for heavy rainfalls spreading west across the country, 15-30 mm for most of Leinster and Ulster, 20-40 mm for much of Connacht and Munster. Heaviest rainfalls will be around east and south facing slopes of higher terrain but local spot flooding is possible in other locations as heavy thunderstorms could be embedded in the rainfall system. Most of this rainfall will occur during afternoon and evening although it may start as early as 0800h in Wicklow. (scattered showers further west now are not part of the system and should die out before it arrives).
TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with heavy showers and embedded thunderstorms, see alert above for details. Highs near 16 C, feeling rather warm and very humid. Rainfalls 15-30 mm east, 20-40 mm west. Winds E 20-40 km/hr except NNE backing to W in Kerry and Cork.
TONIGHT ... Fog and drizzle for most regions except for western counties where the heavy rain may continue past midnight, lows 9-12 C. Some heavy thunderstorms could continue near the Atlantic coasts.
WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, heavy showers or isolated thunderstorms with hail developing, much less widespread than today but where they happen, about as heavy, isolated flash flooding may occur with these ... central counties are somewhat more at risk ... highs 14-17 C. Winds will return to a southerly direction then back to easterly by late in the day.
THURSDAY ... After a foggy start, some sunshine could develop, with more scattered showers or outbreaks of rain in a light northeast wind flow, about 5 to 10 mm rain for most, morning lows 8-10 C and afternoon highs 14-16 C.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, showers and risk of a thunderstorm, lows near 7 C and highs near 14 C. Some chance of a steady rainfall in northern counties with stronger northeast winds there.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Although it will continue rather cloudy and unsettled at times in a northeast flow, a slightly improving trend is likely with a bit more sunshine each day and temperatures remaining in the 14-17 C range.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Guidance is very scattered past this weekend, the most likely outcome is a gradual drying trend with higher pressure building up over the region and a warm temperature regime.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY ... Outbreaks of thundery rain will edge further east with each outbreak moving north then northwest in waves. Highs near 22 C east, and around 17 C west. Some heavy rainfalls likely from south central England through west Midlands, Wales, northwest England and southwest Scotland.
The rest of the week will remain rather unsettled and muggy with highs not far from 20 C in most areas. Some further heavy rains are likely and any sunshine will boost temperatures in the southeast to near 24 C.
Forecasts for North America
Very warm to hot in most of the southern half of the U.S. with thunderstorms moving east from central plains states into Midwest, Ohio valley, lower Great Lakes and (by tonight) inland northeast and mid-Atlantic states. Highs in the warmer air mass 29-33 C. About 15 C north of the fronts. Some outbreaks of heavy rain over the Rockies as far north as central Alberta, slow improvement along the west coast as clouds break. ... My local weather on (holiday) Monday was cloudy with light showers, little accumulation, and around 16 C.0 -
Wednesday, 21 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Rain or showers in west Munster, but starting out partly to mostly sunny in many other regions, apart from some fog patches. Skies will gradually become partly to mostly cloudy for most, the rain in the west will fragment into showers and these will gradually spread further east leading to some heavy thunderstorms in central counties by afternoon. Some parts of coastal Leinster may remain dry but 3-15 mm rain will fall in a variable pattern elsewhere. Highs will reach 14 to 17 C. Winds generally light south backing to east.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy and becoming foggy, showers turning to occasional drizzle or light rain, winds becoming E to NE 20-40 km/hr. Lows 8-11 C.
THURSDAY ... Variable cloud with heavy showers developing, once again moving back to the west, possibility of some heavy downpours with thunder and hail, but unlike yesterday, not quite as warm, highs closer to 14 C. Winds moderate E to NE 30-50 km/hr.
FRIDAY ... Periods of rain, moderate E to NE winds, lows near 7 C and highs near 14 C.
SATURDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, showers and isolated thunderstorms, in a light to moderate northerly breeze. Lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.
SUNDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, showers more isolated, moderate north to northeast breezes. Lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.
OUTLOOK ... Some chance of further showers but encouraging signs from the most reliable guidance that it could become dry and warmer although with lower humidity levels. Highs could reach the lower 20s.
My local weather on Tuesday was sunny at times, a bit warmer again with highs near 20 C.0 -
Thursday, 22 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
No alert, just a heads up for parts of the southeast that heavy rain could brush past tonight and Friday and extend some distance inland into Wexford and south Wicklow. There's potential for 20-30 mm rain but this may remain offshore while 10-20 mm falls on land. Rainfall over the far west will likely fall into that same general category.
TODAY ... A "squeeze" situation for the east, as a band of light to moderate rain over western counties remains fairly stationary, while rain over Britain edges west to approach the east coast tonight. It could stay dry most if not all of the day in some parts of Leinster and east Munster, possibly even central Ulster and inland Connacht. Rain will be intermittent and reach 10-15 mm amounts near the west coast in a raw north to northeast wind 30-50 km/hr (but stronger on exposed coasts and over the near Atlantic, gusts to 80 km/hr there). Highs only 11-13 C for this part of Ireland, but further east, cloudy with sunny breaks, and highs 14-16 C, with risk of an isolated thunderstorm near higher terrain (the northeast side of mountains will be most likely to see activity).
TONIGHT ... Rain will edge closer to the east coast and may become heavy after midnight in parts of Wexford and south Wicklow. Light ro moderate rain could extend a little further west and all the way north to east Ulster. Amounts will be 5-10 mm for most in this zone. It could stay dry in some central counties (north to south) but will continue to be wet near the west coast as a further 10-15 mm rain falls there, in gusty N winds. Lows for most 7-8 C.
FRIDAY ... Heavy rain or thunderstorms possible at times in the southeast, trending to light rain a little further west, still a wedge of dry air caught between this system and the decaying remnants of the west coastal rainfall band which will degenerate into drizzle by afternoon. Cool in gusty north to northeast winds. Highs 12-15 C.
SATURDAY ... Cloudy with a few breaks, bands of moderate rainfall may develop from east Ulster into central counties and east Munster. One or two could develop further into thunderstorms, moving south to southwest, with hail possible. Better chances for sunshine in the far northwest. Lows 5-8 C and highs 12-16 C.
SUNDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, more isolated showers and risk of a brief thundershower. Lows 5-7 C and highs 13-17 C.
OUTLOOK ... Guidance continues a little scattered but the more reliable models seem to be trending more to dry than unsettled and so we might expect at least an equal mixture of cloud and sunshine and just isolated showers at worst. There's likely to be some sunny days mid-week, highs will start out around 18 C and rise a little by mid-week into the 20-21 C range inland. Nights will be rather cool with lows 4-7 C in rural areas, 7-9 C in urban and coastal regions.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY and FRIDAY will become very unsettled with heavy rainfalls over much of England and Wales, moderate showers extending into parts of Scotland although some dry areas there. Highs only 15-18 C in contrast to the hot weather earlier in the week, but mild nights near 12 C. The cooler air located over western Ireland will only reach Britain indirectly over the weekend as it mixes into a decaying area of low pressure. This will have the effect of setting off heavy thunderstorms in parts of the Midlands and south central England. An improving trend will follow next week.
Forecasts for North America
Hot and dry in the southern states, scattered thunderstorms in the central plains and heavy rainfalls with embedded thunderstorms in parts of the east central states. North of this complex, rather chilly in east winds flowing out of higher pressure over Quebec and northern Ontario where it will be cold enough at night for some frosts. Rather warm in most of the west although close to normal ... my local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy and pleasantly warm at 21 C.0 -
UPDATE __ Thursday, 22 May, 2014 __ 7 p.m.
__________________________________________
Updating the forecast for tonight valid now to 0700h ...
Risk of a heavy thunderstorm in parts of the west-central counties generally from around Banagher in the north to Mallow in the south, cells will move to the south-southwest and small areas could see flooding due to repeated downpours from the line of cells, 20-30 mm local rainfalls although 5-10 mm will be more general, with hail and thunder likely. Further west, some areas of light rain continuing in strong northerly winds, about 3-5 mm further.
The east coast will begin to see bursts of moderate rain later this evening and an ALERT for heavy rainfall could be required in some parts of Meath, Dublin and Wicklow although in general amounts may remain lower than 20 mm, so consider it an alert for locally heavier amounts and isolated flood potential as small streams could overflow, most likely where they flow northeast from high ground, and isolated cases of urban flooding could develop, in a few locations (between mountains and Irish Sea probably more at risk). Some areas a little further west between these various features could remain dry but cloudy with just patchy drizzle. Lows generally 7-9 C.0 -
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Friday, 23 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Some light rain will continue to fall intermittently in western counties with moderate northerly winds gusting to 50 km/hr, highs near 13 C. From central Ulster south to east Munster, longer intervals of dry weather and even some sunshine, but risk of heavy showers or thunderstorms developing later, highs 14-16 C. The east coast counties will soon have rain with a few embedded thundershowers, and moderate NE winds 40-60 km/hr. A few upslope areas in north Wexford, Wicklow and south Dublin could see 20-30 mm rainfalls, otherwise about 10-20 mm will fall in the east by evening time. Highs will reach 13-14 C.
TONIGHT ... Rain becoming more widespread in moderate NE winds 40-60 km/hr, lows 8-10 C.
SATURDAY ... Rain becoming more showery and breaking into scattered bands with some partly cloudy skies between bands, still the risk of locally heavy rainfall 15-20 mm in some parts of the east-central to south coast counties. Highs about 14-16 C but feeling rather cool due to gusty N-NE winds.
SUNDAY ... Not much change although perhaps a better mixture of sunshine and cloud with somewhat less widespread shower activity, still some risk of a thunderstorm, winds continuing to oscillate from NE to NNW with passing weak trough features, lows 7-10 C and highs 14-16 C. Average rainfalls about 5-10 mm.
MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, chance of thunder, lows 5-8 C and highs 14-17 C. Average rainfalls just 2-5 mm.
TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY ... Somewhat improved with longer dry intervals and just isolated showers in light northeast winds, lows 4-7 C and highs 15-20 C with the warmer readings in west Munster and south Connacht.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Higher chance of showers returning later in the week with daytime temperatures remaining around seasonal normals in 17-19 C range.
Will update other forecasts tomorrow -- my local weather on Thursday was cloudy and warm, with showers slowly approaching from the west but first onset of rain delayed to about sunset, in other words, a perfect golfing day (not that I golfed).0 -
Saturday, 24 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Rain will continue to edge further west into central counties (north to south) which will allow eastern counties to see a little improvement by late morning and early afternoon, possibly a few sunny breaks, but more showers will develop and a steady rain is likely by evening there. The central rain band may become thundery at times giving 15-25 mm rainfalls in counties from about Offaly to Cork. Further west some light rain persists but there could also be brief intervals of brighter skies in moderate northerly winds. Highs will recover a little from yesterday's chilly values, to about 14-16 C with the higher values being assisted by whatever sunshine develops. Winds for most places will be north turning more northeast 30-50 km/hr.
TONIGHT ... Further heavy rain is expected in the east (10-20 mm) in moderate NE winds 30-50 km/hr. Bands of rain in central counties may reach the west coast around midnight then begin to fragment. Lows 7-9 C.
SUNDAY ... Rain becoming more showery with risk of a few heavy thunderstorms in central counties and inland south, some sunshine at times, highs 15-17 C.
MONDAY ... Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms developing, lows around 7 C and highs around 17 C.
TUESDAY ... Longer dry intervals and sunny breaks, but still a few clusters of showers likely, rather humid, lows around 8 C and highs around 18 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers and a few thunderstorms moving west, some risk of severe storms developing in south Connacht and parts of west Munster. Lows near 10 C and highs near 19 C.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY ... Slightly less humid and more settled but staying rather cloudy with isolated showers, highs near 20 C.
My local weather on Friday was cloudy with a few late glimpses of the sun, but dry for most places all day, highs around 18 C. Seems to be clear out now (just before midnight) and I'm going to see if the meteor shower is visible.0 -
Sunday, 25 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with a few brighter intervals, with a north-south band of rain drifting west, leading to some heavier thundery showers by afternoon in west-central counties, also a second band of rain likely to move into Leinster and east Ulster around mid-day. Some local rainfalls of 10-15 mm but the average amount more like 3-5 mm. Highs 14-16 C.
TONIGHT ... Misty or foggy after skies begin to clear, isolated showers dying out in most areas. Lows 6-9 C.
MONDAY ... Fog or mist lifting to allow for some morning sunny intervals, becoming partly to mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms developing, and highs around 17 C.
TUESDAY ... Longer dry intervals and sunny breaks, but still a few clusters of showers likely, rather humid, lows around 8 C and highs around 18 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers and a few thunderstorms moving west, some risk of severe storms developing in south Connacht and parts of west Munster. Lows near 10 C and highs near 19 or 20 C.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY ... Slightly less humid and more settled but staying rather cloudy with isolated showers, highs near 20 C.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Warm to start, highs around 22 C on Saturday, then increasing cloud with showers and thunderstorms developing by about Sunday into Monday (1-2 June) and turning cooler (highs 15-17 C).
Just a couple of notes on other forecasts -- Britain will be seeing about the same sort of gradual warming trend with a gradual if slight reduction in the frequency of rain through the week. Highs will be about 18 C to mid-week and into the lower or even mid 20s later in the week, as winds become generally east to southeast.
In North America, temperatures have warmed to above normal 24-28 C in the east, Great Lakes and Midwest, and near 30 C in the southeast which is close to normal there. Showers and thunderstorms are becoming widespread in Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas, eastern Colorado and Wyoming. My local weather on Saturday was mostly cloudy with a rather cool southeast wind and highs near 17 C.0 -
Monday, 26 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals developing but mostly in the inland south ... some rather heavy showers will continue in parts of east Ulster and North Leinster, but more widespread showers and some thunderstorms will then develop across other regions later this morning or early afternoon. Some of these may contain hail and locally heavy downpours giving 15-20 mm, and many places are likely to see at least 5-10 mm. Rather warm and humid by afternoon with highs about 15-17 C.
TONIGHT ... Fog patches, mist and showers dying out, lows 5-8 C.
TUESDAY ... Some sunny intervals mostly in the south and west, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms developing, rather warm and humid with highs about 17-19 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, chance of some steady rain developing in east but also risk of heavy thunderstorms moving gradually west across south-central and inland western counties. Lows 7-10 C and highs about 17-20 C warmer in west, temperatures could fall to 13-15 C in any persistent rainfall during afternoon, especially from Dublin north to east Ulster. At this point, guidance is rather mixed on the strength of low pressure moving west towards Ireland and if the weaker solutions are correct this feature may not drop temperatures very much.
THURSDAY ... Remnant showers or thunderstorms becoming more confined to west and north, warm and quite humid with lows near 11 C and highs around 20 C.
FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, some better sunny intervals for most, just isolated showers if any, lows 8-12 C and highs 19-22 C.
SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, warm, rain likely by evening in west. Lows around 10 C and highs around 23 C.
SUNDAY-MONDAY ... Chance of showers and mostly cloudy, cooler again, lows near 8 C and highs 15-17 C.
Trends remain similar to yesterday's forecasts for Britain and North America, meanwhile, my local weather on Sunday was overcast and rather foggy at times with light rain, highs about 16 C. Garden centres were very busy.0 -
Tuesday, 27 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Morning mist or fog lifting, then some sunny intervals, a few scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms developing, most likely west-central counties and some inland parts of Leinster, rather warm and humid with highs about 17-19 C.
TONIGHT ... Becoming mainly cloudy, misty and humid, lows 7-10 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, chance of some steady rain developing in east but also risk of heavy thunderstorms developing in parts of the south-central and inland western counties. Highs about 17-20 C, warmer in west and central counties, temperatures could fall to 13-15 C in any sporadic rainfall during afternoon, especially from Dublin north to east Ulster. This may hold off until evening but sea breezes will cool these regions before the rain arrives.
THURSDAY ... Remnant showers or thunderstorms becoming more confined to west and north, but some may redevelop to become heavy, warm and quite humid with lows near 11 C and highs around 20 C.
FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, some better sunny intervals for most, just isolated showers if any, lows 8-12 C and highs 19-22 C.
SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, warm, rain likely by evening in west. Lows around 10 C and highs around 23 C.
SUNDAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy, becoming breezy (SW to W 30-50 km/hr) with showers and risk of a thunderstorm, turning cooler. Lows 9-12 C and highs about 16 C.
MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, breezy, showers in some western counties. Rather cool with lows 7-9 C and highs near 15 C.
Forecasts for Britain
Frequent showers will turn to heavy rainfall in some central regions later today, highs 15-17 C. Rain will continue through much of tomorrow and after that, showers gradually less widespread, then some sunny intervals by the weekend. Highs reaching the low 20s at times by then.
Forecasts for North America
Staying very warm in the east but more widespread showers and thunderstorms developing, highs 25-28 C for most of the eastern states. Sunny and hot in most of the west, outbreaks of showers or thundershowers near the Canadian border and into parts of western Canada. ... My local weather on Monday was partly cloudy to start, sunny by afternoon, with highs about 18 C.0 -
Wednesday, 28 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
Astronomy note: New moon occurs today at 7:40 p.m. IST, no eclipse takes place.
TODAY ... Sunny skies for most this morning, although near both east and west coasts cloud will be visible just offshore, and this cloud will be very slowly advancing, with the eastern cloud containing some light rain -- with any luck this will not arrive until evening but some parts of east Ulster could see it by afternoon. Of more concern, the air mass will become unstable and some rather heavy showers or local thunderstorms could develop especially in parts of Munster. Local rainfalls of 10-20 mm will be possible. Highs 17-21 C with warmest readings likely around Galway and south Connacht.
TONIGHT ... Rain will continue to edge west into coastal Leinster, although it may begin to fragment to patchy light rain or drizzle. Cloud will also spread west over other regions, while remnants of earlier showers in Munster could lead to dense fog in valleys there. Lows 6-9 C.
THURSDAY ... Cloudy with sunny intervals, not quite as warm, more widespread showers likely, some rather heavy. Highs 15-17 C.
FRIDAY ... Mixture of cloud and sun, some remnant showers and risk of an isolated heavy thunderstorm inland south. Generally cloudy but dry further north. Lows 5-8 C and highs 15-18 C.
SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, warm. Risk of isolated showers developing inland west by late in the day. Lows 7-10 C and highs 19-23 C.
SUNDAY ... Warm and humid at first with showers and risk of a thunderstorm, then turning cooler at least in western and northern counties, highs about 17 to 19 C west, 19 to 21 C east.
MONDAY ... Morning showers but some clearing later, fresher and considerably cooler with highs 15-17 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Rain at times, near normal temperatures during the first few days of June. It may then become quite warm and unsettled leading to thunderstorms.
Other forecasts will be updated tomorrow, travellers note that heavy thunderstorms are likely in the northeast U.S., and steady rain in much of England today -- my local weather on Tuesday was a pleasant sunny 20 C.0 -
Thursday, 29 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Light rain at times in Ulster and north Leinster, should begin to fragment to patchy showers with 3-5 mm totals, while other regions have a dry start with some sun getting through mid-level cloud in places, eventually leading to some showers and risk of an isolated thunderstorm in parts of Connacht and Munster. Highs around 15 C north, to 18 C inland west and south.
TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, light showers at times in north. Lows 5-9 C.
FRIDAY ... Mixture of cloud and sun, some remnant showers and risk of an isolated heavy thunderstorm inland south. Generally cloudy but dry further north, with highs 15-18 C.
SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, warm or very warm especially away from cooling sea breezes. Risk of isolated showers or brief thundershowers developing inland west by late in the day. Lows 7-10 C and highs 19-23 C.
SUNDAY ... Some morning sunshine in east, generally warm and humid at first with showers and risk of a thunderstorm, then turning cooler during the afternoon or evening, at least in western and northern counties, morning lows about 12 C and afternoon highs about 17 to 19 C west, 19 to 21 C east.
MONDAY ... Morning showers but some clearing later, fresher and considerably cooler with lows 7-9 C and highs 15-17 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Rain at times, near normal temperatures during the first few days of June although around mid-week it may fall below normal in western regions with highs only 13-15 C. It may then become quite warm and unsettled leading to thunderstorms towards the second week of June.
My local weather on Wednesday was overcast but rain only arrived after sunset with about 3-4 mm since then. Some heavy thunderstorms with hail were reported further inland, nothing like that locally.0 -
Friday, 30 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Most places dry if rather cloudy at first, if some sunshine breaks through it could lead to a few isolated but locally heavy showers in parts of the inland south and west mostly. Motion would be towards the southwest for these showers. Highs generally 15-18 C but a few places could hit 20 C if there's enough sunshine (inland southwest most likely).
TONIGHT ... Clear intervals developing, fog or mist could return after midnight, mild with lows 9-12 C.
SATURDAY ... Sunny intervals, warm, with increasing cloud in western counties and possible isolated showers developing by afternoon or evening most likely in north-central Connacht. Highs 19-23 C.
SATURDAY NIGHT ... Dry and quite warm for most, cloudy with showers developing towards morning near west coast, lows 11-13 C.
SUNDAY ... Showers and possible thunderstorms developing in west, partly cloudy to start in east, with some of those showers arriving by late in the day, highs 17-20 C west and 19-21 C east. Rain about 5-10 mm on average except remaining dry in parts of southeast.
MONDAY ... Showers and some thunderstorms, turning a bit fresher in the west, lows 11-13 C and highs 15-18 C.
TUESDAY ... Breezy, showers or periods of rain, cooler, lows 8-10 C and highs 13-16 C.
OUTLOOK ... Frequent showers and near normal temperatures later next week with highs generally 14-17 C. A warmer interval seems likely to develop again into the second week of June.
My local weather on Thursday was overcast and rather cool with brief showers and highs near 16 C.0 -
Saturday, 31 May, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland (summer outlook added)
A rather abbreviated daily forecast today, partly because there are no large changes in outlook, but also to make space for a summer outlook (at the end of the text).
TODAY will be warm and dry for just about all parts of Ireland and Britain, with the sun breaking through somewhat stubborn low cloud during the morning and where it persists, temperatures should easily reach 21-23 C. Longer cloudy intervals will be accompanied by a high of about 18 or 19 C.
TONIGHT and SUNDAY, rain slowly spreads east across western and central Ireland but may take most of the day to reach all of Leinster. It will remain rather warm, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.
MONDAY will continue this slow cooling trend with further showers, highs near 17 C. From TUESDAY to end of the week, it looks rather wet as low pressure will be moving around in a slow counter-clockwise loop over Britain and back into Ireland. This will have the effect of turning winds from northerly back to southerly as the week progresses, so that mid-week will be a little cooler than the more humid end of the week.
(My local weather was sunny and warm, high of 21 C)
Now on to the interesting part
...
Summer 2014 Outlook based on my own research methods but I have to say that this seems to be a fairly widespread "take" on the type of summer ahead for Ireland as well as most of Britain ... as stated above, June will begin rather unsettled and could become wet enough to double the normal amounts of rainfall. This poor start to the three months may not be the end of the story, as slight improvements can be expected each month -- later in June and into much of July, look for fairly average conditions with perhaps a touch more cloud than normal, and temperatures possibly slightly above normal. Then August (as well as parts of late July) may become quite hot and sunny but this could lead to severe storms as there is likely to be considerable moisture available for fueling evaporation and loading up warm air masses for later thunderstorms. So it's a mixed bag at best with some reasonably good weather later in the summer, and if you enjoy storms, this may be a better than average summer in that regard.0 -
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Sunday, 1 June, 2014
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Showers and possible thunderstorms, spreading east to cover most regions by afternoon. There may be some slight improvement near the west coast late in the afternoon. Highs 15-17 C west, to 18-20 C east.
TONIGHT ... Gradual clearing from west, but rain likely to continue most of the night in east-central regions. Lows near 10 C. Total rainfalls by end of the event about 5-10 mm.
MONDAY ... A few morning showers, then variable cloud, some sunny breaks and further showers developing in moderate westerly winds. Fresher with highs about 17 C.
TUESDAY ... Increasing cloud, showers and risk of heavy rainfall by later in the day, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C. Winds SSW 30-50 km/hr. Rainfalls 10-15 mm.
WEDNESDAY ... Blustery, some heavy showers, some with thunder and hail, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C. Winds W-NW 40-60 km/hr. Rainfalls about 10 mm.
THURSDAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny intervals, patchy light rain mostly in north and west, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY-SATURDAY ... Heavy rain likely in a southeast to south wind, risk of thunderstorms. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.
OUTLOOK ... The following week seems likely to turn quite warm again, with highs into the lower 20s and possibly a bit higher.
Notes -- Britain will follow a similar trend but some of the events will be up to a day later as systems are moving rather slowly. When the disturbance hits on Friday-Saturday, very warm air may invade southeast England and heavy thunderstorms could develop in parts of central England and Wales.
North America continues rather warm almost coast to coast except for northern New England and far eastern Canada where it's unseasonably cool. Heavy showers and thunderstorms are developing across the north-central plains states. It was 42 C in Phoenix on Saturday, and my local weather was sunny but nowhere near that hot at 20 C. Probably about the same as your own Saturday, from what I've seen on reports.0
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