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14-02-2016, 18:57   #1
sryanbruen
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Spring Weather 2016

The milder weather towards next weekend is giving me Spring vibes! What does everybody think what Spring will give to us?

A Spring like 2007 / 11?

OR

A Spring like 2006 / 13?

My predictions

March - Very dull, cold and wet. - Dullest March on record
April - Very cold, dull and wet. Potential cold snap. - Coldest April on record and maybe dullest in over 24 years
May - Average temperatures but sunny and dry. - Nothing remarkable

^ I hope not! LOL

Last edited by sryanbruen; 14-02-2016 at 19:16.
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14-02-2016, 21:41   #2
JCX BXC
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I don't care much for Spring, but I do hope May is nice.
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14-02-2016, 21:46   #3
sryanbruen
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Originally Posted by Carnacalla View Post
I don't care much for Spring, but I do hope May is nice.
Yep after a long run of poor ones since 2010
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14-02-2016, 22:31   #4
M.T. Cranium
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I think it's likely to be close to what you've suggested, although I would expect perhaps a bit more sunshine in March because of a northeast component to the flow at times. Long warm spells are more likely in May and the summer months given the hemispheric pattern changes underway. One of the better analogues at present is 2013. That is meant to apply to the present and future and not to the lead-up.

For the record, I will say this:

March -- mixture of cool, dry spells with possible local snow streamers, and near normal spells of cloudy sometimes rainy spells, temperatures 1 to 2 below normal.

April -- dull, wet with one or two brief warm spells, temperatures close to normal.

May -- warm and dry, temperatures 1 to 2 above normal.

summer -- one of the better ones, perhaps almost as good as 2013 or 1995.

and next winter of course will be fabulous. Next winter always is.
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14-02-2016, 22:40   #5
sryanbruen
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Quote:
Originally Posted by M.T. Cranium View Post
I think it's likely to be close to what you've suggested, although I would expect perhaps a bit more sunshine in March because of a northeast component to the flow at times. Long warm spells are more likely in May and the summer months given the hemispheric pattern changes underway. One of the better analogues at present is 2013. That is meant to apply to the present and future and not to the lead-up.

For the record, I will say this:

March -- mixture of cool, dry spells with possible local snow streamers, and near normal spells of cloudy sometimes rainy spells, temperatures 1 to 2 below normal.

April -- dull, wet with one or two brief warm spells, temperatures close to normal.

May -- warm and dry, temperatures 1 to 2 above normal.

summer -- one of the better ones, perhaps almost as good as 2013 or 1995.

and next winter of course will be fabulous. Next winter always is.
So March is literally a repeat of 2015 except even colder? I say March and April are going to be dull given how sunny these months were last year (April 2015 was the sunniest on record).
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14-02-2016, 22:44   #6
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I see some comparisons of what you're gettin' at alright

Winter 1994 / 95 - very wet, dull and warm
Summer 1995 - warmest and sunniest on record. very dry too
Winter 1995 / 96 - very cold, sunny and relatively wet

Winter 2013 / 14 - very wet, average sunshine and warm
Summer 2014 - warm, sunny and dry in most places
Winter 2014 / 15 - very sunny, wet and cool but not exceptionally so

Spring 1995 was relatively cool
Spring 2014 was very warm

^ See a contrast here though
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14-02-2016, 23:01   #7
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I think March will be colder than average, though not near as cold as March 2013. A lot of you will be saying if only we had this pattern in January.

April will be cloudy and cool.

and the summer is going to be a good one overall, however the north west will have rain and strong winds from time to time

...and then next winter we will see a Greenland express, courtesy of an 1065 high pressure system over Greenland, which plunges us into a freeze for two solid months. M.T. Cranium will be desperately trying to offer hope to the snow haters that there is an end in sight to the big freeze
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14-02-2016, 23:06   #8
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Originally Posted by M.T. Cranium View Post
summer -- one of the better ones, perhaps almost as good as 2013 or 1995.
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15-02-2016, 11:52   #9
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Originally Posted by ronnie3585 View Post
I hope so.

My predictions for Summer since we're already talking 'bout it

June - Mostly dry, sunny and warm but thundery downpours at times
July - Very dry, sunny and warm
August - Relatively wet, warm and sunny
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15-02-2016, 22:24   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sryanbruen View Post
I hope so.

My predictions for Summer since we're already talking 'bout it

June - Mostly dry, sunny and warm but thundery downpours at times
July - Very dry, sunny and warm
August - Relatively wet, warm and sunny
If your prediction is right it would make another classic summer.

More on topic April is a very important month in my farming. Temperatures around normal or above you're in business for grass growth. Temperatures below normal or the weather is persistently bad you going to struggle with grass growth for not just for that month. But for the rest of the year irrespective of what weather you get. In 2015 we had a nice April and a poor summer but we were blessed with good growth for the whole year to November. In 2013 we had a bad March with April not much better. We had a fantastic summer but our grass growth struggled and we had poor crops for hay and silage.
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16-02-2016, 08:17   #11
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If your prediction is right it would make another classic summer.

More on topic April is a very important month in my farming. Temperatures around normal or above you're in business for grass growth. Temperatures below normal or the weather is persistently bad you going to struggle with grass growth for not just for that month. But for the rest of the year irrespective of what weather you get. In 2015 we had a nice April and a poor summer but we were blessed with good growth for the whole year to November. In 2013 we had a bad March with April not much better. We had a fantastic summer but our grass growth struggled and we had poor crops for hay and silage.
Yeah I think nobody wants what we expect to take place in Spring - it's just a prediction. I hope I'm wrong!
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16-02-2016, 13:12   #12
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In my opinion - spring will be very similar to the winter we have at the moment.

And I don't care about may - I'll be somewhere else.
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16-02-2016, 17:39   #13
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If April doesn't turn out as I predicted (a terrible one), I hope it's like last year!
Attached Images
File Type: png Spring 2015 Grange Rainfall & Temperatures.png (31.0 KB, 39 views)
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17-02-2016, 01:15   #14
Mafra
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Actually cannot believe my eyes. Predictions of a good summer! Officially my new fav thread. <3
This winter has been relentless. Feels like the longest winter I can remember with everyone in hibernation. Literally can count the days it was ok to be outside.
Come on spring summer!
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17-02-2016, 07:23   #15
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relentless as in mild?
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