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28-11-2015, 12:47   #1
Storm 10
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Storm Clodagh - 29 November 2015

I see an Orange warning posted for tomorrow for Storm Force 10 winds, do we need a new Orange Advisory for these winds
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28-11-2015, 13:08   #2
squarecircles
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Thats out at sea,for now anyways.
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28-11-2015, 13:10   #3
Padster90s
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Yeah, orange marine warning is all I see too. Fairly standard out at sea this time of year.
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28-11-2015, 13:28   #4
eastmayo
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Yellow warning took down from met eirann. I wonder are they updating there warning. Time will tell.
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28-11-2015, 13:30   #5
Padster90s
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Just heard on the radio it will be an orange warning tomorrow.
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28-11-2015, 13:41   #6
eastmayo
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Just heard on the radio it will be an orange warning tomorrow.
Ya upgraded to orange now.gusts up to 130 k
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28-11-2015, 13:48   #7
Padster90s
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Ya upgraded to orange now.gusts up to 130 k
Seems to be nationwide, warning just says Ireland.
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28-11-2015, 13:52   #8
screamer
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They're always behind the curve we had gusts here in kilkenny yesterday so strong my trampoline was dancing on half it's legs but no mention of wind nada. I take all their nowcasts with a massive dose of salt these days.
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28-11-2015, 14:32   #9
Clonmel1000
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They're always behind the curve we had gusts here in kilkenny yesterday so strong my trampoline was dancing on half it's legs but no mention of wind nada. I take all their nowcasts with a massive dose of salt these days.
Localised more than national though in fairness. They cant really be expected to forecast every gust in everyone's back garden. And in fairness despite some unwarranted stick here they called November bang on.
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28-11-2015, 14:38   #10
maquiladora
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Meteorological situation at 0900: Active fronts are crossing Ireland in a cold, strong to gale force southwesterly airflow. This will veer westerly and ease a little this evening. Another wave on the Polar Front will deepen as it tracks just to the northwest of Ireland tonight and in over Scotland tomorrow bringing a very strong and for a time a storm force gradient over Ireland Sunday morning
.
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28-11-2015, 15:10   #11
Tactical
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Looking forward to some more "real" weather.

This one seems to have snuck up on us which makes for an otherwise boring weather weekend more interesting
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28-11-2015, 15:32   #12
M.T. Cranium
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The model gradients which peak around 0900h Sunday are not overly impressive looking and this will probably be more of a level one event for most, maybe borderline level two at exposed west coast locations. That's based on 06z guidance, 12z guidance is not on line yet. Based on the current guidance, it looks like maybe 65 kt peak gusts for Mace Head, 55 kt Shannon and 50 kt Dublin. Will check the guidance from 12z runs and reassess.

Any moderator with superpowers could perhaps tag this thread level one for now and change the title to Strong winds likely on Sunday. We could upgrade to level two if the gradient looks stronger.
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28-11-2015, 15:43   #13
Oneiric 3
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The model gradients which peak around 0900h Sunday are not overly impressive looking and this will probably be more of a level one event for most, maybe borderline level two at exposed west coast locations. That's based on 06z guidance, 12z guidance is not on line yet. Based on the current guidance, it looks like maybe 65 kt peak gusts for Mace Head, 55 kt Shannon and 50 kt Dublin. Will check the guidance from 12z runs and reassess.
I wonder M.T, if the speed of which these waves features are moving at as they race across the Atlantic are adding a 'momentum' to the possible forecast wind speeds that the isobaric gradient may not in itself indicate?
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28-11-2015, 16:19   #14
M.T. Cranium
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^ Reasonable point although I probably factored that into my numbers, the 12z GFS looks about the same -- as long as readers are aware that the situation is likely to be "level one" for most and perhaps level two in exposed parts of the west, for example Galway city might verify at level two but Limerick might be closer to the margin whereas Dublin more likely to be level one at peak.
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28-11-2015, 16:52   #15
 
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Surely if ME have an orange warning should it not be orange here as well, it seems nonsense that they have one and the amauters among us seem to think they are wrong by putting a yellow warning up, not having a go as I appreciate every poster here and love this forum
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