Storm Clodagh - 29 November 2015

maquiladora

pad199207 wrote: »

Cant believe they normed this clump of cloud! We may aswell start naming showers now!

Well they are forecasting gusts of up to 130km/h and the criteria for naming a low is "Names will be assigned based on the potential for a disruptive event". So given the forecast gusts are at the threshold of a red warning, they have no choice other than to name it, otherwise what is the point of the system at all?

JanuarySnowstor

maquiladora wrote: »

Well they are forecasting gusts of up to 130km/h and the criteria for naming a low is "Names will be assigned based on the potential for a disruptive event". So given the forecast gusts are at the threshold of a red warning, they have no choice other than to name it, otherwise what is the point of the system at all?

A red warning maq?
It's not even a low pressure system
It's over hyped and it shouldn't have a name imo

FWVT

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

A red warning maq?
It's not even a low pressure system
It's over hyped and it shouldn't have a name imo

It's still only developing way out to sea. Tonight's wind is not it. It will only arrive in the early morning.

Oscar Bravo

2300 reports Kinsale gusting 54 knots, Mace head 46 knots. other than that its a cold windy showery night....

maquiladora

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

A red warning maq?
It's not even a low pressure system
It's over hyped and it shouldn't have a name imo

It is a low pressure system. Central pressure of 978mb seen here over Scotland.



Criteria for a red warning is

Mean Speeds in excess of 80 km/h
Gusts Speeds in excess of 130 km/h

18Z HIRLAM shows mean winds touching 85 km/h on the northwest coast and the Met Eireann warning calls for gusts up to 130 km/h. So that is right at the threshold of the red warning criteria, even if it's only briefly and restricted to the northwest coast.

I haven't seen any hype but then again I don't follow the media for weather information so I've no idea what is being reported. But based on the official forecasts it wouldn't make any sense for it not to be named. Barney was named at a time when gusts were forecast to be up to 120 km/h.

pauldry

Shower Jamie just has hit Castlebar with rain of up to 3mm. Shower Kerrie is due at midnight . .purple warning alert

FWVT

The 23Z TAFs show little change from those issued at 17Z. Dublin's max gust forecast has gone up 2 knots from 50 to 52 knots, however Shannon, Cork and Knock are still unchanged on 50 knots.

Wind warnings issued for the airports:

Dublin EIDW AD WRNG 02 VALID 290630/291500 SFC WIND WSW 25-30KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 2909/2911 WSW 30-35 MAX 50-55 BECMG 2913/2915 W 20-25 MAX 35-40 FCST =

Knock EIKN AD WRNG 02 VALID 290500/291400 SFC WIND WSW 25-30KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 2907/2909 WSW 30-35 MAX 50-55 BECMG 2910/2912 W 20-25 MAX 35-40 =

Cork EICK AD WRNG 02 VALID 290500/291500 SFC WIND WSW 25-30KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 2906/2908 W 25-30 MAX 45-50 =

Shannon EINN AD WRNG 02 VALID 290230/291400 SFC WIND WSW 25-30KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 2904/2906 WSW 30-35 MAX 50-55 BECMG 2912/2914 W 20-25 MAX 35-40 FCST =

FWVT

9-hr TAFs for the regionals:

SLIGO TAF EISG 282300Z 2900/2909 26018G30KT 9999 SCT018 BKN025 TEMPO 2900/2902 5000 -RA BKN013 BECMG 2900/2902 23013KT TEMPO 2902/2909 4000 RA BKN010 BECMG 2903/2905 22015G27KT BECMG 2905/2907 22025G40KT TEMPO 2907/2909 23030G47KT=

WATERFORD TAF EIWF 282300Z 2900/2909 27016G27KT 9999 SCT018 BKN030 BECMG 2902/2905 25020G32KT TEMPO 2903/2909 5000 -RA BKN013 BECMG 2905/2907 26025G40KT TEMPO 2907/2909 26030G45KT=

CASEMENT TAF EIME 282300Z 2900/2909 24020G33KT 9999 SCT018 BKN030 PROB30 TEMPO 2902/2904 5000 -RA BKN015 TEMPO 2904/2909 4000 RA BKN010 BECMG 2905/2907 24025G40KT BECMG 2907/2909 25028G45KT=

ninebeanrows

My best guidance showed 57 Dub Air, 60 Casement... Forget other sites! Finner could grab the 70 if I recall, but no data to hand now!

Was showing widespread 60-70knots in northwest, obviously many 70s grid points on higher terrain

Oscar Bravo

its five to midnight, which means its met eireann time on rte radio 1 , tonight it should be john eagleton

squarecircles

I don't think the storm has been over hyped,it wasn't even mentioned on the main evening news.

bnt

I was wondering whether the Jetstream was involved, and it certainly appears to be the case. At 18Z the highest wind speeds were over 150 kts and pointing at Ireland.

JCX BXC

Transatlantic flights should be in quite early.

Reckless Abandonment

Don't see the point in naming a storm that's going to hit us in in 12/24 hours. A hurricane that's heading for the east coast in 3/4 days and people need warning yeah, but "storm clodagh just sent your trampoline nextdoor " what's the point.

FWVT

Mace Head's average mean wind has been 31 knots throughout Saturday, midnight to midnight. It ranged from 27 - 43 knots. Max gust was 56 knots.

JCX BXC

Reckless Abandonment wrote: »

Don't see the point in naming a storm that's going to hit us in in 12/24 hours. A hurricane that's heading for the east coast in 3/4 days and people need warning yeah, but "storm clodagh just sent your trampoline nextdoor " what's the point.

It's often hard to pinpoint the power of a storm 3-4 days previous. You cant ask them to do something they can't do.

Remember storm Rachel? Red alert issued, schools shut, everyone well informed. Wasnt much of an event and Met Eireann got well abused for it.

squarecircles

Reckless Abandonment wrote: »

Don't see the point in naming a storm that's going to hit us in in 12/24 hours. A hurricane that's heading for the east coast in 3/4 days and people need warning yeah, but "storm clodagh just sent your trampoline nextdoor " what's the point.

Or heaven forbid,downed tree storm clodagh crushes car,that's the point. Naming the storm makes it more prominent in people's mind etc etc

Pangea

Great idea naming them, handy for reference and being able to think back whichstorm came first just by thinking of the alphabetical order. Wind picking up here in Donegal.

marno21

Starting to get rough here now in North West Cork

Tactical

http://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2015/1128/749875-weather/

maquiladora wrote: »

It is a low pressure system. Central pressure of 978mb seen here over Scotland.




I haven't seen any hype but then again I don't follow the media for weather information so I've no idea what is being reported. But based on the official forecasts it wouldn't make any sense for it not to be named. Barney was named at a time when gusts were forecast to be up to 120 km/h.

Tactical

http://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2015/1128/749875-weather/

squarecircles wrote: »

I don't think the storm has been over hyped,it wasn't even mentioned on the evening news.

Whilst not mentioned on the 21:30 news, it has already received some press coverage with advice from a local authority.

squarecircles

The Wind is steadily increasing here on the west coast,with the ominous moaning/creaking noises (from outside,not my bedroom btw)

Tactical

Shower here currently (03:00) in West Limerick with wind that was strong enoigh to wake me.

Ok, I'm a little bit excited at the thought if a wind event as I love weather that's a little challenging, but generally I'd sleep next to a pneumatic drill. Maybe it's the impending wind that has me subconsciously alert.

Interesting to read the comments and discussion regarding naming storms. My own personal feeling is that if it alerts the public to be aware and it is felt that naming an impending event is a way to help achieve awareness then I'm all in favour of the action.

During Barney there were numerous trees downed blocking public roads in Co. Limerick and I witnessed a sheet of corrugated iron fly from a cow shed. If the naming idea help people be more alert whilst out then it has merit.

DOCARCH

Not much to report in relation to Clodagh this morning, but then again, the Eagle on the sea area forecast on Radio 1 at 0600, said the storm centre is still approx. 1000km away (but will approach very quickly).

Mace Head reporting 72kmh, gusting 102kmh at 0600.

FWVT

Mace Head live wind display. 10 m/s = 19.4 knots = 36.0 kph

FWVT

Regional TAFS.


DONEGAL TAF EIDL 290500Z 2906/2915 22017G28KT 9999 SCT018 BKN028 BECMG 2906/2908 23030G45KT TEMPO 2906/2910 4000 RA BKN010 TEMPO 2908/2911 23038G55KT BECMG 2910/2912 28027G43KT TEMPO 2910/2915 4000 SHRA SCT010 SCT018CB TEMPO 2912/2915 28030G48KT =

KERRY TAF EIKY 290500Z 2906/2915 25027G42KT 9999 SCT018 BKN030 TEMPO 2906/2911 25033G50KT TEMPO 2906/2914 5000 RA BKN012 BECMG 2913/2915 26017G28KT=

SLIGO TAF EISG 290500Z 2906/2915 22016G27KT 9999 SCT018 BKN028 BECMG 2906/2907 22025G42KT TEMPO 2906/2910 4000 RA BKN010 TEMPO 2907/2910 23030G47KT BECMG 2909/2911 28027G43KT TEMPO 2910/2915 5000 SHRA SCT010 SCT018CB BECMG 2913/2915 28022G38KT =

WATERFORD TAF EIWF 290500Z 2906/2915 25018G30KT 9999 SCT017 BKN030 BECMG 2906/2908 26025G42KT TEMPO 2906/2910 5000 -RA SCT008 BKN013 TEMPO 2908/2913 27032G48KT TEMPO 2910/2914 4000 RA BKN008 BECMG 2913/2915 29025G40KT=

Donegal and Sligo METAR will be interesting to watch. See them live here

http://www.dawn-it.com/met/

FWVT

7 am.

Mace Head 37 gust 56 kts
Belmullet 36 gust 53 kts

Oscar Bravo

Getting stormy now here in Castlebar with heavy rain and a recent lightning strike in the belmullet area

Tactical

Typical wet and windy morning here in West Limerick so far.

Looking forward to things ramping up

maquiladora

Strongest gusts should be confined to the northwest, sometime between around 9-11am. It should pick up rapidly and drop off very quickly.

For areas further south it'll probably be wore windy than stormy. Not as strong as Barney.