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04-09-2010, 20:28   #1
 
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Heavy Rain Risk Sunday Night/Monday

Well discussed on other threads so worthy of a thread of its own I think.

Some heavy rain is forceast to move in over many parts of Ireland tomorrow evening as a frontal zone, currently developing to the west of Ireland, gets caught up in a strengthen jet and makes its merry towards Ireland.

ECMWF forecast chart for noon monday:




Heavy pulses of rain are forecast to pump up over Ireland through sunday night into a good part of monday, with the eastern half of the country most at risk of the heaviest bursts with more showery conditions (which could be still heavy) forecast to develop further west during monday afternoon.

My advice is to enjoy it!
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Last edited by Deep Easterly; 04-09-2010 at 20:33.
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04-09-2010, 20:45   #2
 
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The Spanish HIRLAM has crazy rain rates Mondy morning, from 30-50mms/6 hrs in the east. That would appear to be a bit over the top to me, but one to watch alright

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04-09-2010, 20:58   #3
fishmahboi
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1:00 am sunday night
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04-09-2010, 21:35   #4
kindredspirit
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Senor Balor always seems to be on the money.

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04-09-2010, 21:54   #5
delw
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Is it the scraps left from huricane Danielle?
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04-09-2010, 22:11   #6
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by delw View Post
Is it the scraps left from huricane Danielle?
Not really. Satellite loops of the last 6 days shows Danielle dissipating to our west a few days ago, with a bit of remaining high cloud passing over us on Thursday, and the rest of the fragments heading north towards Iceland. It may have injected a bit of oomph to the Atlantic low, but that's about it.

Click here and choose Meteosat 9. Set the date from Aug 28th, and you'll see Danielle coming up the left side of the shot, past New Foundland. Follow it from there
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04-09-2010, 22:19   #7
Redsunset
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Yes certainly worthy of its own thread.

Heavy rainfall rates possibly coming from the front stalling over at least two thirds of the country but all areas getting a good soaking.


Crazy stuff from the NAE





ECM





GFS





So we could be in for some flooding folks and with the ground fairly hard in places after the warm spell,water might run off it and create some problems. This is all subject to change of course but for now im issuing my warning sign.


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04-09-2010, 22:25   #8
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Hmm.. YR.no seems to dissagree with the rainfall being that big although it could be wrong
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04-09-2010, 22:28   #9
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Could we get a few sparks with this heavy rain?
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04-09-2010, 22:31   #10
 
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Could we get a few sparks with this heavy rain?
We sure could!
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04-09-2010, 22:32   #11
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Well this i feel will be slow moving and create some significant totals in a few spots,especially if there's any embedded thundery downpours which i think there will.
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04-09-2010, 23:36   #12
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Weather Warning
Met Eireann
Issued at 04 September 2010 - 11:00
Weather Advisory of Heavy Rain
Heavy rain expected Sunday afternoon and evening in parts of the southwest and west and in all areas on Sunday night. Further heavy rain or thundery showers on Monday. Rainfall totals of 25 to 40mm, highest in eastern counties. Valid from 1500 Hours 5/9/2010 to 2400 Hours 6/9/2010
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04-09-2010, 23:43   #13
fishmahboi
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This is actually really scary
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05-09-2010, 00:02   #14
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What time ye expect first of the heavy rain to come in over Kerry/Southwest in general tomorrow?
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05-09-2010, 00:16   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Su Campu View Post
Not really. Satellite loops of the last 6 days shows Danielle dissipating to our west a few days ago, with a bit of remaining high cloud passing over us on Thursday, and the rest of the fragments heading north towards Iceland. It may have injected a bit of oomph to the Atlantic low, but that's about it.

Click here and choose Meteosat 9. Set the date from Aug 28th, and you'll see Danielle coming up the left side of the shot, past New Foundland. Follow it from there
cheers Su Campu,great view of storms coming off west africa to cape verde,anyway east in for a wet spell&hopefully a rumble of thunder
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