Post Tropical Storm Helene 17/18 Sep 2018

squarecircles · 16-09-2018 4:30pm

Helene is the apetiser, there is an increasing risk storm Ali will make more headlines next week, as it packs a ''punch'',(christ i cringed as i typed that)

somethings a brewing tuesday/wednesday or thursday/friday timing wise.

Anyways be prepared for horrific boxing puns next week.

squarecircles · 16-09-2018 4:48pm

goat2 wrote: »

Met Eireann, saying Mayo and Galway will be worst hit

squarecircles · 16-09-2018 5:00pm

helene looks like dieing a death on the latest gfs,very weak as it impacts ireland.

Meteorite58 · 16-09-2018 5:18pm

The remnants of Helene, some nice convection but getting shredded.

aisling86 · 16-09-2018 5:38pm

I'm sure we had a few practice runs coming up to Ophelia aswell.... interesting week ahead for sure.

Lucreto · 16-09-2018 6:06pm

Pity the weather has to go to pot now.

Lucky this storm will pass before I go to Belfast Tuesday.

FFS for Wednesday

I have Game of Thrones Tour. Might be cancelled if that chart is correct. Can't plan for anything in this country.

Gaoth Laidir · 16-09-2018 6:32pm

Following close behind Helene is Joyce, which is going to affect the Azores as a tropical depression tonight more directly than Helene did last night. Fizzing out to nothing by tomorrow.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/loop.asp?product=4kmirimg&storm_identifier=AL102018&starting_image=2018AL10_4KMIRIMG_201809161200.GIF

uck51js9zml2yt · 16-09-2018 6:33pm

I've a wedding to attend next Saturday !!

Whispered · 16-09-2018 6:36pm

Suppose it's time to take down the little fellas trampoline so.

davidsr20 · 16-09-2018 6:37pm

Maximilian Muscular Supplies wrote: »

I've a wedding to attend next Saturday !!

Good for u

Gaoth Laidir · 16-09-2018 6:47pm

Helene has become post-tropical now and will be fully extratropical and strengthen slightly overnight as it becomes baroclinic. The HWRF has been very consistent regarding its track and has been trending towards slight weakening in intensity over the past two days.

The official forecast has max 40-kt (1-minute) winds by midnight tomorrow.

This will be a routine autumn depression for us, passing through very quickly. More widespread winds for more people later in the week.

al082018.18091606.gif

sdanseo · 16-09-2018 6:54pm

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Helene has become post-tropical now and will be fully extratropical and strengthen slightly overnight as it becomes baroclinic. The HWRF has been very consistent regarding its track and has been trending towards slight weakening in intensity over the past two days.

The official forecast has max 40-kt (1-minute) winds by midnight tomorrow.

This will be a routine autumn depression for us, passing through very quickly. More widespread winds for more people later in the week.

As one of the more realistic / non-hype amateur forecasters who has been quite clear about your thoughts on climate "change" - do you read anything into the fact that regardless of intensity, 3 tropical cyclones have been spat directly at us in the last 12 months?

If Helene or Ernesto had been more powerful when tropical, we would have had more on our plate than mere remnants, like with Ophelia.

Random probability? Or sign of more frequent storms of tropical origin finding their way into our neighbourhood in future seasons?

Harry Palmr · 16-09-2018 7:01pm

Just watching the forecasts on RTE and BBC, the latter seems to be dismissing this as nothing much to write home about with only the far NW as usual getting a real dose. They also seem much more certain of how quickly it'll move through than met.ie

Gaoth Laidir · 16-09-2018 7:24pm

sdanseo wrote: »

As one of the more realistic / non-hype amateur forecasters who has been quite clear about your thoughts on climate "change" - do you read anything into the fact that regardless of intensity, 3 tropical cyclones have been spat directly at us in the last 12 months?

If Helene or Ernesto had been more powerful when tropical, we would have had more on our plate than mere remnants, like with Ophelia.

Random probability? Or sign of more frequent storms of tropical origin finding their way into our neighbourhood in future seasons?

It's not in any way unusual. We've been getting extratropical remnants for as far back as records go. Ironically, in 2006 we got 3 in the same season; Florence, Gordon and Helene. In 2000 we got Leslie and...again...Helene (can't get rid of that bitch). Go back through the decades and the list continues. Debbie in 1961 was the strongest ever and set wind records that stand to this day.

SleetAndSnow · 16-09-2018 7:42pm

Helene is just a clingy girlfriend that Ireland doesn't want. Third time lucky? I think not!

screamer · 16-09-2018 7:46pm

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Helene is just a clingy girlfriend that Ireland doesn't want. Third time lucky? I think not!

Helene of Troy harder......
I'm glad it'll pass through quickly and not be too much to worry about

MJohnston · 16-09-2018 7:50pm

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Artane2002 · 16-09-2018 8:03pm

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Personally I don't mind as long as the intentions aren't harmful but everyone has a different view on that.

Back on topic... Hurricane Helene in 1958 tracked to the south of Ireland too! That was a Category 4 hurricane which caused damage across the East Coast of the USA (no direct landfall though). It dissipated to our south.

fred funk }{ · 16-09-2018 8:47pm

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Jesus. Give over FFS.

SortingYouOut · 16-09-2018 9:07pm

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Norton Family Protect was supposed to rid me of this filth. They'll be hearing from me.

MJohnston · 16-09-2018 9:34pm

fred funk }{ wrote: »

Jesus. Give over FFS.

Nope!

Gaoth Laidir · 16-09-2018 9:39pm

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Sorry, I meant to type b***h but this damn autocorrect!

The One Doctor · 16-09-2018 9:39pm

MJohnston wrote: »

Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

Yes, you are. Storms are nasty btches and bastards.

MJohnston · 16-09-2018 10:05pm

Or they're just nasty storms, which seems adequate to me ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

donal.hunt · 16-09-2018 10:22pm

Can we get back to focusing on Helene?

MJohnston · 16-09-2018 10:27pm

donal.hunt wrote: »

Can we get back to focusing on Helene?

Can't, there's no model updates for ages!

megatron989 · 17-09-2018 8:35am

Wow the hype has truly died, no posts in 10 hours. I guess that means it's just a normal windy afternoon with no unusual effects? On to the next one so...

pauldry · 17-09-2018 9:00am

Its filled and died a death bar the rain

fryup · 17-09-2018 9:02am

so apart from the top north west corner, the rest of the country will be alright ?

Sycamore Tree · 17-09-2018 9:05am

Whoa there folks, not so fast...for anyone flying to Portugal or Spain, the threat still remains high...

bnt · 17-09-2018 9:09am

fryup wrote: »

so apart from the top north west corner, the rest of the country will be alright ?

Have a look at the HIRLAM charts for the next couple of days. If right, it's not going to be that simple, with some strong southerly winds over the Irish Sea at times.

mac.in · 17-09-2018 9:17am

https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/flood-warning-issued-as-exhurricane-helene-set-to-bring-high-intensity-rain-tonight-37322874.html

Mr Bumble · 17-09-2018 9:51am

Lookin out at mini water-tornados on Lough Currane. Getting windy......

Graces7 · 17-09-2018 9:58am

I wondered re the connection with Helene when the heavy rain here in Mayo and Galway was forecast yesterday. SO!

This thread reads like.. "Just when you thought it was safe to come out of the water..."

Take care out there please... Happily holed up here... West mayo, offshore island

Graces7 · 17-09-2018 1:12pm

Really building up now and the met.ie rainfall map is intimidating

https://www.met.ie/

Edges nearer and nearer on the wings of increasingly strong gusts.

wildrover444 · 17-09-2018 1:17pm

Sycamore Tree wrote: »

Whoa there folks, not so fast...for anyone flying to Portugal or Spain, the threat still remains high...

I'm heading to Barcelona tomorrow morning after ten . Is it likely to delay flights

average_runner · 17-09-2018 1:30pm

So just a wet and windy night, nothing else?

pauldry · 17-09-2018 1:42pm

yeah. even some of the rest of weekdays will be wetter and windier than this.

most heavy rain staying out to sea.

Dry here in Sligo after morning rain

DOCARCH · 17-09-2018 1:42pm

21.0c now in Dublin 16 thanks to Helene's tropical airs. Overcast but bright.

gozunda · 17-09-2018 2:09pm

Gone wild here with rain and gusting winds. No sign of it letting up either.

Was expecting a fairly normal am from MTs forecast. Trying to figure out if this is the prelude or is it going to get worse tonight?

squarecircles · 17-09-2018 2:19pm

alot windier than i was anticipating,west mayo.

Graces7 · 17-09-2018 2:22pm

gozunda wrote: »

Gone wild here with rain and gusting winds. No sign of it letting up either.

Was expecting a fairly normal am from MTs forecast. Trying to figure out if this is the prelude or is it going to get worse tonight?

see met.ie .

https://www.met.ie/

and the yellow warnings.. https://www.met.ie/warnings

set to last they say all the night until 5 am in NW coastal areas.

Graces7 · 17-09-2018 2:23pm

squarecircles wrote: »

alot windier than i was anticipating,west mayo.

yep.... blowing hard out here too...

https://www.met.ie/warnings

west mayo[ offshore island

DOCARCH · 17-09-2018 2:26pm

Wind has really picked up in Dublin 16. Temp has picked up too. 22.0c now with some sunny spells.

Rhineshark · 17-09-2018 2:31pm

Still pretty calm in South coastal Galway. Dull and grey but neither rain nor wind that you'd particularly notice.

Chicken Run · 17-09-2018 2:56pm

Very gusty in East Clare... And so warm.
No rain yet

spookwoman · 17-09-2018 3:16pm

Very muggy in waterford and a bit breezy

Graces7 · 17-09-2018 3:21pm

Just reread the gale warning and they say Force 8.

M.T. Cranium · 17-09-2018 3:30pm

Front moving slowly into west Connacht has picked up some of the energy being dissipated by sheared apart Helene which is basically an elongated N-S trough approaching Biscay at about 14 W. The ocean buoy at 49N 16W showed three hours of light winds recently, indicating remnants of an eye feature. Ahead of the fronts, 49N 13W is showing a steady southerly wind at almost 30 knots.

Would still expect this to deliver some gusts above 80 km/hr in coastal areas this evening and overnight, front will gradually make progress east and develop a new activity centre over west Munster this evening as energy from Helene begins to interact with a weak low currently west of Ireland.

It will probably produce some borderline yellow alert conditions for both wind and rain, but the systems later in the week appear stronger.

Donegal Storm · 17-09-2018 3:39pm

Brutal day here on the Donegal coast, worst days weather I've seen since in quite a while. Sheets of persistent heavy rain blowing near horizontally in the wind at the moment

Post Tropical Storm Helene 17/18 Sep 2018

Comments