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Post Tropical Storm Helene 17/18 Sep 2018

124

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,144 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Helene is the apetiser, there is an increasing risk storm Ali will make more headlines next week, as it packs a ''punch'',(christ i cringed as i typed that)

    somethings a brewing tuesday/wednesday or thursday/friday timing wise.

    Anyways be prepared for horrific boxing puns next week.


    ukgust.png

    ukgust.png

    ukgust.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,144 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    goat2 wrote: »
    Met Eireann, saying Mayo and Galway will be worst hit



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,144 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    helene looks like dieing a death on the latest gfs,very weak as it impacts ireland.

    ukgust.png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,225 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The remnants of Helene, some nice convection but getting shredded.

    ff2datM.jpg

    WkWvTV1.gif

    ekkpH6z.gif

    SQt6Shc.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 592 ✭✭✭aisling86


    I'm sure we had a few practice runs coming up to Ophelia aswell.... interesting week ahead for sure.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,004 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    Pity the weather has to go to pot now.

    Lucky this storm will pass before I go to Belfast Tuesday.

    FFS for Wednesday

    I have Game of Thrones Tour. Might be cancelled if that chart is correct. Can't plan for anything in this country.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Following close behind Helene is Joyce, which is going to affect the Azores as a tropical depression tonight more directly than Helene did last night. Fizzing out to nothing by tomorrow.

    http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/loop.asp?product=4kmirimg&storm_identifier=AL102018&starting_image=2018AL10_4KMIRIMG_201809161200.GIF


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,268 ✭✭✭✭uck51js9zml2yt


    I've a wedding to attend next Saturday !!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,772 ✭✭✭✭Whispered


    Suppose it's time to take down the little fellas trampoline so.


  • Registered Users Posts: 769 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    I've a wedding to attend next Saturday !!

    Good for u


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Helene has become post-tropical now and will be fully extratropical and strengthen slightly overnight as it becomes baroclinic. The HWRF has been very consistent regarding its track and has been trending towards slight weakening in intensity over the past two days.

    2018AL08_HWRFDIAG_201809160600.png

    The official forecast has max 40-kt (1-minute) winds by midnight tomorrow.

    This will be a routine autumn depression for us, passing through very quickly. More widespread winds for more people later in the week.

    al082018.18091606.gif


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,242 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    Helene has become post-tropical now and will be fully extratropical and strengthen slightly overnight as it becomes baroclinic. The HWRF has been very consistent regarding its track and has been trending towards slight weakening in intensity over the past two days.

    The official forecast has max 40-kt (1-minute) winds by midnight tomorrow.

    This will be a routine autumn depression for us, passing through very quickly. More widespread winds for more people later in the week.

    As one of the more realistic / non-hype amateur forecasters who has been quite clear about your thoughts on climate "change" - do you read anything into the fact that regardless of intensity, 3 tropical cyclones have been spat directly at us in the last 12 months?

    If Helene or Ernesto had been more powerful when tropical, we would have had more on our plate than mere remnants, like with Ophelia.

    Random probability? Or sign of more frequent storms of tropical origin finding their way into our neighbourhood in future seasons?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    Just watching the forecasts on RTE and BBC, the latter seems to be dismissing this as nothing much to write home about with only the far NW as usual getting a real dose. They also seem much more certain of how quickly it'll move through than met.ie


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    sdanseo wrote: »
    As one of the more realistic / non-hype amateur forecasters who has been quite clear about your thoughts on climate "change" - do you read anything into the fact that regardless of intensity, 3 tropical cyclones have been spat directly at us in the last 12 months?

    If Helene or Ernesto had been more powerful when tropical, we would have had more on our plate than mere remnants, like with Ophelia.

    Random probability? Or sign of more frequent storms of tropical origin finding their way into our neighbourhood in future seasons?

    It's not in any way unusual. We've been getting extratropical remnants for as far back as records go. Ironically, in 2006 we got 3 in the same season; Florence, Gordon and Helene. In 2000 we got Leslie and...again...Helene (can't get rid of that bitch). Go back through the decades and the list continues. Debbie in 1961 was the strongest ever and set wind records that stand to this day.

    461429.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,696 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Helene is just a clingy girlfriend that Ireland doesn't want. Third time lucky? I think not!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,183 ✭✭✭screamer


    Helene is just a clingy girlfriend that Ireland doesn't want. Third time lucky? I think not!
    Helene of Troy harder......
    I'm glad it'll pass through quickly and not be too much to worry about


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,673 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,030 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    MJohnston wrote: »
    Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

    Personally I don't mind as long as the intentions aren't harmful but everyone has a different view on that.

    Back on topic... Hurricane Helene in 1958 tracked to the south of Ireland too! That was a Category 4 hurricane which caused damage across the East Coast of the USA (no direct landfall though). It dissipated to our south.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,827 ✭✭✭fred funk }{


    MJohnston wrote: »
    Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

    Jesus. Give over FFS.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,383 ✭✭✭SortingYouOut


    MJohnston wrote: »
    Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

    Norton Family Protect was supposed to rid me of this filth. They'll be hearing from me.

    Beverly Hills, California



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  • Registered Users Posts: 10,673 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Jesus. Give over FFS.


    Nope!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    MJohnston wrote: »
    Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

    Sorry, I meant to type b***h but this damn autocorrect!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,339 ✭✭✭The One Doctor


    MJohnston wrote: »
    Seems a bit unnecessary to be using the word "bitch" out of nowhere, but I'm sure I'm just overly sensitive.

    Yes, you are. Storms are nasty btches and bastards.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,673 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Or they're just nasty storms, which seems adequate to me ¯\_(ツ)_/¯


  • Registered Users Posts: 335 ✭✭donal.hunt


    Can we get back to focusing on Helene?


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,673 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    donal.hunt wrote: »
    Can we get back to focusing on Helene?


    Can't, there's no model updates for ages!


  • Registered Users Posts: 206 ✭✭megatron989


    Wow the hype has truly died, no posts in 10 hours. I guess that means it's just a normal windy afternoon with no unusual effects? On to the next one so...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,253 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Its filled and died a death bar the rain


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,067 ✭✭✭✭fryup


    so apart from the top north west corner, the rest of the country will be alright ?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 796 ✭✭✭Sycamore Tree


    Whoa there folks, not so fast...for anyone flying to Portugal or Spain, the threat still remains high...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,054 ✭✭✭✭bnt


    fryup wrote: »
    so apart from the top north west corner, the rest of the country will be alright ?
    Have a look at the HIRLAM charts for the next couple of days. If right, it's not going to be that simple, with some strong southerly winds over the Irish Sea at times.

    You are the type of what the age is searching for, and what it is afraid it has found. I am so glad that you have never done anything, never carved a statue, or painted a picture, or produced anything outside of yourself! Life has been your art. You have set yourself to music. Your days are your sonnets.

    ―Oscar Wilde predicting Social Media, in The Picture of Dorian Gray



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 489 ✭✭Mr Bumble


    Lookin out at mini water-tornados on Lough Currane. Getting windy......


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    I wondered re the connection with Helene when the heavy rain here in Mayo and Galway was forecast yesterday. SO!

    This thread reads like.. "Just when you thought it was safe to come out of the water..."

    Take care out there please... Happily holed up here... West mayo, offshore island


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Really building up now and the met.ie rainfall map is intimidating ;)

    https://www.met.ie/

    Edges nearer and nearer on the wings of increasingly strong gusts.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 330 ✭✭wildrover444


    Whoa there folks, not so fast...for anyone flying to Portugal or Spain, the threat still remains high...


    I'm heading to Barcelona tomorrow morning after ten . Is it likely to delay flights


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,864 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    So just a wet and windy night, nothing else?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,253 ✭✭✭pauldry


    yeah. even some of the rest of weekdays will be wetter and windier than this.

    most heavy rain staying out to sea.

    Dry here in Sligo after morning rain


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,317 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    21.0c now in Dublin 16 thanks to Helene's tropical airs. Overcast but bright.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    Gone wild here with rain and gusting winds. No sign of it letting up either.

    Was expecting a fairly normal am from MTs forecast. Trying to figure out if this is the prelude or is it going to get worse tonight?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,144 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    alot windier than i was anticipating,west mayo.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    gozunda wrote: »
    Gone wild here with rain and gusting winds. No sign of it letting up either.

    Was expecting a fairly normal am from MTs forecast. Trying to figure out if this is the prelude or is it going to get worse tonight?

    see met.ie .

    https://www.met.ie/

    and the yellow warnings.. https://www.met.ie/warnings

    set to last they say all the night until 5 am in NW coastal areas.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    alot windier than i was anticipating,west mayo.

    yep.... blowing hard out here too...

    https://www.met.ie/warnings

    west mayo[ offshore island


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,317 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Wind has really picked up in Dublin 16. Temp has picked up too. 22.0c now with some sunny spells.


  • Registered Users Posts: 632 ✭✭✭Rhineshark


    Still pretty calm in South coastal Galway. Dull and grey but neither rain nor wind that you'd particularly notice.


  • Registered Users Posts: 595 ✭✭✭Chicken Run


    Very gusty in East Clare... And so warm.
    No rain yet


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,988 ✭✭✭spookwoman


    Very muggy in waterford and a bit breezy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Just reread the gale warning and they say Force 8.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,676 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Front moving slowly into west Connacht has picked up some of the energy being dissipated by sheared apart Helene which is basically an elongated N-S trough approaching Biscay at about 14 W. The ocean buoy at 49N 16W showed three hours of light winds recently, indicating remnants of an eye feature. Ahead of the fronts, 49N 13W is showing a steady southerly wind at almost 30 knots.

    Would still expect this to deliver some gusts above 80 km/hr in coastal areas this evening and overnight, front will gradually make progress east and develop a new activity centre over west Munster this evening as energy from Helene begins to interact with a weak low currently west of Ireland.

    It will probably produce some borderline yellow alert conditions for both wind and rain, but the systems later in the week appear stronger.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,023 ✭✭✭Donegal Storm


    Brutal day here on the Donegal coast, worst days weather I've seen since in quite a while. Sheets of persistent heavy rain blowing near horizontally in the wind at the moment


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