Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

alwald · 30-08-2019 10:10am

A couple of bets that are quite interesting:
England, Wales, Ireland & New Zealand All to Win their Pool Groups @ 3/1
All Southern Hemisphere Final yes @ 11/4

For the first bet I just need to see Ireland's form in the next few test games and for the second bet I don't see any team, bar England, matching the intensity of NZ and the physicality of SA - If NZ and England both finish first in their pool then they will most likely meet in the semies and in this case SA will meet either France or Wales.

sydthebeat · 30-08-2019 10:17am

sydthebeat wrote: »

weekend bets

ireland +8 @ evens
ireland win @ 6/4

otago -15 @ 10/11

One down

thomond2006 · 30-08-2019 10:26am

sydthebeat wrote: »

ireland +8 @ evens
ireland win @ 6/4

Great pick up early in the week. Ireland are -1 now. A good start tomorrow could allow you to cash out at a great price.

sydthebeat · 15-09-2019 8:57am

sydthebeat wrote: »

current open Rugby related bets

RWC

ireland to win RWC2019 @ 7s
sevu reece RWC top try scorer @ 12's
will addison to make squad @ 4's
jean Kleyn to make squad @ 5/2

The Jean kleyn bet worked.

Dissappinted the Addison one didn't, as I had mentioned Chris farrell @3's early in the betting but didn't take it, thinking Addison was more utility.

Reece at 12s is looking like value currently.

All_in_Flynn · 17-09-2019 1:01pm

Japan -40 @10/11 vs Russia looks like free money. I rarely find issue with markets set by bookies in rugby handicaps but that looks way wrong?

Am I missing something?

sydthebeat · 17-09-2019 1:04pm

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

Japan -40 @10/11 vs Russia looks like free money. I rarely find issue with markets set by bookies in rugby handicaps but that looks way wrong?

Am I missing something?

should Russia grab a try and a couple of pens, then its a fair ask for Japan to go 50+

i think its about right.... but if i was to call a side id be on the -40 too.....

sydthebeat · 17-09-2019 1:09pm

5/1 treble

ireland -8
france -1
NZ -4.5

All_in_Flynn · 17-09-2019 1:15pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

should Russia grab a try and a couple of pens, then its a fair ask for Japan to go 50+

i think its about right.... but if i was to call a side id be on the -40 too.....

I don’t know, I’m expecting Japan to put 60+ on them. Had a look at some parts of recent games and they would struggle in the AIL judging by those games.

Haven’t checked forecast which if bad may dampen my expectations. Thinking of pulling trigger with decent bet here. Will wait for Japan’s team.

sydthebeat · 17-09-2019 1:16pm

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

I don’t know, I’m expecting Japan to put 60+ on them. Had a look at some parts of recent games and they would struggle in the AIL judging by those games.

Haven’t checked forecast which if bad may dampen my expectations. Thinking of pulling trigger with decent bet here. Will wait for Japan’s team.

no, the weather is fine... near perfect conditions.

All_in_Flynn · 17-09-2019 1:16pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

5/1 treble

ireland -8
france -1
NZ -4.5

Really like NZ at -4.5. Where you getting that price?

Want to back France also but they’ve burnt me too many times before.

sydthebeat · 17-09-2019 1:19pm

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

Really like NZ at -4.5. Where you getting that price?

Want to back France also but they’ve burnt me too many times before.

PP

the top two are @ 10/11 and the NZ is 4/6 ..... which gives a treble of slightly over 5/1

All_in_Flynn · 17-09-2019 1:24pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

PP

the top two are @ 10/11 and the NZ is 4/6 ..... which gives a treble of slightly over 5/1

Ah ok, cheers.

Loafing Oaf · 18-09-2019 12:30am

Looking at an SF foursome of New Zealand, South Africa, England and Wales at round 4/1 as my main bet. Not sure Wales are much better than 50/50 to top their group though...

The real mccoy 91 · 19-09-2019 11:39am

Japan -39 10/11
Japan by 61 or more 9/2
Japan by 80 or more 35/1
Matsushima and laefele both score a try 6/4

Australia win by 1-12

Aldritt to score a try France to win 4/1
France -1 10/11

Sa +3 half time 1/1
Sa to win 9/5

Double on
Japan 61 or more
France -1
19/2

Miley Byrne · 19-09-2019 12:09pm

Match accumulator
Japan -40
Australia -16
South Africa +6
Namibia +29
England -39

Roughly 26/1

Pool winners accumulator
Pool A Ireland
Pool B South Africa
Pool C England
Pool D Australia

Roughly 10/1

aloooof · 20-09-2019 8:40am

I'm wondering if there's any value in Earls top try-scorer @33/1. He only played 50-odd minutes in the warm-ups and is missing the Scotland game so, if he recovers quickly enough, he's likely to see a lot of minutes in the next 3 games. Could see him running in a few against Russia. (Was hoping it'd be closer to 50/1)

All_in_Flynn · 20-09-2019 9:38am

aloooof wrote: »

I'm wondering if there's any value in Earls top try-scorer @33/1. He only played 50-odd minutes in the warm-ups and is missing the Scotland game so, if he recovers quickly enough, he's likely to see a lot of minutes in the next 3 games. Could see him running in a few against Russia. (Was hoping it'd be closer to 50/1)

Ye I think the price is a little short. Have you checked the market since team has been named? Would have expected it to drift a little given he’s not in the 23.

Del.Monte · 20-09-2019 9:56am

Toe in water today with Russia -5.5 @ 4/5 in the first half.

Saturday, All Blacks -6 EVS looks good.

I'll hold off on Ireland/Scotland until weather forecast is more certain.

Hoppy Jack · 20-09-2019 9:57am

Eire to exit at group stages 18/1 looks value

The real mccoy 91 · 20-09-2019 10:04am

Hoppy Jack wrote: »

Eire to exit at group stages 18/1 looks value

Lose to Scotland and Japan? Not for me.. better off backing them as singles anyway in both matches will work out better than 18s

sydthebeat · 20-09-2019 10:26am

Hoppy Jack wrote: »

Eire to exit at group stages 18/1 looks value

lump on it then

Loafing Oaf · 20-09-2019 10:27am

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Looking at an SF foursome of New Zealand, South Africa, England and Wales at round 4/1 as my main bet.

Couldn't get this so went with a NZ-SA final as main bet
Also on Sexton top point scorer, England win/Farrell top point scorer and sundry small request-a-bets.

sydthebeat · 20-09-2019 10:30am

i went a bit mad this weekend:

Handicap draw (ireland -9) ireland v scotland @ 25/1
treble (ireland -8, france-1, NZ -4.5) @5/1
japan -40 @ evens
Vakatawa to score a Try & France to win & over 43.5 Points @ 9/1
Matsushima to score 2 or more tries @ evens
japan to win between 41 - 50 points @ 5/1
earls top try scorer @ 33's

Del.Monte · 20-09-2019 11:59am

Del.Monte wrote: »

Toe in water today with Russia -5.5 @ 4/5 in the first half.

Saturday, All Blacks -6 EVS looks good.

I'll hold off on Ireland/Scotland until weather forecast is more certain.

7-0 to Russia - after 6 mins.

sydthebeat · 20-09-2019 12:37pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

i went a bit mad this weekend:

Handicap draw (ireland -9) ireland v scotland @ 25/1
treble (ireland -8, france-1, NZ -4.5) @5/1
japan -40 @ evens
Vakatawa to score a Try & France to win & over 43.5 Points @ 9/1
Matsushima to score 2 or more tries @ evens
japan to win between 41 - 50 points @ 5/1
earls top try scorer @ 33's

matsushima bet won before half time

sydthebeat · 20-09-2019 12:44pm

Del.Monte wrote: »

7-0 to Russia - after 6 mins.

your 0.5 was very valuable !

Miley Byrne · 20-09-2019 1:51pm

Del.Monte wrote: »

Toe in water today with Russia -5.5 @ 4/5 in the first half.

.

+5.5 surely?

Leinstertomas · 21-09-2019 8:12am

France V Argentina- Try before 10 minutes @ 2/1
Argentina try before 32 mins 30 secs @ 10/11

****e

ClanofLams · 21-09-2019 7:37pm

Not gonna back it but Finn Russell looks a big price to be man of the match at 20-1, any shock is likely is to require an excellent performance from him.

Loafing Oaf · 22-09-2019 10:22am

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Also on Sexton top point scorer.

What are you doing to me Joe Schmidt?:mad:

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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