Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

sydthebeat · 21-04-2019 9:33pm

Leinster @10/11

Draw @22/1

sydthebeat · 23-04-2019 2:29pm

I'm all over ulster +2 like a vacuum packed leg of lamb

sydthebeat · 23-04-2019 2:31pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

some for the weekend

Not Bad for the weekend at all.

Leinster more than covered my la rochelle bet

thomond2006 · 23-04-2019 7:41pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

I'm all over ulster +2 like a vacuum packed leg of lamb

I'm all over Ulster to win. I expect the line will move significantly upon the lineup announcement. I have a feeling Ulster will put out some starters.

sydthebeat · 23-04-2019 7:45pm

Yeah I think ulster will be rabid to win this....

I'd even expect then to beat a -5 or -6 spread, even before any teams named

sydthebeat · 24-04-2019 12:38pm

and in typical fashion the money is going the other way

... ulster now +3

thomond2006 · 26-04-2019 12:29pm

Ah Ulster.

Jewelers · 27-04-2019 7:06pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

I'm all over ulster +2 like a vacuum packed leg of lamb

never in doubt

sydthebeat · 27-04-2019 7:10pm

Jewelers wrote: »

never in doubt

Had them +2 @10/11 and @ 5/4 for the win....

I was sweating!!

Del.Monte · 27-04-2019 10:32pm

Two awful games IMO but fortunately I only listened to the Leinster/Ulster game on the radio before enduring the Munster/Connacht one in my local - hard stuff to watch! Anyway 12% or so ahead on the weekend and I'll leave it at that. Thankfully the Conor Murray bet was voided as I don't think even he could have made much impact.

thomond2006 · 28-04-2019 8:55am

Munster -15 vs Benetton
Ulster -8 vs Connacht

I think Benetton will play the game of their lives, 15 points is a big head start for them. Ulster's handicap looks about right but their injuries are a concern.

sydthebeat · 28-04-2019 8:58am

Ulster down to -6 already.

Might be value in that

I'm on enniscorty -8 in todays towns cup final

sydthebeat · 03-05-2019 12:14pm

doing a double on both away teams to beat the spread.

benetton +15
connacht +6

@ approx 3/1

thomond2006 · 04-05-2019 9:45pm

Glasgow -9
Leinster -8

Del.Monte · 08-05-2019 9:27pm

Gone with Saracens to win @ 10/11, heart says Leinster but head says....:(

Del.Monte · 10-05-2019 10:34pm

Finally made up my mind this evening - 50% on Sarries to win and remaining 50% on three MOTM possibles.

PP%2B1.png

Del.Monte · 14-05-2019 11:41am

Backlash from Leinster this weekend? Munster - is everything well in the camp?

Leinster -8 @ 10./11 looks tempting.

The real mccoy 91 · 25-05-2019 1:01pm

Sarries -7 in the second half 1/1

Exeter by 1-12 2/1

Glasgow win and under 42.5 11/4

Doubles and a treble

Del.Monte · 25-05-2019 1:36pm

Two 1st half bets: Glasgow more than 7.5 and Leinster more than 9.5.

sydthebeat · 12-07-2019 12:10pm

upcoming Bets:

South Africa to win the Rugby Championship @ 11/2

SA -7 v australia @ 10/11

All_in_Flynn · 12-07-2019 12:47pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

upcoming Bets:

South Africa to win the Rugby Championship @ 11/2

SA -7 v australia @ 10/11

Definitely on the up but think it’s a stretch to think they will beat New Zealand again in NZ. Rassie also said yesterday that he’s going to split resources so first game v Australia will feature a lot of the fringe players as some of the big hitters are sent to NZ in advance.

Think the price is about right however.

sydthebeat · 12-07-2019 1:00pm

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

Definitely on the up but think it’s a stretch to think they will beat New Zealand again in NZ. Rassie also said yesterday that he’s going to split resources so first game v Australia will feature a lot of the fringe players as some of the big hitters are sent to NZ in advance.

Think the price is about right however.

NZ have a habit of losing a game in the build up to the RWC.....
(australia 2015, SA + Australia in 2011, Australia 2007)

Steve Hanson has been quoted as saying that a loss in the run up isnt the end of the world and could help focus the team.....

with the short format of this years championship i think theres a chance they could get picked off, and it wont be australia or agentina doing it.....

and 11/2 is good enough value to have me interested anyway

sydthebeat · 20-07-2019 4:00pm

Mbonambi first try scorer @16s

sydthebeat · 21-07-2019 1:54am

sydthebeat wrote: »

upcoming Bets:

South Africa to win the Rugby Championship @ 11/2

SA -7 v australia @ 10/11

One down, one to go

sydthebeat · 26-07-2019 5:48pm

going with NZ and Argentina both to win between 1 -12 points @ 11/1 special with PP

while i still think theres a good chance SA can beat the ABs, i think the value in this is too good to dismiss

The real mccoy 91 · 27-07-2019 8:23am

Kolbe any time 11/4
Kolbe and ioane tries 17/2

Sa +11.5
Argentina +5 and over 47 points
11/2

sydthebeat · 30-07-2019 6:03pm

current open Rugby related bets

RWC

ireland to win RWC2019 @ 7s
sevu reece RWC top try scorer @ 12's
will addison to make squad @ 4's
jean Kleyn to make squad @ 5/2

Rugby Championship

NZ -11 v oz @10/11
SA -9 v argentina @ 10/11
double on the above @ 5/2
SA to win the championship @ 11/2

Leinstertomas · 09-08-2019 5:48pm

Wales @11/10

The real mccoy 91 · 09-08-2019 11:08pm

Suprised barrett anytime is as big as 8/5 jumping on that as well as him to score 2 @8s

ionadnapokot · 12-08-2019 10:19pm

Looking for some value in RWC top try scorer
Kolbe @20s looks decent.
After NZ they play Namibia, Italy then Canada. Could see him playing at least 3 of the games.
A bit of value in Australia
Koroibete @50s
I’m unsure of Chieka’s first choice 15 (Beale 66s), 14 (Petty 66s) and will James O’C (n/a) play 13 or 15?

sydthebeat · 12-08-2019 10:21pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

current open Rugby related bets

RWC

ireland to win RWC2019 @ 7s
sevu reece RWC top try scorer @ 12's
will addison to make squad @ 4's
jean Kleyn to make squad @ 5/2

Rugby Championship

NZ -11 v oz @10/11
SA -9 v argentina @ 10/11
double on the above @ 5/2
SA to win the championship @ 11/2

Happy enough with those RC 2019 bets

sydthebeat · 26-08-2019 3:22pm

ireland +8 away to wales @ evens

Del.Monte · 26-08-2019 3:42pm

Did well at the weekend with England -8 Lol. It helped deaden the pain of the anticipated massacre.

Probably stay away from the betting for a while now but England @ 4/1 for the RWC looks worthwhile.

sydthebeat · 26-08-2019 3:53pm

Del.Monte wrote: »

Did well at the weekend with England -8 Lol. It helped deaden the pain of the anticipated massacre.

Probably stay away from the betting for a while now but England @ 4/1 for the RWC looks worthwhile.

yeah i dont really like betting on the warmups as there really is nothing on the line, but i think ireland simply have to be like dogs on saturday. At the very least the intensity needs to be lifted, and i think there will be some significant changes in the forwards with those coming in knowing they have a real chance of both making the plane and getting a starting jersey.

if joe goes for minimal injury enforced changes then fcuk that for a game of soldiers.

ClanofLams · 26-08-2019 5:48pm

Wouldn’t be touching England for the World Cup at 4s personally. Their schedule is too tough. Argentina France in last two weeks of pool stage followed by Aus/Wales, NZ/SA and a final.

See them picking up injuries and don’t think they have anywhere close to same standard on bench.

26-08-2019 6:53pm

ClanofLams wrote: »

Wouldn’t be touching England for the World Cup at 4s personally. Their schedule is too tough. Argentina France in last two weeks of pool stage followed by Aus/Wales, NZ/SA and a final.

See them picking up injuries and don’t think they have anywhere close to same standard on bench.

I think England could be a good championship team.

They are a big, direct, hard carrying team. They focus on their own game and keep things simple.

They are 3 injuries away from being utterly ordinary, but in the meantime most teams will find it tough to live with the pressure they can apply.

An ugly brand of rugby but eerily similar to the type of team that won them a world cup.

ClanofLams · 26-08-2019 8:14pm

[Deleted User] wrote: »

I think England could be a good championship team.

They are a big, direct, hard carrying team. They focus on their own game and keep things simple.

They are 3 injuries away from being utterly ordinary, but in the meantime most teams will find it tough to live with the pressure they can apply.

An ugly brand of rugby but eerily similar to the type of team that won them a world cup.

Yeah I may have been a bit dismissive and I certainly wouldn’t rule them out but 4s is way too short to be backing them for me.

Assuming they come out of the group in good style and injury free, conservative prices for them in the following three matches would be around 1-2, 5-6 and 5–6. They might be a bit shorter in a quarter final against Australia but think they would be a big longer in the following two games. That’s a 4-1 treble on its own (of course if you were doing this you would be taking the slight risk they come through after extra time in a game which wouldn’t affect a world
Cup bet) and you would know whether Billy/Manu etc are out.

Their schedule is a real hurdle too, if they manage to come through those 5 games in 5 weeks it will be very impressive.

This is probably over thinking it a bit if it’s just a ten euro bet for the craic or whatever!

sydthebeat · 29-08-2019 1:20pm

weekend bets

ireland +8 @ evens
ireland win @ 6/4

otago -15 @ 10/11

Del.Monte · 29-08-2019 3:49pm

Another bet of interest - any Six Nations team to win the RWC @ 15/8 with PP.

I'm on it - England are looking good; Wales - who knows ditto France and then there's poor old Ireland.

sydthebeat · 29-08-2019 3:55pm

less than 2/1 is poor value IMO

England are currently at 4/1, and wales and Ireland are at 10/1

England could very likely meet wales in the QFs so that would cut your value again.... and should Ireland get through the pool as winners and the QF, they would meet the winner of that possible England / wales .. so again that value is cut.

essentially youre better off taking the England @ 4/1 bet

alwald · 30-08-2019 10:10am

A couple of bets that are quite interesting:
England, Wales, Ireland & New Zealand All to Win their Pool Groups @ 3/1
All Southern Hemisphere Final yes @ 11/4

For the first bet I just need to see Ireland's form in the next few test games and for the second bet I don't see any team, bar England, matching the intensity of NZ and the physicality of SA - If NZ and England both finish first in their pool then they will most likely meet in the semies and in this case SA will meet either France or Wales.

sydthebeat · 30-08-2019 10:17am

sydthebeat wrote: »

weekend bets

ireland +8 @ evens
ireland win @ 6/4

otago -15 @ 10/11

One down

thomond2006 · 30-08-2019 10:26am

sydthebeat wrote: »

ireland +8 @ evens
ireland win @ 6/4

Great pick up early in the week. Ireland are -1 now. A good start tomorrow could allow you to cash out at a great price.

sydthebeat · 15-09-2019 8:57am

sydthebeat wrote: »

current open Rugby related bets

RWC

ireland to win RWC2019 @ 7s
sevu reece RWC top try scorer @ 12's
will addison to make squad @ 4's
jean Kleyn to make squad @ 5/2

The Jean kleyn bet worked.

Dissappinted the Addison one didn't, as I had mentioned Chris farrell @3's early in the betting but didn't take it, thinking Addison was more utility.

Reece at 12s is looking like value currently.

All_in_Flynn · 17-09-2019 1:01pm

Japan -40 @10/11 vs Russia looks like free money. I rarely find issue with markets set by bookies in rugby handicaps but that looks way wrong?

Am I missing something?

sydthebeat · 17-09-2019 1:04pm

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

Japan -40 @10/11 vs Russia looks like free money. I rarely find issue with markets set by bookies in rugby handicaps but that looks way wrong?

Am I missing something?

should Russia grab a try and a couple of pens, then its a fair ask for Japan to go 50+

i think its about right.... but if i was to call a side id be on the -40 too.....

sydthebeat · 17-09-2019 1:09pm

5/1 treble

ireland -8
france -1
NZ -4.5

All_in_Flynn · 17-09-2019 1:15pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

should Russia grab a try and a couple of pens, then its a fair ask for Japan to go 50+

i think its about right.... but if i was to call a side id be on the -40 too.....

I don’t know, I’m expecting Japan to put 60+ on them. Had a look at some parts of recent games and they would struggle in the AIL judging by those games.

Haven’t checked forecast which if bad may dampen my expectations. Thinking of pulling trigger with decent bet here. Will wait for Japan’s team.

sydthebeat · 17-09-2019 1:16pm

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

I don’t know, I’m expecting Japan to put 60+ on them. Had a look at some parts of recent games and they would struggle in the AIL judging by those games.

Haven’t checked forecast which if bad may dampen my expectations. Thinking of pulling trigger with decent bet here. Will wait for Japan’s team.

no, the weather is fine... near perfect conditions.

All_in_Flynn · 17-09-2019 1:16pm

sydthebeat wrote: »

5/1 treble

ireland -8
france -1
NZ -4.5

Really like NZ at -4.5. Where you getting that price?

Want to back France also but they’ve burnt me too many times before.

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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