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UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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Comments

  • #552
    Steve O
    Closed Accounts Posts: 595 ✭✭✭Steve O


    Jones has excellent takedown defence and would be a much stronger candidate to Anderson, Sonnen has no chance. I really don't know why people are saying bisping will beat belcher, belcher has serious power in his punches and bisping doesn't have a great chin.

    Excellent card all over.


  • #553
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Steve O wrote: »
    Jones has excellent takedown defence and would be a much stronger candidate to Anderson, Sonnen has no chance. I really don't know why people are saying bisping will beat belcher, belcher has serious power in his punches and bisping doesn't have a great chin.

    Excellent card all over.

    As was already said about Bispings chin.

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=84335084&postcount=23


  • #554
    Steve O
    Closed Accounts Posts: 595 ✭✭✭Steve O


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    As was already said about Bispings chin.

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=84335084&postcount=23

    We'll see. :)


  • #555
    SevereMMA
    Registered Users Posts: 435 ✭✭SevereMMA


    I got Sheila Gaff at 5/1 to win, mad odds


  • #556
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    really think davis will win on points
    price is 10/11
    more i look at it the more I cant see past it
    davis wont sub vinnie and vinnie wont sub davis imo
    davis too good a wrestler anyway
    davis wouldn't ko the cat and vinnie definitely wont be
    koing davis when much better fighters have failed
    it's 8/13 that this fight goes the distance
    i'd have it a lot shorter
    If i could afford to I would have a huge bet on this

    I do think this will be one of the most boring fights of the year

    my main bet is bisb pts so dont want to invest anymore
    as im not loaded so went with miller pts also in a double



    UFC Matches Jim Miller v Pat Healy
    28-04-2013 03:00
    Method of Victory
    Jim Miller on Points @ 10/11
    UFC Matches Phil Davis v Vinicius Magalhaes
    28-04-2013 03:00
    Method of Victory
    Phil Davis on Points @ 10/11


  • #557
    The Clown Man
    Registered Users Posts: 1,305 ✭✭✭The Clown Man


    I'd be tempted to stick a bet on Kongo. Don't think that fight is straightforward at all. Kongo could beat Roy standing as I think he has slightly more technical striking. But while Kongo can fold, Roy certainly won't. And I don't know if Roy will look to take this down to the mat. Kongo has every chance to catch him clean and if he does Roy will go down.

    Having said all that, Roy's overhand right could stop a train if he can connect


  • #558
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Pretty sure Kongo isn't going to be putting Nelson to sleep. The dude has been KO'd once and fought some of the hardest hitters out there.

    He went 15 minutes with JDS..


  • #559
    MrStuffins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,256 ✭✭✭✭MrStuffins


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    Pretty sure Kongo isn't going to be putting Nelson to sleep. The dude has been KO'd once and fought some of the hardest hitters out there.

    He went 15 minutes with JDS..

    Not only that but JDS beat the sh*t out of him. Anyone else taking those shots would've crumbled after 1.


  • #560
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    It would be easier to knock out a horse than nelson

    kongo can win this on points alright but any other way? No way


  • #561
    Ray Mond
    Closed Accounts Posts: 536 ✭✭✭Ray Mond


    Jones by KO, nelson by KO , bisping on points got 13/1


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  • #562
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Ray Mond wrote: »
    Jones by KO, nelson by KO , bisping on points got 13/1

    well worth a stab at those odd I think
    nearly a point and a half shorter on pp for that


  • #563
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    Was just talking about these picks with Bohsman, agree with each pick except Bisping. I think he'll finish.

    Here's the decider :)


    Heavyweight
    Roy Nelson ​vs. ​Cheick Kongo
    Roy has a solid chin, incredible KO power and a really underutilised BJJ game. He repeatedly walks through attacks lands the big right hands. A part of me would love to see his ground game on show a bit more. A lot of people aren’t aware of his BJJ credentials and it would one a great wtf moment if he took him down mounted him and slapped on a gogoplata. It this is a bad match up for Kongo. He beats lower tier fighters by grinding out decisions. But Nelson isn’t going to settle into that sort of pace. He’ll be looking to close fast. So much so that I think both Nelson in rd 1 @ 23/10 and Nelson by TKO @ 7/5 both represent value.
    Nelson by TKO in Rd1
    Roy delivered in spades


  • #564
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Mellor wrote: »
    Here's the decider :)

    GLGL.

    Miller fūcked mine up. Would have been practically free rolling. Jones was the last piece of the puzzle.


  • #565
    Scar Tissue
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,391 ✭✭✭Scar Tissue


    Mellor wrote: »
    Here's the decider :)

    Where was that quote posted originally Mellor?


  • #566
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Scar Tissue wrote: »
    Where was that quote posted originally Mellor?

    IPB, as far as I know.


  • #567
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Scar Tissue wrote: »
    Where was that quote posted originally Mellor?
    Originally from a piece I wrote from a betting website. But cross posted on IPB too. So far it's going alright. Predicted Miller to but said to avoid the bet as he could gas and open in the third.

    http://www.sportsbettingonline.net/sbo-weekly/ufc-159-betting-picks-jones-vs-sonnen/


  • #568
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    GLGL.

    Miller fūcked mine up. Would have been practically free rolling. Jones was the last piece of the puzzle.

    Free rolling myself at the min.
    Staked $300 and €320
    So far I've returned $400 and €384
    Little or large profit is riding on Bisping. €352 back if he wins by decision.

    Half a round left I have him up by two.


  • #569
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Uh oh


  • #570
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    ****. What's happens here.
    Technical decision I think


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  • #571
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Yea think so. Hope PP pay out on that.


  • #572
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Mellor wrote: »
    Technical decision I think
    I wasn't sweating too much because the OSP win earlier was ruled a technical decision. But heart skipped a little.


  • #573
    Ray Mond
    Closed Accounts Posts: 536 ✭✭✭Ray Mond


    Ray Mond wrote: »
    Jones by KO, nelson by KO , bisping on points got 13/1

    €€€€€


  • #574
    MrStuffins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,256 ✭✭✭✭MrStuffins


    Ray Mond wrote: »
    €€€€€

    Very nice shout!


  • #575
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    I picked the right winner in every fight except one and I had that one cünt in an accumulator. Miller, you're a cünt.


  • #576
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    just took the 5/4 on a bisbing pts win (ladbrokes)

    as easy a pts win as you could wish for


    mailburner wrote: »
    really think davis will win on points
    price is 10/11
    more i look at it the more I cant see past it
    davis wont sub vinnie and vinnie wont sub davis imo
    davis too good a wrestler anyway
    davis wouldn't ko the cat and vinnie definitely wont be
    koing davis when much better fighters have failed
    it's 8/13 that this fight goes the distance
    i'd have it a lot shorter
    If i could afford to I would have a huge bet on this

    I do think this will be one of the most boring fights of the year

    my main bet is bisb pts so dont want to invest anymore
    as im not loaded so went with miller pts also in a double



    UFC Matches Jim Miller v Pat Healy
    28-04-2013 03:00
    Method of Victory
    Jim Miller on Points @ 10/11
    UFC Matches Phil Davis v Vinicius Magalhaes
    28-04-2013 03:00
    Method of Victory
    Phil Davis on Points @ 10/11



    bit sorry i didnt do a single on davis but profit made
    for the 4th/5th event in a row


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  • #577
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    one of those ufcs im cursing i didnt do more bets esp fotn with
    healy/miller at 6s but its a market i have to avoid
    on the other hand i'd also have gone jones round 2
    Not happy for being disciplined on this occasion :pac:

    most of it went to plan I think but it rarely happens like that

    pat healy won sub of the nite also (9/1 healy by sub in that fight)
    goes without saying nelson got ko of the night


  • #578
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    mailburner wrote: »
    one of those ufcs im cursing i didnt do more bets esp fotn with
    healy/miller at 6s but its a market i have to avoid
    on the other hand i'd also have gone jones round 2
    Not happy for being disciplined on this occasion :pac:

    most of it went to plan I think but it rarely happens like that
    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    3 bets for tonight.

    €15 FOTN Miller/Healy :pac:
    €35 accum Jones, Nelson, Miller, Khabilov
    €50 Jones by TKO/KO

    Small bets but I'll take it :)

    Invested €100, returned €230.


  • #579
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    Small bets but I'll take it :)

    Invested €100, returned €230.

    +30 ;)

    nice return there

    miller was hard to believe, couldnt see past him myself


  • #580
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    mailburner wrote: »
    +30 ;)

    nice return there

    miller was hard to believe, couldnt see past him myself

    Still pretty gutted about that. Of all the fighters to stick in my accum, I pick the only loser :(:p The odds were only something like 5.5 but still.. should have got there.


  • #581
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Ray Mond wrote: »
    Jones by KO, nelson by KO , bisping on points got 13/1
    mailburner wrote: »
    well worth a stab at those odd I think
    nearly a point and a half shorter on pp for that

    great bet
    well done
    looked on pp at it worked out at 126 for a tenner but I couldnt
    pull the trigger even for a fiver

    it really looks huge now doesn't it :)


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  • #582
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    not a fan of these accums but this looks good to me

    UFC Matches Cain Velasquez v Antonio Silva
    26-05-2013 04:30
    Match Betting
    Cain Velasquez @ 1/8
    UFC Matches Junior dos Santos v Mark Hunt
    26-05-2013 04:00
    Match Betting
    Junior dos Santos @ 2/7
    UFC Matches Glover Teixeira v James Te Huna
    26-05-2013 03:00
    Match Betting
    Glover Teixeira @ 1/3
    UFC Matches Donald Cerrone v K.J. Noons
    26-05-2013 03:00
    Match Betting
    Donald Cerrone @ 2/5
    UFC Matches Khabib Nurmagomedov v Abel Trujillo
    26-05-2013 01:00
    Match Betting
    Khabib Nurmagomedov @ 2/9
    UFC Matches Ronaldo Souza v Chris Camozzi
    19-05-2013 04:00
    Match Betting
    Ronaldo Souza @ 1/4


    works out at 3.1/1 (paddy)

    here's how i see it overall
    I don't think bigfoot has a hope in hell and the odds reflect that
    He has nothing in his arsenal to hurt velas

    I think hunt/jds cerrone/noons and souza/cammozzo are all mismatches

    jds is on another level to hunt
    I dont rate noons at all and cerrone can't possibly lose this
    souza is in a different league to camozzi

    that leaves glover who I think will be too good for te huna
    its amazing to think ed herman was the last man to be tex :pac:

    Khabib has looked the part so far and I firmly believe this
    guy will be fighting for the title in a couple of years so im
    not looking past him at all
    this guy has it all

    If glover let's me down then fair enough but at this early
    stage I'm saying I really can't see any of the others doing so

    Will I be back here in a week or two with egg on my face?
    So who's gonna let me down?
    any opinions welcome


  • #583
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    They're well deserving to be favourite. But that doesn't mean they aren't too short. I think Nurmagomedov is too short. He's undefeated but mostly in Russia.

    The problem with very short favs is that even getting it right 80% of the time could see a loss.


  • #584
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Mellor wrote: »
    They're well deserving to be favourite. But that doesn't mean they aren't too short. I think Nurmagomedov is too short. He's undefeated but mostly in Russia.

    The problem with very short favs is that even getting it right 80% of the time could see a loss.


    I am taking khabib for granted which might be risky as his opponent is
    the only fighter of that lot I haven't see before

    The one price of that lot that i think is a bit of value is cerrone
    I'd have him shorter than the rest but still too short for
    a single unless a huge stake
    He would want to have a serious off day for noons to get
    the better of him


  • #585
    broders3
    Registered Users Posts: 85 ✭✭broders3


    mailburner wrote: »
    not a fan of these accums but this looks good to me

    UFC Matches Cain Velasquez v Antonio Silva
    26-05-2013 04:30
    Match Betting
    Cain Velasquez @ 1/8
    UFC Matches Junior dos Santos v Mark Hunt
    26-05-2013 04:00
    Match Betting
    Junior dos Santos @ 2/7
    UFC Matches Glover Teixeira v James Te Huna
    26-05-2013 03:00
    Match Betting
    Glover Teixeira @ 1/3
    UFC Matches Donald Cerrone v K.J. Noons
    26-05-2013 03:00
    Match Betting
    Donald Cerrone @ 2/5
    UFC Matches Khabib Nurmagomedov v Abel Trujillo
    26-05-2013 01:00
    Match Betting
    Khabib Nurmagomedov @ 2/9
    UFC Matches Ronaldo Souza v Chris Camozzi
    19-05-2013 04:00
    Match Betting
    Ronaldo Souza @ 1/4


    works out at 3.1/1 (paddy)

    here's how i see it overall
    I don't think bigfoot has a hope in hell and the odds reflect that
    He has nothing in his arsenal to hurt velas

    I think hunt/jds cerrone/noons and souza/cammozzo are all mismatches

    jds is on another level to hunt
    I dont rate noons at all and cerrone can't possibly lose this
    souza is in a different league to camozzi

    that leaves glover who I think will be too good for te huna
    its amazing to think ed herman was the last man to be tex :pac:

    Khabib has looked the part so far and I firmly believe this
    guy will be fighting for the title in a couple of years so im
    not looking past him at all
    this guy has it all

    If glover let's me down then fair enough but at this early
    stage I'm saying I really can't see any of the others doing so

    Will I be back here in a week or two with egg on my face?
    So who's gonna let me down?
    any opinions welcome

    It is a nice bet but the 1 bet I don't like among those 6 I don't like is the Glover pick. I have a feeling that Te Huna may be able to pull this one out.

    Glover has a lot of hype but he hasn't faced a murderer's row of competition, Kingsbury and Maldanado were veritable punching bags in my opinion and Rampage is on a serious downslide. Glover looked gassed after 7 mins in that fight and Te Huna came on very strong in his last fight against Jimmo. I expect him to weather the storm and pull out a split decision/late stoppage.

    Rockhold to win by decision at 3/1 is a better bet than the accumulator in my view. Good luck either way. Don't like the next 2 cards betting wise, ufc 159 had more interesting matchups.


  • #586
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    The betting money is coming in on Rockhold, which means Belfirt drifted from a slight fav to a slight underdog. I think it's time to move on Belfort.

    I won't get into all my reasons yet but I think Vitor as an underdog is a value bet


  • #587
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Mellor wrote: »
    The betting money is coming in on Rockhold, which means Belfirt drifted from a slight fav to a slight underdog. I think it's time to move on Belfort.

    I won't get into all my reasons yet but I think Vitor as an underdog is a value bet

    Been hoping someone would touch on this for a while now
    I backed vitor at evens over a week ago and went in again
    on saturday again (bet365)
    I never expected back then that i'd still be able to get that price now
    I've only had one big bet all year on mma which was vitor (v bisg) and
    now i've had two but slightly more on this time even though I think
    rockhold may be a bit better than bisbing (not sure though)
    A mate of mine has had his biggest bet all year on vitor also
    I've lumped on belfort, he should be fav imo especially factoring in the
    event being in brazil


  • #588
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    I'm doing a piece for a betting website. My main bet in the article is Vitor.
    He's a legit top 3 fighter. And has other factors in his favour.


    I think his price will fall soon.


  • #589
    welkin
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 397 ✭✭welkin


    Why is Vitor so short?

    He's fighting in Brazil and he's a beast.

    Rockhold as much as I like the has only really beat Souza. The rest of his opponents have been the likes Keith Jardine and Tim Kennedy


  • #590
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,601 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    welkin wrote: »
    Why is Vitor so short?

    I'm not sure what you are asking here.
    He isn't short, he's the underdog (Odds wise)


  • #591
    welkin
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 397 ✭✭welkin


    Mellor wrote: »
    I'm not sure what you are asking here.
    He isn't short, he's the underdog (Odds wise)

    My bad.


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  • #592
    welkin
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 397 ✭✭welkin


    Hey, I had a 5 guy accumulator that I lost when Pat Healy beat Jim Miller.

    Have I any comeback now that I've found out he failed the post-fight drug test?


  • #593
    califano
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,440 ✭✭✭califano


    welkin wrote: »
    Hey, I had a 5 guy accumulator that I lost when Pat Healy beat Jim Miller.

    Have I any comeback now that I've found out he failed the post-fight drug test?

    article-1220266-00337F7E00000258-245_468x497.jpg
    ''No chance...no chance''


  • #594
    welkin
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 397 ✭✭welkin


    lol emailed Boyle Sports about it. Thought they might have given me back my stake as a gesture of goodwill. no chance

    Hi John,

    Further to your email, please be advised we forwarded your details to our trading department for review. They have since responded to advise that unfortunately the markets have been settled correctly on your account as per the result on the night.

    We apologise for any inconvenience caused but unfortunately the bet will remain as is on your account.

    If you require any further assistance please do not hesitate in contact us.


    Kind regards,

    Ciara C
    Customer Support


  • #595
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    welkin wrote: »
    Thought they might have given me back my stake as a gesture of goodwill
    that would be a first I can tell ya
    god loves a trier though :pac:


  • #596
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Evan Dunham @ 2.62
    €25.00 Single

    Vitor Belfort @ 2.00
    €25.00 Single

    Joao Zeferino @ 3.50
    Nik Lentz @ 1.72
    Evan Dunham @ 2.62
    Trebles, 1 bet * €10.00


  • #597
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    Evan Dunham @ 2.62
    €25.00 Single

    Vitor Belfort @ 2.00
    €25.00 Single

    Joao Zeferino @ 3.50
    Nik Lentz @ 1.72
    Evan Dunham @ 2.62
    Trebles, 1 bet * €10.00

    dunhams a big price
    hes the one lad that looks way overpriced to me but
    ive invested heavily in vitor so cant go in again


  • #598
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    mailburner wrote: »
    dunhams a big price
    hes the one lad that looks way overpriced to me but
    ive invested heavily in vitor so cant go in again

    Yea, I was shocked to see the price. Wish I wasn't so busto :(


  • #599
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    went for dunham points instead at 11/4


  • #600
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,923 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    I backed vitor at evens over a week ago and went in again
    on saturday again (bet365)
    I never expected back then that i'd still be able to get that price now
    I've only had one big bet all year on mma which was vitor (v bisg) and
    now i've had two but slightly more on this time even though I think
    rockhold may be a bit better than bisbing (not sure though)
    A mate of mine has had his biggest bet all year on vitor also
    I've lumped on belfort, he should be fav imo especially factoring in the
    event being in brazil
    BOOM :D
    Two biggest bets all year on vitor, what a legend (pocket talk i know)
    Nice and quick just what you want to see when you lump
    never expected it to finish that quick though
    He's an absolute killer when he gets a sniff
    mailburner wrote: »
    went for dunham points instead at 11/4

    Thought i had that one :confused:


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  • #601
    scudzilla
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,944 ✭✭✭✭scudzilla


    mailburner wrote: »


    Thought i had that one :confused:

    So did i, was a terrible decision, that was the only fight that let me down on the fantasy, would have loved to have seen the odds of picking the 13 winners


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