UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING

eagle eye · 13-12-2020 3:53am

I like Gane round 1 at 21/10.
Holland decision at 9/4
Jandiroba by decision 21/10
Oliveira by finish 12/5
Figueiredo round 1 at 3/1

I'm a huge fan of Moreno but Figueiredo is all wrong for him I think.

mailburner · 19-12-2020 9:02pm

Khaos williams evens pp
points at 7/1
round two at 13/2

I'm struggling to see past Khaos williams at evens later

I don't rate perreira and he hasn't beaten anyone yet, I think Khaos will win if it goes to points which I think is overpriced by outworking perreira but could win by ko also if perreira gets up to his usual antics.
It might be hard to get mp out of there in one but he'll hopefully have him figured out by round two.

paddy enhancing the aldo neal double at 3/1 (next best 11/5) so thats a no brainer for me. (pettis aldo was the original plan)

I can't call the wb neal fight, think neal is a match for anyone but wb is so hard to pin down but as a big neal fan I have a feeling he'll get a late ko.
He hasnt fought in a year but at the same time nobody wanted to fight Neal and I've a feeling we'll see why later.

and the mad bet to cover a big chunk of xmas

double@171/1 neal round 4/williams round 2
treble with aldo pts at over 400
small single on neal round 4 at 22/1 bet365

SlowBlowin · 09-01-2021 1:17am

Anyone else fancy Dan Hooker on the 23rd, Chandler debut ? I am basing this mostly on the sparing footage I have seen recently.

but1er · 11-01-2021 6:04pm

SlowBlowin wrote: »

Anyone else fancy Dan Hooker on the 23rd, Chandler debut ? I am basing this mostly on the sparing footage I have seen recently.

ill be backing hooker on points

mailburner · 11-01-2021 11:39pm

SlowBlowin wrote: »

Anyone else fancy Dan Hooker on the 23rd, Chandler debut ? I am basing this mostly on the sparing footage I have seen recently.

All over Hooker, last performance against dp will be good enough but he'll have probably improved since

10/3 is a decent price for pts (only pp have it priced) think it may be shorter when others have it priced

ASOT · 13-01-2021 6:07pm

I'm the opposite I think out of all the top guys at 155 Chandler has the best chance against hooker. Quicker hands and will hold him against the fence ala usman v masvidal.

Really looking forward to seeing how he gets on anyway.

SlowBlowin · 13-01-2021 7:41pm

ASOT wrote: »

I'm the opposite

Thank God for that - whenever everyone is in agreement it generally does not go well.

I was always impressed by the speed of Chandler, but depending on the odds I think Hooker is my bet. I watched both of them in interviews today, and also an interview with Poirier, there must be so much pressure on Chandler - I would love to hear Ben Askren's view.

akelly02 · 13-01-2021 8:34pm

McGregor round 2 @ 9/2 appeals to me as a bit of value

but1er · 14-01-2021 1:05pm

anyone having Dustin?

weemcd · 14-01-2021 1:21pm

but1er wrote: »

anyone having Dustin?

Poirier by submission can be had at 14-1, to me that represents value, he has subs and McGregor has only lost by submission. If he was able to weather the first few rounds and up the pace before taking McGregor down it's a viable way to win for him. McGregor has slowed down drastically before, he's not been active lately and it's two years since he last made 155...

But I'm having trouble seeing past an early McGregor knockout myself.

SlowBlowin · 14-01-2021 1:27pm

but1er wrote: »

anyone having Dustin?

If you listen to Conner hes been saying he is in the best shape for this one, and didn't really prepare well for any of his recent fights.

I think this is very much a mind game fight and I want to see who turns up. I think there is a bigger variation in Dustin's game, from mentally weak to dominant. If Conner gets in his head I think Dustin will go down very quickly. If a mentally strong Dustin turns up, and he can avoid the left, then he will win.

I am waiting for the face offs to make up my mind.

mailburner · 15-01-2021 12:58pm

condit/ponz or holloway/ponz both around 6/5

My inital thoughts was holloway ponz

Any thoughts?

My head says Max but Kattar's striking is pretty legit although saying that Ige took a round off him, one judge gave Ige 2 rounds and the gap between Ige and Max is pretty big I'd imagine.
I think Max willl outwork him over 5 and do think pts is the most likely way Kattar wins this.

It's a very close fight though so maybe cond/ponz?

Brown is past it and condit isn't the fighter he was but condit has never been put away only by sub and I do think brown will stand with him.
I honestly don't think Brown is capable of going the distance anymore so I'll guess maybe a finish late round 2 or round 3 for condit.

Big layoff for ponz but he should be way too good here against a guy who has a punchers chance is all imo.

but1er · 15-01-2021 3:50pm

SlowBlowin wrote: »

If you listen to Conner hes been saying he is in the best shape for this one, and didn't really prepare well for any of his recent fights.

I think this is very much a mind game fight and I want to see who turns up. I think there is a bigger variation in Dustin's game, from mentally weak to dominant. If Conner gets in his head I think Dustin will go down very quickly. If a mentally strong Dustin turns up, and he can avoid the left, then he will win.

I am waiting for the face offs to make up my mind.

Didnt know they weight in Friday and fight Sunday Morning at 9.30 so two nights sleep. There going to be fighting at 170. Dustin could be alot bigger

Whelo79 · 15-01-2021 4:56pm

but1er wrote: »

Didnt know they weight in Friday and fight Sunday Morning at 9.30 so two nights sleep. There going to be fighting at 170. Dustin could be alot bigger

Will Conor get two sleeps but Poirier only one? It depends on if they have adjusted to local time or not I guess. There's only a 4 hour difference between Dublin and Dubai but a 10 hour difference between Lafayette and Dubai. That could play a part maybe?

Or is there a bigger gap than normal between the weigh ins and fights?

Mellor · 16-01-2021 7:28am

Whelo79 wrote: »

Or is there a bigger gap than normal between the weigh ins and fights?

I think the gap is the same as usual.
Instead of being Friday morning and Saturday night. It’s shifted to Friday night and Sunday morning.

Main card starts at 7am local time

simongurnick · 16-01-2021 2:45pm

Looks like Max is about 3/1 for a finish. Seems a juicy price. Not sure Kattar is at Max's level and think he might piece him up similar to the Ortega fight.
Thoughts?

mailburner · 16-01-2021 3:08pm

simongurnick wrote: »

Looks like Max is about 3/1 for a finish. Seems a juicy price. Not sure Kattar is at Max's level and think he might piece him up similar to the Ortega fight.
Thoughts?

Think it'll be points whoever wins

neither have ever been ko'd in 26/27 fights kat/hol

I think if anyone fancies Kattar then 9/2 pts is huge in comparison to 13/10 on Max

I fancy Max myself but wouldn't bet on him at pts odds but I don't think I can let 9/2 go, could see it being a 48/47 type fight

mailburner · 16-01-2021 3:10pm

https://www.paddypower.com/mixed-martial-arts

paddy going 2/1 kattar (20max tho I think it's 22.40 euro they allow)

simongurnick · 16-01-2021 3:13pm

mailburner wrote: »

Think it'll be points whoever wins

neither have ever been ko'd in 26/27 fights kat/hol

I think if anyone fancies Kattar then 9/2 pts is huge in comparison to 13/10 on Max

I fancy Max myself but wouldn't bet on him at pts odds but I don't think I can let 9/2 go, could see it being a 48/47 type fight

Fair point on the ko record, but I would question the quality of opponent. The finish includes submission too.

Also wonder what the two volk fights took out of max. They were tough bouts to say the least.

mailburner · 16-01-2021 4:18pm

simongurnick wrote: »

Also wonder what the two volk fights took out of max. They were tough bouts to say the least.

This is why I think Kattar has a decent shout! Every fight Max has had in the past few years has been a war, hard to believe he's only 29.
He was so good in the second volk fight though!
I'm not sure Kattar can beat a prime Max but I've a feeling he'll surprise us
all tonight.

mailburner · 16-01-2021 6:21pm

Lingo sub at 6/1 for some interest

simongurnick · 16-01-2021 6:32pm

mailburner wrote: »

This is why I think Kattar has a decent shout! Every fight Max has had in the past few years has been a war, hard to believe he's only 29.
He was so good in the second volk fight though!
I'm not sure Kattar can beat a prime Max but I've a feeling he'll surprise us
all tonight.

Yeah. Should be a good dust up. Good luck if you put some money down.

ASOT · 18-01-2021 10:43pm

Havnt had a bet in a while.

McGregor R1 - €50 - 11/5
McGregor R1 - €25 - 4/1
Khalil/Chandler/McGregor - 3/1 - €5

simongurnick · 20-01-2021 3:46am

Any thoughts on chiesa magny? I'm leaning towards a chiesa sub at 4/1

mailburner · 20-01-2021 3:23pm

simongurnick wrote: »

Any thoughts on chiesa magny? I'm leaning towards a chiesa sub at 4/1

nice price for that to be fair, don't see anything better than 7/2 now.

I fancy magny if it goes 5 but really I've no idea who wins.

akelly02 · 20-01-2021 4:03pm

I put up mcgregor round 2 at 9/2 but just seen KO either rd 1 or 2 at 5/6 which in my eyes is a phucking steal

will be doubling up with hooker for a decent bet

simongurnick · 20-01-2021 4:44pm

mailburner wrote: »

nice price for that to be fair, don't see anything better than 7/2 now.

I fancy magny if it goes 5 but really I've no idea who wins.

yeah, I think that price has got a little tighter now. Saw it on betway couple days ago.
Close fight for sure. Could be Magny using his range. Just think Chiesa can be pretty lethal when he gets someone on the ground. We'll see.

mailburner · 20-01-2021 4:59pm

Lazzez win
araujo on pts
6/4

SlowBlowin · 21-01-2021 1:43pm

Seen this:

https://www.betvictor.com/aff/ufc-mma-50-1-offer-e

akelly02 · 21-01-2021 1:52pm

SlowBlowin wrote: »

Seen this:

https://www.betvictor.com/aff/ufc-mma-50-1-offer-e

joke of an offer like the rest

cant take out your €50 if it wins

SlowBlowin · 21-01-2021 1:55pm

akelly02 wrote: »

joke of an offer like the rest

cant take out your €50 if it wins

My FB is full of these offers today !

mailburner · 21-01-2021 11:28pm

pp going 3/1 on conor to win in round one (£20max/22.40eu)

next best is 2/1

simongurnick · 23-01-2021 2:03pm

Bets for tonight. If you want to make money, I suggest doing the opposite to me!

Throwing a fiver on Conor in 60 seconds, more for the craic. 8/1

Double on Conor finish/ chandler win. I know hooker is good but how often does elite wrestler beat elite striker.
Approx 6/4

Small bet on Ribas to win by submission. 3/1

vafankillar · 23-01-2021 4:37pm

newbie question, looking at paddypower sign up there asking about proof of age. how does that work? is my credit card info proof of age or am i expected to upload photos of documents or something?

edit okay I signed up, but skipped the part where I put funds into the paddy power account for betting, and checked my profile and it does look like I need to upload before doing anything.

very ****ing sneaky the way they ask you to transfer money in before asking you to confirm age. not sure if i have an ID's handy, dont drive and been years since I was on a plane or needed to be asked for id

shrapnel222 · 23-01-2021 6:59pm

on poirier to win in rounds 3 4 or 5 @ 17/2

i think people are underestimating how good Poirier has become since their first fight. Obvious bonus would be seeing Conor get his ass kicked again.

tinpib · 23-01-2021 7:25pm

When I don't post my big priced UFC picks I turn into Nostradamus, let's see what happens this time.

All prices from Hills, you might get bigger elsewhere.

Couldn't believe Poirier is 11/4, should be way shorter, I backed him though I'll still be hoping Conor wins.

Thought Hooker by decision at 3/1 looks good.

Matt Frevola has a good record, has beaten Luis Pena, thought 9/2 was a crazy price. His opponent is 2:1, all by decision, so you can't really say he is a hypetrain. Very odd pricing to my untrained eye.

And onto your standard WMMA oddsboosters:

Sadly think JoJo is a pretty poor fighter overall, think Jessica Eye will be too good, took her on pts at 6/4

Also Amanda Ribas on pts though you won't get rich at 6/5

Was surprised to see McMann was fav, went for Pena on pts at 5/2

MikeyGorse · 23-01-2021 7:47pm

McGregor KO/TKO (Second round) 9/2

mailburner · 23-01-2021 7:49pm

vafankillar wrote: »

edit okay I signed up, but skipped the part where I put funds into the paddy power account for betting, and checked my profile and it does look like I need to upload before doing anything.

very ****ing sneaky the way they ask you to transfer money in before asking you to confirm age. not sure if i have an ID's handy, dont drive and been years since I was on a plane or needed to be asked for id

Sneaky alright. they'll allow you to deposit without proof of i.d but they won't
let you withdraw a cent

I have used my drivers license in the past but last time I used my birth cert simply because I'm on my 2nd pp account and needed to stay under the radar.

akelly02 · 23-01-2021 8:34pm

I've put up a few bets so far and this is my final 1

A treble

Amanda Ribas
Hooker
McGregor either round 1 or 2

Pays about 6/1

eagle eye · 23-01-2021 8:46pm

Matt Frevola is 5/1 to win just win tonight. He's decent, he certainly has a decent chance I think.

vafankillar · 23-01-2021 9:10pm

mailburner wrote: »

Sneaky alright. they'll allow you to deposit without proof of i.d but they won't
let you withdraw a cent

I have used my drivers license in the past but last time I used my birth cert simply because I'm on my 2nd pp account and needed to stay under the radar.

is it eutomatic verification or do i have to wait on someone to confirm behind a computer or how does it work? any idea if garda age card would do?

weemcd · 23-01-2021 9:29pm

tinpib wrote: »

When I don't post my big priced UFC picks I turn into Nostradamus, let's see what happens this time.

All prices from Hills, you might get bigger elsewhere.

Couldn't believe Poirier is 11/4, should be way shorter, I backed him though I'll still be hoping Conor wins.

Thought Hooker by decision at 3/1 looks good.

Matt Frevola has a good record, has beaten Luis Pena, thought 9/2 was a crazy price. His opponent is 2:1, all by decision, so you can't really say he is a hypetrain. Very odd pricing to my untrained eye.

And onto your standard WMMA oddsboosters:

Sadly think JoJo is a pretty poor fighter overall, think Jessica Eye will be too good, took her on pts at 6/4

Also Amanda Ribas on pts though you won't get rich at 6/5

Was surprised to see McMann was fav, went for Pena on pts at 5/2

Hooker Decision at 3-1 is brilliant odds.

mailburner · 23-01-2021 10:10pm

vafankillar wrote: »

is it eutomatic verification or do i have to wait on someone to confirm behind a computer or how does it work? any idea if garda age card would do?

Could be hours or days if the weekend

I don't know about the garda age card, sounds like it should be legit.
I'm twice as old as you so not too sure

mailburner · 23-01-2021 10:11pm

Better than nothing

Must be the #whatodds paddy section for anyone not familiar with bookies cuteness

Paddy also going 7/2 on Conor round one 22.40 max
https://www.paddypower.com/mixed-martial-arts

mailburner · 23-01-2021 10:18pm

weemcd wrote: »

Hooker Decision at 3-1 is brilliant odds.

I think so too
It'll probably be my only bet

Agree about jojo also, fancy eye on pts

vafankillar · 23-01-2021 10:25pm

mailburner wrote: »

Could be hours or days if the weekend

I don't know about the garda age card, sounds like it should be legit.
I'm twice as old as you so not too sure

ah bollox, that rules out tonight so:(

Porthallian · 23-01-2021 10:29pm

I think Chandler by sub might be a nice outside bet at 11/1. He has 7 sub wins in his career, most notably over Eddie Alvarez for the Bellator title.
Hooker has 2 sub losses, granted very early in his career.

Just expect Hooker to spend a decent portion of the fight on his back, and could get caught in a scramble.

mailburner · 23-01-2021 10:34pm

vafankillar wrote: »

ah bollox, that rules out tonight so:(

If you have a Revolut account I'd place a bet for you

ASOT · 23-01-2021 10:36pm

You should be able to set up a paddys/boyles/bet365 etc account if you are Irish without verifying right away. It's only UK customers that need to verify before placing bets as set out by the UKGC.

If you win you'll need to verify to withdraw but.

vafankillar · 23-01-2021 11:14pm

ASOT wrote: »

You should be able to set up a paddys/boyles/bet365 etc account if you are Irish without verifying right away. It's only UK customers that need to verify before placing bets as set out by the UKGC.

If you win you'll need to verify to withdraw but.

can anyone confirm this? i mean I already set one up as I said in the last post, but my absolute fear is transfering funds that I can't use tonight cos the last bet I put on was 2014 and dont plan on doing any more soon, but was really looking forward to puting a bet on tonight

UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING