Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium · 25-07-2011 6:40am

Monday, 25 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Some brief light showers may drift through north central counties this morning and then die out in Leinster during the afternoon. Otherwise, rather extensive cloud will tend to break up somewhat to reveal hazy sunshine with warm and humid conditions, tempered somewhat near the Connacht and west Munster coasts by sporadic low cloud or sea fog. Highs will range from 18-20 C in the west to 21-24 C in the east and inland south. Winds generally light northwest becoming moderate westerly near the coasts by afternoon. Can't rule out one or two isolated rumbles of thunder with the showers as described earlier.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, rather hazy or misty then some fog developing, light winds, warm and humid. Lows 11-14 C.

TUESDAY ... Hazy sunshine developing with the risk of fog or low cloud mainly confined to south and west coasts, possible local sea breeze effects, but many places could reach 24-25 C if the sun co-operates. Light winds, rather humid, so quite a warm or even hot feel to the day. Tuesday night will be clear in places, misty, quite mild at about 10-13 C although larger cities may stay 13-16 C.

WEDNESDAY ... The eastern and central counties will continue rather sunny and very warm or locally hot with highs 23-27 C, but by contrast the western counties may see a lot of cloud and eventually some showers, possibly becoming thundery in a few places. Highs will be 18-23 C there, still quite warm and with the humidity rather sultry. Overnight, the showers and a few thunderstorms will drift east across the country, rainfalls of about 3-5 mms will be common, but the southeast may escape this rain, while Ulster could see 5-15 mms and also a greater risk of thunder. Lows of about 12-16 C.

THURSDAY ... Gradual clearing in a fresh northwest breeze, but still a rather warm day for some regions especially inland southeast, central and southwest counties, where highs may reach 21 C. The north may be more cloudy and fresher with highs 16-19 C. Thursday night should be clear and a bit cooler, 8-11 C on average.

FRIDAY ... Sunny and rather warm again, light winds, highs 20-24 C.

SATURDAY ... This may be the warmest day of the period, if not Wednesday, with similar conditions, increasing cloud from west to east later in the day, but very warm or even hot sunshine at times in the east. Highs could be into the mid or high 20s in places. Some places may hit 27 or 28 around the southeast.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, still fairly warm, scattered showers developing. Highs near 22 C.

OUTLOOK for early August ... The warm spell may continue, as latest guidance tends to keep Ireland in a warm southwest flow and then suggests high pressure could stall over the region, lifting north to permit a warmer continental feed during the week. Maybe the "heat wave summer" is now trying to wake up after sleeping in?

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The severe heat wave lost a few more states on Sunday, and is now confined to a band from about Oklahoma to North Carolina. The temperature trend is slowly downward further north although it's still a good deal warmer than Ireland until you get north of Lake Superior.

Extensive heavy storms in Kansas-Nebraska moving east, Ohio and PA moving southeast, as the eastern ridge collapses slowly. Also extensive storms across the southeast and Florida. The west is now warm to hot, and dry.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... A perfect day for humans and also flying ants, who woke up en masse and attacked with a vengeance during the lunch hour. This two-hour onslaught ended as suddenly as it began. I've never seen the phenomenon before, and neither had anyone else I met. Anyway, the high was about 25 C with patches of high cloud in an otherwise clear sky. I hope the flying ants have had their fun because I plan on an outdoor lunch again today.

fizzycyst · 25-07-2011 11:07am

Our ants were flying yesterday too, the little buggers were everywhere!

nacho libre · 25-07-2011 6:03pm

fizzycyst wrote: »

Our ants were flying yesterday too, the little buggers were everywhere!

I had the same problem last week.

M.T. Cranium · 26-07-2011 7:33am

Tuesday, 26 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Extensive cloud this morning, slowly giving way to hazy sunshine at least in southern and eastern counties, but with the risk of fog or low cloud mainly confined to south and west coasts, possible local sea breeze effects, but many places could reach 23-24 C if the sun co-operates. Highs 18-21 C around the southwest, west and north coasts. Light winds, rather humid, so quite a warm or even hot feel to the day where the sun comes through.

TONIGHT ... clear in places this evening, misty, more extensive low cloud later on, quite mild at about 10-13 C although larger cities may stay 13-16 C.

WEDNESDAY ... The eastern and central counties will start cloudy but may turn rather sunny and very warm or locally hot with highs 23-27 C, but by contrast the western counties may see a lot of cloud and eventually some showers, possibly becoming thundery in a few places. Highs will be 18-23 C there, still quite warm and with the humidity rather sultry. Through the afternoon and evening, the showers and a few thunderstorms will drift east across the country, rainfalls of about 3-5 mms will be common, but the southeast may escape this rain, while Ulster could see 5-15 mms and also a greater risk of thunder. Lows of about 12-16 C.

THURSDAY ... Gradual clearing in a fresh northwest breeze, but still a rather warm day for some regions especially inland southeast, central and southwest counties, where highs may reach 21 C. The north may be more cloudy and fresher with highs 16-19 C. Thursday night should be clear and a bit cooler, 8-11 C on average.

FRIDAY ... Sunny and rather warm again, light winds, highs 20-24 C. Sea breezes will be more prevalent on the east coast for a change, so the west may be as warm as inland. Sea breezes could cool the east coast to 17-19 C.

SATURDAY ... This may be the warmest day of the period, if not Wednesday, with similar conditions, increasing cloud from west to east later in the day, but very warm or even hot sunshine at times in the east. Highs could be into the mid or high 20s in places. Some places may hit 27 or 28 around the southeast.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, still fairly warm, scattered showers developing. Highs near 23 C except 17-19 C west and north coasts.

OUTLOOK for early August ... The warm spell may continue, as latest guidance tends to keep Ireland in a warm or marginally hot pattern with some tendency to southeast winds for a time, then mid-week showers.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The long-standing heat wave has been confined to only a few states now from Oklahoma to South Carolina. It has turned quite a bit cooler in the northeast states with scattered outbreaks of rain. Dry and cool in parts of the north central states and inland western Canada. Variable cloud and seasonable near the west coast.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy with sunny breaks, isolated showers on Monday, highs near 19 C with a strong sea breeze cooling temperatures near the coast.

200motels · 26-07-2011 11:26am

redsunset wrote: »

Now I'm not bashing met eireann here but surely they can do better than this for tomorrow, wednesday.where's the temps and wind.

Tomorrow
Outbreaks of light rain will gradually spread eastwards during tomorrow

Your not supposed to post here as this is for MT'S forecasts, mods could you remove these posts and this one please.

M.T. Cranium · 27-07-2011 6:51am

Wednesday, 27 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Central and eastern counties should start out dry with sunshine gradually replacing mist or fog, and it will warm up rapidly. Highs inland could reach 22-25 C although sea breezes in a weak south or southeast drift could keep some coasts near 18 C. Meanwhile, a slow-moving and rather ill-defined band of light rain just moving on shore in the west will make slow eastward progress, and could fragment somewhat as daytime heating goes to work. Rainfalls of 2-4 mms are possible with this. The rain will reach eastern Ulster and inland Leinster by afternoon, but may not extend very completely into the south, because trailing this weak front is a second frontal band that could begin to take over the available energy and make its leisurely trip east during the overnight hours. So in the west, you may find that after a rather dreary morning, skies could brighten for a time this afternoon before the second feature arrives. Highs in the west in any case will range from 17 C along the coast to about 20 C well inland. Very light winds in most areas, and some dense sea fog likely offshore west and possibly south later.

TONIGHT ... Sporadic outbreaks of light rain although eastern Ulster could see more moderate showers with a few rumbles of thunder added to give about 5-15 mms locally there. Otherwise, only about 2-4 mms at most. Foggy after midnight for most, with a light northerly wind setting in. Lows near 12 C.

THURSDAY ... Eastern counties will be rather slow to dry out and clear, as the front, while weak, has little to push it further east. Clearing should be more immediate in central counties and the west will clear as long as sea fog doesn't move inland, as it may for a time. With the best of the sunshine in central counties (as seen north-south) the highest daytime temperatures are likely to occur around Cork, Limerick, Tipps and Waterford where 22 C seems possible. Further north, 18-20 C more likely. East coast could be held to about 17-19 C unless the sun breaks through before mid-afternoon, and west coast could be 16-18 C due to more extensive fog and cloud. Winds generally north backing to northwest 10-15 mph.

FRIDAY ... After a rather cool, clear night with local fog (lows 6-9 C) the day should become mainly sunny with some lingering low cloud near the Dublin, Wicklow and Wexford coasts. Even that could remain offshore or break up during the morning. Plenty of sunshine elsewhere with light east winds or local sea breezes. Highs 20-23 C inland, 17-19 C around most coasts.

SATURDAY ... Sunny and warm, possibly even hot for some, after patchy low cloud and fog burns off during the morning. Highs could reach 23-25 C away from sea breezes where 17-19 C more likely.

SUNDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, just a slight risk of showers mainly in Connacht and west Ulster. Continuing warm, highs 22-24 C.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, isolated showers, warm. Highs 22-24 C.

OUTLOOK ... Somewhat unsettled in the south although rain may stay mainly offshore, in a light easterly flow developing, with cloud spreading across the south and some central counties at times. Remaining rather warm but highs may drop back to 18-21 C especially near east coasts. Somewhat warmer at times inland west. Not much change in this pattern for the rest of the week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Things have returned more or less to normal in many regions as the severe heat wave has now been pretty much replaced by seasonably warm weather. The heat threatens to return in about five to seven days, but until then, the pattern will consist of weak frontal waves running east near the latitude of the Great Lakes, with heavy showers or storms today in parts of the northern plains and western Great Lakes, and also in northern New England.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Tuesday was cloudy and very cool for late July, I haven't checked the official high but doubt that it was much above 16 C.

:eek: -- will have to come to Ireland for some sunshine and warmth then.

M.T. Cranium · 28-07-2011 7:34am

Thursday, 28 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Cloud should begin to break up gradually in many parts of Ireland after 0900h but some east coast districts could remain overcast until well into the afternoon. Some light drizzle remains but little measurable rain seems likely. Highs will reach 20-22 C where clouds break (and potentially 22-24 C if sunshine emerges early). Highs will be closer to 18 C near most of the coastal districts due to onshore breezes in a generally N backing to NE flow 10-15 mph.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy in the east at times, low cloud or fog may drift into parts of the northwest coast as well, but otherwise extensive clear skies with mist or fog forming well after midnight. Lows 7-10 C inland and 10-13 C coastal. Very light winds but NE 5-10 mph near east coast.

FRIDAY ... Widespread sunshine but potential for low cloud in southeast at times and drifting around near outer west coast as well although hopefully that cloud will stay over the water and give most coastal towns a very fine day. Highs 19-23 C.

SATURDAY ... Mostly sunny, increasing cloud over far west with slight risk of showers late afternoon or evening outer west coast. Rather warm away from sea breezes in a light to moderate southerly flow. Highs 19-24 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, increasing chance of showers in west, longer sunny intervals in east, highs 17-19 C west and 20-24 C east.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, possibly some heavier rain at times in the southwest, but some eastern and northern counties may stay dry ... highs 17-19 C southwest and west central, 20-23 C elsewhere.

OUTLOOK FOR NEXT WEEK ... Unsettled at times in a light to moderate easterly flow, becoming west to northwest later in the week, some heavy showers or thunderstorms developing in places. Highs generally 17-20 C.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Severe heat developed again in Kansas and Oklahoma as well as north Texas, where some places hit 45 C (113 F). Otherwise, most other central and eastern states were more seasonably hot with widely scattered storms. Tropical storm Don is heading slowly northwest through the central Gulf of Mexico towards the Houston region. The west remains rather cloudy and near normal.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy with afternoon and evening sunny breaks, a bit warmer with highs 18-20 C.

M.T. Cranium · 29-07-2011 6:39am

Friday, 29 July, 2011
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Basically, it's a case of extensive cloud cover with little wind to assist in breaking it up, but where it does break, temperatures should respond quickly to 20 degrees or a little higher. Some isolated showers may develop this morning near Dublin and Wicklow, but otherwise, the main threat of wet weather during the weekend will come Saturday night and Sunday morning with a weak frontal system pushing east. Most places will see some rain from that, but with any luck it will occur mostly overnight or at least before lunch time Sunday.

TODAY ... Extensive cloud to start the day, slowly brightening in parts of the west this morning, slight risk of showers (2-4 mms at most) in parts of coastal Dublin and Wicklow, Wexford. The afternoon may remain cloudy in some places but sunshine could begin to break through here and there. Winds very light and trending to easterly. Highs will depend on cloud cover, staying about 16-17 C where cloudy, and rising to 20-22 C where sunny.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy with some clear breaks, misty at times. Lows 9-13 C.

SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, some warm sunny periods developing, late afternoon or evening showers edging onto the southwest coast but becoming heavier by the overnight hours. Humid. Highs 19-23 C.

SUNDAY ... Overnight and morning showers pushing northeast, giving 5-10 mms of rain on average, possibly a rumble of thunder with the rain, but some chance of sunshine redeveloping by afternoon or evening in parts of the south and central counties. Lows 12-15 C, highs 18-21 C.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, chance of isolated showers, warm and humid. Lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.

OUTLOOK ... Rather cloudy with frequent showers developing mid-week, somewhat breezier (from west to northwest) later in week, temperatures generally rather warm at first (18-22 C) then falling off slightly.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Heavy showers and thunderstorms moving through the lower Great Lakes region overnight will head across southern Ontario this morning, bringing further drought relief (Toronto has had only 30 mms of rain so far in July). Hot and humid air returning to the northeast states during the day with the storms confined mainly to upstate NY and later northern New England. Southeast states unsettled, widespread thunderstorms. Severe heat continues today in south central states but weak tropical storm Don will move into coastal TX about midnight and bring heavy rains and local drought relief.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Thursday was sunny with a high near 23 C.

M.T. Cranium · 30-07-2011 7:37am

Saturday, 30 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Warm and humid for most. Cloudy with some morning sunny breaks (most likely in north Leinster and east Ulster), showers and a few thunderstorms developing across western counties later this morning and into the afternoon, with isolated showers possible further east, although many places there remaining dry until evening. Rainfalls 5-10 mms in west. Highs 18-22 C higher in northeast due to sunny intervals. Winds picking up from light southeast to moderate southerly 15-25 mph.

TONIGHT ... Further showers or thundershowers spreading gradually east but heavier in Connacht and west Ulster, 8-15 mms locally there, 3-8 mms elsewhere, warm and humid with fog developing, lows 12-14 C. Winds moderate S-SW 15-25 mph.

SUNDAY ... Morning showers continuing but brighter intervals spreading inland from southwest with a general drying trend working its way further east through the afternoon. Rainfalls of 3-7 mms heavier in northeast. Some sunny intervals returning by afternoon and evening at least in west and south. Rather warm and very humid, highs 17-21 C.

MONDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sun, warm and humid, a few isolated showers developing, locally heavy, although quite a few places could remain dry for the day. Lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, warm, isolated showers, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY ... Heavy rain appears likely with 20-30 mms possible during the two day period, heavier in Connacht and west Munster than elsewhere. Lows near 14 C and highs near 18 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... In general, the pattern looks warm and humid for most of early August with occasional showers, but the possibility of a few very warm days at times.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Severe heat eased only slightly in south central states, while weak tropical storm Don moved inland in south Texas with very little rain left, so not a lot of widespread drought relief yet. Sporadic thunderstorms along very weak fronts in the central and eastern states but air mass contrasts are slight and in fact it is very warm well into southern Canada. The west remains closer to normal or a touch below, with widespread cloud over the mountains, and severe storms developed along a cold front in Alberta.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny, 23 C on Friday.

M.T. Cranium · 31-07-2011 6:48am

Sunday, 31 July, 2011
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TODAY ... Rather warm and humid, despite intervals of light rain this morning, with a gradual drying trend mid-day west, afternoon east. Some sunshine may develop especially in the southwest. Rainfall amounts rather slight, 2-5 mms on average. Winds continuing to veer slowly becoming SW 15-25 mph. Highs 18-21 C.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, some clear intervals, mild, lows 10-12 C.

MONDAY ... Some sunny intervals, then cloudy with outbreaks of rain later in the day or from evening onward, warm and humid again, highs 18-22 C.

TUESDAY ... Morning showers ending, 5-10 mms of rain in some parts of the southeast, clearing, sunny intervals and warm for the afternoon, lows near 13 and highs near 21 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Increasing cloud, rain developing, foggy by evening, warm and humid, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C, 5-15 mms rain, heavier west.

THURSDAY ... Rain tapering to showers, gradual drying with brighter intervals developing, winds rather gusty SW to W 20-30 mph, lows near 14 C and highs around 18 C.

OUTLOOK ... Not quite as warm later in the week and through the following weekend, showery, winds westerly, highs around 18 C. Some warmer days may follow in the second week of August.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The severe heat wave continues with some interruptions from thunderstorms here and there, but extreme drought persists in TX and OK into s KS. Further west, the heat is more seasonable and temperatures are near normal. The most active weather is across the Canadian prairies, with one front dying out but another cold front developing slowly tonight and Sunday across inland B.C., heading for Alberta as a low pulls desert heat north into Montana.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Saturday was a sunny and rather warm day with a high near 25 C. Cloudy at present, light showers may develop although the front is mainly dry. Expecting sunshine to return Sunday morning or mid-day.

M.T. Cranium · 01-08-2011 7:22am

Monday, 1 August, 2011
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TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, warm and humid, with occasional light rain or drizzle, but reasonably long dry intervals developing at least in western counties and possibly a few glimpses of the sun. Highs 18-21 C.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy, warm, humid, outbreaks of light rain in south and east giving 3-5 mms. Lows 13-15 C.

TUESDAY ... Morning showers drying out across the east, followed by some sunny breaks as highs reach 20 C or so. Light winds.

WEDNESDAY ... Becoming breezy or windy with periods of rain in the west, but staying cloudy, dry and warm in the east. Highs 18-22 C higher in the east, winds increasing to SE 15-30 mph. Rainfalls (west) about 5-15 mms.

THURSDAY ... Widespread heavy rains through the overnight and morning hours, showery later, winds veering to SW 20-35 mph, risk of a thunderstorm and rainfalls 10-20 mms. Lows near 13 C and highs near 17 C.

FRIDAY-SUNDAY ... This will be a cooler spell with variable cloud, occasional sharp showers especially over Connacht and west Munster, in a disturbed westerly flow. Highs closer to 16 C in this interval, overnight lows could fall back below 10 C again. The following week, however, looks warmer again in the same sort of cloudy warm southwest flow that we've just seen.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Not much change although the southwest had widespread heavy showers and storms giving some rather unusual desert floods and bringing a record low afternoon temperature to Las Vegas (normally about 42 C, it was only 27 C there). The more severe heat continues across parts of the south central and mid-Atlantic states -- Washington DC ended a month with temperatures 3 C deg above normal. Heavy storms are likely in the northern plains states overnight and Monday.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunday started showery but it cleared around mid-day and the high was about 22 C. We also have a holiday here on Monday and expecting sunshine and about 24 C.

M.T. Cranium · 02-08-2011 6:43am

Tuesday, 2 August, 2011
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TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with some mid-day or afternoon brighter intervals, perhaps some sunshine (cloud will at least thin somewhat

) ... just a slight amount of leftover drizzle slowly leaving parts of the east and north this morning, 0-1 mm at most ... highs 18-20 C. Light winds for most places.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, lows 8-10 C, some fog or mist developing, rain possible on outer west coast by dawn.

WEDNESDAY ... Rain slowly moving inland on west coast, but eastern two-thirds of Ireland should remain mainly dry until quite late in the afternoon or evening. Mostly cloudy east ahead of the rain, but relatively warm at 19-21 C while the west reaches 17-18 C with 5-10 mms of rain by evening. Winds increasing to SSE 15-30 mph in most regions.

THURSDAY ... Heavy showers or periods of rain during the early morning with lows 12-14 C, 10-20 mms on average, then variable cloud, showers, winds veering to SW then W 20-30 mph, highs 15-18 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, some sunny breaks, isolated showers, cooler with lows 7-9 C and highs 15-17 C.

SATURDAY ... Showers then periods of rain, 10-20 mms potential, rather cool and breezy (earlier indications of strong winds discussed on the forum are on hold now) ... lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, breezy or windy, occasional showers, cool (winds W to NW 20-40 mph) ... lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... rather cool at first next week, then warmer in stages. Unfortunately, it may be back into the mild but cloudy southwest flow of the past week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Hot across almost all of the U.S. and southern Canada east of Saskatchewan, but cool and showery in Montana and Alberta. Some heavy storms have developed in Wisconsin and are moving into Michigan today. Widespread storms in the southeast U.S. and the extreme heat continued Monday in the central states. Tropical storm Emily has formed southeast of Puerto Rico and seems to be headed for Jamaica or Haiti, then eastern Cuba. Towards the end of the week, if it survives, it may be off the east coast of Florida.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Monday was sunny and quite warm at about 23 C.

MTC's

M.T. Cranium · 03-08-2011 6:31am

Wednesday, 3 August, 2011
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TODAY ... Cloudy, warm and humid, with just a few brief sunny intervals in north Leinster and parts of Ulster this morning. Rain slowly moving into west Munster this morning and reaching Connacht, east Munster by afternoon, rest of Ireland by this evening. Rainfall amounts 5-10 mms in south and west. Highs near 17 in the rain but 19-21 C further east and in most of Ulster. Winds gradually increasing to SSE 15-25 mph.

TONIGHT ... Outbreaks of moderate rain (isolated heavy showers) giving a further 10-15 mms. Foggy after midnight, mild with lows 11-14 C. Winds southerly 10-20 mph. Heaviest rain likely to be in eastern Connacht and central Ireland.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, a few more showers but a gradual clearing trend for the west and south, rainfalls 3-7 mms. Somewhat less humid and westerly breezes at 10-20 mph, highs 16-19 C.

FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy with isolated showers, most places dry. Some better drying conditions and longer sunny intervals likely. Lows 7-9 C and highs 15-18 C. Light westerly winds backing to southerly.

SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, outbreaks of rain from early morning in west to afternoon east. Rain becoming heavy and thundery in places, 15-30 mms potential. Lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C. Light to moderate winds (SW 10-20 mph).

SUNDAY ... Rain tapering off to showers, winds increasing later in the day to W-NW 20-30 mph, cooler. Lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Windy, cool, partly cloudy to overcast, showers, in a west to northwest flow. Highs around 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Warmer again, humid, showery.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The "dog days of summer" are upon most of the continent, with hot and humid weather continuing, extreme heat again in the central states (45 C in parts of OK and KS). The most active storms are now around Lake Michigan and northern Indiana. Tropical storm Emily continues on course for Haiti in about 36 hours and eventually through the Bahamas where it could intensify to a minimal hurricane and recurve near the North Carolina coast late in the weekend.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny on Tuesday, highs near 25 C.

M.T. Cranium · 04-08-2011 7:08am

Thursday, 4 August, 2011
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TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, but with some sunny intervals developing later in the west and south mainly ... a few more showers for most places, but heavier and more frequent in Ulster and Leinster, although amounts rather slight (3-7 mms at most) ... winds may pick up again mid-day and afternoon from a westerly direction at about 15-25 mph ... highs 16-18 C.

TONIGHT ... Gradual clearing, mist or fog patches developing towards dawn, rather cool ... lows 7-10 C. Crescent moon this evening in vicinity of bright star Spica and (further to left) Saturn.

FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny with only a few isolated showers in north, most places dry. Some better drying conditions and longer sunny intervals likely. Highs 16-19 C. Light westerly winds backing to southerly, local sea breezes likely.

SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, outbreaks of rain from early morning in west to afternoon east. Rain becoming heavy and thundery in places, 15-30 mms potential. Lows near 10 C and highs 15 to 17 C. Light to moderate winds (SW 10-20 mph). Saturday night foggy with rain at times, lows near 10 C.

SUNDAY ... Rain tapering off to showers, winds increasing later in the day to W-NW 20-35 mph, cooler with highs near 16 C. Mostly cloudy but with some sunny breaks possible by later in the day especially western and southern coastal regions.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Windy, cool, partly cloudy to overcast, showers, in a west to northwest flow, with Monday quite blustery, Tuesday settling down to moderate winds. Highs around 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Wednesday could be quite a warm day but probably more overcast than sunny and with heavy showers likely by late in the day lasting into part of Thursday. Despite that, it may reach 22-24 C ahead of the rain. Towards the end of the week and into the following weekend, back to more average temperatures and showery, cloudy or partly cloudy weather.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... The severe heat shifted a bit to the east on Wednesday, so that Tulsa OK and Little Rock AR set records near 43 C (which is 110 F) ... heavy and borderline severe storms developed for a change over the bone dry regions near the OK-KS border and into central OK, with scattered wind damage. Another area of severe storms developed near the Ohio River in KY and WV. North of the front defined by these storms, the air mass is more "warm" than hot but the jet stream is well north into Canada and any sort of cool air is confined to high latitudes of Canada now. The west is under a warm although not unusually hot ridge. Emily continues to dawdle along south of Hispaniola and there is some uncertainty on future developments, with the NHC now saying Florida could be at risk of a direct hit over the weekend (the official track is still offshore though). If Emily's remnants were to become a factor in Irish weather, that would likely be well into next week or the following weekend and the chances at the moment look rather low (let's say 10-20 per cent chance) although this is the sort of track that does sometimes end up near Ireland.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... I don't know what we did right, but finally we are into the usual mid-summer drought with clear skies each day and highs around 25 C. Compared to most summers here, there has not been any heat to speak of yet.

M.T. Cranium · 05-08-2011 7:50am

Friday, 5 August, 2011
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TODAY ... Sunny at first in eastern counties, variable cloud further west, mainly dry with a few light showers later in the day near the west coast. Rather warm especially for eastern and central counties, light winds. Highs between 17 C west and 20 C east.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy, outbreaks of rain moving gradually further east, 5-10 mms for western counties, 2-5 mms east. Lows near 12 C.

SATURDAY ... Mostly cloudy, showers or longer periods of rain developing, heaviest in southwest, 10-20 mms in general, highs near 16 C.

SUNDAY ... After a foggy and damp night (lows near 10 C) the day will be mostly cloudy with further rain or heavy showers, just a few brighter intervals developing later as winds increase to W-NW 20-30 mph. Highs around 15-16 C.

MONDAY ... Blustery, cool, frequent showers, winds NW 20-40 mph, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, breezy with isolated showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... A warmer spell seems likely with some sunshine for the south and east, showers confined to northwest and possibly dry there at times as well ... highs could reach 22-24 C in south and east, 18-21 C elsewhere.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Severe heat continued in the south central states, and heavy storms in a few parts of the inland southeast, otherwise many places were near July normals (28-31 C) and dry. Emily was downgraded to a depression and the remnants will bring heavy rains to Haiti and eastern Cuba. The storm could redevelop this weekend over the Bahamas although this is not considered a certainty.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny and very warm, high near 27 C on Thursday.

M.T. Cranium · 06-08-2011 6:31am

Saturday, 6 August, 2011
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TODAY ... Cloudy with outbreaks of rain, becoming rather heavy by late morning or mid-day, foggy on higher terrain ... winds moderate southerly near south coast but rather light elsewhere ... highs 14-16 C ... rainfalls 10-20 mms.

TONIGHT ... Foggy with intermittent light rain, mild, lows near 10 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud although mostly overcast, further outbreaks of rain with 10-15 mms for most, some thundery showers possible mid-day and afternoon east central counties, becoming windy near west coast by late afternoon and evening (W-NW 20-30 mph). Highs 14-16 C.

MONDAY ... Blustery and cool with frequent showers, some of these thundery with hail, winds WNW 20-40 mph, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

TUESDAY ... Morning cloud and isolated showers in Ulster and parts of Connacht clearing, otherwise mainly sunny, winds becoming light and variable except NW 10-20 mph in Ulster, a bit warmer in most places after a cool start, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Hazy sunshine may persist in parts of south and east as extensive cloud and some intermittent rain spreads across west and north, in a developing S to SW wind reaching 20-35 mph in Connacht and 10-25 mph elsewhere. Warmer for most, lows 9-12 C and highs 17-20 C except 20-23 C in parts of southeast.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, showers confined mainly to northwest, warm, breezy, lows near 15 C and highs near 23 C.

OUTLOOK ... Showery towards end of week, turning cooler in stages over weekend.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Little change, severe heat again in OK, TX, AR, LA and parts of southeast, heavy storms in GA and SC, seasonable warmth further north including the mid-Atlantic states, Northeast, New England, Great Lakes, northern plains and most of the west as well. The widespread desert southwest monsoonal showers have dissipated in the past day. Remnant low of Emily now drifting north through the Bahamas and looking somewhat capable of regaining at least marginal tropical storm intensity later today or Sunday. In any case, a low will develop from this remnant whether it regains tropical storm status or not, mid-week south of Newfoundland that may head towards northwest Ireland well into the weekend or early the following week (about ten days from now, that is).

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy to about 2 p.m. from marine cloud layer, then some sunshine at times, cooler as a result ... high about 23 C.

M.T. Cranium · 07-08-2011 7:19am

Sunday, 7 August, 2011
______________________________

TODAY ... Showers and a few thunderstorms, heaviest inland south where 20-30 mms possible, otherwise more like 10-20 mms, turning rather warm and humid this afternoon in the south with highs 17-18 C but remaining cool and breezy at about 15-16 C further north. One or two heavier storms could produce hail and gusty winds mid-day to afternoon around inland south and southeast. West coast will feel the onset of moderate NW winds this evening at 20-30 mph.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, showers mainly in Connacht and Ulster, north Leinster, winds WNW 15-25 mph, higher gusts west coast, lows 7-10 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, blustery (W-NW 20-40 mph) and rather cool with frequent showers in Connacht and occasional showers elsewhere, amounts generally 3-7 mms, 1-3 mms southeast. Highs about 15-17 C.

TUESDAY ... Overnight, some cloud and light showers in north, clearing elsewhere, cool ... morning lows near 10 C north and near 7 C central and south ... the day will turn out mostly sunny once any morning cloud in the north departs. It will feel a lot warmer in part due to much lighter winds but the highs will be 18-20 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Rain and low cloud from early morning across parts of the northwest, spreading some distance east, although the southeast could remain dry with some hazy sunshine ... warmer, highs 18-21 C for most and possibly 21-23 C southeast. (morning lows 9-13 C). Rain could be moderately heavy (10 mms) in Connacht but may not be measureable in parts of southeast.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, rather warm, isolated showers more frequent and heavy in north, lows near 12 C and highs near 21 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, warm, showers, chance of heavier storms late in day, lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Variable cloud, cooler, westerly winds, some showers, highs 16-18 C.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Once again, little change, the severe heat continued again Saturday in OK, TX and states further east to a lesser extent. More thunderstorms in the southeast and also west of the larger cities of the northeast; these are now moving into the urban areas during the overnight hours. Weak tropical depression "Emilly" managed a partial recovery but seems destined to stay marginal as a tropical storm if that, and its remnants will merge with the low producing the storms further north by Monday. Some remnant of that energy may factor into Irish forecasts by about the end of next weekend.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Morning cloud, afternoon sunshine, warm, highs about 24 C.

M.T. Cranium · 08-08-2011 6:51am

Monday, 8 August, 2011
_______________________________

TODAY ... Some morning sunshine across parts of the south, turning more cloudy mid-day, as cloud and some showers advance from the north. Amounts of rain today will be generally rather slight, 2-5 mms in parts of Connacht and Ulster, 0-2 mms in Munster and Leinster. Highs will reach 15 C north to 18 C south. Winds will be westerly at first veering more to the north later at 15-25 mph.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud with a few showers lingering in the northwest, clearing after midnight in parts of the south, lows 7-10 C milder under the cloud. Winds NW 10-20 mph falling off rather light in all but coastal and hilly areas.

TUESDAY ... Except for some morning cloud in the north with isolated showers, a bright and sunny day for most, some intervals of higher cloud, light winds and highs 17-20 C.

TUESDAY NIGHT ... Clouding over in most areas, light rain at times in the west and north, 3-5 mms there, staying dry in south and east, lows about 10 to 12 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy with light rain, mild, foggy at times, west and north, highs 17-19 C ... variable cloud, isolated showers, some warmer sunny intervals for south and east, highs 19-23 C. Winds generally SW 15-25 mph.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, warm, isolated showers, moderate SW winds, lows near 13 C and highs near 22 C inland and east coast, 18-20 C west.

FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud, showers and possibly some heavier rain or thunderstorms later, winds rising to SSW 20-35 mph, lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Showery at times, turning cooler in stages, some sunshine in the mix as well, highs about 18 C Saturday and 16 C Sunday. It may stay rather cool into the first part of the following week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Although changes day to day are slight, there continues to be a subtle cooling trend away from the heart of the persistent heat wave over Oklahoma and nearby states. Some heavy storms developed in Nebraska and parts of the northeast, but many places across the northern half of the U.S. were dry and not far from a seasonable August high of about 28-30 C. Emily's remnant low continues to race east overnight to catch up with a frontal wave now south of Nova Scotia.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Another sunny day with a high near 24 C.

M.T. Cranium · 09-08-2011 7:01am

Tuesday, 9 August, 2011
_______________________________

TODAY ... Sunny although considerable high cloud may appear, meanwhile some lower cloud may drift across the northwest coastal regions where some light rain may develop at times mid-day or afternoon. Warmer for most, highs 18-20 C. Winds generally light backing to southerly.

TONIGHT ... Cloud thickening with some light rain to follow in west and north, mild, lows 10-13 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy and rather warm, with some limited hazy sunshine in the southeast at times, but periods of rain for most of the western, central and northern counties. Rainfalls of about 5-8 mms there. Highs about 19 C on average, perhaps a bit warmer in the southeast. Winds increasing to SSW 15-25 mph.

THURSDAY ... Showers ending, variable cloudiness, more isolated showers redeveloping later. Warm, lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.

FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud, breezy or locally windy (SSW 20-35 mph), with showers then periods of rain, some local thunderstorms. Lows near 14 C and highs near 19 C.

SATURDAY ... Early showers clearing eastward, breezy (WSW 20-30 mph), becoming partly sunny but with some isolated showers, lows near 13 C and highs near 18 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, showers heavy at times in west, chance of thunder, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... A frontal wave developing near the lower Great Lakes will bring some heavy storms to the northeast U.S. later today. Warm and humid further south, and meanwhile the severe heat wave lost a bit more ground on Monday as a front pressed south into Oklahoma; Tulsa saw the temperature drop from near 38 C to 23 C. A cooler high has settled over the central and northern plains states. It remains rather warm and sunny in the far west.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Monday was another sunny day but cooler due to a stronger marine layer and sea breeze. The high was about 21 C.

M.T. Cranium · 10-08-2011 6:19am

Wednesday, 10 August, 2011
____________________________________

TODAY ... Variable cloud, some sunny breaks especially south, also some heavy showers (continuing from overnight in north Ulster, developing west coast later spreading across midlands to east) ... local rainfalls 10-20 mms but some places a lot less than that ... warm, humid, highs 18-21 C.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, showers, fog patches, mild ... lows 11-13 C.

THURSDAY ... Showers ending, variable cloudiness, more isolated showers redeveloping later. Some sunny intervals especially south. Warm, lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.

FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud, breezy or locally windy (SSW 20-35 mph), with showers then periods of rain, some local thunderstorms. Lows near 14 C and highs near 19 C.

SATURDAY ... Early showers clearing eastward, breezy (WSW 20-30 mph), becoming partly sunny but with some isolated showers, lows near 13 C and highs near 18 C. Some locally heavy showers or thundershowers with hail.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, showers heavy at times in west, chance of hail and thunder, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C. Winds west to northwest 20-35 mph, quite gusty at times especially near west coast.

MONDAY ... Gradually clearing, windy at first, sunny later in the day ... lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C.

TUESDAY ... Showers, breezy, lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Widespread showers, thunderstorms in northeast U.S., severe heat continuing southern OK and much of TX, LA, but easing further north ... warm and dry in west and north central, cloudy and rather cool with showers in Great Lakes region.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy intervals, hazy sunshine, cool, highs 18-19 on Tuesday.

One more forecast from me early Thursday, then heading out on holiday for 2 weeks or so, get ready to welcome Su Campu with your forecasts while I'm recharging my batteries.

M.T. Cranium · 10-08-2011 8:41pm

UPDATE _ Wed 10 Aug 2011 _ 8:45 p.m.
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One area of heavy showers with some thunder and hail is moving across parts of west Ulster this evening and should continue on into eastern Ulster before dying out. A second area is being picked up on satellite imagery west of Mayo, Galway and Clare. This is likely to move inland around 10:30-11:00 pm and continue east through the midlands towards Dublin. If you're in the path of this frontal wave, expect about a 60% chance of thunder at some point later this evening or overnight, with some locally heavy downpours developing. The HIRLAM model shows strong development around Dublin and Wicklow 0200-0400h.

The frontal system expected later Friday still looks quite active.

Further updates if needed, otherwise, my last pre-holiday forecast will appear at the usual time (0630 or so).

M.T. Cranium · 11-08-2011 6:52am

Thursday, 11 August, 2011
_________________________________

Holiday time starts soon after this forecast goes to press, so welcome to Su Campu who will offer some forecasts during the next two weeks or so ... perhaps he can get the sun to shine !! (no promises)

TODAY ... A cloudy, drizzly start and very mild in a brisk westerly 15-25 mph, with brighter intervals developing especially south and east by mid-day and afternoon. Highs may reach 20 C where the sun comes out, otherwise about 17 or 18 C. Widespread clear skies for a time this evening, moon will be full this Saturday.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals, bright moonlight (possible meteor sightings especially midnight onwards) ... increasing cloud in west after midnight, mild for most, lows 10-13 C.

FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud east, rain setting in from early morning in west, becoming rather heavy and squally at times in a rising S-SW wind of 20-35 mph, some local thunder or hail, potential for 10-20 mms rain (possibly more in parts of southeast). Highs around 19 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy and fresh southwest to west breezes 20-30 mph, just a few brief showers in most areas, morning lows about 12 C and afternoon highs about 18 C. An area of heavy showers may develop in south and west towards evening and move across the country overnight.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, some becoming heavy, rather cool in westerly winds, lows near 12 C and highs near 16 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Continuing rather unsettled, some spells of heavier rain likely again.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Pleasant in the Great Lakes and northeast today after Wednesday's heavy storms moved east and offshore. Most other regions of the U.S. hot and humid (hot/dry in west) and the severe heat continuing in parts of Texas and Oklahoma. Scattered thunderstorms across most of the Canadian west and parts of the U.S. border states nearby.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Wednesday was a cloudy day with a persistent marine layer of rather low-deck stratocumulus, and a high only near 19 C. Further inland, a lot of thunderstorms developed in a backing easterly flow, the further east you go, the warmer it gets (30 C in the east central part of B.C. where I'm heading next).

Looks like some more active tropical weather now near Cape Verde and signs of perhaps the first hurricane of the year within a week.

Su Campu · 12-08-2011 7:45am

As M.T. takes a well-earned vacation, it's over to me to try to fill the massive void. Here goes.....

TODAY... Rain in the west this morning will cross the country during the day, producing some heavy and possibly thundery bursts as it does so, especially through Connaught, the Midlands and East. This rain will clear the east by nightfall, followed by mostly cloudy conditions. Top temperatures of around 17 °C in the western half of the country to 20 °C in the eastern half. Moderate southerly winds will veer southwesterly and weaken as the clearance pushes into the west during the afternoon.

TONIGHT... Some light showers possible in the northwest, otherwise mostly dry and cloudy. Minimum temperatures 11 - 14 °C.

SATURDAY... Some decent breaks in cloud should allow some warm sunny spells to develop. Some isolated showers along Atlantic coasts will spread to affect more central and northern areas throughout the afternoon, though rainfall amounts should be small. Top temperatures from 16 °C in west Ulster, Connaught and Munster to 19 °C in the Leinster and east Ulster.

SATURDAY NIGHT... Variable amounts of cloud, with a small chance of the odd light shower affecting Atlantic coastal counties. Becoming cooler, with temperatures falling to 8 - 12 °C.

SUNDAY... A brighter and fresher day than Saturday, with a better chance of sunny spells. An isolated shower cannot be ruled out in the west, however. Top temperatures a degree or two down on Saturday, ranging from 14 - 17 °C, warmest in the east and southeast. A chance of some showers in the northwest Sunday night, with temperatures falling to 6 - 10 °C.

MONDAY... After a bright start, there is a chance of rain moving in to affect Munster and Leinster during the day, with the northern half of the country remaining dry and bright. Temperatures in the mid to high teens.

OUTLOOK... At the moment there is a chance of heavy and thundery showers during Tuesday, but drier and cooler conditions from Wednesday onwards. The Azores High looks like lying just a little too far to our south to divert the Atlantic systems away from us later in the week, but forecast confidence at this early stage is low.

Su Campu · 13-08-2011 8:21am

TODAY... Plenty of cloud around, but there should be some sunny spells developing in some places throughout the day, most likely in the east. Some light showers in the western half of the country, but further east should stay largely dry. Highest temperatures 16 - 19 °C, highest in the east. Light westerly winds, fresher along Atlantic coasts.

TONIGHT... Some clear spells, with possible patches of mist forming. A few showers will affect western and northwestern coasts. Lowest temperatures 8 - 10 °C.

SUNDAY... A mix of cloud and sunny spells to start, but some light showers in the west will spread eastwards during the day, with Munster possibly seeing the least activity. A slightly cooler day, with top temperatures of 15 - 18 °C, warmest in the east. Showers will die out after dark, again leaving a mix of cloud and clear spells. Temperatures falling to 6 °C in clear spots, otherwise 8 - 10 °C.

MONDAY... Rain will get into western counties during the morning, spreading countrywide throughout the afternoon. A clearance will move in from the west during the evening. Winds will become moderate southerly in the rain, veering southwesterly and weakening in the clearance. Highest temperatures around 18 °C.

TUESDAY... Mixture of cloud and sunny spells, with some heavy and possibly thundery showers getting into the northwest and west during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures in the high teens, possibly touching 20 °C in prolonged sunny spells.

MIDWEEK ONWARDS... There are signals that some thundery showers could move up from Biscay later in the week in a warming southeasterly airflow as a low sets up to our south, with eastern and southeastern areas most likely to be affected. Further west, cooler and clear conditions may prevail.

WORLD... There are no fewer than four tropical systems in the Atlantic basin at the moment, with two of these showing up to 50% chance of becoming Tropical Storms in over the weekend. One of these could become a worry for the Caribbean island nations next week, the first significant threat of the season.

Su Campu · 14-08-2011 3:38am

TODAY… A mix of cloud and sunny spells to start, but some showers in the west will spread eastwards during the day, affecting most parts, but the far south will see the least activity. A slightly cooler day, with top temperatures of 15 – 18 °C, warmest in the east.

TONIGHT… Showers will die out after dark, again leaving a mix of cloud and clear spells. Temperatures falling to 6 °C in clear spots, otherwise 8 – 10 °C.

MONDAY… A decent start to the morning, but rain will get into southwestern counties during before midday, spreading countrywide throughout the afternoon. Heaviest rain will be in the northern two thirds of the country, with 10 mm likely in many areas. A clearance will move in from the west during the evening. Winds will become moderate southerly in the rain, veering southwesterly and weakening in the clearance. Highest temperatures around 18 °C.

MONDAY NIGHT… Mostly cloudy, with some spots of light rain and drizzle in the west, though tending to die out by morning. Lowest temperatures 10 – 12 °C.

TUESDAY… Mixture of cloud but good sunny spells, with some showers possible in the northwest during the afternoon and evening. Dry elsewhere. Temperatures in the high teens, possibly touching 20 °C in prolonged sunny spells. Some clear spells will develop Tuesday night, allowing temperatures to fall as low as 5 or 6 °C in places.

WEDNESDAY… Starting off with some patchy cloud, but some heavy and possibly thundery showers will develop during the morning and move eastwards during the afternoon. Cool, with highest temperatures 14 – 16 °C.

THURSDAY – FRIDAY – WEEKEND… Thursday starting off with some sunny spells, but some showers may develop in the afternoon. Increasing cloud later on will signal more rain for Friday as an area of low pressure sets in near the west of Ireland, bringing an unsettled weekend of frequent showers.

OUTLOOK… No sign of anything resembling a settled summery spell for at least the next 10 days as low pressure looks set to dominate the northeast Atlantic. Continental Europe and the Mediterranean looks like the place to be for your fix of hot sunny weather.

WORLD… The Atlantic’s firing up. We currently have Tropical Storm Franklin in mid-Atlantic, northeast of Bermuda, but it should be dissipated by Tuesday. A second system southeast of Bermuda looks set to be named Gert during Sunday, and could affect Bermuda as it tracks northwestwards. Two other systems show little threat of becoming named in the next 48 hours.

Su Campu · 15-08-2011 8:19am

TODAY… After a chilly start, early morning rain moving into the southwest will spread countrywide during the morning and afternoon, with some heavier pulses through Connaught, Ulster and the midlands. Temperatures up to 18 °C, with moderate southerly winds.

TONIGHT… Rain will continue well into tonight, with a clearance arriving in the west before midnight. Rain will continue in the north throughout much of the night. Mild, with lowest temperatures 12 – 14 °C. Possible mist by morning.

TUESDAY… Any rain lingering in Ulster should die out during the morning, but showers will develop over much of the country. Maximum temperatures 15 – 18 °C. Showers will become confined to west and northwest coastal counties Tuesday night, with temperatures falling to around 5 °C in some places by morning.

WEDNESDAY… Showers will become heavy and possibly thundery during the day, especially in the west. Maximum temperatures 15 – 18 °C. Some showers may continue through Wednesday night and linger for a time in the east on Thursday morning.

THURSDAY… The heaviest showers should become confined to the northern half of the country during the day, with lighter showers further south. High cloud will increase in the southwest and west by nightfall as a frontal system associated with a developing area of low pressure approaches. Highs around 19 °C.

FRIDAY – WEEKEND… Unsettled. Widespread rain, with moderate southerly winds, on Friday, clearing to showers for Saturday and Sunday. Temperatures around the mid to high teens each day.

OUTLOOK… Very unsettled next week, as the jetstream becomes lodged over or just to the south of Ireland. Frequent periods of rain and showers, with temperatures around average.

WORLD… Tropical Storm Gert, with 45 knot winds, is approaching Bermuda today, but should pass just to the east of the island, therefore sparing it from the worst of the weather. It will swing northeast during the week, but should be disspated by Thursday. Another system following close behind Gert shows just around a 30% chance of becoming a Tropical Storm by Tuesday.

Su Campu · 16-08-2011 8:11am

TODAY... Any rain lingering in the north should die out during the morning, but showers will develop over much of the country for a time. Activity will tend to decrease from the south later, however. Maximum temperatures 15 - 19 °C, warmest in Leinster.

TONIGHT... Some showers will continue in the northwest, but other areas should remain dry, with some clear spells allowing temperatures to fall to 5 or 6 °C through the midlands, but 8 - 10 °C around coasts.

WEDNESDAY... A weak ridge of high pressure should give a mainly dry day, though some showers will remain in the north and west. Variable cloud, with temperatures 14 - 18 °C. Cool again Wednesday night, with temperatures falling to 6 - 8 °C.

THURSDAY... Good sunny spells, though showers may develop through the midlands and east for the afternoon. Temperatures 15 - 18 °C. Cold Thursday night, with temperatures possibly falling below 5 °C in places.

FRIDAY... After a fine start, cloud will increase from the west, with rain crossing the country during the afternoon and evening. Becoming mild, with temperatures rising to the high teens or possibly 20 °C in the midlands and east.

WEEKEND... The band of rain may intensify as it clears the east during Saturday morning, with showers following behind, heaviest in the northwest. Similar for Sunday. Mild, with high teens by day, and around 10 - 12 °C by night.

OUTLOOK... It should continue unsettled again next week. With high pressure over much of continental Europe and low pressure to our northwest, Ireland should be lying close or just on the cold side of the jet stream. This setup could allow for some frontal waves to develop from time to time, bring periods of cloud and rain some days. A tricky setup for forecasting, so stay tuned for further details.

WORLD... Tropical Storm Gert brushed by Bermuda Monday, with winds currently around 50 knots. It should turn to the northeast and speed up over the next 24 hours before encountering colder seas, which will cause a gradual dissipation by Thursday. Another area of disturbed weather is affecting the Lesser Antilles and eastern Caribbean, with a 30% chance of it achieving Tropical Cyclone status in the next couple of days.

Su Campu · 17-08-2011 8:32am

TODAY… A weak ridge of high pressure should give a mainly dry and fairly sunny day, though some isolated showers will remain in the north and west. Cloudier in the southeast. Temperatures 14 – 18 °C.

TONIGHT… Cool again, with temperatures falling to 6 – 8 °C, allowing some mist patches to form.

THURSDAY… Good sunny spells, though showers may develop in the east for the afternoon. Temperatures 15 – 18 °C. Cold Thursday night, with temperatures possibly falling below 5 °C in places.

FRIDAY… After a fine start, cloud will increase from the west, with rain crossing the country during the afternoon and evening. Southerly winds will strengthen with this rain, and it will become mild, with temperatures rising to the high teens or possibly 20 °C in the midlands and east, where sunshine should be greatest.

SATURDAY… The rain will continue during Saturday morning and may intensify as it clears the south and east during Saturday morning, with showers following behind, heaviest in the northwest. Winds will weaken. Temperatures around 15 – 18 °C, falling to around 10 °C Saturday night.
SUNDAY… A similar day to Saturday, with frequent showers in the northwest, but tending to be lighter further south. Temperatures 16 – 19 °C, around 11 °C sunday night.

OUTLOOK… It should continue unsettled again next week. Monday might be the best day of the week, if weak ridging holds, but it looks like low pressure at all levels will influence the weather for the rest of the week, with frequent bands of showers, possibly heavy and thundery at times. Temperatures around normal or slightly below.

WORLD… After a cool few weeks of late, continental Europe will see temperatures rise again this week, with high 30s or higher becoming likely thorough Iberia, the Med, and central Europe. This heat could generate some severe weather, however, especially through places like France and Germany, as the jet stream strengthens around the northwestern upper trough. In the Atlantic, Gert has now become a Post-Tropical Storm, and should dissipate further through Wednesday. In the eastern Pacific, Tropical Storms Fernanda and soon to be named Greg pose little threat to land, but Greg looks like becoming a Cat 1 hurricane over the next couple of days.

Su Campu · 18-08-2011 8:04am

TODAY... Any mist will clear to give good sunny spells, though some showers will continue in the west, and in the southeast and east for the afternoon. Temperatures 15 - 18 °C. Cold Thursday night, with temperatures possibly falling below 5 °C in places.

FRIDAY... After a fine start, cloud will increase from the west, with rain crossing the country during the afternoon and evening. Southerly winds will strengthen with this rain, and it will become mild, with temperatures rising to the high teens or possibly 20 °C in the midlands and east, where sunshine should be greatest.

SATURDAY... The rain will continue clearing the east during Saturday morning, with showers following behind, heaviest in the northern half of the country. Winds will weaken. Temperatures around 15 - 18 °C, falling to around 10 °C Saturday night, with showers continuing in the north.

SUNDAY... Some light showers for a time in the north, but mostly dry further south. Temperatures 15 - 18 °C, but becoming cold later Sunday night.

MONDAY... After a cold start, it will relatively good day in general, though showers look likely in the northwest later in the day. Temperatures in the high teens, warmest in the east.

OUTLOOK... Unsettled. A band of rain should affect the northwest early Tuesday and spread countrywide during the day. Low pressure will set in for the rest of the week, bringing bands of rain and showers most days. Temperatures around average, though some chilly nights are possible, with mist and fog in places.

WORLD... Heat continues to build over southern Europe and the Med for the weekend. The Atlantic has gone quiet again as Gert has gone and given up the game. In the Pacific, Tropical Storm Greg lies just off the west coast of Mexico, but is heading northwestwards away from land as it strengthens towards an 80 knot hurricane by Friday.

Su Campu · 19-08-2011 8:09am

TODAY… After a fine start, cloud will increase from the west, with rain crossing the country during the morning and afternoon. The rain will be heaviest in the west and northwest, with up to 10 mm possible, but will be lighter further south, and will tend to break up as reaches the east. Southerly winds will strengthen, becoming strong along west and south coastal areas, but will moderate later. Temperatures rising to 15 – 18 °C.

TONIGHT… The rain will clear the northeast this evening, but some showers will follow behind from the Atlantic and affect mostly the northwest and west. Clear spells will develop and some mist will form, especially where rain fell, with temperatures falling to 8 – 12 °C, mildest in the south.

SATURDAY… Showers will strengthen in the west and northwest during the morning and spread eastwards, while another band of rain will move up from the south during the afternoon, affecting east Munster and Leinster. This rain could be quite heavy at times along Irish Sea coastal counties before it moves away during the evening. Top temperatures 16 – 18 °C, warmest in the midlands and midwest. Southerly winds will become strong in the east.

SATURDAY NIGHT… Showers, some heavy, will continue to affect the west and northwest, while clear spells will develop in other parts. Minimum temperatures 8 – 12 °C, coolest in the midlands. Some mist patches are possible.

SUNDAY… Showers will be widespread, some of them heavy, especially in the afternoon in the east. Further west showers should die out as a ridge approaches for Monday. Temperatures will rise to around 18 °C, but cooler in showers. Clear spells Sunday night, with temperatures falling to mid to high single figures.

MONDAY… After a cool start, it will relatively good day in general, though some cloud should bubble up during the day. Temperatures in the high teens, warmest in the midlands and west. Cool again Monday night, with some showers getting into Atlantic counties.

TUESDAY… Showers should develop countrywide, heaviest in the northern half of the country, lighter further south, but there is a small chance of some heavier ones affecting the east too. Temperatures mid to high teens.

OUTLOOK… Battle ground between low pressure to our west and high pressure over the continent. It looks like low pressure will win out, bringing bands of rain and showers, heaviest in the north, lighter further south. Temperatures around average.

WORLD… Tropical Storm Harvey looks like forming in the Caribbean very soon and possibly affecting Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize and the Mexican Yucutan Peninsula over the weekend. In the eastern Pacific, Hurricane Greg lies south of Baja California, miving westwards. It currently has 75 knot winds, but should slowly weaken over the weekend.

Su Campu · 20-08-2011 7:40am

TODAY… An area of heavy and possibly thundery showers will approach the northwest around midday and move northeastwards through west Ulster during the afternoon. Another band of rain will move up from the south to affect east Munster and Leinster during the afternoon, becoming heavy through parts of south Leinster, while south Dublin may lie in a rain shadow somewhat. This rain will move on northeastwards by evening. Top temperatures 16 – 19 °C, warmest in the midlands and midwest. Southwesterly to southwesterly winds will become ease in the northwest in the evening.

TONIGHT… Rain will continue for a time in the northeast before clearing off over Scotland. Some showers will get into the west and northwest, while other areas will get some good clear spells. Temperatures will fall to 8 – 12 °C, with again some mist patches forming by dawn.

SUNDAY… Showers will spread eastwards during the day, with clearer weather following on from the west during the afternoon. Maximum temperatures 16 – 19 °C. Clear on Sunday night, with temperatures falling to low single figures in places, allowing mist patches to form.

MONDAY… After a cool start, there will be good sunshine in many places, but some fair weather cloud may bubble up during the day. Temperatures in up to 18 or 19 °C. Cold again Monday night, with some showers getting into Atlantic counties.

TUESDAY… Showers should develop during the afternoon, heaviest in the northern half of the country, lighter further south, but there is a small chance of some heavier ones affecting the east too. Temperatures mid to high teens.

WEDNESDAY… Rain in the west will move eastwards during the day. Temperatures possibly a degree or two up on previous days, with 20 – 22 °C possible in the east.

OUTLOOK… Low pressure will hang around for the rest of the week, but there are signals that it will move off eastwards later, allowing the Azores High to build in behind it for next weekend. Still a lot of uncertainty with this outcome, but if it did turn out like this then the high could stay around for a while….just as the kids go back to school!

WORLD… Tropical Storm Harvey has formed and will affect in Belize and Guatemala today and tomorrow before dissipating over Mexico Monday. Dangerous flooding is likely through these countries. Two more areas of disturbed weathere, one around 900 km east of the Lesser Antilles, and another just south of Cabo Verde, are showing good chances of becoming tropical storms by Monday. The first one willbring heavy rain and gusty winds to the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico later today and tomorrow.

Su Campu · 21-08-2011 7:01am

TODAY… Showers will spread eastwards during the day, with clearer weather following on from the west during the afternoon. Maximum temperatures 16 – 20 °C, mildest further east.

TONIGHT… Mostly clear on tonight, with temperatures possibly falling to 5 °C in places, allowing mist patches to form by morning.

MONDAY… After a cool start, there will be good sunshine in many places, but some fair weather cloud may bubble up during the day, possibly yielding the odd light shower, most likely in the northwest. Temperatures touching 20 °C in the east, around 16 or 17 °C in the west. Cold again Monday night, with some showers getting into Atlantic counties.

TUESDAY… With a warm humid airmass moving up over England and Wales from Biscay, we should see heavy rain develop there, which could spread west enough to affect eastern areas. Further west, most areas should see good sunny spells, though a band of rain will move into the west during the afternoon and spread eastwards during Tuesday night. It will be mild and humid in the east Tuesday, around 19 °C, but a degree or two cooler further west, and cooling to around 9-12 °C Tuesday night.

WEDNESDAY… Early morning rain will clear the east, but heavy thundery showers will break out almost everywhere, giving some heavy downpours in many areas during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures a degree or two down on Tuesday’s values. Showers should continue in the western half of the country Wednesday night, but die out further east, with clear spells and mist patches forming as temperatures fall to single figures.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY… Very showery again on Thursday, with more thundery downpours possible. Showery again Friday, but probably less so. Temperatures both days on the cool side.

OUTLOOK… It still looks like high pressure wants to build in over Ireland during next weekend and early the following week, which will be a welcome change to the what we’ll be seeing later this week. It currently looks like temperatures would be on the mild side were that to happen, but it’s still a long way off to be declaring a summery start to September.

WORLD… Hot weather continues over Europe, but the downside is that this is generating severe thunderstorms through many parts. It looks like this severe weather could get worse later this week as our low pressure moves eastwards. Tropical Storm Harvey made landfall in Belize Saturday with 50 knot winds, and will weaken as it moves westwards through Guatemala and Mexico. Irene has formed from the area of weather near the Lesser Antilles, and will probably affect Puerto Rico and Hispaniola as a hurricane as it moves through the Caribbean. This could be the first dangerous storm of the season.

Su Campu · 22-08-2011 8:26am

TODAY… After a cool start, there will be good sunshine in many places, but some fair weather cloud may bubble up during the day, possibly yielding the odd light shower, most likely in the northwest. Temperatures will rise to 20 °C in the midlands and east, but sea breezes will keep things a couple of degrees lower around the coasts.

TONIGHT… Becoming cold again, possibly low single figures, with some mist patches forming, and some showers getting into northern Atlantic counties later.

TUESDAY… With a warm humid airmass moving up over England and Wales from Biscay, we should see heavy rain develop there, which could spread west enough to affect eastern areas of Leinster. Further west, most areas should see some sunny spells, though a band of rain will move into the west during the afternoon and spread eastwards during Tuesday night. It will be mild and humid in the east Tuesday, around 19 °C, but a degree or two cooler further west, and cooling to around 7 – 10 °C Tuesday night.

WEDNESDAY… Rain will clear the east during the morning, but heavy thundery showers will break out almost everywhere behind it, giving some heavy downpours in many areas during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures a degree or two down on Tuesday’s values. Showers should continue in the western half of the country Wednesday night, but die out further east, with clear spells forming, Winds will pick up from the south later, with temperatures falling to 5 – 8 °C.

THURSDAY… Very showery again on Thursday, with more thundery downpours possible, heaviest in the northern half of the country. Temperatures still only mid teens. Cool again Thursday night, with showers continuing in the southwest and west.

FRIDAY… Showery again Friday, heaviest in the south, but probably less intense overall than Thursday. Temperatures mid teens at best. Showers will die out later as pressure rises from the south. Cool Friday night.

NEXT WEEKEND… Pressure will slowly rise through the weekend, giving some good dry weather, with good sunny spells, though cloud cover may be greater along Atlantic coasts. Temperatures still mid teens by day, with sea breezes, becoming cool by night.

OUTLOOK… It looks like high pressure could remain near or over Ireland for at least the first half of next week, bringing more good sunny weather, but there’s still the chance of increased cloud along Atlantic coasts. Temperatures could rise towards the 20 °C mark, maybe a degree or two above, but it’s a long way away for any fine detail.

WORLD… Tropical Storm Irene is now becoming a worry as it is set to reach hurricane status after passing over Puerto Rico today and heading for Dominica and Haiti. It may weaken temporarily as it ineracts with the terrain of these countries but looks set to strengthen to hurricane status again as it turns northwestwards over the Bahamas and towards southeastern Florida Wednesday and Thursday.

Su Campu · 23-08-2011 8:17am

TODAY... More patches of stratocumulus, but some showers will break out in eastern parts in the afternoon. There may also be a few isolated showers in the west, but an organised band of rain will move later in the evening, moving eastwards across the country. This rain should be heaviest further north. Max temperatures 15 - 18 °C. Winds 15 - 20 mph in the northwest.

TONIGHT... The rain will continue eastwards, and could produce some heavier pulses through Leinster around sunrise. Minimum temperatures 7 - 10 °C, coolest in the west.

WEDNESDAY... Rain will clear the east during the morning, but heavy thundery showers will break out almost everywhere behind it, giving some heavy downpours in many areas during the afternoon and evening, especially in the north and west. Temperatures a degree or two down on Tuesday's values. Showers should continue in the south Wednesday night, but die out further north, with clear spells forming. Temperatures falling to 5 - 8 °C.

THURSDAY... Very showery again on Thursday, with more thundery downpours possible, heaviest in the north and west. Temperatures 14 - 17 °C. Cool again Thursday night, possibly low single figures in the north, with showers continuing in the south.

FRIDAY... More heavy thundery showers again Friday. Temperatures mid teens at best. Showers will continue in the north and west through the night, with temperatures falling to 6 - 9 °C.

SATURDAY... Showers will continue again for a time, but will become confined to the east later in the day as high pressure builds in from the southwest. Cool, with temperatures in the mid teens by day, falling to mid single figures Saturday night as some clear spells develop.

OUTLOOK... Pressure will become well established over the country Sunday and into much of next week, with just some patchy fair weather cloud at first, but with signals that the high will move to our northeast, this should allow for a warmer and drier airmass for the second half of the week. Temperatures should rise accordingly, probably above 20 °C in western areas. This setup could break down to thundery showers from Biscay, but that's too far down the road to talk about now.

WORLD... Hurricane Irene passed just along the north coast of Puerto Rico earlier Monday, and is now heading to the north of Dominica and Haiti. It will turn further to the north, crossing the Bahamas during Wednesday and Thursday as a Major Hurricane, with forecast winds of 115 knots or more. The forecast track is has been tending towards more east and further away from eastern Florida, now taking it on a northerly track towards landfall somewhere near the North/South Carolina border Saturday. This forecast is prone to errors, however, so interests from Florida right up the coast should be keeping a close eye on the National Hurricane Center's advisories. It is possible that the remnants of Irene could indirectly affect Ireland's weather in about 10 days' time, possibly strengthening the high pressure that should still be near us at that stage, but again, pinches of salt are advised this far out.

Su Campu · 24-08-2011 8:06am

TODAY… The last of the rain is clearing the east now, but will continue for another few hours in the north. A brief bright spell follows behind, but heavy showers already in the west and southwest will spread countrywide during the morning and afternoon, giving some heavy thundery downpours in many areas, though the southeast may escape the heaviest of these. Temperatures 14 – 16 °C. Winds will be light southerly, becoming moderate in the west during the evening.

TONIGHT… Showers should continue in the south Wednesday night, but die out further north, with clear spells forming. Temperatures falling to 6 – 9 °C.

THURSDAY… Very showery again on Thursday, with more thundery downpours possible, heaviest in the north and west. Temperatures 14 – 17 °C. Winds will be light, backing southeasterly. Cool again Thursday night, 4 – 7 °C, with showers continuing in coastal areas.

FRIDAY… More heavy thundery showers again Friday, heaviest further south as winds back around to northerly . Temperatures mid teens at best. Showers will continue in the north, west, and possibly Irish Sea coasts, through the night, with temperatures falling to 6 – 9 °C.

SATURDAY… Showers will continue again for a time, but activity will diminish in the northwest during the day. Showers will continue in the east, and another band of thundery rain could affect the southwest in the afternoon in response to an upper shortwave feature. Cool, with temperatures in the mid teens by day, falling to mid single figures Saturday night as some clear spells develop.

SUNDAY… Some showers may continue in the south, otherwise a cool day with a mix of fair weather cloud and sunny spells. Max temperatures 14 – 16 °C, becoming decidedly cold Sunday night, possibly 2 or 3 °C.

OUTLOOK… Cool and dry for the early days of next week, with good sunshine most days. Nights will be cool. The exact movement of the high pressure later in the week is still unsure, as the remnants of Irene should be coming to play at that stage. At the moment signals suggest the high could move slightly north or northeast of us, allowing an easterly flow from the continent. This would warm things up were it to happen, but as the movements of Irene are still not fully known even 72 hours from now, a lot of water has yet to pass under the bridge before we know what will happen this side of the Atlantic 7 days from now.

WORLD… Speaking of Irene, as of 0600 GMT she is a 100 mph (150 kmph) hurricane just north of Haiti, moving west northwestwards at 9 mph (15 kmph). It will turn more northwards over the next 24 hours, affecting much of the Bahamas. The forecast tracks have been continuously shifting more to the east, taking it away from the US east coast. The latest track has it barely clipping the eastern coast of North Carolina by Saturday, but still as a major hurricane, before making a direct beeline towards New York City Sunday evening, probaby still with winds of 100 mph (160 kmph). Imagine that! This track is still subject to change, however, so people should not drop their guard as this beast does its stuff. Follow the National Hurricane Center’s advisories here.

Su Campu · 25-08-2011 8:36am

TODAY... Heavy showers will continue right through the morning in the west and south, and will organise as they move northwards, giving some torrential downpours through much of the country by afternoon, some of these thundery and with hail. Some places could see falls of 10 - 15 mm, with some spot flooding. Maximum temperatures 14 - 17 °C, falling sharply in showers.

TONIGHT... Showers should die out after dark in many places, but should continue in eastern areas. Minimum temperatures 6 - 9 °C, with easterly winds backing northerly by morning, moderate off the northwest coast.

FRIDAY... More heavy thundery showers with hail again Friday. Temperatures again only 14 - 16 °C. Showers will continue in the north, west, and possibly Irish Sea coasts through Friday night, with temperatures falling to 6 - 9 °C.

SATURDAY... Showers will continue again for a time, but activity will diminish in the northwest during the day. Showers will continue in the east and south, but should not be quite as intense as previous days. Cool, with temperatures only 13 - 15 °C, falling to 5 - 7 °C Saturday night as clear spells develop.

SUNDAY... Some showers will build up in the eastern half of the country during the afternoon, otherwise a cool day with a mix of fair weather cloud and sunny spells. Max temperatures 14 - 16 °C, becoming decidedly cold Sunday night, possibly 2 or 3 °C.

MONDAY... A good day, with good sunny spells and just some patches of fair weather cloud, possibly thicker along Atlantic coasts. Still cool, but a degree or two up on Sunday, warmest in the east. Cool again Monday night.

OUTLOOK... The latest model guidance suggests that the remnants of Hurricane Irene will form a strong depression southwest of Iceland, with the high pressure shifting a little south and east of Ireland. This would generate a mild southwesterly airflow, bringing temperatures up several degrees on previous days, but probably bringing more in the way of cloud. This latest scenario is still uncertain and open to change as time passes.

WORLD... Hurricane Irene is currently (0600 GMT) located in the central Bahamas, with winds of 115 mph (185 kmph). Georgetown reported southwesterly winds of 42 gusting 60 knots at 0600 GMT as the storm passed just to the north. It's moving northwestwards at 12 mph, and will turn northwards to northeastwards in the next days, clipping eastern North Carolina and continuing towards the New England area Sunday evening. At this stage, the worst winds would be in the Cape Cod area, but it should have weakened to around 80 knots at that stage. In any case, it will bring strong winds and heavy rain to all easter states from North Carolina northwards, including the cities of Washington D.C., New York and Boston. Follow the National Hurricane Center's advisories here.

M.T. Cranium is back from his holidays in the southwestern US, where it was 43 °C as he was leaving Las Vegas. I'll continue the forecast for the next day or so as he gets back up to speed (and unpacks his suitcase).

Su Campu · 26-08-2011 7:57am

TODAY… Early showers in the east will become heavy by afternoon. Further west will start off fairly sunny, but showers will develop through the morning and afternoon, although they won’t be as heavy as in the east, and should quickly dissipate towards evening. Maximum temperatures 14 – 19 °C, warmest in the midlands. Winds will be light northerly, backing northwesterly later, and strengthening in the southwest.

TONIGHT… Showers will largely die out, though some will continue along the northwest coast. Minimum temperatures 6 – 10 °C.

SATURDAY… Some showers will continue in the north, but but further south should be mostly dry with sunny spells, with maybe one or two light showers. Cool, with temperatures only 13 – 15 °C, falling to 6 – 9 °C Saturday night as clear spells develop.

SUNDAY… A similar day to Saturday. More showers in the north, which may extend slightly further south into the midlands and north Leinster, but otherwise a mix of cloud and sunny spells as high pressure moves in from the west. Max temperatures 14 – 16 °C, becoming decidedly cold Sunday night, possibly 2 or 3 °C in the midwest, 5 – 8 °C elsewhere.

MONDAY… A good day, with good sunny spells and just some patches of fair weather cloud. Still cool, but a degree or two up on Sunday, warmest in the east. Cold again Monday night, with temperatures possibly down to 1 or 2 °C in the midlands.

TUESDAY… Another good day, with good sunny spells, although cloud may increase in the south. Temperatures 15 – 18 °C, but cold again Tuesday night, especially in the northern half of the country.

OUTLOOK… It looks like the remnants of Hurricane Irene will end up as a depression somewhere southwest of Iceland, but there is some diffence of opinion between the models as to how strong this will be. This will have a bearing on what happens to the high pressure. It will most likely shift to our southeast, possibly allowing some increased cloud and light rain bands in later in the week, but time will tell.

WORLD… Hurricane Irene is currently (0600 GMT) located around 200 miles (330 km) due east of Titusville, Florida, with winds of 115 mph (185 kmph). It is tracking northwards at 14 mph (22 kmph), and current forecasts have it making landfall in North Carolina Saturday afternoon as a Cat 2/Cat 3 hurricane. It will continue along the eastern coast towards New Jersey and New York, where a Hurricane Watch is currently in effect.

M.T. Cranium · 27-08-2011 6:38am

Saturday, 27 August, 2011
______________________________

Many thanks to Su Campu for providing daily forecasts while I relaxed for two weeks on holiday. I've asked him to drop in any time with forecast ideas, meanwhile, I have gotten my head back into the game so here goes ...

TODAY ... Rather cool and cloudy with frequent showers in some northern and later central counties, winds WNW 15-25 mph, highs near 14 C. The south may see somewhat more sunshine and fewer showers with highs near 16 C. Rainfalls about 3-5 mms except 5-10 mms locally around Westmeath and nearby counties.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, one or two showers, cool with lows 6-8 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers becoming a little less widespread and winds slightly less blustery, giving slight improvement, highs 14-16 C.

SUNDAY NIGHT ... Clearing, very chilly for late August, lows 3-6 C with some chance of isolated ground frost in midlands.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Sunny days with some patchy higher cloud at times, winds only light or variable, cool at night and reasonably warm daytime, highs reaching 17 C in sheltered parts of the south and east, 15 C otherwise.

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY ... Remnants of Irene may swing through in the form of an elongated frontal trough, blustery winds developing from south then later southwest to west, heavy showers at times, highs near 16 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Unsettled weather seems likely to continue well into September and the longer-range charts look very blustery at times.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Irene will be the big story bringing heavy rains today and Sunday to most of the eastern U.S., and strong winds with storm surges possible up the east coast eventually as far north as New England. Major flooding issues may develop from both rain and storm surges. Further west, mild to warm and dry under high pressure, trending to very hot in the southwest with scattered monsoonal storms, and warm/dry further north under a strong ridge.

MTC's WEATHER DIARY since my holiday started ... the first week I was away, not too far from home, it was quite warm and sunny most days, reaching about 32 C two weekends back. Then we were in the desert southwest for a week where it was as hot as 43 C in Las Vegas NV but when you get into Utah at higher elevations, highs fall off to about 30-35 C and mountain passes around 20 C. Saw and filmed numerous thunderstorms while in that part of the world. Back home now, it was about 25 C and sunny on Friday.

TheMilkyPirate · 27-08-2011 11:09pm

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Saturday, 27 August, 2011
______________________________

Many thanks to Su Campu for providing daily forecasts while I relaxed for two weeks on holiday. I've asked him to drop in any time with forecast ideas, meanwhile, I have gotten my head back into the game so here goes ...

TODAY ... Rather cool and cloudy with frequent showers in some northern and later central counties, winds WNW 15-25 mph, highs near 14 C. The south may see somewhat more sunshine and fewer showers with highs near 16 C. Rainfalls about 3-5 mms except 5-10 mms locally around Westmeath and nearby counties.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, one or two showers, cool with lows 6-8 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers becoming a little less widespread and winds slightly less blustery, giving slight improvement, highs 14-16 C.

SUNDAY NIGHT ... Clearing, very chilly for late August, lows 3-6 C with some chance of isolated ground frost in midlands.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Sunny days with some patchy higher cloud at times, winds only light or variable, cool at night and reasonably warm daytime, highs reaching 17 C in sheltered parts of the south and east, 15 C otherwise.

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY ... Remnants of Irene may swing through in the form of an elongated frontal trough, blustery winds developing from south then later southwest to west, heavy showers at times, highs near 16 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Unsettled weather seems likely to continue well into September and the longer-range charts look very blustery at times.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Irene will be the big story bringing heavy rains today and Sunday to most of the eastern U.S., and strong winds with storm surges possible up the east coast eventually as far north as New England. Major flooding issues may develop from both rain and storm surges. Further west, mild to warm and dry under high pressure, trending to very hot in the southwest with scattered monsoonal storms, and warm/dry further north under a strong ridge.

MTC's WEATHER DIARY since my holiday started ... the first week I was away, not too far from home, it was quite warm and sunny most days, reaching about 32 C two weekends back. Then we were in the desert southwest for a week where it was as hot as 43 C in Las Vegas NV but when you get into Utah at higher elevations, highs fall off to about 30-35 C and mountain passes around 20 C. Saw and filmed numerous thunderstorms while in that part of the world. Back home now, it was about 25 C and sunny on Friday.

Apologies for posting on the thread but SHOW US!

M.T. Cranium · 28-08-2011 2:02am

Check here for my most active day on the tour:

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/70775-reports-pictures-chase-day-5-arizona/

amd then check day 4, day 3 and day 7 for other posts that I submitted.

Net-weather had a chase going in Arizona while we were in Utah.

I think they had the better lightning shots, but we did well on storms and scenery.

Enjoy.

M.T. Cranium · 28-08-2011 6:33am

Sunday, 28 August, 2011
______________________________

TODAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers, becoming rather windy again near the west and north coasts especially. Highs 14-16 C. Rainfalls generally 2-4 mms.

TONIGHT ... Gradual clearing, chilly, lows 3-6 C with risk of ground frost in the midlands.

MONDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, light northwest breezes, highs around 15 C north and 17 C south.

TUESDAY ... After another very chilly morning with isolated ground frost, lows 2-6 C, sunny by day with highs around 16-17 C. Light winds. A spell of cloud and light showers may affect eastern Ulster mid-day.

WEDNESDAY ... Sunny with increasing high cloud after a third very cool morning (2-6 C) with highs reaching 17 C except for somewhat cooler sea breezes in the south and east. Rain may arrive in the far west by evening.

THURSDAY-SATURDAY ... Remnants of Irene tracking to the northwest and north of Donegal may bring frequent showers and stronger winds again, from the south at first then veering more westerly. Temperatures about 17 C daytime but milder at night than earlier in the week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Hurricane Irene, now a weakened cat-1 storm, is accelerating up the east coast and should be past Ocean City MD soon, then Atlantic City NJ, reaching New York City by early afternoon. Although the eye of the storm seems likely to move inland just a bit east of the city, most of the east coast will see heavy rainfalls and moderately strong NE winds with some storm surge in the early stages, then the opposite trend, very low tides following the passage. Long Island and New England seem likely to take a more direct hit of winds and storm surges, but the event may only play out as a moderate rather than major impact storm.

Further west, many regions were clear and seasonably warm in central and western North America on Saturday and will remain that way today.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny and 24 C on Saturday, felt pleasant after the 40's in the desert.

M.T. Cranium · 29-08-2011 5:57am

Monday, 29 August, 2011
______________________________

TODAY ... Cloudy across most regions with a few light sprinkles of rain giving trace or 1 mm amounts to parts of Ulster and Connacht. Brighter to start in the south, and the cloud may break up gradually when it arrives there later, so a few hours of bright sunshine likely in Munster and parts of Leinster. Light northwest winds occasionally reaching 10-15 mph. Highs near 16 C.

TONIGHT ... Cloud thinning out again, very chilly in some places with the risk of ground frost in midlands, lows generally 3-7 C. Light winds.

TUESDAY ... Sunny intervals, more cloud in Ulster than most other regions, cool but with very light winds, highs 15-17 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Another chilly start with lows 2-7 C, then sunshine fading behind increasing cloud, a slight southeast wind developing, sea breezes as a result on south coast especially ... highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, chance of showers, a bit warmer and more humid, southerly winds increasing, highs near 18 C.

FRIDAY ... Cloudy, periods of rain, breezy, highs near 17 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Blustery west winds, showers, some improvement on Sunday but generally not all that warm with highs 15-17 C.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Irene brought heavy rains to most of the inland northeast and some storm surge or wind damage near the Long Island and New England coastlines on Sunday. The downgraded storm is now dying out over eastern Canada and will head for Iceland as a regular low pressure system all through this coming week. As per the last few days, near normal to very warm dry weather across most central and western states and parts of western Canada with a weak front advancing inland in B.C. tonight.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... another day of sunshine and 23 C for the high on Sunday.

M.T. Cranium · 30-08-2011 7:47am

Tuesday, 30 August, 2011
_______________________________

TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with a few brief sunny breaks here or there, more likely near the south coast ... just a few drizzly showers for parts of Ulster and spots of rain elsewhere, little if any measurable amounts ... highs 14 to 16 C with the higher readings in the south and west.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy until well after midnight, possibly a bit of clearing inland south leading to colder lows around 5 C there, but with the cloud it may stay closer to 9-11 C elsewhere.

WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, expect a bit more sun than previous days but some places could remain overcast and see a spot of drizzle without much if any accumulation. Highs 15-17 C.

THURSDAY ... With somewhat more chance of clearing overnight, Thursday morning's lows could be closer to the frost point in place, lows will probably average about 4-7 C, then partly cloudy with thicker cloud edging into the southwest and later northwest, followed by some drizzle, highs 15-18 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, a few showers, becoming a bit more breezy after almost a calm spell midweek, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

SATURDAY ... Showers becoming heavy at times with gusty SW winds developing, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, also heavy at times. Lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Continuing rather unsettled.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Not much going on aside from some heavy storms in the mountain west, most places in the east cleaning up from Irene's flooding rains or dealing with ongoing flooding in Vermont and New Jersey in particular (although the weather today was pleasant there which helped a bit) ... cloudy across western Canada with showers a bit further north than my location. Katia threatens for next week on the southeast coast.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy, cooler than previous days on Monday, high around 17 C.

M.T. Cranium · 31-08-2011 6:14am

Wednesday, 31 August, 2011
_________________________________

TODAY ... Cloud will continue to thin out and there should be some brighter intervals in the south; also, despite a somewhat chilly start in some places, it should warm up reasonably fast and reach about 17 or 18 C except in a few parts of the far north and where any sea breezes develop, even there, 15-16 seems likely. Rather light east winds in general, just the outside chance of a brief drizzly shower in one or two places.

TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, some fog or mist patches, calm, lows 6-10 C but possibly a bit colder in some inland southern valleys.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, mild to warm, more humid, light southeast winds, chance of some rain or drizzle on outer west to northwest coasts, not making much progress east or south. Highs generally 17-19 C, could hit 20 C in southeast.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, showers edging somewhat further east at times, giving 2-5 mms in parts of west and north, may stay dry in east and south where somewhat warmer ... lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.

SATURDAY ... Cloudy with rain developing, possible embedded thundershowers at times, rainfall potential 10-20 mms, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.

SUNDAY ... Although the overnight hours could become dry with fog patches following, more rain seems likely especially by afternoon and evening, and this rain could become heavy (15-25 mms potential). Lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Unsettled at times, near normal temperatures. Just as a rough first estimate, remnants of Katia may show up in the region after about ten days to two weeks.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Despite some ongoing severe flooding in the northeast, the actual weather has become sunny and near normal in temperatures after Irene's departure into the Labrador Sea. A few showers or thunderstorms are breaking out in the northern plains and central prairies, and it has cleared again near the west coast. Temperatures are generally not far from late August normals. Katia has formed in the Cape Verde region and should be a full-blown hurricane when it passes near or north of the Virgin Islands late this weekend. The eventual track looks like being offshore between Bermuda and Cape Cod then past Newfoundland towards Iceland. Models show it meandering around the eastern Atlantic in about two weeks.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy on Tuesday morning, sunny by afternoon, high about 20 C.

M.T. Cranium · 01-09-2011 6:18am

Thursday, 1st of September, 2011
______________________________________

TODAY ... Variable cloud although some hazy sunshine in south, mild to warm, becoming more humid, light southeast winds, chance of some rain or drizzle on outer west to northwest coasts, not making much progress east or south. Highs generally 17-19 C, could hit 20 C in southeast.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, mild, outbreaks of light rain in west and north, 2-4 mms potential, lows near 11 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, showers edging somewhat further east at times, giving 2-5 mms in parts of west and north, may stay dry in east and south where somewhat warmer ... lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.

FRIDAY NIGHT ... Showers or periods of rain, 5-10 mms potential, mild, some fog, lows near 12 C.

SATURDAY ... Cloudy with rain at times in the morning, possible embedded thundershowers at times, rainfall potential 5-10 mms, highs near 17 C. A clearing trend is likely mid-day in the west and through the afternoon further east.

SUNDAY ... Although the overnight hours could become dry with fog patches following, more rain seems likely especially by afternoon and evening, and this rain could eventually become heavy (15-25 mms potential). There is some chance, however, that the southeast will remain dry until well into the afternoon, or at least that heavier rain won't begin until then. Lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C.

MONDAY ... Frequent showers, cool, lows near 8 C and highs near 14 C.

OUTLOOK ... Breezy to windy at times, unsettled most of next week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... A rather quiet pattern in general as Katia gains hurricane intensity well east of the Leeward Islands, still expected to curve north between Bermuda and Cape Cod next week. Showers and some heavy downpours have developed overnight in parts of west-central Canada ahead of a cold front in Saskatchewan. Many parts of the U.S. had near normal temperatures and dry weather with floodwaters gradually receding in parts of the northeast.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Cloudy on Wednesday morning, sunny by afternoon, highs about 20 C.

M.T. Cranium · 02-09-2011 7:18am

Friday, 2 September, 2011
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TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, light rain or showers drifting further northeast and gradually dispersing with fog and mist by evening. Rather warm and humid with highs reaching 17-19 C except 15-17 C far north and near outer south and west coasts. Rainfalls generally 1-3 mms. Heavier rain developing in the west this evening.

TONIGHT ... Outbreaks of rain becoming rather heavy with 10-15 mms by dawn in many places, rain ending with fog or mist in far west, lows only 11 to 13 C.

SATURDAY ... Morning showers or periods of rain may be rather heavy at times in the southeast, with possible thundery bursts, while somewhat brighter conditions develop further west and across most of the north, these eventually pushing into the east and southeast by mid-afternoon ending the rain there (5-15 mms accumulation by then). Highs 16-18 C, with warmer readings more likely in the southwest. Fog becoming widespread by sunset.

SATURDAY NIGHT ... Clear overhead but ground fog or mist becoming thicker and leading to rain by dawn on the west coast. Light winds for most, lows may fall to about 8 C before temperatures rise again with the cloud and rain.

SUNDAY ... Rain or showers spreading gradually east to cover most of the country by afternoon. Rain becoming rather heavy in the evening, potential for about 15-25 mms by midnight. Highs 15-17 C. Becoming breezy or windy by later in the day especially near the west coast.

MONDAY ... Periods of rain, brief intervals of brighter skies but with some squally showers as winds rise to near gale force in many places, from a southwest and later westerly direction. Gusts to 55 mph by late afternoon or evening near west coast, 40 mph elsewhere. Lows near 9 C and highs near 15 or 16 C. Rainfall potential 10-20 mms.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY ... Blustery with heavy or squally showers at times, westerly winds gusting to 55 mph, very autumnal feel ... lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C. Rainfall potential about 10 mms a day.

OUTLOOK ... Showery but somewhat less windy after mid-week, possibly a little warmer.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Most of the active weather is offshore -- land areas are generally quiet with near normal temperatures, but a tropical storm (that should be named Lee) appears to be forming in the central Gulf of Mexico. This will move into southeast Texas and bring heavy rain to the entire Gulf coast later this week. Meanwhile, Katia is having some trouble maintaining hurricane intensity but is expected to recover later today as she moves towards the waters north of the Virgin Islands and towards Bermuda (passing west of there by middle of next week).

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... It was mostly cloudy with a few brief sunny intervals and reasonably warm at 20 C on Thursday.

M.T. Cranium · 03-09-2011 6:39am

Saturday, 3 September, 2011
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Overview -- an unusually busy forecast ahead

Bursts of heavy rain, possibly thundery, will return to the southeast this morning, but I think that most of this will be a little south and east of the Electric Picnic site -- although they may see some of the rain, Wexford and nearby parts of Carlow and Kilkenny are more likely to see this band of rain at full force. Sunday's mid-day to evening rain event is likely to be more widespread and will affect all regions as it moves rather quickly across Ireland. More waves of moisture with stronger winds added in can be expected about once every 24 hours next week :eek: and if that's not enough, the current GFS model brings Hurricane Katia tracking very close to Donegal towards western Scotland around a week from Monday night ! This of course is too early for a definitive forecast, but obviously something to watch very closely as it follows a trend established in earlier model runs. This would coincide with the full moon, so any active weather around the 12th could bring unusually high tides to west or south facing coasts.

Forecast details

TODAY ... Morning showers or periods of rain may be rather heavy at times in the southeast, with possible thundery bursts, especially in Wexford and Carlow, Kilkenny, nearby parts of other counties, while somewhat brighter conditions develop further west and across most of the north, although not without a few scattered showers. The brighter conditions should eventually push into the east and southeast by mid-afternoon ending the rain there (but 5-15 mms accumulation by then, compared to trace to 2 mms most other regions).

Highs 16-18 C, with warmer readings more likely in the southwest. Fog becoming widespread by sunset.

TONIGHT ... Clear overhead but ground fog or mist becoming thicker and leading to rain by dawn on the west coast. Light winds for most, lows may fall to about 8 C before temperatures rise again with the cloud and rain.

SUNDAY ... Rain or showers spreading gradually east to cover most of the country by afternoon. Rain becoming rather heavy in the afternoon west, evening east, with thunder at times, and potential for about 15-25 mms by midnight. Highs 15-17 C. Becoming breezy or windy by later in the day especially near the west coast as southerly gales veer more to southwest.

MONDAY ... Periods of rain, brief intervals of brighter skies but with some squally showers as winds rise to near gale force in many places, from a southwesterly direction. Gusts to 55 mph by late afternoon or evening near west coast, 40 mph elsewhere. Morning lows near 9 C and afternoon highs near 15 or 16 C, although it could rise to about 18 C in the evening in the south as a warm sector develops and moves rapidly across the southern counties. This is when thunder may be most likely especially inland south. Rainfall potential for the day 10-20 mms.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY ... Blustery with heavy or squally showers at times, westerly winds gusting to 55 mph, very autumnal feel ... lows near 8 C and highs near 15 or 16 C. Rainfall potential about 10 mms a day.

OUTLOOK ... Showery but somewhat less windy after mid-week, possibly a little warmer, then another very active system for Friday with another burst of warmer, humid air creating a rapid rise in humidity and temperatures up to about 19 C with heavy rainfall potential. Showery and windy on the weekend, then as indicated in the overview, the GFS model indicates that Katia's strong circulation (post-tropical at that point, no doubt) could sweep across the northern two-thirds of Ireland bringing southwest to west gales -- something to watch carefully next week (uncertainty is high even for the first five days of Katia's track). Further wind and rain would follow that, so this may turn into a very wet month at the rate things are going.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Warm, dry Pacific high is spreading its influence from west coast towards central plains, with a front bringing rain to the Great Lakes later today. Warm and humid to the south of that front, but not much active weather except for heavy rain in Louisiana spreading northeast from T.S. Lee in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane Katia has been moving steadily west and seems likely to skim north of Puerto Rico towards the Bermuda-Cape Hatteras region of the Atlantic by mid-week.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Hazy sunshine, high near 21 C on Friday.

darkman2 · 03-09-2011 11:53pm

There she is just to the Northwest on the latest forecast.:) Long way out but something to keep an eye on!

M.T. Cranium · 04-09-2011 6:35am

Sunday, 4 September, 2011
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Katia continues to show up in the vicinity around a week from Monday-Tuesday ... the trend has been towards a track further north which would bring very warm air across Ireland as well as rather strong SW to W winds -- because this concept of very warm air looks a bit dodgy in the pattern that has persisted since mid-August, I don't think that a weaker warming trend and therefore stronger winds should be discounted. Some hurricanes that fail to gain latitude south of Newfoundland eventually start to dig into the flow and try to return to the subtropics, so that's a trend to watch for here also.

TODAY ... It may start out reasonably bright and dry in Leinster and Ulster, but this won't last very long as rain quickly spreads northeast from Munster and Connacht. Eastern Ulster could remain dry to about 2-3 p.m., but expect the rain in Dublin by about 1130h so closer to 0930h at the EP site. Rainfalls of 8-15 mms will be widespread and some thundery bursts possible. Winds will pick up to moderate southerly, and highs will be held down to 15-16 C. Some brighter intervals with gusty SW winds may develop late afternoon and evening in the southwest.

TONIGHT ... Showers or periods of rain, gusty SW winds, mild, lows near 12C. Rainfalls 5-10 mms.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, showers or periods of rain, becoming rather windy from the south-southwest, some thunder possible especially by evening. Potential for 10-20 mms of rain. Highs near 18 C, quite humid especially in west Munster.

MONDAY NIGHT ... Gale force winds and heavy, squally showers, some thunder likely, winds veering SW then W 35-55 mph, a further 10 mms of rain and lows only 12-13 C.

TUESDAY ... Very breezy or windy (WSW 35-55 mph) with occasional squally showers, some thunder, also some brighter intervals, highs 14-16 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, showers turning more to longer periods of rain later, mild and humid, possibly quite stormy by evening, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

THURSDAY ... Windy, showers, turning cooler in stages, highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, becoming overcast with rain later, highs near 17 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Another squally frontal passage likely Friday night, gradual clearing through Saturday, rather chilly by Sunday ... then a possible visit from Katia early in the following week (at least a glancing blow suggested by current model runs).

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Sunny and very warm in the west, and as this warm dry wedge shifts east, a cool northerly flow is pressing into central regions behind a complex front that has become wrapped around slow-moving Tropical Storm Lee moving inland today near New Orleans. The heaviest rain from this has spread further east and north towards Mobile Bay and southern Mississippi. Katia is on course to rush west of Bermuda Wednesday then past Cape Cod around Friday of next week.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Settling into a long warm or even hot, dry spell -- Saturday was sunny and about 25 C.

M.T. Cranium · 05-09-2011 6:38am

Monday, 5 September, 2011
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There is a lot of "spread" in the global models after about 3-4 days and the actual outcome for Hurricane Katia is really very uncertain ... all we can say is that there's a good chance that the extratropical low will be somewhere between Ireland and Iceland by about Sunday to Tuesday in a week's time.

TODAY ... Intervals of cloud and sun with more frequent showers in the west at first, but these spreading east, in advance of a period of steady rain with possible embedded thundershowers. Winds becoming rather strong from the southwest at 30-50 mph. Rainfalls 8-15 mms. Highs 17-19 C. Feeling very warm and humid by this evening.

TONIGHT ... Warm, humid, intervals of heavy rain, possible thunder and hail, and gusty SW winds 35-55 mph veering more westerly towards morning, 10-20 mms rain, lows 12-14 C. Quite a stormy night especially in Connacht and west Munster.

TUESDAY ... Windy and turning slightly cooler on strong westerly winds, still some squally showers around but these may become less frequent by afternoon and evening, highs 16-18 C, winds west 35-55 mph moderating slightly by evening.

WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, a few isolated showers, winds more moderate and backing again to southwest later, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny breaks mainly in the southeast, quite warm with a steady SW wind, possible outbreaks of rain in west and north mainly, 5-15 mms potential there ... lows near 10 C and highs 18-20 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, a few showers, cooler ... lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... A fairly vigorous low seems likely to form in mid-ocean ahead of Katia, and this will probably dominate the weekend weather with an interval of strong winds and showers, timing somewhat uncertain ... then Katia's extratropical remnant low could follow directly with the chance of some very strong winds if that happens, or it may stall near Iceland and circle around to allow a warmer spell for a day or two until its final remnants circle back around to pass Ireland mid-week. Some clarity on this should begin to emerge later this week.

NORTH AMERICAN WEATHER ... Sunny and very warm to hot across the west on Sunday, cloudy and rather cool in the Great Lakes and nearby parts of the northeast U.S., widespread showers and thunderstorms feeding northeast from the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee now inland near Alabama.

MTC's LOCAL WEATHER ... Sunny, very warm on Sunday, 27 C for the high.

Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

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