Gales/Strong Winds January 8th - 10th

Storm 10 · 08-01-2015 11:59pm

Shannon Airport nearly full now with diversions, just issued a warning to aircraft of winds gusting over 45 knots for the next four hours

Iamkipper · 08-01-2015 11:59pm

Sky news reporting Dublin Airport closed there about 10 mins ago.

shmaupel · 09-01-2015 12:01am

Just to add,

The lights flickered before 8 here and I see Ballyshannon has a fault that began around the same time.

ronnie3585 · 09-01-2015 12:02am

METAR history for Dublin since 1600. Serious ramp up in the wind!

EIDW 082230Z 22033G47KT 9999 FEW015 SCT025 BKN050 09/06 Q1009 NOSIG=
EIDW 082200Z 22028G40KT 9999 FEW015 SCT025 BKN050 08/06 Q1010 NOSIG=
EIDW 082130Z 22027G39KT 9999 FEW015 BKN050 08/05 Q1011 NOSIG=
EIDW 082100Z 21024G35KT 9999 -RA FEW015 SCT022 BKN045 07/05 Q1012 NOSIG=
EIDW 082030Z 21022G40KT 9999 -RA SCT020 SCT030 BKN040 07/05 Q1013 NOSIG=
EIDW 082000Z 21019KT 9999 -RA SCT020 SCT045 BKN080 07/04 Q1014 NOSIG=
EIDW 081930Z 21024G35KT 9999 FEW020 SCT080 BKN100 08/03 Q1014 NOSIG=
EIDW 081900Z 20022KT 9999 FEW020 SCT100 BKN120 07/03 Q1015 NOSIG=
EIDW 081830Z 20017KT 9999 FEW020 SCT100 BKN120 07/02 Q1016 NOSIG=
EIDW 081800Z 21017KT 9999 FEW020 SCT100 BKN120 07/03 Q1017 NOSIG=
EIDW 081730Z 20017KT 9999 FEW020 SCT100 BKN140 06/03 Q1018 NOSIG=
EIDW 081700Z 20012KT 9999 FEW020 SCT100 BKN140 06/03 Q1019 NOSIG=
EIDW 081630Z 21013KT 9999 FEW020 SCT100 BKN120 06/03 Q1019 NOSIG=
EIDW 081600Z 22011KT 9999 FEW020 BKN250 06/03 Q1020 NOSIG=

Slippin Jimmy · 09-01-2015 12:04am

Iamkipper wrote: »

Sky news reporting Dublin Airport closed there about 10 mins ago.

For what it's worth the journal also confirmed dublin airport have suspended flights. Flights suspended at Dublin airport over severe winds
http://jrnl.ie/1870984

maquiladora · 09-01-2015 12:06am

There's no warning from Met Eireann for tomorrow afternoon yet, but it will be windier almost everywhere tomorrow than it was tonight.

3pm :

delw · 09-01-2015 12:06am

One or two tasty gusts here in last half hour

Iancar29 · 09-01-2015 12:14am

delw wrote: »

One or two tasty gusts here in last half hour

Yep same here in Finglas...You know its a good gust when the pressure builds up against the windows:cool:

cotton · 09-01-2015 12:21am

Extremely windy here in greystones, power went about 20 minutes ago.

AnotherYear · 09-01-2015 12:22am

Malin head Speed 50mph gusting to 78mph at 23.00
126kmph slightly above the met warning of 120kmph

Oscar Bravo · 09-01-2015 12:23am

A gust of 68 knots at Malin Head at 2300..... the strongest gust of the night!

shmaupel · 09-01-2015 12:31am

Just had a gust of 92kmph here in South Donegal. Creaky rafter time!

Rikand · 09-01-2015 12:37am

No more than 74knots tonight please

Tactical · 09-01-2015 12:53am

Rikand wrote: »

No more than 74knots tonight please

Why?

FWVT · 09-01-2015 1:01am

METOB-B ASCAT winds measured at 70 knots at 20.20 this evening. They may have been higher as this method of measuring has a low bias at high windspeeds.

eskimocat · 09-01-2015 1:02am

Hello, good evening ... we have WEATHER!

ronnie3585 · 09-01-2015 1:02am

It's calmed right down in Galway City now.

eskimocat · 09-01-2015 1:15am

All was calm here most of the evening (Dromahair, Co. Leitrim) but some lovely howls of wind for about 30 mins now... So sad that my personal weather station died earlier this year. Have got to get something sorted on that front again, I really miss it on nights like this.

mickyfitzy2 · 09-01-2015 1:25am

In buncrana about 15 miles from malino as the crow flies. Pretty tasty gusts here tonite

mickyfitzy2 · 09-01-2015 1:27am

Malin....... Malino????

eskimocat · 09-01-2015 1:34am

Are ye checking this storm out on the Earth Null website... it looks great.

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-0.59,55.78,2048

RED L4 0TH · 09-01-2015 1:34am

Fairly impressive looking circulation at 10pm.

Landoflemon · 09-01-2015 2:04am

Will be keeping a close eye on this thread, supposed to be flying from Dublin to Gatwick tomorrow evening to catch a connection for my holiday to France and now going into plan B mode!

Jpmarn · 09-01-2015 2:38am

Quite a number of planes flying from Shannon to Dublin after been diverted there due to adverse wind conditions at Dublinairport earlier tonight.

Depraved · 09-01-2015 2:47am

My friend is flying out of Dublin early Tuesday morning. What are the odds that these stormy conditions will still be around by then?

M.T. Cranium · 09-01-2015 5:54am

During the night some extreme winds hit northern Scotland, gusts over 170 km/hr even at lower elevation sites, but the more populous south was largely spared with peak gusts around 100 or 110 km/hr. So I would imagine there has been some fairly major damage to infrastructure in a few parts of the north and relatively little further south.

Just looking ahead briefly, the winds will pick up again across Ireland this afternoon and evening. Personally I don't foresee anything at a level 2 intensity, certainly a level 1, but perhaps isolated level 2.

Model depictions for late Wednesday (night of 14-15) are very troubling at this early stage. Would suggest assessing the situation through the 12z model runs before even starting a thread on that, keep this one going with possibly a level one tag and title change to reflect new time scale (tonight into Saturday morning). And the existing thread on wintry precip can handle all concerns about that problem through mid-week.

If the current GFS or more so the GFS parallel were exactly right, Ireland would be in the way of a level three event mid-week. The track is somewhat different on the two depictions but the net result in either case would be wind gusts to 180 or even 200 km/hr. :eek: Seriously, it looks very similar to the 1839 storm on the GFS parallel. Let's hope this is wrong. Other models have not yet posted, or in the case of GME, show the storm out to 132h on a similar evolution but model run ends before the critical time. Next up would be the GEM and UKMO, will have a look see and report back by editing this post as I don't think anybody is reading at this ungodly hour.

Cork Lass · 09-01-2015 6:07am

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

During the night some extreme winds hit northern Scotland, gusts over 170 km/hr even at lower elevation sites, but the more populous south was largely spared with peak gusts around 100 or 110 km/hr. So I would imagine there has been some fairly major damage to infrastructure in a few parts of the north and relatively little further south.

Just looking ahead briefly, the winds will pick up again across Ireland this afternoon and evening. Personally I don't foresee anything at a level 2 intensity, certainly a level 1, but perhaps isolated level 2.

Model depictions for late Wednesday (night of 14-15) are very troubling at this early stage. Would suggest assessing the situation through the 12z model runs before even starting a thread on that, keep this one going with possibly a level one tag and title change to reflect new time scale (tonight into Saturday morning). And the existing thread on wintry precip can handle all concerns about that problem through mid-week.

If the current GFS or more so the GFS parallel were exactly right, Ireland would be in the way of a level three event mid-week. The track is somewhat different on the two depictions but the net result in either case would be wind gusts to 180 or even 200 km/hr. :eek: Seriously, it looks very similar to the 1839 storm on the GFS parallel. Let's hope this is wrong. Other models have not yet posted, or in the case of GME, show the storm out to 132h on a similar evolution but model run ends before the critical time. Next up would be the GEM and UKMO, will have a look see and report back by editing this post as I don't think anybody is reading at this ungodly hour.

Thanks MT. I'm following this with interest as I'm due to fly from Cork to London and then on to L.A. early Wednesday morning. What are your predictions?

FWVT · 09-01-2015 6:21am

80-knot ASCAT winds off our northwest at 22.01 last night.

SEPT 23 1989 · 09-01-2015 6:36am

Hurricane force 12 winds mentioned on the 5am BBC shipping forecast

M.T. Cranium · 09-01-2015 7:37am

Rather than editing the previous post, just adding new info here.

First of all, the question about flying early Wednesday, at this point not looking too bad for that, the storm in question would be quite late on Wednesday or even Thursday morning. So at this point no specific concerns on that.

Now, the rest of the models all have this same storm fairly well-developed, none of them quite approach the intensity of the GFS but this is a pattern where the GFS has done relatively well in past situations. I imagine we'll be closely following this potential storm for several days before really getting a full handle on what will actually happen.

As for today, that horse has already left the barn, anything approaching force 12 would be over the North Sea by now and possibly much later might return to areas north of Malin Head (force 10 possibly) but I don't foresee anything too violent around Ireland despite a raging jet stream overhead. It will be quite windy at times later today but I am more concerned about the wintry precip as for impacts on the general public next five days. Then there could be a major windstorm as discussed.

maquiladora · 09-01-2015 10:25am

Highest lowland gust at a Met Office station in Scotland was 113mph last night. Equal to the highest gust on Met Eireann records (16th September 1961).

MrDerp · 09-01-2015 10:43am

Flying LHR -> God knows what airport ORK on Wednesday at 2200. Could be fun :pac:

Lumi · 09-01-2015 11:32am

Very blustery in Galway city with wind speeds on a par with last night - currently gusting 66 km/h

maquiladora · 09-01-2015 11:35am

Lumi wrote: »

Very blustery in Galway city with wind speeds on a par with last night - currently gusting 66 km/h

Should start picking up there in the next couple of hours. I'm surprised there is no warning from Met Eireann, the models still show stronger winds for most parts this afternoon/evening than almost everything last night. Nothing severe though.

Lumi · 09-01-2015 11:40am

maquiladora wrote: »

Should start picking up there in the next couple of hours. I'm surprised there is no warning from Met Eireann, the models still show stronger winds for most parts this afternoon/evening than almost everything last night. Nothing severe though.

Yep, just a typical wet & windy day out west, nothing special apart from the temp which is currently a balmy 11.6C

maquiladora · 09-01-2015 11:42am

I spoke too soon. :P

STATUS YELLOW

Wind Warning for Ireland

South to southwest winds 50 to 65 km/h., this afternoon and evening, will gust 90 to 110 km/h at times and will continue overnight, when the winds will veer westerly. Winds will be strongest in southwest, west and northwestern coastal counties. There will be high Atlantic seas also.

Issued:
Friday 09 January 2015 10:00
Valid:
Friday 09 January 2015 12:00 to Saturday 10 January 2015 09:00

Storm 10 · 09-01-2015 11:46am

maquiladora wrote: »

I spoke too soon. :P

Maq I think they are following whats being posted here

, we have torrential rain here in Galway which was not in this mornings forecast, place I work in is flooded after the roof could not take the downpour.

Lumi · 09-01-2015 11:53am

Steady moderate/heavy rain rather than a downpour but miserable nonetheless Storm 10
Current rainfall stats for Galway city
Rainfall since midnight 8.6mm
Rainfall Rate Max 20.6 mm/hr at 09:58
High Hourly Rainfall 7.4 mm at 10:21

Storm 10 · 09-01-2015 12:01pm

Lumi wrote: »

Steady moderate/heavy rain rather than a downpour but miserable nonetheless Storm 10
Current rainfall stats for Galway city
Rainfall since midnight 8.6mm
Rainfall Rate Max 20.6 mm/hr at 09:58
High Hourly Rainfall 7.4 mm at 10:21

In the Ballybrit area where I am it was very heavy, I suppose it was hit and miss how heavy it was in different areas.

gugsy · 09-01-2015 12:02pm

Winds picked up rather quickly here in galway.

corsav6 · 09-01-2015 12:18pm

Was fairly calm here in Newport, Mayo yesterday and last night. Castlebar seemed to have got worse than us. Today has picked up a bit with some strong gusts and heavy rain, but noting major yet anyway.
Is next Wednesday looking like a severe storm does anyone know?

pauldry · 09-01-2015 12:28pm

in this time frame next wed has about 60% chance of a storm

Kristopherus · 09-01-2015 12:43pm

Serious pick-up in the wind in West Mayo in the last hour.

Tactical · 09-01-2015 12:58pm

Wind picking up here in West Limerick.

Recent 39.4km/h gust.

Been posting current conditions in the current weather conditions thread.

Storm 10 · 09-01-2015 1:14pm

Just drove through Salthill in the past half hour, its very windy tide is out but if it was in I think we would have flooding, not sure of the wind strength but is must be strong gale 9, few pictures for you, its raining so not the best pictures

Tactical · 09-01-2015 1:21pm

41.1km/h gust.

Aerohead · 09-01-2015 1:46pm

Few pictures of the damage in Scotland and the wind gusts

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-30726678

Graces7 · 09-01-2015 2:18pm

Wild in the Kerry mountains.. water being poured outside( dogs bowl) goes sideways and horizontal

Oneiric 3 · 09-01-2015 3:14pm

Rare to see projected wind speeds getting into gale force territory this far inland.

Oscar Bravo · 09-01-2015 3:20pm

All met stations now reporting a gust of some sort at 1400
ATHENRY GALWAY(A) SW 25 Gust 45 -- 13 95 0.1 1009 BALLYHAISE CAVAN(A) SW 19 Gust 34 LIGHT RAIN 13 96 1.9 1004 BELMULLET(A) SW 31 Gust 45 RECENT DRIZZLE 12 94 0.1 1003 CASEMENT AERODROME SW 33 Gust 45 LIGHT RAIN 14 88 0.1 1007 CLAREMORRIS(A) SW 20 Gust 31 -- 13 92 0.0 1007 CORK AIRPORT SW 27 Gust 43 RAIN/DRIZZLE 14 98 Trace 1015 DUBLIN AIRPORT W 33 Gust 46 LIGHT RAIN 14 88 0.1 1006 DUNSANY MEATH(A) W 26 Gust 39 -- 14 91 0.1 1006 FINNER DONEGAL(A) W 29 Gust 42 LIGHT RAIN 13 95 0.5 1002 GURTEEN TIPPERARY(A W 29 Gust 42 MIST 14 92 0.0 1009 JOHNSTOWN CASTLE(A) SW 24 Gust 42 MIST 12 97 0.1 1012 KNOCK AIRPORT(P) W 29 Gust 50 RAIN/DRIZZLE 12 94 0.3 1005 MACE HEAD GALWAY(A) SW 34 Gust 45 MIST 12 93 0.0 1008 MALIN HEAD(A) SW 26 Gust 36 RAIN SHOWER 10 92 1.4 998 MARKREE SLIGO(A) -- -- -- 13 91 0.6 1004 MOOREPARK CORK(A) SW 16 Gust 29 -- 15 83 0.0 1014 MT DILLON ROSCOM(A) W 21 Gust 39 -- 14 93 0.5 1006 MULLINGAR(A) SW 18 Gust 38 MOD. DRIZZLE 13 92 0.2 1007 NEWPORT MAYO(A) SW 14 Gust 30 -- 12 99 0.6 1006 OAK PARK CARLOW(A) SW 25 Gust 38 CLOUDY 16 80 0.0 1009 PHOENIX PARK(A) -- -- -- 15 86 0.1 1007 ROCHES POINT(A) SW 31 Gust 45 RECENT DRIZZLE 13 94 Trace 1016 SHANNON AIRPORT SW 33 Gust 49 RECENT DRIZZLE 14 87 Trace 1011 SHERKIN ISLAND(A) SW 30 Gust 44 MIST 13 94 0.0 1017 VALENTIA(A) SW 27 Gust 44 MIST 13 92 0.0 1016

Gales/Strong Winds January 8th - 10th

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