Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium · 15-04-2019 7:09am

Monday, 15 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for week of 15 to 21 April

Temperatures will average about 2 degrees above normal with a gradual increase through the period, ending up near 4 degrees above normal in some parts of the west, midlands and inland south by the Easter weekend.

Rainfall will amount to a normal week's worth for most, or a little more, but almost all of that will fall today, so the trend after today is dry.

Sunshine will increase through the week and should average 6 to 8 hours a day overall, up to 50% above normal (but today will be mostly cloudy).

Winds will moderate after today and become rather light by the warmer spell expected later in the week.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Rain continuing rather heavy and spreading north through Leinster and the midlands towards Ulster, 15 to 25 mm likely in this first wave. A second batch of moderate to heavy rain is likely to hit the south coast by mid-day and this will track up the west coast with some heavy amounts locally into western Galway and Mayo by afternoon. This rainfall will also total about 15 to 25 mm with some heavier amounts possible in hilly areas of the south and west. A few places may escape both of these waves but that will be the exception, as somewhat warmer air moves in, allowing temperatures to rise to the 12 to 15 C range later. Strong southeast winds 50 to 80 km/hr will become southerly 60 to 100 km/hr later today and eventually southwest 50 to 80 km/hr by this evening as the winds generally start to moderate.

TONIGHT ... Rain dying out over parts of the south and west, scattered showers then just drizzle before morning, fog patches and quite mild compared to recent nights, lows 8 to 11 C. Strong winds may continue for part of the night slowly veering to southwest then easing by Tuesday morning.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, somewhat warmer with highs 14 to 16 C. Longer sunny intervals by afternoon. Winds moderate southwest backing to southerly 40 to 70 km/hr.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy to sunny, rather chilly nights with frosts in some places, but gradually warming in the daytime hours to highs of 16 to 18 C and locally 18 to 20 in midlands and western counties by Good Friday. Light winds with some local sea breezes likely to develop as it warms up inland. Those may keep temperatures closer to 12 C along some coastlines.

EASTER WEEKEND ... Partly cloudy to sunny with a slight risk of rain in the north by later Sunday into Monday. Warm especially inland with light southwest winds becoming moderate by Sunday in west and north. Highs each day 18 to 21 C except for some 12 to 16 C readings near some coastlines.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The guidance is beginning to return to that earlier theme of quite cold weather after Easter, so perhaps this time it's a bit more likely to materialize. Temperatures may fall considerably by about Tuesday 23rd.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast with glimpses of sun, early morning rain that ended after sunrise, and local blustery showers late afternoon, with highs about 12 C. We are moving very slowly into our growing season locally although they are well advanced on the coast.

M.T. Cranium · 16-04-2019 7:47am

Tuesday, 16 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead (16 to 22 April)

-- Temperatures will be 1 to 3 deg above normal, the larger departures in the midlands, west and inland north.

-- Rainfall will be light, 2 to 5 mm except for some risk of 5 to 15 mm amounts in the north by very end of the interval (Monday 22nd).

-- Sunshine will be above normal values for most, 5 to 8 hours a day likely. Some persistent low cloud may reduce those amounts near some coasts especially in the north.

-- Winds will become rather light for much of this interval.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Last of the rain ending soon in east Ulster and north Leinster, with a gradual clearing trend from Munster spreading north and east, followed by patchy cloud again this afternoon and isolated drizzle or light rain in one or two locations. Moderate southerly winds 40 to 60 km/hr and highs 12 to 15 C.

TONIGHT ... Partly to mostly cloudy, mild, lows 5 to 8 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Hazy sunshine at times, some persistent low cloud in parts of south and also northwest. A little warmer, highs 13 to 16 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY ... Hazy sunshine, low cloud or sea fog possible near south coast, warmer except for some coastal areas subject to onshore sea breezes. Highs 16 to 19 C (but 11 to 15 C in sea breezes). Low temperatures quite variable due to cloud cover mingled with clear spots, where some slight frosts could develop.

SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, warm, highs 17 to 20 C except cooler near south and west coasts.

EASTER SUNDAY ... Some sunny intervals, a little cooler with highs 13 to 16 C. Early morning temperatures should be quite mild at 7 to 9 C.

MONDAY ... Cloudy, cooler, some rain at times becoming moderate at times in the north. Highs 11 to 14 C.

OUTLOOK ... The cooler and unsettled weather will then continue for a day or two longer with a slight warming trend towards the end of the week.

My local weather on Monday was mostly cloudy with a few nearby showers once again largely missing my location. The high was 13 C.

M.T. Cranium · 17-04-2019 7:06am

Wednesday, 17 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead (17 to 23 April)

-- Temperatures will be 1 to 3 deg above normal, the larger departures in the midlands, west and inland north.

-- Rainfall will be light, 2 to 5 mm except for some risk of 5 to 15 mm amounts in the north by later in the interval (mostly on Monday 22nd).

-- Sunshine will be above normal values for most, 5 to 8 hours a day likely. Some persistent low cloud may reduce those amounts near some coasts especially in the north. The sunshine amounts will fall later in the interval.

-- Winds will become rather light for much of this interval.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Hazy sunshine at times, some persistent low cloud in parts of south and also northwest. A little warmer, highs 12 to 16 C.

TONIGHT ... Some cloudy intervals with clear spells, lows rather variable depending on duration of clear skies, 2 to 7 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY ... Hazy sunshine, low cloud or sea fog possible near south coast, warmer except for some coastal areas subject to onshore sea breezes. Highs 16 to 19 C (but 11 to 15 C in sea breezes). Low temperatures quite variable due to cloud cover mingled with clear spots, where some slight frosts could develop. On Friday, it's possible that a few parts of the inland west and midlands could reach 20 or even 21 degrees.

SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud, warm, highs 17 to 20 C except cooler near south and west coasts. Some rain by late in the day in north.

EASTER SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast at times, with a few outbreaks of showery rain in counties around Cavan and Monaghan spreading to north Leinster, but staying dry in many places with some sunny intervals, a little cooler than the earlier parts of the Easter weekend with highs 13 to 18 C. Early morning temperatures should be quite mild at 7 to 9 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast, cooler, some rain at times becoming moderate at times in the north. Highs 11 to 14 C.

OUTLOOK ... The cooler and unsettled weather will then continue for a day or two longer with a slight warming trend towards the end of the week. The pattern next week is somewhat uncertain with guidance beginning to take on quite a spread of outcomes, some have the warmer spell returning and others stay cooler all week. This should be resolved in the next few days.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with increasing cloud by afternoon and highs near 13 C.

M.T. Cranium · 18-04-2019 6:36am

Thursday, 18 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead (18 to 24 April)

-- Temperatures will average 3 to 5 degrees above normal, highs 18 to 22 C.

-- Rainfall will be either zero or very light to Monday then uncertainty about trends, most likely a near normal outcome overall but possibly less if the Monday to Wednesday rainfall holds off to the west.

-- Sunshine will be above normal overall with 7 to 12 hours a day in the first four days of the interval and possibly rather low sunshine totals thereafter, although that will follow the same uncertainty as the rainfall and if it proves drier then also likely sunnier.

-- Winds will continue very light for most of this interval.

============

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Hazy sunshine for most, some low cloud and onshore sea fog or mist near south coast. Warmer with highs 18 to 21 C except for cooler sea breeze regimes near east and south coasts (highs 11 to 16 C in those coastal areas).

TONIGHT ... Some cloud and mist developing, but otherwise clear, lows 5 to 10 C but with the possibility of a few colder pockets inland. With clear skies the next few nights you will see the full moon (the precise timing for that is 12:19 IST on Friday). Jupiter is now rising about midnight so if you happen to see a bright golden-hued star low in the southeast, that's Jupiter, Venus rises much closer to sunrise and you could see it in the hour before dawn twilight in the southeastern sky.

FRIDAY ... Sunny and very warm with local sea breezes cooling south and east coasts. Highs for most 19 to 23 C. Near south and east coasts about 14 to 17 C.

SATURDAY ... Sunny with some afternoon cloud, more prevalent in the north. Very warm again, with sea breezes appearing on all coasts but otherwise highs 19 to 24 C.

EASTER SUNDAY ... There may be some intervals of cloud and isolated showers but no real breakdown of the warm spell in general so that with at least some sunshine highs will likely reach 18 to 20 C and possibly higher in parts of the inland south and midlands. Early morning temperatures are likely to be in the 7 to 10 C range.

MONDAY ... Guidance becomes rather divided by Monday, some indications suggest cloud and increasing risk of rain near south and west coasts, other suggestions prolong the warm and dry spell at least one additional day. We'll have to wait and see which option dominates the charts by tomorrow, but with the rain and cloud option highs would fall back to about 15 C, in the less likely dry scenario, staying closer to 19 or 20 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... That uncertainty continues to split the guidance for most of next week. One camp suggests that cloud and rain will be fairly frequent and temperatures will cool off to 12 to 14 C. Other indications keep some influence of the warmer, drier air mass especially over east and north. There are hints of a significant cooling trend in early May. (seems like each month recently has started cold and ended warm)

My local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy to overcast with some rain in the morning, highs near 12 C.

M.T. Cranium · 19-04-2019 7:08am

Friday, 19 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead (19 to 25 April)

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 5 degrees above normal, highs 18 to 22 C will be common until Monday, then somewhat cooler. Also locations near east and south coasts may average closer to the 2 deg cited and highs more typically 14 to 18 C.

-- Rainfall will be either zero or very light to Monday then next week is likely to produce near normal rainfall for the interval at least in the south and west, amounts may only reach half the normal seven-day totals in the east and north.

-- Sunshine will be above normal overall with 6 to 12 hours a day in the first three days of the interval and possibly rather low sunshine totals thereafter, so that overall this coming seven day interval will be near normal for total sunshine. South and east coasts may not fare as well in the first part of the interval due to low cloud from the Irish Sea and Atlantic.

-- Winds will continue very light for most of this interval.

============

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Sunny and very warm except where local sea breezes cool parts of the south and east coasts. Highs for most 19 to 23 C. Near south and east coasts about 14 to 17 C. Some persistent low cloud, sea fog or mist could come and go near these coasts.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals but extensive mist likely, lows 7 to 10 C.

SATURDAY ... Sunny with some afternoon cloud, more prevalent in the north. Very warm again, with sea breezes appearing on all coasts but otherwise highs 19 to 24 C. Some low cloud and isolated showers could brush parts of Donegal from a frontal system moving past to the north.

EASTER SUNDAY ... There may be some intervals of cloud and isolated showers but no real breakdown of the warm spell in general so that with at least some sunshine highs will likely reach 18 to 20 C and possibly higher in parts of the inland south and midlands. Early morning temperatures are likely to be in the 7 to 10 C range.

MONDAY ... Rain likely in the west and parts of the south, highs near 15 C, but partly cloudy to overcast further east and continued rather warm there with highs about 18 C.

OUTLOOK ... Frequent light rain seems likely but is more probable in the west as Britain may remain dry for most of the week, so the transitional zone could be Leinster and parts of Ulster with smaller amounts of rain possible. Highs will slowly cool to 12-14 C and it may be even cooler by end of the week, briefly though as warmer air is indicated by Sunday 28th.

My local weather was overcast with occasional light rain by afternoon, and the high was 14 C.

M.T. Cranium · 20-04-2019 6:23am

Saturday, 20 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 20 to 26 April, 2019

-- Temperatures will be 2 to 4 deg above normal, often around 20 C at first, then 15 to 18 C.

-- Rainfall will increase during the seven day interval to become near normal in some southern and western counties, but still a little below average in north and east.

-- Sunshine will average 5 to 8 hours a day, close to normal for late April.

-- Winds will freshen slowly during the period but will remain light for several more days.

===============

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, hazy and warm for most, highs 18 to 22 C. Somewhat cooler near south coast with some low cloud and sea fog likely to encroach. This may also be the case on outer headlands of west and north coasts. Highs 13 to 16 C there.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, quite mild, foggy or misty. Some light rain or drizzle at times in Atlantic coastal districts. Lows 7 to 11 C.

EASTER SUNDAY ... Some brighter intervals likely in east, midlands, and north, rather cloudy to overcast in south and west, where light rain or drizzle may develop at times. Highs 17 to 21 C.

MONDAY ... Outbreaks of showery rain in west Munster, low cloud and sea fog near other parts of south and west coasts, variable cloud elsewhere with some brighter intervals, remaining quite warm. Lows 7 to 11 C and highs 16 to 20 C.

TUESDAY ... Little change from Monday overall, rain may spread a bit further east at times, and temperatures could be one or two degrees lower in most places but still above normal values.

OUTLOOK ... Frequent light rain, fresher temperatures in 13 to 16 C range.

My local weather on Good Friday was bad, low cloud, persistent rain, cool highs near 10 C. This is the first really wet soaking day we have had in a long time and it was probably necessary for growth but still, looking forward to sunshine and warm temperatures but will have to drive south for two days to get them, as we expect only minor improvements here on Saturday.

M.T. Cranium · 21-04-2019 7:01am

Sunday, 21 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 21 to 27 April

-- Temperatures will be 2 to 4 degrees above normal, but trending slowly back towards normal values by end of the week.

-- Rainfall will be near normal for the week ahead, although somewhat unevenly distributed.

-- Sunshine will average 3 to 6 hours a day, slightly below normal, with a cloudier trend later in the week.

-- Winds will often be moderate south to southwest as the week progresses.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Some hazy sunshine and warm in eastern and central counties, warm with highs 18 to 22 C except 14 to 17 C along east coast. South coast and some distance inland will be overcast with some fog and mist at times, highs 14 to 16 C. Western and some northern counties will also be mostly cloudy with a few breaks, and outbreaks of light rain possible although not in all locations. Highs 15 to 19 C.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy with some clear breaks in north and east, mild, outbreaks of rain in west Munster. Lows 8 to 12 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast, warm. The rain near west coast may back away into the Atlantic for a period then return to the south coast later. Highs generally near 20 C except cooler near most coasts where sea fog may drift inland.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy east and north, with isolated showers or thunderstorms developing. Variable cloud south and west with outbreaks of rain, some mist or fog. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Rain at times (10-15 mm) and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY ... Showers, breezy, rather cool with highs near 14 C.

OUTLOOK ... Frequent showers in an unsettled westerly flow, temperatures near normal.

My local weather started out misty but turned sunny in the afternoon, and the high was 16 C.

Happy Easter ... I will be posting a forecast on Monday then taking a week away, hoping to arrange for the posting of daily forecasts during that interval.

M.T. Cranium · 22-04-2019 7:22am

Monday, 22 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 22 to 28 April 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 1 or 2 deg above normal but the trend through the interval will be from above to below normal.

-- Rainfall will be at least average for the seven days and in some central regions may be as much as 50% above normal.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 5 hours a day, below the normal for late April.

-- It will gradually become quite windy at times later in the week.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Some hazy sunshine and warm, but cloud will begin to dominate and a few showers could develop mostly in south and midlands. Highs 18 to 21 C.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, humid, mild with a few light showers. Lows 11 to 13 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, outbreaks of showery rain and isolated thunderstorms possible, but rainfall only 1 to 3 mm for most places. Highs around 18 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will become rather wet (10-15 mm rainfalls possible each day) with the track of the heaviest and most persistent rain through the southeast into the midlands and then north Connacht. Highs around 15 C Wednesday and 13 C Thursday.

FRIDAY will see stronger winds developing and some outbreaks of heavy rain, and it will not be very mild during this with highs of 9 to 12 C. Windy and colder late in the day, sleet or wet snow showers are possible in the north on higher terrain.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Although likely to stay rather cool, the weather will be somewhat more settled towards the end of the month, with rain less frequent. Highs will only be in the 9 to 12 C range even into early May.

My local weather on Easter Sunday was sunny with a high near 16 C. As I mentioned, heading out for a week of back country camping down south, back around the first of May but sryanbruen and perhaps one or two others will pitch in and keep you up to date. Thanks to them for their efforts.

sryanbruen · 23-04-2019 10:04am

Tuesday, 23 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 23 to 29 April 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 degrees Celsius above normal for the period but differences from average will decrease as time passes with cooler conditions becoming dominant by the latter part of the week.

-- Rainfall will be on the rise with low pressure nearing our shores and increasingly dominant. Expected to be within 80 to 150% of average though locally intense showers or rain could mean even wetter for some isolated spots. Towards the end of the period, there is a signal for the winds to turn into the north which whilst cool would mean rather drier conditions for Ireland as the low pressure sets up to the east or southeast of the UK.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 5 hours per day, dullest in the west, making it a rather dull end to April.

-- There is likely to be some very windy episodes to end the month especially later in the working week. Windiest conditions likely since mid-March.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... A mostly cloudy start to Tuesday with some showery outbreaks of rain pushing northwestwards in a moderate east to southeasterly wind flow. There could be the odd rumble of thunder associated with these showers. Clearer conditions expected to push in from the east of the country through the late morning and into the afternoon as the showers continue to push to the northwest. Staying rather cloudy in the west but even here there should be some sunny spells now and then. One final rather warm and humid day with maximum temperatures ranging from 13 to 21c, warmest in the west and coolest on eastern coasts.

TONIGHT ... Mostly dry to start with some mist forming as the southeasterly winds continue but showers will start to push in from the southeast later in the night affecting Leinster and Munster initially. A rather mild night with minimum temperatures getting down to 8-11c. There might be some saharan dust in the air so should make for quite the sunset if you can catch it this evening.

WEDNESDAY ... Showers will have made their way westwards into Connacht whilst continuing in Munster and south Leinster. Elsewhere, there is likely to be spells of sunshine to start Wednesday but it will be a showery Wednesday afternoon almost everywhere. Thunder is very possible in these showers. Maximum temperatures still on the relatively mild side reaching 17 or 18c in the north but in the showers dropping to more near normal values of 13-15c, winds moderate in easterly direction. Showers will continue on Wednesday night.

THURSDAY ... Very showery with scattered outbreaks of rain and thundery showers over the country. Southeasterly winds becoming gusty making for a blustery day and quite a change from recent days. Variable spells of sunshine and cloud in between the showers so it's not all doom and gloom. A cooler day everywhere with maximum temperatures ranging between 11-15c, over 10 degrees Celsius cooler for some places from the values achieved during the Easter weekend. It should become drier for a time Thursday night into early Friday morning with temperatures dropping to the low single figures in rural areas in clear skies.

FRIDAY ... A dry start on Friday with some early morning grass frost possible in sunny spells but this will be quickly replaced by a band of rain pushing in from the Atlantic with the wind veering westerly direction simultaneously. Maximum temperatures during the afternoon ranging between 10-14c. Becoming windy with this low but strongest gusts likely further north near Scotland and into Saturday. The rain should clear by Friday evening leaving scattered showers behind but temperatures will take a tumble during the night with grass frost again likely in the odd spot.

SATURDAY ... A blustery day with showers feeding in on a gusty west to northwesterly airflow. Maximum temperatures ranging between only 9-12c which is not too far off the average late April highs but compared to the Easter period, it will feel quite chilly particularly in the wind.

OUTLOOK ... The outlook is a familiar changeable one for Ireland with westerly winds for the end of April. There is some signals from the models to take high pressure up to Greenland during early May which would mean the wind direction turning northerly. This would result in cool and mainly dry conditions for Ireland bar the possibility of showers. This is nothing too unusual however as early May is often a time when Greenland blocking forms as was the case in Mays 2010 and 2017 for recent examples.

sryanbruen · 24-04-2019 10:21am

Wednesday, 24 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 24 to 30 April 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 0.2 to 1.0 degrees Celsius above normal for the period but becoming cooler and cooler as time passes to the point where below average temperatures are likely by the weekend.

-- Rainfall will be above average for most places with low pressure circulating around our shores for the next few days. Expected to be within 80 to 150% of average though locally intense showers or rain could mean even wetter for some isolated spots. There is now the signal for high pressure to become influential by this time next week rather than northerly winds but whether it'd be a blocking anticyclone or northern blocking over Greenland/Scandinavia which would result in easterly winds is open to question.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 4 hours per day, dullest in the west, making it a rather dull end to April.

-- Quite a windy period expected for late April during the next few days but it should start to become calmer by next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Various sunny spells but mainly cloudy with outbreaks of showery rain tracking its way northwards with the risk of thunder. Warmest in the north today with maximum temperatures up to 17 or 18c but elsewhere, it will be cooler than recently with highs ranging between 13-15c though these are only closer to average. Some brightness will attempt to ascend from the south later in the day whilst some more showers cannot be ruled out. Winds moderate east to southeast in direction.

TONIGHT ... Further risk of heavy or thundery showers tonight for a time as they clear their way northward with some clear skies in the south. Fresher than recent nights but still not faring too badly with minimum temperatures in the 4-7c range, coolest in the south.

THURSDAY ... Blustery with widespread showers scattered about over the country. Some of these could form into longer spells of rain with heavy and prolonged periods, possibility of thunder again. Southeasterly winds becoming gusty with maximum temperatures by this time ranging between 11-15c. Now, there's the likelihood that a band of rain will push across the country later on Thursday night into Friday morning after some temporary clearer skies develop once the showers fizzle out. Cloud from the rain will prevent the grass frost from forming with minimum temperatures holding up to mid single figures.

FRIDAY ... Some rain to start Friday clearing the east will be followed by another band of rain pushing in from the Atlantic and make its way across the country through the day. This one will be associated with stronger winds, unlikely to be a named storm however right now though it is a possibility. Brighter conditions will come in behind the rain later on Friday but also the possibility of some showers. Maximum temperatures ranging between 9-14c.

SATURDAY ... Sunshine and scattered showers with fairly gusty northwesterly winds, becoming moderate as the day goes on. Maximum temperatures ranging between 9-12c by this point, below average for April though not exceptionally so.

SUNDAY ... Ridge of high pressure from the Azores attempting to assert itself to the south and east of the country but currently it looks as though it will fail in its process with more wet and windy weather pushing its way into the west of Ireland. Relatively milder as winds veer southwesterly with maximum temperatures ranging between 11-13c, any sunshine could help temperatures rise a bit more.

OUTLOOK ... Latest models are quite different to what they were showing yesterday and the past few days with the exception of the ECM operational run.

One scenario is Sunday's low stalling in the west and then sinking southwards with a Scandinavian High setting up turning the winds into the east by the start of May. This would result in dry conditions and mainly average temperatures though as the sun is strong at this time of year, some spells of sunshine can make all the difference. Low cloud possible. This is shown by the current GFS but is unlikely.

Another scenario is the aforementioned northerly winds with Greenland blocking developing which would be mainly dry but also cool. This is the scenario shown recently and by this morning's ECM but models seem to have gone away with it generally.

The third scenario is Azores High ridging taking over the pattern with the jet stream being forced northwards. This is the least likely scenario at the moment.

The exact scenario is important for the kind of temperatures that one would expect but they all have one thing in common, there is a lack of unsettled weather with each of them. It's a case of wait and see.

sryanbruen · 25-04-2019 8:59am

Thursday, 25 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 25 April to 1 May 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 0.2 degrees Celsius below normal to 0.5 degrees Celsius above normal for the period. These anomalies to average will continue to drop the next few days towards cooler than average.

-- Rainfall will be above average for most places during the period and this will largely be down to the next few days as the current signal is for drier conditions to return by early May.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 3 hours per day which is rather below average for the end of April.

-- Friday's low pressure system has now been named Storm Hannah by Met Éireann with quite a windy episode for the time of year expected. Models showing this now running along the south and southwest of the country with gusty westerly winds including severe gales in places driven by a strong jet stream.

Warnings for Storm Hannah from Met Éireann.

Status Orange - Wind warning for Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick

Becoming stormy on Friday evening and overnight as Storm Hannah moves in. Southerly winds, later veering northwesterly will reach mean speeds of 65-80 km/h with gusts of 110 to 130 km/h.

Be prepared for possible disruption and power outages

Status Yellow - Wind warning for Connacht, Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Laois, Longford, Wexford, Wicklow, Offaly, Donegal, Tipperary and Waterford

Becoming very windy on Friday night and for a time on Saturday morning. Southerly winds will veer northwesterly and reach mean speeds of 50-65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110 km/h.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... After a dry start for some this morning, heavy showers will spread in from the southeast in moderate southeast breezes. These could be associated with thunder and hail in places, heaviest in the south and west. Maximum temperatures close to average for late April reaching afternoon values of 11-15c.

TONIGHT ... Showers will gradually peter out tonight but these will only be replaced by a band of rain pushing in from the west so the cloud and rain will prevent grass frost from developing with a mild night expected. Minimum temperatures likely to range between 4-7c.

FRIDAY ... Mostly cloudy with rain clearing eastwards during the morning will be followed by Storm Hannah pushing in from the Atlantic and make its way across the country later in the day. Hannah is likely to bring severe gales among southern counties particularly on exposed coasts with gusts in excess of 110 km/h for various places of the southwest Friday evening and Friday night. There has been several changes in the possibility for Hannah's track which made it important to see if we would be impacted heavily but now it's looking that she will push along the south of the country during Friday evening and night into Saturday morning resulting in some very gusty west to northwesterly winds. Maximum temperatures for Friday ranging between 10-13c.

SATURDAY ... Continuing very windy to start off Saturday morning but rain should clear eastern regions by the latter part of the period with brighter conditions developing behind. It will however be blustery in strong northwesterly winds, easing somewhat later on, with some scattered showers feeding in. Maximum temperatures ranging between 9-12c.

SUNDAY / MONDAY ... An area of low pressure in the Atlantic is trying to push eastwards but is being forced to stay just out west for Sunday on the latest models with ridging from the Azores trying to build to the southeast of us and link up with blocking over Greenland and Scandinavia. Sunday is likely to be a cloudy day with winds veering southwesterly meaning it is expected to be a milder day. Maximum temperatures on Sunday ranging between 12-15c. Limited amounts of brightness with patches of drizzle though amounts will be small. There is some uncertainty surrounding when this band of rain is going to push in from the west as well as if it's going to make full progress eastward or just fizzle out as high pressure becomes established after making the outlook somewhat complicated.

OUTLOOK ... The signals now favour an easterly flow for early May but instead of a Scandinavian High, models are showing an Icelandic High with a scenario sort of similar to early May 2017 which was very dry and sunny. Initially, there is the possibility of showers as low pressure attempts to fizzle out but then high pressure ridges in from the north, east to northeast winds being the mean wind direction. This would mean that eastern regions would be relatively cool but in the west under any sunshine, temperatures could get into the very respectable teens of up to 16-18c or even more.

The outlook for early May will not be resolved however until Sunday / Monday's low is as it puts complications in the forecast.

sryanbruen · 26-04-2019 10:21am

Friday, 26 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 26 April to 2 May 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 degrees Celsius below normal to average temperatures for the period.

-- Rainfall will be relatively above average for most places but not exceptionally so.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 3 hours per day, rather dull to conclude April.

-- Storm Hannah is set to make landfall to the southwest of Ireland this evening. Models have continued to upgrade its expected gusts meaning there is likely going to be severe impacts felt in counties especially in the south. More details below. After Hannah, conditions are going to become much calmer with higher or slacker pressure gradients.

Warnings for Storm Hannah from Met Éireann.

Status Red - Wind warning for Clare

Northwesterly winds, associated with Storm Hannah, will reach mean speeds in excess of 80km/h with violent gusts of 130 to 150 km/h for a time this evening.

Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 20:00 to Friday 26 April 2019 23:00

Status Orange - Wind warning for Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick

Becoming stormy on Friday evening and overnight as Storm Hannah moves in. Southerly winds, later veering northwesterly will reach mean speeds of 65-80 km/h with gusts of 110 to 130 km/h.

Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 16:00 to Saturday 27 April 2019 01:00

Status Orange - Wind warning for Galway

Northwesterly winds, associated with Storm Hannah, will reach mean speeds of 65-80 km/h with gusts of 110 to 130 km/h this evening/early tonight, strongest along the coast.

Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 19:00 to Friday 26 April 2019 23:59

Status Orange - Wind warning for Tipperary and Waterford

In addition to the yellow wind alert for these counties: Southwest winds veering northwest will reach mean speed of 65 to 80km/h and gusts of 110 to 120km/h for a time tonight.

Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 22:00 to Saturday 27 April 2019 02:00

Status Yellow - Wind warning for Connacht, Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Laois, Longford, Wexford, Wicklow, Offaly, Donegal, Tipperary and Waterford

Becoming very windy on Friday night and for a time on Saturday morning. Southerly winds will veer northwesterly and reach mean speeds of 50-65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110 km/h.

Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 23:00 to Saturday 27 April 2019 09:00

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Rain clearing eastwards will be followed by another band of rain associated with Storm Hannah pushing in from the west through the day with a window of calmer and brighter conditions in between. Becoming windier and windier through the afternoon and evening with maximum temperatures ranging between 8-13c.

Severe gale gusts are likely in the southwest and south of the country with violent storm force winds on exposed coasts or mountain tops to the west and southwest. This is looking like the windiest period of April weather in a long time and with trees in leaf, damaging impacts will be felt. There is the possibility of the orange wind warning in the southwest turning red later on which would be the first red warning for Ireland since Storm Emma back at the start of March 2018. There is certainly a danger to life with the expected wind gusts in the southwest if you're not extra careful through this evening. Try not to make unnecessary journeys and do not wait around for a red warning to come if you're residing in the south and southwest. Better safe than sorry as they say.

TONIGHT ... Severe gales will blow their way across the southwest during the evening and for a time tonight before dying down somewhat though remaining very windy through the period. Showery outbreaks of rain continue to push across the country but becoming isolated and clearing eastward later on. A relatively mild night under the windy conditions with minimum temperatures ranging between 4-7c.

SATURDAY ... Once the last of the rain clears the east or northeast, Saturday will be a blustery day with sunshine and scattered showers. Northwesterly wind gusts still strong in nature though easing as the day goes on. Maximum temperatures on the cool side reaching afternoon highs of between 8-12c.

SUNDAY / MONDAY ... Now it looks as though that both Sunday and Monday will be mainly dry and cloudy days as the rain attempts to stay out west for a time before pushing in later on Monday. Patches of light rain, drizzle and mist forming with the cloud on both days. Wind direction veering southwest to southeasterly meaning it will be milder than recent days with maximum temperatures ranging between 12-16c on both days.

TUESDAY ... Currently, Tuesday looks to get off to a wet start as rain clears eastwards but brighter conditions following on from behind with well scattered showers. Maximum temperatures around average for late April ranging between 11-14c.

OUTLOOK ... Some huge differences with the models this morning as the GFS shows largely settled conditions to start off May as pressure rises after initial showers from slack pressure. It even shows a very pleasant May Day bank holiday weekend with sunny spells and conditions turning warmer. The ECM in contrast develops a proper northerly flow for a time with low pressure over Scandinavia, wouldn't be wet for Ireland but very cool. It then goes on to develop a southwesterly flow near the end of the first week with low pressure spreading in from the west. Questions still to be answered regarding early May it seems.

DOCARCH · 27-04-2019 11:18am

Just to fill the gap....

TODAY ... A blustery/windy day with sunshine and scattered showers with a risk of thunder. Northwesterly winds will ease as the day goes on. Temperatures ranging between 8c and 12c.

TONIGHT ... Mostly dry with wind easing further allowing some shallow mist and fog patches to form. Patchy outbreaks of light rain or drizzle may develop in the south and west. Overnight temperatures ranging 3c to 6c.

SUNDAY ... Some isolated/patchy outbreaks of light rain or drizzle in places, but predominantly dry for most areas. Moderate southwesterly breezes and milder than recent days, with temperatures ranging between 12c and up to 17c where any sunny spells develop (sunny spells most likely to the south and south west).

Meteorite58 · 28-04-2019 7:47pm

Forecsts:

Monday... Overcast with light rain and drizzle in the morning. Brightening up as the day progresses with sunny spells through broken cloud. Temperatures ranging from 10C to 16C, warmest in the Western half of the country, coolest closest to E, NE coasts where cloud and drizzle could persist and feeling the cooling effects of an onshore SE breeze. Rain spreading from the SW towards evening and becoming widespread through the night, becoming windy along coasts gusting to 60 km/h and breezy overland gusting 30 to 45 km/h, temperatures overnight staying up around 6 to 10 C .

Tuesday... Rain clearing the E and NE coasts in the morning and winds easing , a few showers breaking out during the day but staying dry for most of the country with good bright sunny spells, temperatures 10 to 16C , warmest in the E, SE and coolest along coasts, a cool night following 4 to 6C.

Wednesday... Windy along coasts from the W, some heavy showers breaking out across the country during the afternoon, some of hail and perhaps a few thundery. Temperatures just reaching the low teens.

Thurs... looks set to be windy, showers and possibly longer spells of rain in Western half of the country as the day progresses, drier in the E, temperatures reaching the low teens again.

Friday... Looking drier as we move into the weekend.

Meteorite58 · 29-04-2019 9:41pm

Forecast:

Tuesday... Rain which will be heavy in places clearing from the SW, W early morning, looks likely to linger in the E / NE until late evening, 10 to 20mm likely in the E/ SE/ NE , 7 to 15 mm in the SW /W, least amount in the midlands. Dry clear spells with sunshine in places for the rest of the country after the front clears early in the day apart from the aforementioned E and N , a few showers in the W through the day. Temperatures 10 to 15C, best in the S and NW. Light variable breezes . A cool night to follow , 2 to 7C

Wednesday... Temperatures falling to low single figures early morning , dry in most places early until cloud followed by rain / drizzle and mist spreads in from the W dissipating as it moves into the midlands with the E remaining largely dry , breezy in the W becoming lighter towards evening . Temperatures 10 to 14C , warmest in the Eastern half and coolest in the Western half of the country. Cool night to follow 5 to 8C.

Thursday... Breezy along coasts and looking like showers and some heavy or more prolonged spells of rain, in general 10 to 13C, cool night to follow with lows of 3 to 6C.

Friday...Breezy turning to a N/ly direction, temperatures 10 to 15C, best in the Southern half of the country, cooler further N . Some uncertainty but showers possible from a N/ly direction. Cool night .

Weekend... Looks largely dry , Temps 10 to 14C , Sat. variable light winds over land and breezy along coasts, turning fresher on Sunday as winds switch to a S'ly direction. Cool nights.

200motels · 30-04-2019 9:03am

Today
Wet in most of the country but a clearance in the west will extend eastwards but it will stay cloudy with showers in the east and northeast, temps 11 to 15 at best.

Tonight
Mostly dry with temps 1 to 5 feeling rather cold.

Tomorrow
A cold start for the first day of May, dry at first but showers will become widespread by afternoon. Temps 11 to 15.

Thursday
Another cold start but dry early on but again showers will become widespread with hail and thunder. Temps again 11 to 15.

Outlook
Some rain about on Friday but a good deal of dry weather, temps around the same as previous days. The weekend will be mostly dry but cool for this time of the year with grass frost in places.

M.T. Cranium · 01-05-2019 6:28am

Wednesday, 1 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

First of all, many thanks to the guest forecasters who had their hands full with very active weather while I was away. Your efforts are greatly appreciated by me and I would suspect also by the regular readers of this thread.

I enjoyed some very pleasant warm and mostly sunny weather in the southwestern U.S., with highs mostly in the 24 to 28 C range in southern Utah. We drove back through steadily falling temperatures but it stayed dry and in fact the only rain I saw all week was from a couple of evening thunderstorms.

TRENDS for the week ahead ... 1 to 7 May

Temperatures will average about 2 degrees below normal, with highs mostly in the 10 to 13 C range, and some risk of frosts on some nights.

Rainfall will average below normal amounts although just after this interval ends, it may become quite wet.

Sunshine will probably be at least normal and could be a bit above average.

No strong winds are expected and the flow will be generally northerly in direction.

FORECASTS ...

TODAY will see increasing cloud by mid-day and afternoon with showers developing in parts of the west, spreading somewhat further east by late in the day. Amounts of 2 to 5 mm are possible where it does rain. Rather cool with highs only 10 to 13 C.

TONIGHT will remain cloudy with a few showers, lows 4 to 8 C.

THURSDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, and scattered showers, highs 11 to 14 C.

FRIDAY will become somewhat cooler with occasional showers, more frequent in north and parts of the midlands. Highs 10 to 13 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK is for dry and rather cool weather, generous amounts of sunshine but risk of frosts, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 9 to 13 C.

NEXT WEEK will begin to turn very cool and at times rather wet as colder air moves in from the north while the storm track drops to the south of Munster, sometimes providing moderate northeast winds and rain. Highs most days will only be around 10 to 12 C and could be even cooler in some places.

My local weather on Tuesday was partly to mostly cloudy and cool with highs near 10 C.

M.T. Cranium · 02-05-2019 6:26am

Thursday, 2 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead ... 2 to 8 May

Temperatures will average about 2 or 3 degrees below normal, with highs mostly in the 10 to 13 C range, and some risk of frosts on some nights.

Rainfall will average about normal amounts although most of that will fall after the weekend. The following week looks quite wet also, especially in north Leinster and south/east Ulster.

Sunshine will probably be around normal amounts with the weekend (including holiday Monday) a bit above average.

No strong winds are expected until about Tuesday when moderate northeast winds are possible.

FORECASTS ...

TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain in various places, both north and south, but amounts fairly slight, 2 to 5 mm on average. It will remain rather cool with highs 11 to 14 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast at first with a slight clearing trend, as showers become more isolated, lows 3 to 6 C.

FRIDAY will remain quite cool with occasional showers, more frequent in north and parts of the midlands. Highs 10 to 13 C.

SATURDAY will bring a gradual clearing trend with some scattered morning frosts, lows -1 to +3 C, then highs of about 10 to 13 C under partly cloudy to sunny skies.

SUNDAY and MONDAY will continue fair but colder than average for early May, with frosts, lows -2 to +3 C, and highs only 9 to 13 C despite generous amounts of sunshine.

TUESDAY will become cloudy and chilly with rain developing in northeast winds. Lows near 5 C and highs 8 to 12 C.

The outlook calls for similar weather at times in the following week and only a slight warming trend into the second week of May.

My local weather is about the same, overcast with light rain and chilly daytime highs of only 9 or 10 C. The progress of spring blooming around here is quite slow and leaves are just slowly opening out then deciding it's not a good idea.

M.T. Cranium · 03-05-2019 7:16am

Friday, 3 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 May

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg below normal.

-- Rainfall will average near normal (most of it will occur Tuesday into Wednesday) but above normal in parts of the south.

-- Sunshine will average a little below normal, with more generous amounts at first followed by persistent cloud.

-- Winds will be generally light north to northeast until Tuesday then moderate northeast to east in direction.

FORECASTS ...

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with some sunny breaks, and isolated showers giving trace amounts to perhaps 2 mm of rain. Highs will be close to 10 C in the north, to about 14 C in the south.

TONIGHT will see partial clearing and chilly temperatures including some frosts inland, lows -2 to +2 C.

SATURDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals and cool, with fresh northeast breezes at times, highs 9 to 13 C.

SUNDAY will start out frosty in places again, with a gradual increase in higher cloud in parts of the west and south, cool with light winds, and lows -2 to +3 C, highs 9 to 13 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with some sunny breaks, and showery outbreaks of light rain in parts of Ulster and Connacht mostly, lows 1 to 4 C and highs 10 to 14 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will bring stronger east to northeast winds, possibly reaching 50 to 80 km/hr in exposed parts of the south, and outbreaks of rain becoming persistent and heavy in some places in south Leinster and Munster. Highs only about 8 to 11 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for rather cloudy and cool weather to persist with more rain at times, highs staying in the 10 to 15 C range.

My local weather on Thursday was mostly cloudy with some rain at first, followed by partial clearing, and cool temperatures only reaching highs of about 11 C.

M.T. Cranium · 04-05-2019 7:55am

Saturday, 4 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 4 to 10 May

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg below normal.

-- Rainfall will average near normal (most of it will occur Tuesday into Wednesday) but above normal in parts of the south.

-- Sunshine will average a little below normal, with more generous amounts at first followed by persistent cloud.

-- Winds will be generally light north to northeast until Tuesday then moderate northeast to east in direction.

FORECASTS ...

TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals and cool, with fresh northeast breezes at times, highs 10 to 14 C.

TONIGHT will be clear with a few cloudy intervals in the north, and cool with scattered frost, lows -2 to +3 C.

SUNDAY will start out frosty in places again, with a gradual increase in higher cloud in parts of the west and south, cool with light winds, and lows -2 to +3 C, highs 9 to 13 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with some sunny breaks, and showery outbreaks of light rain in parts of Ulster and Connacht mostly, lows 1 to 4 C and highs 10 to 14 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will bring stronger east to northeast winds, possibly reaching 50 to 80 km/hr in exposed parts of the south, and outbreaks of rain becoming persistent and heavy in some places in south Leinster and Munster. Highs only about 8 to 11 C.

OUTLOOK calls for quite cool weather to continue a few more days before a gradual moderating trend in the following week.

My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy with somewhat milder highs near 14 C.

M.T. Cranium · 05-05-2019 7:17am

Sunday, 5 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 5 to 11 May

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 3 deg below normal.

-- Rainfall will average near normal (most of it will occur Tuesday to Thursday) but above normal in parts of the south, and perhaps below normal in the north.

-- Sunshine will average below normal, with more generous amounts today but longer intervals of persistent cloud later in the week.

-- Winds will be generally light north to northeast until Tuesday then moderate northeast to east in direction.

FORECASTS ...

TODAY will start out frosty in places again, sunny at first with a gradual increase in higher cloud in parts of the west and south, cool with light winds, and highs 9 to 13 C.

TONIGHT will be rather cloudy in the north with light rain developing by morning, lows near 4 C. Central and southern counties will have longer clear intervals and could see scattered light ground frost although not quite as cool as the past two nights, lows 1 to 4 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with some sunny breaks, and showery outbreaks of light rain in parts of Ulster and Connacht mostly, and isolated showers in parts of west Munster by afternoon, with highs 10 to 14 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will bring stronger east to northeast winds, possibly reaching 50 to 80 km/hr in exposed parts of the south, and outbreaks of rain becoming persistent and heavy in some places in south Leinster and Munster by Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Highs only about 8 to 11 C. Winds will back from northeast to north as the disturbance moves into Britain on Wednesday. Slow clearing will follow in western counties but it will remain unsettled in the east.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY will continue quite chilly for May, with highs only 8 to 12 C, and outbreaks of light rain, that could turn sleety on higher terrain in the north. Winds will become more northwest then variable as more weak disturbances form in the cold air mass.

The OUTLOOK calls for a slow moderation to near normal temperatures through the weekend of 11th-12th and somewhat warmer by Monday into Tuesday, but then another spell of cooler and unsettled weather may follow on northeast winds.

My local weather on Saturday was cloudy with highs near 14 C.

M.T. Cranium · 06-05-2019 7:35am

Monday, 6 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 May

-- Temperatures will average 2 or 3 deg below normal values.

-- Rainfall will be near normal for most, somewhat above in the south and parts of the northwest.

-- Sunshine will be below average, perhaps as little as 50% of the normal 5 to 6 hours a day.

-- Winds will become moderate northeast then later northwest in the interval, before dropping back to light near weekend of 11th-12th.

FORECASTS:

TODAY will be partly cloudy in the south, to overcast in the north, where outbreaks of light rain may bring 1 or 2 mm to parts of Ulster. Rather cool especially in the north where highs only 9 or 10 C, to about 14 C in parts of Munster.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few scattered showers, lows 3 to 7 C.

TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals, showers gradually increasing in coverage, leading to outbreaks of rain in the south by evening. Winds will increase to east-northeast 40 to 70 km/hr. Highs 11 to 14 C.

WEDNESDAY will see rainfalls of 10-20 mm in parts of the south and east, more scattered and showery further north where skies may become partly cloudy at times, remaining quite cool in northeast to north winds 40 to 70 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs 11 to 13 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with some heavy showers at times spreading in from west to east, highs near 13 C.

FRIDAY will continue cool with a few more showers, highs near 13 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK calls for clearing skies and while cold at night, somewhat warmer days especially by Sunday and following Monday into Tuesday 14th, highs could reach 18 to 20 C in southeast winds. This warmer spell will gradually cool back to lower teens in more of an easterly flow.

My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy and pleasantly warm at 17 C.

M.T. Cranium · 06-05-2019 7:36am

Monday, 6 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 May

-- Temperatures will average 2 or 3 deg below normal values.

-- Rainfall will be near normal for most, somewhat above in the south and parts of the northwest.

-- Sunshine will be below average, perhaps as little as 50% of the normal 5 to 6 hours a day.

-- Winds will become moderate northeast then later northwest in the interval, before dropping back to light near weekend of 11th-12th.

FORECASTS:

TODAY will be partly cloudy in the south, to overcast in the north, where outbreaks of light rain may bring 1 or 2 mm to parts of Ulster. Rather cool especially in the north where highs only 9 or 10 C, to about 14 C in parts of Munster.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few scattered showers, lows 3 to 7 C.

TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals, showers gradually increasing in coverage, leading to outbreaks of rain in the south by evening. Winds will increase to east-northeast 40 to 70 km/hr. Highs 11 to 14 C.

WEDNESDAY will see rainfalls of 10-20 mm in parts of the south and east, more scattered and showery further north where skies may become partly cloudy at times, remaining quite cool in northeast to north winds 40 to 70 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs 11 to 13 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with some heavy showers at times spreading in from west to east, highs near 13 C.

FRIDAY will continue cool with a few more showers, highs near 13 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK calls for clearing skies and while cold at night, somewhat warmer days especially by Sunday and following Monday into Tuesday 14th, highs could reach 18 to 20 C in southeast winds. This warmer spell will gradually cool back to lower teens in more of an easterly flow.

My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy and pleasantly warm at 17 C.

M.T. Cranium · 07-05-2019 7:28am

Tuesday, 7 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 May

-- Temperatures will average about 2 degrees below normal values. There will be a slow warming trend late in the interval.

-- Rainfall will be near normal for most, somewhat above in the south and parts of the northwest.

-- Sunshine will be below average, but will begin to improve later in the period so that overall the result may be about 75% of the normal 5 to 6 hours a day.

-- Winds will become moderate northeast then later northwest in the interval, before dropping back to light near weekend of 11th-12th.

FORECASTS:

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals, showers gradually increasing in coverage, leading to outbreaks of rain in the south by evening. Winds will increase to east-northeast 40 to 70 km/hr. Highs 11 to 14 C.

TONIGHT ... rain heavy at times in the south with 15 to 25 mm possible there, more showery further north with 5 to 10 mm more typical. Milder with moderate northeast winds, lows near 8 C.

WEDNESDAY will see further rainfalls of 5-15 mm in parts of the south and east, more scattered and showery further north where skies may become partly cloudy at times, remaining quite cool in northeast to north winds 40 to 70 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs 11 to 13 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with some heavy showers at times spreading in from west to east, highs near 13 C.

FRIDAY will continue cool with a few more showers, highs near 13 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK calls for clearing skies and while cold at night, somewhat warmer days especially by Sunday and following Monday into Tuesday 14th, highs could reach 18 to 20 C in southeast winds. This warmer spell will gradually cool back to lower teens in more of an easterly flow but current indications are that this will be quite gradual so most of next week could remain rather warm once it does warm up.

My local weather on Monday was sunny with afternoon cloudy intervals, breezy but warmer at about 19 C.

M.T. Cranium · 08-05-2019 7:55am

Wednesday, 8 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 May

-- Temperatures will average near normal values but this will be a blend of below normal readings today to Saturday and above normal by Monday and Tuesday.

-- Rainfall will be near normal for most, somewhat above in the south but a lot of this will have fallen by tonight and almost all by Friday. A dry spell of about five days will follow.

-- Sunshine will be below average, but will begin to improve later in the period so that overall the result may be about 75% of the normal 5 to 6 hours a day.

-- Winds will stay moderate northeast today but will drop back to lighter values for most of the interval after that.

FORECASTS:

TODAY will bring further rainfalls of 5-15 mm in parts of the south and east, more scattered and showery further north where skies may become partly cloudy at times by afternoon and evening, in general it will remain quite cool in northeast to north winds 40 to 70 km/hr, with highs of 11 to 13 C.

TONIGHT will be cloudy with a few showers, moderate northerly winds at times, and lows near 7 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with some heavy showers with thunder and hail possible, spreading in from west to east, and highs near 13 C although it could be even cooler in Ulster.

FRIDAY will continue cool with a few more showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 13 C.

SATURDAY will become partly cloudy with just isolated outbreaks of light rain and somewhat more sunshine in the mix, lows near 2 C and highs near 14 C.

SUNDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, just a slight chance of low cloud and drizzle near northwest coasts, and light winds in most of the country, with frosty lows of -2 to +3 C and highs near 16 C.

MONDAY to WEDNESDAY will become warmer with generous amounts of sunshine, some tendency to cloudier skies in the west at times, but warm temperatures in the 19 to 24 C range, cooled by sea breezes near the south and east coasts.

The outlook is for this warm spell to become cloudier with increasing threats of showery rainfall later in the week, but only a slight decrease in temperatures, if any.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with cloudy intervals and reasonably warm near 17 C. There was a fairly widespread outbreak of severe storms in Texas and Oklahoma which will redevelop in southern Texas, eastern Oklahoma and parts of Missouri and Arkansas today.

M.T. Cranium · 08-05-2019 7:55am

Wednesday, 8 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 May

-- Temperatures will average near normal values but this will be a blend of below normal readings today to Saturday and above normal by Monday and Tuesday.

-- Rainfall will be near normal for most, somewhat above in the south but a lot of this will have fallen by tonight and almost all by Friday. A dry spell of about five days will follow.

-- Sunshine will be below average, but will begin to improve later in the period so that overall the result may be about 75% of the normal 5 to 6 hours a day.

-- Winds will stay moderate northeast today but will drop back to lighter values for most of the interval after that.

FORECASTS:

TODAY will bring further rainfalls of 5-15 mm in parts of the south and east, more scattered and showery further north where skies may become partly cloudy at times by afternoon and evening, in general it will remain quite cool in northeast to north winds 40 to 70 km/hr, with highs of 11 to 13 C.

TONIGHT will be cloudy with a few showers, moderate northerly winds at times, and lows near 7 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with some heavy showers with thunder and hail possible, spreading in from west to east, and highs near 13 C although it could be even cooler in Ulster.

FRIDAY will continue cool with a few more showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 13 C.

SATURDAY will become partly cloudy with just isolated outbreaks of light rain and somewhat more sunshine in the mix, lows near 2 C and highs near 14 C.

SUNDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, just a slight chance of low cloud and drizzle near northwest coasts, and light winds in most of the country, with frosty lows of -2 to +3 C and highs near 16 C.

MONDAY to WEDNESDAY will become warmer with generous amounts of sunshine, some tendency to cloudier skies in the west at times, but warm temperatures in the 19 to 24 C range, cooled by sea breezes near the south and east coasts.

The outlook is for this warm spell to become cloudier with increasing threats of showery rainfall later in the week, but only a slight decrease in temperatures, if any.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with cloudy intervals and reasonably warm near 17 C. There was a fairly widespread outbreak of severe storms in Texas and Oklahoma which will redevelop in southern Texas, eastern Oklahoma and parts of Missouri and Arkansas today.

M.T. Cranium · 09-05-2019 7:15am

Thursday, 9 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 9 to 15 May 2019

-- Temperatures will average about 1 deg above normal on average, starting out somewhat below but ending up 3 or 4 deg above normal before the end of the weekly interval.

-- Rainfall mostly today and tomorrow will average about half the normal weekly amount as the rest of the weekly interval will be dry.

-- Sunshine will average near normal after a cloudy start to the weekly period.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy in some eastern counties, with scattered outbreaks of light rain continuing. The heavier falls will be 5 to 10 mm in parts of Leinster and east Ulster. Some longer dry intervals are likely in west Munster and south Connacht. Some heavier and possibly thundery showers will develop this afternoon in the midlands. Highs 10 to 13 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy and rather cool with lows 1 to 4 C. A few isolated showers are likely.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with a few isolated showers, and highs 11 to 14 C.

SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with sunny intervals more generous in south and west, morning lows near 2 C and afternoon highs near 14 C.

SUNDAY will feature hazy sunshine and after a cool start, lows 1 to 4 C, a warmer day with highs near 16 C.

NEXT WEEK will become quite warm with sunshine for most although cloudier in parts of the northwest, and highs will range from the low 20s in west and midlands to 16 C near south and east coasts and in parts of Ulster. There will be southeast winds of about 20 to 40 km/hr creating a sea breeze environment for south and east coasts.

This warm spell may eventually turn into a cooler spell of east to northeast breezes and highs closer to normal values (14 to 17 C).

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny with a high near 20 C.

M.T. Cranium · 10-05-2019 7:21am

Friday, 10 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead, 10 to 16 May

-- temperatures will gradually warm up and the average will be 1 to 2 deg above normal.

-- rainfall will be generally rather light, 10 to 30 per cent of normal amounts.

-- sunshine will be relatively generous and may exceed normal values by 25% or more.

-- winds will be mostly light to moderate southeasterly after today and Saturday's northerly breezes.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, with the exception of some heavier rain confined to east/central Ulster. Highs will reach about 14 C in the south and 10 C in the north.

TONIGHT will become clear at times and chilly with scattered light frost, lows -1 to +3 C.

SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny and cool with highs 12 to 15 C.

SUNDAY will feature hazy sunshine after a rather frosty start, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 13 to 16 C.

NEXT WEEK will be generally settled and rather warm, especially away from sea breeze cooled south and east coasts. Highs generally about 19 to 22 C but only 14 to 16 C in those sea breezes. Nights will be milder than this weekend but there could be isolated readings of 2 to 5 C among a more general range of 5 to 10 C for overnight lows. Winds will become moderate southeast to south at times by mid-week. The next widespread rain looks like being at least a week off and could be well into the following week.

My local weather was very pleasant with sunshine all day and a high near 21 C. Our small lake is generating a very localized chill so we are getting alternating 15 and 20 degree breezes which can be a bit disconcerting. There's lots of snow at high elevations so the local mountains are quite spectacular looking but the forests are dry after several months of below normal precipitation so we're being warned that the fire season may start soon as people get out camping more often.

With clear nights in your forecast too, you'll easily find Jupiter around midnight low in the south, and it's followed by fairly prominent Saturn. Venus is a bright morning star at the present time and only becomes visible around 0300h in the southeast (it appears similar to Jupiter but brighter, so the earlier appearing object is Jupiter not Venus). Mars is setting shortly after sunset these days and is above similar looking red star Aldebaran, all located to the upper right of Orion which sets a couple of hours after sunset. Mars is almost opposite the earth on the far side of the solar system so it's not anywhere near as bright as it was last summer (since it's four times as distant from us now).

M.T. Cranium · 10-05-2019 7:21am

Friday, 10 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead, 10 to 16 May

-- temperatures will gradually warm up and the average will be 1 to 2 deg above normal.

-- rainfall will be generally rather light, 10 to 30 per cent of normal amounts.

-- sunshine will be relatively generous and may exceed normal values by 25% or more.

-- winds will be mostly light to moderate southeasterly after today and Saturday's northerly breezes.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, with the exception of some heavier rain confined to east/central Ulster. Highs will reach about 14 C in the south and 10 C in the north.

TONIGHT will become clear at times and chilly with scattered light frost, lows -1 to +3 C.

SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny and cool with highs 12 to 15 C.

SUNDAY will feature hazy sunshine after a rather frosty start, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 13 to 16 C.

NEXT WEEK will be generally settled and rather warm, especially away from sea breeze cooled south and east coasts. Highs generally about 19 to 22 C but only 14 to 16 C in those sea breezes. Nights will be milder than this weekend but there could be isolated readings of 2 to 5 C among a more general range of 5 to 10 C for overnight lows. Winds will become moderate southeast to south at times by mid-week. The next widespread rain looks like being at least a week off and could be well into the following week.

My local weather was very pleasant with sunshine all day and a high near 21 C. Our small lake is generating a very localized chill so we are getting alternating 15 and 20 degree breezes which can be a bit disconcerting. There's lots of snow at high elevations so the local mountains are quite spectacular looking but the forests are dry after several months of below normal precipitation so we're being warned that the fire season may start soon as people get out camping more often.

With clear nights in your forecast too, you'll easily find Jupiter around midnight low in the south, and it's followed by fairly prominent Saturn. Venus is a bright morning star at the present time and only becomes visible around 0300h in the southeast (it appears similar to Jupiter but brighter, so the earlier appearing object is Jupiter not Venus). Mars is setting shortly after sunset these days and is above similar looking red star Aldebaran, all located to the upper right of Orion which sets a couple of hours after sunset. Mars is almost opposite the earth on the far side of the solar system so it's not anywhere near as bright as it was last summer (since it's four times as distant from us now).

M.T. Cranium · 11-05-2019 6:59am

Saturday, 11 May, 2019

Forecasts for ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead, 11 to 17 May

-- temperatures will gradually warm up and the average will be 1 to 2 deg above normal.

-- rainfall will be generally rather light, 5 to 25 per cent of normal amounts.

-- sunshine will be relatively generous and may exceed normal values by 25% or more.

-- winds will be mostly light to moderate southeasterly after today.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be rather cloudy to start in Leinster with isolated showers, but some sunshine will develop by afternoon. Most other regions will be partly to mostly sunny but cool with highs in all areas 12 to 15 C.

TONIGHT will become clear with scattered frost, lows -2 to +3 C.

SUNDAY will feature hazy sunshine after a rather frosty start, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 13 to 18 C. Sea breezes will keep it cooler near most coastlines in a generally light southeast wind pattern.

NEXT WEEK will be generally settled and rather warm, especially away from sea breeze cooled south and east coasts. Highs generally about 19 to 22 C but only 14 to 16 C in those sea breezes. Nights will be milder than this weekend but there could be isolated readings of 2 to 5 C among a more general range of 5 to 10 C for overnight lows. Winds will become moderate southeast to south at times by mid-week. The next widespread rain looks like being at least a week off and could be well into the following week.

My local weather was sunny and very warm with highs near 24 C. We might see some thunderstorms later today.

M.T. Cranium · 12-05-2019 7:16am

Sunday, 12 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 12 to 18 May 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average about 1 deg above normal.

-- Rainfall will be slight until near the end of the week but will then provide 20-30 mm by Friday-Saturday.

-- Sunshine will be near average for May, five to six hours on average each day.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy at times, with hazy sunshine breaking through, and a slight chance of drizzly showers in parts of Leinster although amounts will be only trace to 1 mm. Warmer with highs generally about 17 to 20 C, a bit cooler near some coasts due to sea breezes.

TONIGHT will become clear and hazy with lows 4 to 8 C.

MONDAY to WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny each day with pleasantly warm temperatures for most, highs near 20 C and a few degrees warmer in parts of the west. East and south coasts will see some cooling sea breezes and highs closer to 16 C.

THURSDAY will become partly to mostly cloudy in easterly breezes and it will turn a few degrees cooler, highs 14 to 17 C.

FRIDAY and SATURDAY are looking unsettled with 20-30 mm rainfalls expected. Highs 13 to 16 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for rather cool weather, some dry days and some with light rain, and highs 12 to 15 C, somewhat below normal at times.

My local weather saw increasing cloud and warm highs near 24 C, isolated showers developed but nothing fell here yet.

M.T. Cranium · 13-05-2019 7:02am

Monday, 13 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 13 to 19 May, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal.

-- Rainfall will be slight until Friday 17th then almost normal amounts for the interval will accumulate.

-- Sunshine will average a little above normal, with the first four days being sunny and the last three more cloudy.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny, hazy and warm with highs 17 to 22 C. Coolest near east and south coasts, warmest in midlands and west.

TONIGHT will be clear but hazy with lows 5 to 10 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will continue sunny, hazy and warm with highs 18 to 23 C, coolest once again in south and east coastal districts.

THURSDAY will bring some increase in cloud and isolated showers, with highs 16 to 20 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers developing, 5 to 10 mm rain expected, and highs 14 to 17 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK (18th-19th) is unsettled with showers both days, highs near 16 C.

The further outlook is also more unsettled in general with possibility of heavy rain at times later next week.

My local weather continued very warm and dry with a build up of cloud by late afternoon and evening, once again isolated showers missing my location. Highs were around 27 C.

M.T. Cranium · 14-05-2019 7:10am

Tuesday, 14 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for week of 14 to 20 May

-- Temperatures will average 1 or 2 deg above normal.

-- Rainfall will average about 10-15 mm, a little below normal but above 50%.

-- Sunshine will average near normal, 5 to 6 hours a day.

FORECASTS

TODAY will feature hazy sunshine and warm temperatures of 19 to 23 C except near some south and east facing coasts where sea breezes may hold down the maximum temperatures to 16 C.

TONIGHT will be hazy with lows 5 to 10 C.

WEDNESDAY will continue warm with sunny intervals, highs 19 to 23 C, but cooler once again near south and east coasts.

THURSDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers, and highs 17 to 20 C.

FRIDAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals mainly in Ulster and north Leinster, and highs will be near 17 C with rainfalls of 5 to 10 mm expected.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK is for partly cloudy skies both days, some scattered showers but a fair amount of dry weather too. Highs in the normal range of about 15 to 17 C.

NEXT WEEK is looking similar to the weekend for a few more days, then turning cooler later in the week in northerly breezes.

My local weather was sunny with increasing cloud and warm highs near 27 C. This should be the end of our warm spell with a drop in temperatures already underway, isolated showers moving north to south. In general the weather pattern across North America is rather bland at this point with not much severe storm activity given that this is the height of the severe storm season.

M.T. Cranium · 14-05-2019 7:10am

Tuesday, 14 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for week of 14 to 20 May

-- Temperatures will average 1 or 2 deg above normal.

-- Rainfall will average about 10-15 mm, a little below normal but above 50%.

-- Sunshine will average near normal, 5 to 6 hours a day.

FORECASTS

TODAY will feature hazy sunshine and warm temperatures of 19 to 23 C except near some south and east facing coasts where sea breezes may hold down the maximum temperatures to 16 C.

TONIGHT will be hazy with lows 5 to 10 C.

WEDNESDAY will continue warm with sunny intervals, highs 19 to 23 C, but cooler once again near south and east coasts.

THURSDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers, and highs 17 to 20 C.

FRIDAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals mainly in Ulster and north Leinster, and highs will be near 17 C with rainfalls of 5 to 10 mm expected.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK is for partly cloudy skies both days, some scattered showers but a fair amount of dry weather too. Highs in the normal range of about 15 to 17 C.

NEXT WEEK is looking similar to the weekend for a few more days, then turning cooler later in the week in northerly breezes.

My local weather was sunny with increasing cloud and warm highs near 27 C. This should be the end of our warm spell with a drop in temperatures already underway, isolated showers moving north to south. In general the weather pattern across North America is rather bland at this point with not much severe storm activity given that this is the height of the severe storm season.

M.T. Cranium · 15-05-2019 7:14am

Wednesday, 15 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for week of 15 to 21 May

-- Temperatures will average 1 or 2 deg above normal.

-- Rainfall will average about 10-15 mm, a little below normal but above 50%.

-- Sunshine will average near normal, 5 to 6 hours a day.

FORECASTS

TODAY will feature hazy sunshine and warm temperatures of 19 to 23 C except near some south and east facing coasts where sea breezes may hold down the maximum temperatures to 16 C.

TONIGHT will be hazy with increasing cloud and lows 5 to 10 C.

THURSDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers mainly in the southwest and western counties, and highs 17 to 20 C.

FRIDAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals mainly in Ulster and north Leinster, and highs will be near 17 C with rainfalls of 5 to 10 mm expected.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK is for partly cloudy skies both days, some scattered showers but a fair amount of dry weather too. Highs in the normal range of about 15 to 17 C.

NEXT WEEK should continue roughly similar with highs 16 to 19 C, isolated showers but also some decent sunny spells, before it starts to turn cooler and more unsettled towards the end of next week.

My local weather on Tuesday was overcast, still rather warm and humid with rain setting in around mid-afternoon, only a few mms locally and highs near 18 C. Feeling cooler this evening.

Please note, I am moving house this week and it looks like no internet at forecast time so it's possible that I will not be back on line until Thursday morning (your time). We are not going a long way from the current location but it's a bit further south and also a little higher above sea level, probably means more snow in the winter and similar weather the other three seasons.

M.T. Cranium · 15-05-2019 7:14am

Wednesday, 15 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for week of 15 to 21 May

-- Temperatures will average 1 or 2 deg above normal.

-- Rainfall will average about 10-15 mm, a little below normal but above 50%.

-- Sunshine will average near normal, 5 to 6 hours a day.

FORECASTS

TODAY will feature hazy sunshine and warm temperatures of 19 to 23 C except near some south and east facing coasts where sea breezes may hold down the maximum temperatures to 16 C.

TONIGHT will be hazy with increasing cloud and lows 5 to 10 C.

THURSDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers mainly in the southwest and western counties, and highs 17 to 20 C.

FRIDAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals mainly in Ulster and north Leinster, and highs will be near 17 C with rainfalls of 5 to 10 mm expected.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK is for partly cloudy skies both days, some scattered showers but a fair amount of dry weather too. Highs in the normal range of about 15 to 17 C.

NEXT WEEK should continue roughly similar with highs 16 to 19 C, isolated showers but also some decent sunny spells, before it starts to turn cooler and more unsettled towards the end of next week.

My local weather on Tuesday was overcast, still rather warm and humid with rain setting in around mid-afternoon, only a few mms locally and highs near 18 C. Feeling cooler this evening.

Please note, I am moving house this week and it looks like no internet at forecast time so it's possible that I will not be back on line until Friday morning (your time). We are not going a long way from the current location but it's a bit further south and also a little higher above sea level, probably means more snow in the winter and similar weather the other three seasons.

M.T. Cranium · 17-05-2019 6:58am

Friday, 17 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 17 to 23 May 2019

-- Temperatures will average around normal to perhaps 1.5 deg above normal in some places.

-- Rainfall will average about 25 to 40 per cent of normal values.

-- Sunshine will average near normal values although possibly a bit less during the first half of the interval.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain in western counties this morning fading by mid-day, then another pulse of showery rain moving westward from Leinster early afternoon towards the Atlantic coast by late afternoon. Amounts only 2 to 5 mm for most and it could remain dry in a few locations. Highs 16 to 19 C.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy and misty with a few patches of light rain or drizzle, lows near 7 C.

SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, showers and isolated thunderstorms or heavier showers, highs 16 to 19 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows near 7 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, showers mainly in northern counties, lows near 6 C and highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, highs near 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Little change in the rather bland weather pattern with a light easterly wind prevailing, eventually greater chances of rain followed by a colder turn before the end of the month.

My local weather has been overcast all day with some rain at times, highs near 15 C. My move is more or less completed now for the unpacking phase.

M.T. Cranium · 18-05-2019 7:23am

Saturday, 18 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 18 to 24 May

-- Temperatures will average near or slightly below normal.

-- Rainfall will average near or slightly above normal.

-- Sunshine will be only half to perhaps three-quarters of the normal 5 to 6 hours a day.

-- Winds will be generally light and from a mostly northerly direction but with variations to westerly later.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with showers developing and risk of an isolated thunderstorm. Highs 13 to 16 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy and cool with mist patches developing and lows 3 to 7 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, mostly in northern counties, and one or two of those could be heavy. Highs 13 to 17 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy but with more generous sunshine in the south, showers confined mostly to the north. Lows 4 to 7 C. Highs 13 to 16 C.

TUESDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy and cool with a few showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

WEDNESDAY will be overcast with rain developing, highs near 14 C.

OUTLOOK calls for a continuation of this somewhat cooler pattern with more tendency to unsettled weather. No definitive signs of heavy rainfalls later in the month but would not be surprising to see rainfall eventually reaching normal monthly values after a rather dry start to the month.

My local weather has been cloudy and cool all day with intermittent light rain and highs around 13 C.

M.T. Cranium · 19-05-2019 7:37am

Sunday, 19 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 19 to 25 May

-- Temperatures will average near or slightly below normal.

-- Rainfall will average near or slightly above normal.

-- Sunshine will be only half to perhaps three-quarters of the normal 5 to 6 hours a day.

-- Winds will be generally light and from a mostly northerly direction but with variations to moderate westerly by the end of the week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will become partly cloudy after a rather overcast start, with isolated showers developing, mostly in northern counties, and one or two of those could be heavy. Highs 13 to 17 C.

TONIGHT will see some clearing especially in south and west, with lows 4 to 7 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy but with more generous sunshine in the south, showers confined mostly to the north. Lows 4 to 7 C. Highs 13 to 16 C.

TUESDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy and cool with a few showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy for the morning and early afternoon also in Leinster, then becoming overcast with rain developing from the west by late in the day, highs near 14 C. Some persistent rainfalls overnight into Thursday morning could bring 10-20 mm.

THURSDAY will see rain tapering off to showers with a gradual clearing trend, lows near 10 C and highs near 14 C.

FRIDAY will become partly cloudy with better sunshine and highs near 16 C.

WEEKEND OF 25th-26th OUTLOOK ... Rather cloudy, breezy, and humid with frequent showers and highs near 18 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Turning cooler with northerly breezes, occasional showers, highs only 12 to 15 C, a few degrees below normal for late May.

My local weather was overcast and quite cool with occasional light rain and highs only about 12 C. Not a very good start to our May holiday weekend but perhaps some improvements as the full moon can now be seen behind broken high cloud layers.

M.T. Cranium · 20-05-2019 6:43am

Monday, 20 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 20 to 26 May

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 deg below normal. Highs will be typically around 15 C.

-- Rainfall will average about 10 to 20 mm which is near or slightly below average.

-- Sunshine will average about 4 to 5 hours a day, which is also slightly below average.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with more persistent cloud in north, some showers there with isolated heavier showers possible, but some parts of the south will remain dry. Highs 13 to 16 C.

TONIGHT will feature some clear spells and cool temperatures in the 1 to 5 C range, scattered light ground frost possible.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy with longer sunny intervals in the south, scattered showers in parts of the north, and highs 13 to 16 C.

WEDNESDAY will start out sunny to partly cloudy, turning overcast later in the day, with rain by evening in the west. Lows 1 to 5 C and highs about 17 C.

THURSDAY will bring intervals of rain (10-15 mm for some) and highs near 14 C with a gradual slow clearing trend later in the day.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 15 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK (25-26 May) calls for humid, overcast to partly cloudy weather with a few showers and moderate westerly winds, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

NEXT WEEK will turn a bit cooler again with occasional showers and sunny spells, and highs around 12 to 14 C.

My local weather was partly cloudy and dry on Sunday with a high near 15 C.

M.T. Cranium · 21-05-2019 7:26am

Tuesday, 21 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 21 to 27 May

-- Temperatures will average near normal. Highs will be typically around 17 C.

-- Rainfall will average about 10 to 20 mm which is near or slightly below average.

-- Sunshine will average about 4 to 5 hours a day, which is also slightly below average.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with longer sunny intervals in the south, scattered showers in parts of the north, and highs 13 to 16 C north, to about 16 to 19 C south.

TONIGHT will see clear intervals again with lows 1 to 5 C and scattered light ground frosts in north midlands.

WEDNESDAY will start out sunny to partly cloudy, turning overcast later in the day, with rain by evening in the west. Lows 1 to 5 C and highs about 17 C.

THURSDAY will bring intervals of rain (5-15 mm for some) and highs of 14 to 17 C with a gradual slow clearing trend later in the day.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and lows near 6 C, highs near 17 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK (25-26 May) calls for humid, overcast to partly cloudy weather with a few showers and moderate westerly winds, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

NEXT WEEK will turn a bit cooler again with occasional showers and sunny spells, and highs around 12 to 15 C.

My local weather was partly cloudy in the morning and overcast by afternoon but dry on Monday with a high near 15 C. There was a fairly intense outbreak of severe storms in Texas and Oklahoma although so far reports suggest that it avoided the major damage feared, with flooding rainfalls being the more pressing concern as 200 mm fell near Tulsa, OK. However there may have been one or two isolated destructive tornado touchdowns, difficult to say until daylight breaks in the region. This complex of storms will redevelop on Tuesday in Missouri and Arkansas.

M.T. Cranium · 22-05-2019 7:25am

Wednesday, 22 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

SUMMER OUTLOOK -- Here's a brief overview of how I think the summer of 2019 might turn out. The key word is average -- most indications are that the current rather featureless and bland weather pattern will continue to be the background theme, so June and possibly July temperatures will remain quite close to average and so will rainfall, although there may be one or two places seeing quite an isolated heavy downpour at some point in that kind of scenario. Then I believe that a warmer trend will set in for August and early September which may be warmer than average and reasonably dry with the possibility of isolated heavy thunderstorm rainfalls. At this point I don't think it will be a lot different from the long-term averages but that may make for a reasonably pleasant summer.

TRENDS for the week of 22 to 28 May

-- Temperatures will average to slightly above normal. Highs will be typically around 17 C.

-- Rainfall will average about 10 to 20 mm which is near or slightly below average.

-- Sunshine will average about 4 to 5 hours a day, which is also slightly below average.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out partly cloudy to overcast, with best chances for sunshine near the south coast and in east Ulster where it will also be turning overcast later in the day, then rain will develop by evening in the southwest. Highs about 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT will see patchy light rain spreading further east, 5-10 mm in some parts, and lows near 10 C.

THURSDAY will bring further intervals of rain (5-15 mm for some) and highs of 14 to 17 C with a gradual slow clearing trend later in the day as the rain fragments to isolated showers.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and lows near 6 C, highs near 17 or 18 C.

SATURDAY will be mostly cloudy but with some sunny intervals in the south, warmer and rather humid, with showers possible in north Connacht and Ulster mainly, highs near 18 C north and 21 C inland south although cooler near west and south coasts where some persistent low cloud may linger

SUNDAY will bring cooler air and a line of showers that may contain one or two thunderstorms, a few stronger wind gusts to 60 km/hr, and highs near 17 C.

NEXT WEEK will see a slight decrease in temperatures but it should stay fairly close to average at about 14 to 16 C with a few showers on most days.

My local weather on Tuesday was mostly cloudy with a few breaks and the high was about 16 C.

M.T. Cranium · 23-05-2019 7:22am

Thursday, 23 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of May 23 to 29, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal although warmer on the weekend, cooler after Monday.

-- Rainfall will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal.

-- Sunshine may average near normal for a few parts of the south and southwest, otherwise 50 to 75 per cent of normal.

-- It will become considerably breezier than recent days (weeks) by the weekend and this trend may continue next week.

FORECASTS ...

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few breaks developing this afternoon and evening. Light rain will continue to edge east, becoming more showery later this morning and tending to die out completely during the afternoon. 2 to 7 mm amounts will be typical. Highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with lows near 7 C.

FRIDAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, and some isolated showers will develop from north Connacht into the midlands and south Ulster. Highs about 16 C.

SATURDAY will be rather warm with some sunny breaks despite a predominantly cloudy sky in most parts, perhaps longer sunny intervals for the inland southwest, and isolated showers in the north. It will feel quite humid compared to most of this month, and highs will reach 20 C inland.

SUNDAY will become breezy and turn cooler in stages with some heavy showers along a cold front and the risk of an isolated thunderstorm, but fresher and partly cloudy by afternoon and evening, lows only about 12 C and highs near 17 C. Winds becoming west to northwest about 50 to 70 km/hr.

MONDAY will be breezy and cooler, with frequent showers and risk of a brief thunderstorm. Highs about 14 C.

TUESDAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, isolated showers and brisk northerly winds, quite cool for late May, highs 11 to 14 C.

The OUTLOOK beyond that is unsettled and only slightly warmer into the 14 to 16 C range.

My local weather was partly cloudy with better sunny breaks by late afternoon and evening, and a comfortable 17 C.

M.T. Cranium · 24-05-2019 7:05am

Friday, 24 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of May 24 to 30, 2019

-- Temperatures will average slightly below normal after Saturday reaches above normal briefly, but considerably cooler readings next week will dominate the averages which may run 1 to 2 degrees below normal by the 30th.

-- Rainfall will average near normal but most of that will come towards the end of the interval, before then just 25 to 50 per cent of normal amounts can be expected.

-- Sunshine may average near normal for a few parts of the south and southwest, otherwise 50 to 75 per cent of normal.

-- It will become considerably breezier than recent days (weeks) by the weekend and this trend may continue next week.

FORECASTS ...

TODAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, and some isolated showers will develop from north Connacht into the midlands and south Ulster. Highs about 16 C.

TONIGHT will be rather cloudy and misty but mild with drizzle near Atlantic coasts at times, lows 9 to 12 C.

SATURDAY will be rather warm with some sunny breaks developing despite a predominantly cloudy sky in most parts, perhaps longer sunny intervals for the inland southwest, and isolated showers in the north, the outer edges of some heavier rain pushing across western Scotland. It will feel quite humid compared to most of this month, and highs will reach 20 C inland.

SUNDAY will become breezy and turn cooler in stages with some heavy showers along a cold front and the risk of an isolated thunderstorm, but fresher and partly cloudy by afternoon and evening, lows only about 12 C and highs near 17 C. Winds becoming west to northwest about 50 to 70 km/hr. About 5 mm of rain will fall on average, some places could get closer to 10 mm but it won't be raining for long intervals, just short, sharp bursts followed by clearing.

MONDAY will be breezy and cooler, with frequent showers and risk of a brief thunderstorm. Lows near 7 C and highs about 14 C.

TUESDAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, isolated showers and brisk northerly winds, quite cool for late May, lows near 5 C and highs 11 to 14 C.

WEDNESDAY will continue cool and dry with lows 2 to 5 C and highs 11 to 16 C.

The OUTLOOK beyond that is unsettled and only slightly warmer into the 14 to 16 C range with the risk of heavier rainfalls at times towards the end of the month. The first ten days of June are looking generally cool but frequently dry once the brief wetter interval at end of this month closes out by about 2nd of June. Typical highs then may be a few degrees below seasonal averages, or around 16 C rather than 18 to 20 which is the normal range.

My local weather was bright despite a lot of higher cloud most of the day, and a bit warmer with highs near 20 C.

M.T. Cranium · 25-05-2019 6:41am

Saturday, 25 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 25 to 31 May 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will be near average with somewhat cooler than normal readings in the first half of next week.

-- Rainfall will average near normal amounts in the north but will continue below normal in some parts of the south. Most of the rainfall counting towards this total will be around Wednesday and Thursday after some smaller amounts on Sunday and Monday.

-- Sunshine will probably average a bit below normal (which is about six hours a day).

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with some mid-day and afternoon sunny breaks mostly in the midlands. It will feel quite humid and highs could reach 20 or 21 C inland, but 18 C around Dublin and 16 C near west coast where low cloud and spotty drizzle may linger.

TONIGHT will see frequent light rain showers and possibly a brief thundershower, with lows around 12 C.

SUNDAY will have clearing skies during the late morning then a partly cloudy and fresher afternoon with scattered showers, winds increasing to westerly 40 to 60 km/hr, and highs near 17 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and frequent showers, some rather heavy with hail and thunder. Lows near 7 C and highs near 15.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy and cool with lows near 5 C and highs near 14 C.

WEDNESDAY will become overcast after a clear but cool start, then rain will sweep in although perhaps rather showery in the far south. Highs will be about 15 C.

OUTLOOK is rather uncertain, guidance has been wavering between cooler weather returning, or a continuation of the mid-week frontal zone weather with more showers and near average temperatures. Early June is starting to look a bit warmer again with fairly pleasant conditions most days and temperatures at least near normal if not slightly above at times.

My local weather was overcast, muggy and showery with a few heavier bursts of rain and one or two rumbles of distant thunder. The radar was showing activity all over the region moving from east to west around a broad low pressure area in southern Washington state and central Idaho. This is going to keep pumping moisture our way and so we're looking at a fairly wet weekend here (near the U.S.-Canada border in southern B.C.).

M.T. Cranium · 26-05-2019 7:03am

Sunday, 26 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 26 May to 1 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal although cool at first, warmer than average later to balance things out.

-- Rainfalls may actually exceed normal amounts in some parts of the northern and central counties, south still looking a bit drier.

-- Sunshine will be challenged to reach even half of normal and will have to do most of that after about Thursday (today may help a bit).

FORECASTS

TODAY will see the last of the cloud and showers from the passing front rapidly moving away to be followed by partly cloudy and breezy weather with perhaps a few more showers developing, these mainly in the northwest. Highs 15 to 18 C, winds west to northwest 40-60 km/hr.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with occasional light rain and diminishing westerly breezes, lows near 8 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with occasional rain and risk of heavier showers with thunder or hail in a few spots. Cooler with highs only about 14 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy, mostly dry with isolated showers, and cool, lows near 4 C and highs near 15 C.

WEDNESDAY will start out clear and chilly with morning lows 2 to 5 C, then increasing cloud will lead to rain, highs near 15 C.

THURSDAY will see further rain tapering to showers, then gradual clearing, lows near 9 C and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY and the WEEKEND are now looking improved with sunshine at times each day and relatively warm highs near 20 or 21 C.

The first part of June looks similar although with a few weak frontal systems bringing brief showery intervals, but the dominant theme will be dry and reasonably warm at times.

My local weather on Saturday was overcast with occasional light rain, highs about 16 C.

M.T. Cranium · 27-05-2019 6:23am

Monday, 27 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 27 May to 2 June 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal or slightly below (to 1.5 deg below).

-- Rainfall will be near average but may exceed average amounts in central and northern counties.

-- Sunshine will be only about half of the normal six hours per day on average.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few breaks, and frequent showers will develop, some with hail and thunder. Rainfalls of 5 to 15 mm for most, perhaps 2 to 5 mm near south coast.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy and cool with just isolated remnant showers, lows 3 to 7 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast and cool with isolated showers and highs near 13 C.

WEDNESDAY will see rain from early morning in the south and west, spreading further north later in the day. About 10 mm of rain may fall in some areas. Lows near 7 C (2 to 5 C in east Ulster and north Leinster) and highs near 15 C.

THURSDAY will bring continued heavy showers, with a gradual clearing trend late in the day, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy, warm and rather humid with outbreaks of rain returning later in the day, highs near 19 C and possibly a bit higher in Leinster.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK -- Latest guidance shows further outbreaks of rain during the weekend and it should stay relatively warm at 18 to 20 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK -- Rain at times then turning cooler during the first week of June.

My local weather on Sunday was mostly cloudy with light rain showers at times, then clearing up during the evening. The high was about 16 degrees.

(on a road trip for a few days, should have internet and will try to post forecasts at usual times but some might be a bit delayed)

M.T. Cranium · 28-05-2019 7:12am

Tuesday, 28 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 28 May to 3 June 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal for late May into early June, although days may be cooler while nights are milder than average due to frequent cloud cover.

-- Rainfall will average near normal to 25% above normal in some northern and central counties.

-- Sunshine will average below normal by as much as half the usual amount which is about 6 hours a day.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy and cool with just a few isolated showers, highs near 15 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast with rain in parts of Munster, lows near 7 C.

WEDNESDAY will be mostly cloudy with further outbreaks of rain spreading into central and northern counties. Highs 16 to 18 C in Munster, 12 to 15 C elsewhere.

THURSDAY will be cloudy with showers bringing rainfall totals for the two days up to about 20 mm in places. Lows near 9 C and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY will be rather warm and humid with outbreaks of rain, possibly becoming heavy in some western counties. Highs near 18 C.

SATURDAY there will be some early sunshine or at least dry spells then rain is expected later in the day moving into the southwest by early afternoon and the east coast by later afternoon. Highs around 17 C.

SUNDAY will bring showers and gusty winds, highs near 15 C.

At present the outlook for next week is cooler and somewhat unsettled, highs mostly in the 14 to 16 C range.

My local weather was sunny with cloudy intervals and the high was about 25 C.

M.T. Cranium · 29-05-2019 7:46am

Wednesday, 29 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 29 May to 4 June 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal (nights may be 1-2 deg above normal due to persistent cloud).

-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal for many areas.

-- Sunshine will average only about half of the normal amount.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain moving further north and becoming heavier in Ulster and north Connacht later. Highs about 15 C in north to 18 C in south.

TONIGHT will be overcast with further rain and lows near 12 C.

THURSDAY will be warm and humid with showers and isolated thunderstorms, highs near 20 C.

FRIDAY will be wet in most western and northern counties, starting off partly cloudy in east and south but overcast by afternoon with showers, highs 18 to 21 C.

SATURDAY will see some clearing during the morning and a dry interval mid-day before more rain arrives at least in the west by late afternoon, spreading east overnight. Highs near 19 C.

SUNDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with showers, cooler with moderate southwest to west winds, highs near 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Cooler with showers first part of next week, then somewhat warmer but mostly cloudy with risk of some heavier rain developing.

My local weather (still near the coast on Tuesday) was cloudy for the morning and sunny by afternoon, highs near 21 C.

M.T. Cranium · 30-05-2019 7:27am

Thursday, 30 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week of 30 May to 5 June 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal (nights may be 1-2 deg above normal due to persistent cloud). Monday onward will be cooler than the first four days of this interval.

-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal for many areas.

-- Sunshine will average only about half of the normal amount.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be warm and humid with showers and isolated thunderstorms, fairly persistent in the north, only isolated in southern counties by afternoon, where highs will be near 20 C. It should reach about 18 or 19 in Dublin and 16 to 18 in parts of the west and north.

TONIGHT will continue mostly cloudy, muggy and mild with some further rain in the north, lows 10 to 13 C.

FRIDAY will be wet in most western and northern counties, starting off partly cloudy in east and south but overcast by afternoon with showers making some progress into those areas, highs 18 to 21 C.

SATURDAY will see some clearing overnight lasting into part of the morning (at least in south and east), and there should be a dry interval mid-day before more rain arrives at least in the west by late afternoon, spreading east overnight. Lows near 8 C and highs 17 to 19 C.

SUNDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with showers, cooler with moderate southwest to west winds, highs near 16 C.

OUTLOOK ... Cooler with showers first part of next week, highs 13 to 16 C, then somewhat warmer but mostly cloudy with risk of some heavier rain developing, highs 15 to 19 C.

My local weather on a travel day Wednesday started out cloudy at the coast, became mostly sunny about halfway back to home base then cloudy again by evening arriving home. Where it was clear we could see tops of rather weak thundershowers that were trying to form over higher terrain but they weren't producing much if any rain or lightning. It was very warm and muggy most of the way too, around 25 C at peak.

____________________________________________________________________________

We are closing in on the tenth anniversary of this forecast thread (31st of May 2009, I had this idea .... that people (cough cough) would like to make forecasts on the weather forum. It turned into this and I've enjoyed it a lot.

Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

Comments