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01-06-2020, 09:27   #16
NIMAN
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Originally Posted by Gonzo View Post
Gavs weather has released his summer forecast and it is a very interesting watch.

In summary this is shaping up to be a similar summer to 1990 and 1995.

June: cool at times with northerlies and average precipitation
July: mostly dry and very warm
August: high pressure dominates and there is the potential for some hot conditions.

Bare in mind this could all go wrong and a hot summer outlook for the UK does not always verify for Ireland. Could we be on our way to a classic summer? only time will tell.

link to his forecast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbkiWSWYtEM
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I have heard on a few occasions the meteorologists tell us it they can only accurately predict weather approx 10 days ahead.

How are people making predictions for July and August?

Surely it's only guessing and if they are right then they'll never stop telling us how accurate they are, and if they are wrong we won't hear a thing mentioned.
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01-06-2020, 09:39   #17
Harry Palmr
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Fecks sake, no air this morning. Very warm already in Waterford where we've been in a near gale steady breeze in the last few days.
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01-06-2020, 09:41   #18
sryanbruen
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Surely it's only guessing and if they are right then they'll never stop telling us how accurate they are, and if they are wrong we won't hear a thing mentioned.
Most are like that (especially on the Twitter scene) but Gav is not. He verifies his forecasts at the start of the new month or the new season. Check out his recent autumn and winter forecast verifications for example which were a complete flop but spring one has been much better.

It's all luck based at the end of the day which I only came to realise myself after arguing the opposite a few years ago on here. Part of the reason why I lost interest in doing them. So much effort for so little reward.

Last edited by sryanbruen; 01-06-2020 at 10:19.
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01-06-2020, 10:32   #19
SleetAndSnow
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Happy summer all! Already up to about 20/21 degrees here in cork city this morning. What a great start!
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01-06-2020, 10:46   #20
NIMAN
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Could someone clarify what temps Met.ie predict as guides for each day?

I always assumed it was shade temps, isn't that how it's done?

It's just that they are saying it will get to 20c where I am in north Donegal today. But I'm already sitting outside in nothing but a pair of shorts at 1030 and it is roasting. I can only imagine how hot it'll be at 3 or 4 after it builds.

Then it has 12c for tomorrow, a massive drop off.

Last edited by NIMAN; 01-06-2020 at 13:57.
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01-06-2020, 11:35   #21
Danno
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24.0c reached just after 11am
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01-06-2020, 11:36   #22
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24C already in Castlebar, probably the nicest morning of the whole spell and there have been quite a few.
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01-06-2020, 11:43   #23
Gonzo
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today could be the warmest day of the year for parts of the west. Yesterday's Arpege had a max value of around 28C. I think 27C is at least possible today in the mid west.

21C here at Dunshaughlin which is already 1C higher than at any stage yesterday. Hopefully the sea breezes won't kick in as temperature limiting as yesterday.
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01-06-2020, 11:48   #24
Goldfinch8
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24C already in Castlebar, probably the nicest morning of the whole spell and there have been quite a few.

My favourite morning of the whole spell also. Little or no breeze and that almost continental feel to the morning heat. If ever there was a morning for a leisurely breakfast outside. Glorious.
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01-06-2020, 12:02   #25
Oscar Bravo
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Met eireann

Weather Fact: The lowest temperature ever recorded for the month of June was recorded on this day back in 1962. It was a chilly -3.3C at Clonsast, Co. Offaly.
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01-06-2020, 12:03   #26
pad199207
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24.4°c in Kildare at 12:00
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01-06-2020, 12:07   #27
SleetAndSnow
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Cork airport reporting 21 degrees atm, the highest of the spell so far i believe for the station. About 23 in my own garden currently.
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01-06-2020, 12:12   #28
Donegal Storm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NIMAN View Post
Could someone clarify what temps Met.ie predict as guides for each day?

I always assumed it was share temps, isn't that how it's done?

It's just that they are saying it will get to 20c where I am in north Donegal today. But I'm already sitting outside in nothing but a pair of shorts at 1030 and it is roasting. I can only imagine how hot it'll be at 3 or 4 after it builds.

Then it has 12c for tomorrow, a massive drop off.
As far as I can tell they go off your nearest weather station which in your case would be Malin Head.

Malin is just about the most useless station in the country for temperature as it's never representative of anything more than the immediate coastal headland. It's always cooler in summer and milder in winter than even just a to couple of miles inland
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01-06-2020, 12:18   #29
Gonzo
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22C now in Meath, already feeling much warmer than yesterday.
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01-06-2020, 13:17   #30
Oneiric 3
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Met Eireann temps at 1pm:



Warmest inland again. Tomorrow this heat will (thankfully) shift more to the east, with the likes of Laois, Kilkenny, Kildare etc potentially seeing the highest temps of all of this current spell.
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