Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

Friday, 31 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 31 May to 6 June, 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal with highs often in the mid-teens after today and Saturday.

-- Rainfall will average near normal and it will accumulate a little at a time through the period.

-- Sunshine will average at best two-thirds of the normal amount (six hours daily on average) and possibly worse than that in places.


FORECASTS

TODAY will start out cloudy with widespread light rain or drizzle, heavier rain in parts of Connacht. This will trend towards heavy showers moving further east across northern counties while southern counties could get some dry intervals and the odd break in the overcast. It will feel rather muggy in the south with highs near 19 C, cooler in the north with highs about 15 C. 10-20 mm rainfalls possible in the north.

TONIGHT will have a clearing trend and lows will be about 7 C.

SATURDAY will start out sunny in the east and south with increasing cloud. It will be largely overcast in the north and west, dry for a while then some rain will arrive there by late afternoon. Highs near 17 C.

SUNDAY will feature some heavy early morning rainfalls followed by partly cloudy to overcast skies and further showers, about 10 mm of rain on average. Highs near 15 C.

MONDAY and TUESDAY are looking quite cool now with occasional showers and a mixture of cloud and sunshine although cloud dominating in most places, lows around 6 C and highs only about 14 C.

OUTLOOK calls for only a slight increase in temperatures after that towards perhaps 17 C with a little rain here and there each day, although dry intervals too, as heavier rainfalls develop further east but at this point appear more likely to track through Britain than Ireland.

My local weather on Thursday was cloudy, warm and oppressive with some heavy thundershowers forming by late afternoon and we had quite a downpour for half an hour, probably 20 mm of rain (which is good news as the forests were starting to dry out ominously). These showers were fairly widespread so at least half the southern regions of the province got a good soaking from them. Meanwhile, I hadn't mentioned a lot of the details due to my travels etc, but there has been a two-week outbreak of very severe weather in the central U.S., this showed some signs of weakening on Thursday. Not only have there been many tornados but an unusual number of the stronger ones have decided to target large cities (among them, Dayton OH, Jefferson City MO, suburbs of Oklahoma City (El Reno) and Kansas City both KS and MO). It's a minor miracle that the death toll has been relatively low with all of these strong tornados hitting urban areas, often at night.

So as mentioned we are almost at the ten-year mark, I said this started on 31st May 2009 but that was in my time zone, I think the first post appeared on the morning of 1st of June 2009. In all that time, we've seen some dramatic weather events, just to name a few, the late 2010 snow and severe cold, the 2013 and 2014 hot summers and a few interesting storms, Storm Darwin in Feb 2014 and all the other storms that same winter, Hurricane Ophelia in Oct 2017, and the remarkable snowfalls of late Feb into first of March 2018. This is when I actually have to do some serious work on these forecasts, otherwise it's mainly a function of my residing in a time zone where 0400h to 0600h (forecast decision time) is not middle of the night for me, but mid-evening so that's why (more than any other reason) I've been doing these forecasts and other equally capable (or more so) weather forum members have been just filling in graciously when I do get a few weeks away. But as I've said many times, the more significant forecasts tend to draw on the full experience of the forum as expressed in the discussion threads, while these less dramatic periods, I tend to hug the models (not a bad thing to do most of the time). I can't say looking forward to the next ten years as I have another milestone looming, the dreaded 70th, so we'll see how this plays out (ya never know).

secman wrote: »

"Hopefully as our summer forecast predicted, the trend will improve later in the summer. Of course, some consider summer to be 21st of June to 20th of September or thereabouts, and they seem to have a point."
Can someone post a link to this forecast, akesys look ouf for it every year, but somehow missed it, thanks

It was posted with the 22nd of May forecast ... but this is it so you won't need to scroll back there ...

SUMMER OUTLOOK -- Here's a brief overview of how I think the summer of 2019 might turn out. The key word is average -- most indications are that the current rather featureless and bland weather pattern will continue to be the background theme, so June and possibly July temperatures will remain quite close to average and so will rainfall, although there may be one or two places seeing quite an isolated heavy downpour at some point in that kind of scenario. Then I believe that a warmer trend will set in for August and early September which may be warmer than average and reasonably dry with the possibility of isolated heavy thunderstorm rainfalls. At this point I don't think it will be a lot different from the long-term averages but that may make for a reasonably pleasant summer.

Sunday, 2 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 2 to 8 June 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 2 deg below normal.

-- Rainfall will amount to twice or even three times normal in the south and east, closer to normal in north and west.

-- Sunshine will average half of the normal amount, or about three hours a day on average.

-- It will be quite windy for this time of year.


FORECASTS


TODAY ... Breezy and rather cool with a few passing showers, but also some brief breaks in the overcast. There will be an interval of strong winds in Connacht and west Ulster this afternoon and early evening, southwest 60-100 km/hr, while in other parts of the country, peak gusts of about 80 km/hr. Highs 14 to 17 C.

TONIGHT ... Outbreaks of light rain, 5 to 10 mm possible in north and west, moderate southwest winds 40 to 70 km/hr, lows near 10 C.

MONDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, moderate southwest winds becoming more variable by afternoon. Highs 14 to 17 C.

TUESDAY ... Rain from early morning spreading through Munster and Leinster, with some heavy amounts especially over higher terrain in southeast. Potential for 40 to 70 mm totals there, otherwise 20 to 50 mm. Not quite as wet in Connacht and Ulster but persistent light rain. Cool with northeast winds increasing to 50 to 70 km/hr. Lows near 10 C and highs 12 to 15 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, cool, showers, highs near 14 C.

THURSDAY ... Heavy showers, risk of a thunderstorm, highs near 15 C.

OUTLOOK ... Friday and Saturday will be unsettled but another spell of heavy rain could develop by Sunday 9th. The weather appears likely to remain unsettled into the following week but there could be brief spells of much warmer weather with that.

My local weather was sunny and very warm with a high near 28 C.

Tuesday, 4 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 4 to 10 June 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 2 deg below normal.

-- Rainfall will amount to 150% to 250% of normal amounts in parts of Munster and Leinster, closer to normal amounts in Connacht and Ulster.

-- Sunshine will average half of the normal amount, or about three hours a day on average.


FORECASTS


TODAY ... Rain will continue to spread north through the midlands and Leinster reaching east Ulster later this morning. Further amounts of 15 to 30 mm are possible. Further west the rain will be more showery but could develop into locally heavy showers or thunderstorms in a few spots. Cool with highs only 12 to 15 C. Winds moderate northeast backing to northerly 40 to 60 km/hr at times.

TONIGHT ... Some clearing in central counties, as rain more confined to north coast, but renewed outbreaks later near south coast also. Lows about 5 C central, closer to 9 C where rain continues.

WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, cool, showers, lows near 5 C and highs near 14 C.

THURSDAY ... Isolated heavy showers, risk of a thunderstorm, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY and SATURDAY will continue unsettled with a lot of cloud, brief sunny intervals, and showers, with highs around 15 C.

SUNDAY is looking rather wet again, with a system similar to today's rainfall event moving through eastern and central counties, and quite cool temperatures 12 to 14 C.

NEXT WEEK is starting to look somewhat improved now with high pressure building up by mid-week, possibly a few dry days coming along after the 10th. Rather far off to give very precise details but temperatures may also recover to more normal readings in the high teens to near 20 C.

My local weather on Monday was sunny and still rather warm although a bit cooler than the heat on the weekend with a high around 24 C.

Thursday, 6 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will continue cool, around 1.5 to 2.5 degrees below normal for time of year.

-- Rainfall will ease slightly (now that a lot of the previously predicted amounts have fallen) to near or a little above normal for the week.

-- Sunshine will continue to run below normal especially in the north, some parts of the south may come closer to average amounts. There will be an improving trend by mid-week.


FORECASTS


TODAY ... A mixture of cloud and sunshine to start, except in Connacht and parts of Donegal where the last of the persistent rain will continue this morning (about 5 mm further rain can be expected there). By mid-day watch for the development of heavy showers in central counties, spreading to Leinster during the later afternoon, with risk of some isolated heavy thunderstorms. Highs near 15 C.

TONIGHT ... Some clear intervals, cool, lows 4 to 7 C.

FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals, more frequent in west, isolated showers, and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY NIGHT some heavy rain moving north across Wales and western England will edge into coastal areas near the east coast and eventually may bring 5 to 15 mm rain overnight to parts of north and central Leinster and east Ulster. Lows near 9 C. Staying dry further west with moderate northwest winds at times.

SATURDAY and SUNDAY will be somewhat improved with partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds and after any rain comes and goes on Saturday morning in the north and east, just a few scattered showers likely. Highs near 17 C.

MONDAY will start out dry then see outbreaks of light rain and highs near 16 C.

The rest of next week may continue with the same partly cloudy, somewhat unsettled weather although there are some models showing a greater improvement now, so while confidence in that may be low at this point, it is something to monitor especially if you're looking for a few dry days. Perhaps there will be some better certainty on this outcome by Friday morning's forecast.

My local weather managed to get cooler again for the fourth consecutive day with mostly cloudy skies, highs near 19 C and some rain by evening.

Saturday, 8 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 June, 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 1.5 to 2.5 deg below normal.
-- Rainfall will average near normal values but will be fairly persistent at times giving the appearance of wetter than average conditions.
-- Sunshine will average about two thirds of normal values, more like 4 hours a day than the average of six.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out rather cloudy with a few breaks mostly in west-central counties. Light rain or drizzle will come and go near the east coast but will only be persistent in east Ulster for a time. Later in the afternoon some heavier showers may develop in moderate westerly winds. It will continue rather cool with highs 14 to 16 C.

TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with a few remnant showers and lows near 7 C. Mist and fog patches will be fairly widespread by morning.

SUNDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and moderate west backing to southwest breezes, eventually some rather heavy showers are likely with a few isolated thundershowers in west Munster. Highs about 15 C.

MONDAY will see a mixture of cloud and sunshine with showers somewhat more isolated, longer dry intervals possible. Lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY to THURSDAY will likely be rather cloudy with some outbreaks of light rain more likely in Ulster and parts of north Leinster, midlands and east Connacht. Winds will set up from the northeast and will sometimes be rather gusty near the east coast. Highs will range from about 14 C in the east to 17 C in the west, and overnight lows will be around 8 C.

There are some signs of a slow warming trend beyond that, but we'll get more excited about that if it continues to show on more reliable time frames in a few days' time.

My local weather was mostly cloudy with the odd glimpse of blue sky, and occasional showers, with distant rumbles of thunder too. And it was quite chilly here also with highs barely making it to 14 C locally. We are expecting a slow improving trend starting this weekend. (If you are watching the Canadian Open golf with several Irish players in contention, that's near Toronto at Hamilton ON a long way east from here, and their weather is expected to remain mostly sunny on the weekend).

Monday, 10 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 June, 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average about 1 to 2 deg below normal.
-- Rainfall will average near normal (in contrast to Britain where 2 to 4 times normal amounts are expected)
-- Sunshine will average a little below average but will tend to be quite variable from place to place.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out with a few sunny intervals and isolated showers. Some heavier and more persistent showers and an isolated thunderstorm will develop in Leinster most likely some distance inland this afternoon bringing localized rainfalls of 10 to 15 mm. Many other parts of the country could remain relatively dry (1 to 3 mm). Highs will range from 14 to 17 C depending on how much sunshine breaks through.

TONIGHT will see some clearing again with rather cool overnight lows 3 to 7 C.

TUESDAY will continue relatively settled in many parts of Ireland while heavy rain moves into Britain from the east. Some outer fringes of this rainfall may sweep across the southeast by late afternoon or evening, but other places will remain dry, in a strengthening northeast wind. Highs near 14 C east to 18 C west. If rain does hit the southeast, it could amount to 10-15 mm in Wexford and 5-10 mm further north and west, and this could persist overnight.

WEDNESDAY will see isolated showers and a mixture of cloud and sunshine, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY will feature some sunny intervals, very isolated showers, lows near 5 C and highs near 17 C.

Another heavy rainfall event will move into Britain around Thursday, and this one may not track as far south as it heads west, meaning that it could overspread most of Ireland by Friday. The forecast scenario for Friday and the weekend is quite uncertain but there is a risk of some intervals of moderate if not heavy rainfall in the 20-30 mm range. Temperatures would be held down to around 15 C if this rain reaches its full potential.

Beyond that, the current slack or blocking pattern will break down to a more mobile westerly flow from the Atlantic but that will have the effect of returning all this cloud and moisture once it gets out to the west of Ireland, in several more waves of unsettled weather. The limited drying opportunities this week may be better than anything on offer beyond Friday, for some time to come, although with the change to westerly flow will come a gradual warming trend back towards more normal June temperatures.

My local weather improved considerably on Sunday with a sunny morning and a cloudy but dry afternoon. The high was about 21 C. Not sure if this can be called weather, but we had a continual shower of cottonwood seeds from trees in the area, and this sometimes looked like a light snowfall with drifts of the cottonwood forming on the ground. This is something that often happens in early June in this region and might last a few more days. It looks as though we are going back up to near 30 C by mid-week, quite a roller coaster ride for our weather since the end of May (in case any readers are new, my local weather refers to southern British Columbia close to where eastern Washington state meets northern Idaho, but about 10 kms north of the Canadian border).

Wednesday, 12 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 12 to 18 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal. Daytime readings will be closer to 3 deg below, overnight lows close to average.

-- Rainfall may exceed the average amounts in parts of the south and east, while falling a bit short in parts of west and north, but with frequent light rain the effects may be wetter than the totals might suggest.

-- Sunshine will continue to fall somewhat below average values at best and in some parts of the south and east will be as low as 50% of the normal six hours a day.


FORECASTS


TODAY will be mostly cloudy in all areas, but rain will be more frequent and persistent in Leinster and then later in Munster as moderate rain now over the Irish Sea moves in from the northeast and gradually moves through, with 10 to 15 mm falls likely. Amounts will be progressively lower to west and north where a few breaks in the overcast are likely. Moderate north to northeast winds 40 to 60 km/hr and cool temperatures 13 to 15 C will make this feel quite a raw day where rain does develop.

TONIGHT will see a few more intervals of light rain and low cloud, fog or mist, lows near 8 C.

THURSDAY will be mostly cloudy with a few breaks and scattered outbreaks of light rain, moderate northeast winds abating somewhat, and highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, showers that may become heavy in a few places, but winds slackening to about 20 km/hr and variable in direction, lows near 8 C and highs near 14 C.

SATURDAY will have some rain during the morning then variable cloud and isolated showers, some sunny breaks developing, lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with showers and isolated thunderstorms, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

The OUTLOOK for next week calls for somewhat warmer temperatures but still rather unsettled with highs closer to 18 C. The pattern does not appear likely to change substantially going into the last week of June from the longer term guidance but this is in keeping with the summer forecast of gradual improvement towards late July and August.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with a few cloudy intervals and quite warm with highs near 28 C. We are not done with our rather unsettling showers of cottonwood seeds which occasionally resemble heavy snow flurries despite the summery feel to the weather. Will post a picture of a drift of this material in the photography forum later today.

Thursday, 13 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 13 to 19 June 2019 ...

-- temperatures will average about 2 deg below normal.

-- rainfall will average near normal in the east and slightly below normal in the west, with some pockets of above normal rainfall in the inland south.

-- sunshine will average only about half the normal values of 5-6 hours a day.


FORECASTS


TODAY will continue mostly cloudy, raw and cold with north to northeast winds 40 to 60 km/hr easing during the afternoon. There will be some further intervals of light rain or drizzle more frequent in east and south, with heavier outbreaks by afternoon in some parts of Ulster. Highs only 11 to 14 C.

TONIGHT will be cloudy with drizzle and fog patches, lows near 7 C.

FRIDAY will start out with some brighter intervals especially in central and eastern counties, then intervals of showery and heavier rain will develop this time moving from southwest to northeast but staying confined largely to Munster and south Leinster where 10-20 mm seems likely. Highs 12 to 15 C.

SATURDAY will start out unsettled with the remnants of the Friday rainfall still present in Leinster for part of the morning, before some partial clearing, with slightly warmer temperatures as a result, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with showers and isolated thunderstorms, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

NEXT WEEK still looks rather unsettled but with the weather now moving from west to east, somewhat warmer temperatures in general with highs more towards the 15 to 18 C range. Rain will not be persistent but will fall for a short time most days from passing showers or brief outbreaks.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny with considerable high cloud and hot temperatures near 30 C. Some record highs are being set throughout the western U.S. and British Columbia. It was 47 C at Thermal near Palm Springs, California, and 44 C at Phoenix. The eastern states meanwhile are relatively cool for mid-June.

Saturday, 15 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 15 to 21 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 deg below normal.

-- Rainfall will average near normal in east and south or slightly above in some higher areas of the southeast, but somewhat below average in north and west.

-- Sunshine will continue to improve and some places may record near normal amounts, others half to two-thirds.


FORECASTS


TODAY will have a slow clearing trend with the rain gradually ending over coastal north Leinster and eventually also in east Ulster, but after some partial clearing, a few scattered and isolated showers may follow from west coast inland, but there will be a few more dry intervals with some sunny breaks. Highs 15 to 17 C.

TONIGHT will become partly cloudy with a few clear intervals, cool, leading to low-lying patchy ground fog or mist, lows 4 to 8 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers, lows 4 to 8 C and highs near 17 C. Some heavier bursts of rain are likely by afternoon in south Leinster with isolated thunderstorms in counties around Laois, Carlow and Kildare. Rainfalls of 5 to 15 mm can be expected in those areas.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy with somewhat more isolated showers but also one or two thunderstorms most likely to form over inland northern counties, lows near 6 C and highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY could be the first really decent day in a while for many, with sunny breaks and highs 18 to 20 C. There could be patchy isolated showers by late afternoon and evening across parts of the inland south though.

WEDNESDAY will see a return to cloud and some scattered outbreaks of light rain, highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY will also be unsettled with showers, highs near 16 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for continued rather unsettled but not as chilly as recent days, but eventually one or two more bouts of heavy rain likely, moving across the south and central counties from southwest to northeast.

My local weather on Friday was sunny with afternoon cloudy intervals, still quite warm with low humidity, highs near 27 C.

Monday, 17 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 17 to 23 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near or slightly above normal. The average daytime high will edge up towards 20 C.

-- Rainfall will be generally a bit below average, 10 to 15 mm for most locations.

-- Sunshine will be close to normal values or slightly above in some parts of the south and east.


FORECASTS

TODAY will have another round of showers, but mostly confined to north Connacht and Ulster, eventually a few widely scattered elsewhere after a few sunny intervals as well, and highs will reach about 17 C.

TONIGHT will see some clearing in places and lows 4 to 8 C.

TUESDAY looks like being generally dry with isolated showers most likely in parts of the north, and highs will reach 19 or 20 C.

WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers, lows 5 to 9 C and highs near 19 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers and cooler temperatures by afternoon with lows near 10 C and highs around 16 C.

FRIDAY will bring partial clearing and highs near 17 C, with a few isolated showers.

WEEKEND (22nd-23rd) looks mainly settled with decent temperatures around 20 C and some sunshine both days.

Rain is expected by Sunday night into Monday 24th, then the following week seems likely to be rather unsettled but with temperatures staying close to normal (18-20 C by day).

My local weather on Sunday was sunny during the morning and overcast during the afternoon, a few showers are now moving through with a weak frontal trough but it should clear here by morning. The high was about 25 C.

Wednesday, 19 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 19 to 25 June, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near to 1.5 degrees above normal. The average daytime high will be 18 to 20 C.

-- Rainfall will eventually reach about average, 15 to 20 mm for most locations, but the last two days of the interval will produce much of this total.

-- Sunshine will be close to normal values or slightly above in some parts of the south and east.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers, and highs near 19 C. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 mm in most places. A few heavier showers or an isolated thunderstorm may develop in central counties by late afternoon.

TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with a few showers, more clear intervals towards morning, and lows 8 to 10 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers and cooler temperatures by afternoon with highs around 16 C. Rainfalls of about 5 mm.

FRIDAY will bring partial clearing after lows near 6 C and highs will reach about 17 C, with a few isolated showers.

SATURDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, and reasonably warm, with highs near 21 C. There could be some outbreaks of drizzle or light rain in the south later in the day, and it will become muggy in southeast winds that may cool some coastal areas in Leinster to 16 C.

SUNDAY will see increasing cloud leading to light rain spreading in from the south by late afternoon, but it may stay dry further north until evening, highs of about 18 C.

MONDAY will likely see another rainfall event of about 10 to 15 mm, with some thundery heavy bursts possible, highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY may see further showers and thunderstorms, and it will be rather warm and humid, highs near 19 C.

LATER NEXT WEEK some very warm to hot air will be spreading from France into the southern half of Britain. Ireland and Wales will be in a frontal zone and while quite warm also (near 23 C) not at this point looking like the heat further east will spread in, but the frontal contrast will set up good chances for thunderstorms some of which could be heavy. Too early to say exactly where and when these chances will materialize but current maps would point to higher risks in the inland south then midlands to west Ulster. That's not entirely ruling out other regions of Ireland. This pattern may become a more frequent feature moving into July as the hot air masses seem to be well established by then over the near continent and southeast England.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with cloudy intervals, dry and pleasant with highs near 24 C. We are expecting some light rain to move in from the north today with falling temperatures later.

Friday, 21 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


The summer solstice occurs today at 16:56 IST (15:56 z or UTC)


TRENDS for the week of 21 to 27 June 2019

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 3 deg above normal, reaching a peak of about 5 deg above normal at end of the interval.

-- Rainfall will average 1.0 to 2.0 times the normal amount, here again, much of that will occur from Monday to Thursday. Amounts could be quite variable from one location to another as some of this rainfall will be provided by localized thunderstorms.

-- Sunshine will average near normal although there will be considerable cloud on Sunday and (in the north) on Monday.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals and isolated showers, highs near 19 C.

TONIGHT will have clear intervals and some fog patches may develop in valleys after midnight. Lows will range from 5 C in some inland valleys to 10 C in larger towns and coastal areas.

SATURDAY will also be sunny with cloudy intervals, with some outbreaks of light rain later in the day in west Munster, and warmer with highs reaching 21 C inland.

SUNDAY will become mostly cloudy although it may remain dry in parts of north and east. Rain will spread slowly into all parts of Munster and then south Leinster and Connacht by afternoon. Rather warm still, and more humid, with highs near 19 C.

MONDAY will have intervals of heavy and in some places thundery rain from early morning to mid-day, bringing total rainfalls of 10 to 20 mm to many areas, then some clearing thereafter, and becoming quite warm with the clearance, temperatures rising from 15 C in the rain to 20 C in partly cloudy but humid weather later on.

TUESDAY will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be heavy in north Leinster and east Ulster, and it will become warm and humid with highs near 23 C away from east facing coasts where sea breezes may hold readings to 17 C.

Around this time heat will be spreading from France into southern Britain where temperatures could reach the low to mid 30s for several days ... this heat will be edging northwest each day and could spread into some parts of eastern Ireland although with coastal modification; however, details are going to be difficult to assess until we get closer to the time, as frontal zones are likely to set up through various parts of Ireland each day, and this could lead to several rounds of showers and thunderstorms.

OUTLOOK then for WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY calls for very warm and rather humid weather with scattered outbreaks of thundery rain possible, but also some spells of sunshine, highs 23 to 27 C and muggy nights with lows only falling to around 16 to 18 C. Some western counties may get a fresher Atlantic air mass for Friday, and this will spread into other regions by Saturday. There is some potential for heavy rain to develop near an intensifying disturbance along the frontal boundary in the Irish Sea, and that could affect some parts of east Ulster and Leinster, if not more widespread areas, by Saturday 29th. Eventually it appears that the weather will return to the recent mode of cool, unsettled westerly flow in the first part of July with the heat pushed well to the east of Britain by then.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast, damp and quite chilly most of the day, with some clearing by late afternoon. Highs were only about 14 C. The snow line has come back down in recent days to about 1400m and some passing showers have left a temporary white covering on local hills that reach as high as 2000m (my own elevation is 1060m, and the highest elevation within 50 kms of here is Old Glory Mountain which reaches about 2400m, located about 30 kms northwest of us -- there was a weather station up there for many years when it was a manned forestry lookout).

Sunday, 23 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 23 to 29 June 2019

-- Temperatures will average 3 to 4 deg above normal, reaching a peak of about 5 deg above normal at end of the interval.

-- Rainfall will average 1.0 to 2.5 times the normal amount, but amounts could be quite variable from one location to another as some of this rainfall will be provided by localized thunderstorms. The southwest now appears more likely to see the heavier amounts.

-- Sunshine will average between 75% and 100% of normal although there will be considerable cloud on Sunday and (in the north) on Monday. However, some coastal areas of south may have less sunshine due to rather frequent low cloud from sea fog or marine layers.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with outbreaks of rain, although it may remain dry in parts of north and northeast for much of the day. Rain will spread slowly from Munster, south Leinster and Connacht further north by mid-day, and into remaining northern areas by evening. Rather warm still, and more humid, with highs near 16 to 19 C (warmest ahead of the rain in Ulster) but some places near the south coast may remain closer to 14 C with fog and mist spreading inland from the sea.

TONIGHT will see further outbreaks of rain and amounts could reach 30 mm in parts of west Munster and the south midlands by morning. It will be quite mild with lows 11 to 13 C.

MONDAY will have intervals of heavy and in some places thundery rain from early morning to mid-day, bringing total rainfalls of 10 to 20 mm to many areas, then some clearing thereafter, and becoming quite warm with the clearance, temperatures rising from 15 C in the rain to 20 C or a little above well inland, in partly cloudy but humid weather later on. Sea fog or low cloud may begin to make an appearance on parts of the south coast.

TUESDAY will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be heavy in two areas, inland southwest, and also north Leinster and east Ulster, elsewhere it will become warm and humid with highs near 23 C away from east facing coasts where sea breezes may hold readings to 15 to 17 C. Some mist and sea fog is likely near south coast and may drift inland on east coast at times.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will be very warm and humid, with occasional spells of thundery rain likely, but also some brighter intervals, with overnight lows 15 to 19 C and highs 23 to 28 C. South and east coasts could experience localized sea fog, low cloud and cooler temperatures as the winds will be generally light to moderate southeast to east. The inland southwest is more likely to see heavy rainfall outbreaks and thunderstorms than elsewhere, although the risk will become more widespread towards the end of Friday.

OUTLOOK for the weekend of 29th-30th ... The warm spell will break down around Saturday with the potential for some heavy showers or thunderstorms, then fresher conditions will arrive for Sunday 30th. Highs will be about 23 C on Saturday and 19 C on Sunday.

The first part of July now begins to look rather pleasant for a few days with sunshine and highs in the low 20s, before cooler and unsettled weather arrives by about the 5th.

My local weather on Saturday was mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain and a few rumbles of thunder by late afternoon and evening; the highs were around 15 C.

Tuesday, 25 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 25 June to 1 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 3 to 4 degrees above normal. Highs will sometimes reach the mid to high 20s. It will begin to turn cooler by this coming weekend.

-- Rainfall will generally be close to normal but for most, the rain will be mainly on Friday into Saturday.

-- Sunshine will average near or slightly above normal, except near south coast where it may be overcast from sea fog.


FORECASTS


TODAY will be partly cloudy and warm with isolated showers or thunderstorms, most likely in west Munster, north Leinster and east Ulster. Some places will remain dry, others could have as much as 10-15 mm rain. Highs will be in the range of 18 to 23 C. The cooler readings will be near the east coast as winds pick up from an easterly direction today, 30 to 50 km/hr at times.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with fog and mist patches developing, rather muggy and warm with lows 10 to 15 C.

WEDNESDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals and warm, although cooled near east coast and south coast by locally moderate sea breezes with sea fog or low cloud making some progress inland. Isolated thunderstorms may develop in the southwest. Highs will be in the range of 20 to 26 C although possibly a bit lower near east coast due to local sea breezes.

THURSDAY will be sunny and very warm (hot in some central and western counties) with isolated thunderstorms possible. Lows near 14 C and highs near 27 C inland, possibly a bit higher in west central counties where an isolated 30 degree reading is possible, 18 to 24 C closer to the coasts. Although there may be patchy sea fog and cooling sea breezes, the air mass will be warm enough that most coastal areas and beaches might be comfortably warm although cooler than inland (perhaps 18 to 21 C). Any thunderstorms would most likely occur near the west coast but a few miles inland where weak sea breezes converge with the heated air over land.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy, warm and humid with showers and thunderstorms developing, lows near 16 C and highs near 24 C. Some of these storms could become heavy in parts of the west, midlands and north. The showers and thunderstorms will make rather slow progress east overnight into Saturday morning.

SATURDAY will continue unsettled in the east with further heavy downpours possible, some rainfall totals of 20 to 40 mm may occur leading to spot flooding. The west will be fresher and clearing during the morning, with a few residual showers developing later in westerly breezes. Lows 12 to 16 C and highs 18 to 21 C, moderate westerly winds.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and cooler with highs near 18 C.

OUTLOOK ... The first week of July looks fairly pleasant with some sunshine each day, showers mainly brief and isolated and temperatures near normal, highs 18 to 21 C. A more unsettled period will set in towards the following weekend (6-7 July).

My local weather on Monday was cloudy and quite cool with a few showers, some brief sunny breaks, and highs around 16 C.

Thursday, 27 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 27 June to 3 July 2019

-- Temperatures will average 3 degrees above normal, even higher at first then closer to normal values later.

-- Rainfall will be between 50% and 80% of normal for most, although some heavy showers are possible in a few places.

-- Sunshine will be at least normal and could exceed that by 25% in some cases, the trend being towards more sunshine next week.


FORECASTS


TODAY will be oppressively warm and humid in parts of Munster, Connacht, south and inland west Ulster, and adjacent parts of Leinster. Highs will reach 27 to 30 C with some sunshine getting through rather extensive cloud cover at times. There is a risk of localized heavy showers or thunderstorms in isolated areas of Kerry, southwest Cork, and also from north Mayo to Donegal. Further east, although it will likely be warmer than yesterday, the marine influence will still be felt to some extent and highs will vary from 18 C along the east coast to about 23 C well inland in Leinster and east Ulster. The compensation may be that sunshine will become frequent by mid-day and afternoon after a somewhat cloudy start in some places. Moderate east-southeast breezes will continue to blow in from the Irish Sea, turning more to a southeast wind further inland.

TONIGHT will remain very warm and muggy, outside of a few areas cooled by sea breezes, and lows may be slow to fall to predicted values of about 15 to 18 C eventually, so the late evening could still be as warm as 20 degrees.

FRIDAY will start out sunny in some parts of the east and with winds now more southerly, the marine influence will be ended and replaced by the very warm temperatures further west today. Those areas will have another warm day but with mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers developing, with risk of an isolated thunderstorm. Highs in most places will be 24 to 28 C, somewhat lower near the south coast and in the northwest where 20 C will be typical.

SATURDAY will see another round of showers and thunderstorms developing as the first front washes out over the Irish Sea to be replaced by a somewhat stronger one bringing the warm spell to a more definite conclusion. Highs will be around 24 C after another quite warm night with lows 14 to 17 C.

SUNDAY will be considerably cooler and fresher with westerly breezes of 40 to 60 km/hr, partly cloudy skies and scattered although generally brief showers. Lows near 12 C and highs near 19 C.

MONDAY will also be relatively cool and somewhat unsettled with the greatest risk of showers in Ulster. Lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

NEXT WEEK is looking quite pleasant with high pressure in control after Monday, a generally dry spell with lots of sunshine and low humidity, temperatures warm enough in the daytime but not oppressively warm, 19 to 23 C. Nights will be a little cooler than in this current spell with the average low being about 8 to 10 C. That trend may only fade out gradually if at all by the looks of latest guidance which is beginning to suggest a rather warm and dry July may be in the works, perhaps with one or two brief interruptions of cooler northerly incursions.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny with afternoon cloudy intervals, dry all day for a change, and a bit warmer too, around 22 C.

Saturday, 29 June, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for week of 29 June to 5 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 2-3 deg above normal.

-- Rainfall will vary from below average in many western counties to above normal in the southeast (much of that today).

-- Sunshine will average near normal to somewhat above normal.


FORECASTS AND ALERT

ALERT issued for locally severe thunderstorms in south and central Leinster and Waterford this morning, locally heavy rainfalls may cause flash flooding, intense lightning could produce power disruptions, and small to moderate sized hail is likely in stronger cells. Severe wind gusts are considered less likely although moderate wind gusts are probable on western to trailing southern edges of these cells as they move north this morning.

TODAY will continue warm and humid with outbreaks of heavy thunderstorms in the southeast. Some sunshine at first in south central counties, rather cloudy further north and west. Later on, the eastern storms will die out but a new round of showers and thunderstorms is likely to develop around Connacht and west Ulster, and these will spread further east. Highs 22 to 25 C for most, somewhat cooler near west and north coasts.

TONIGHT will see a few more showers and thunderstorms then a gradual clearance towards morning, somewhat fresher with lows 12 to 14 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers in moderate westerly winds. A few showers could become heavy with hail and thunder in northern counties by afternoon. More chance of a dry day near south coast and possibly parts of Leinster. Fresher with highs 16 to 19 C.

MONDAY will continue partly cloudy and cooler with occasional showers, mostly in the north, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will be very fine days with plenty of sunshine, light winds, and low humidity. Highs near 22 C and possibly a bit higher inland. Isolated showers cannot be ruled out but will only affect a few locations in west Munster.

THURSDAY will see considerable cloud and gusty northwest winds developing, passing showers Connacht and Leinster, to intervals of rain in Ulster, but possibly remaining mostly dry in Munster. Highs near 19 C south, 15 C north.

OUTLOOK calls for another dry and settled interval to follow including the weekend of 6-7 July, then a cooler and unsettled week from about the 8th to 12th of July. Temperatures in that spell will be close to July averages.

My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy, not much local shower activity but heavy rain was falling a few miles to our southeast by evening. That moved up the Columbia River valley to our east and missed us by a few miles. Highs for the day were about 18 C. In contrast to last summer, we have a very low fire hazard locally, ranging to moderate on the west coast which has been somewhat drier.

Monday, 1 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 July, 2019

-- temperatures will average near normal to 1.5 deg above normal (midlands and inland south more likely to be above normal).

-- rainfall will average only 10 to 30 per cent of normal, after today it could be a prolonged dry spell for some southern and western counties.

-- sunshine will average near normal to 25% above normal values.


FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, becoming more frequently sunny by afternoon and evening. A few passing showers at first may bring 3-5 mm rainfalls in the north and trace to 2 mm in the south. Moderate northwest winds will start to die out by mid-afternoon. Highs will reach 17 to 20 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to clear with lows 5 to 8 C in rural areas, 10 C in some urban areas and near west, north coasts where some cloud may linger.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will be similar days, mostly sunny but with a few areas of cloud more likely near north coast and in parts of west Munster. Dry with low humidity. Highs each day 19 to 23 C, lows 4 to 8 C inland and 7 to 11 C near coasts and larger cities.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy and a bit warmer with highs near 24 C inland, 20 C near some coasts, with light and variable winds allowing sea breezes on most coasts.

FRIDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, highs 19 to 24 C.

OUTLOOK calls for the dry spell to continue in many areas, with slight interruptions in east Ulster and north Leinster which will at times get into outer edges of cloud and showers in northerly flows over Britain, but most of Ireland will be closer to core of Atlantic high pressure and may remain dry and often clear. Temperatures will remain fairly close to normal.

My local weather on Sunday was mostly sunny and it was warmer than most days this past month with a high of 26 C. There are a few isolated thunderstorms over hills in the region overnight and we may see one of those during the daytime on Monday.

Wednesday, 3 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal values.

-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal.

-- Sunshine will average near normal, to slightly above in some central counties.


FORECASTS


TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, although it may be more overcast at first in parts of west Munster. Highs 18 to 23 C.

TONIGHT will have clear intervals and cool temperatures of 5 to 9 C.

THURSDAY will become partly cloudy with isolated showers in the north, and highs near 21 C.

FRIDAY will see mostly cloudy skies in the north with patchy light rain in parts of Ulster and north Connacht, extending at times into north Leinster. Further south it will remain partly cloudy and highs will reach about 20 C.

SATURDAY will start off rather cloudy with clearing skies during the day, and highs near 19 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 19 C.

OUTLOOK ... Next week looks a bit warmer in general with highs 21 to 24 C, with a slow increase in cloud leading to unsettled conditions at times late in the week (around the 12th).

My local weather on Tuesday was overcast and rather cool with a little rain at times, highs near 18 C.

Friday, 5 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 5 to 11 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will be slight at first but will eventually total about half to three-quarters the normal amount for seven days.
-- Sunshine will be somewhat below normal, 50 to 75 per cent of normal will be typical.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out sunny in some central and southern counties, with increasing cloud by mid-day, but further north the trend will be opposite, cloudy to start with patchy light rain, followed by partial clearing later. Highs for most around 19 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with patchy drizzle and lows around 10 C.

SATURDAY will be rather cloudy but there could be some brighter intervals in the west and also the northeast, with more cloud and patchy light rain from northwest counties to south central and south east associated with a weak front drifting south. Highs 17 to 19 C.

SUNDAY will become partly cloudy with only a few isolated and brief showers, and highs near 20 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy and a bit warmer with highs near 22 C.

The outlook is little changed in general, dry on Tuesday with fairly warm temperatures, then more chance of light rain mid-week.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast with outbreaks of light rain and one heavier thundershower embedded. The high was about 19 C.

Sunday, 7 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal. Milder nights will account for most of this surplus.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal; some places may be almost dry in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will average about 75% of normal values, more like 3-4 hours a day than the normal 4-6. This will be rather variable with parts of the south doing a bit better perhaps.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy in the south and west, with breaks to partly cloudy skies by afternoon and evening. There will be a few remnant light showers at first but not much if any accumulation. The day will start out brighter in parts of Connacht and Leinster and will then become partly cloudy by afternoon. Rather warm and humid with highs 19 to 23 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast and mild, with lows near 12 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals in the south, quite humid with outbreaks of light rain in north Connacht and Ulster. Highs will reach 18 to 22 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy and warm with haze or mist at times, lows near 12 C and highs near 23 C away from somewhat cooler Atlantic coasts.

WEDNESDAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, 2 to 5 mm possible in west and north. Highs will reach 21 C.

THURSDAY will continue rather warm and humid with isolated showers, highs near 22 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with highs near 21 C.

OUTLOOK ... Somewhat warmer weather will develop by about next weekend with highs possibly reaching the mid 20s in places. This warmer spell could last a while, as guidance showing a gradually unsettled trend may get postponed in stages.

My local weather on Saturday was pleasant, some sunshine with towering cumulus clouds here and there, and an active thunderstorm off to our east during the evening, but that moved north and missed our location by a few miles. The high was about 23 C. In contrast to last summer, this region has almost no fire hazard at present, and no smoke spoiling the air quality as we endured for many weeks last year.

Monday, 8 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will average 1.5 to 2.5 deg above normal. Milder nights will account for most of this surplus.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal; some places may be almost dry in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will average about 75% of normal values in north and west, to about normal values in east and south.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals in the south, quite humid with outbreaks of light rain in north Connacht and Ulster. Highs will reach 18 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be cloudy with a few lingering showers in parts of the north, lows about 12 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy and warm with haze or mist at times, lows near 12 C and highs near 23 C away from somewhat cooler Atlantic coasts.

WEDNESDAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, 2 to 5 mm possible in west and north. Highs will reach 21 C.

THURSDAY will continue rather warm and humid with isolated showers, highs near 22 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with highs near 21 C.

OUTLOOK ... Somewhat warmer weather will develop by about next weekend with highs possibly reaching the mid 20s in places. This warmer spell seems likely to persist for most of the second half of July, with the occasional unsettled day but generally not much rainfall in total, especially in the south.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast with scattered showers around the area although it stayed dry at my location, radar was showing some heavier rain over local higher terrain. The high was about 18 C.

Wednesday, 10 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will be 1.5 to 3.0 deg above normal, with the inland south and southeast most likely to have the higher departures.
-- Rainfall will be 50 to 75 per cent of normal with a few parts of east Ulster perhaps near to slightly above normal.
-- Sunshine will average about normal but could go higher than that in some eastern counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy, with the best chance of any brighter intervals in the southeast. There will be sporadic outbreaks of light rain this morning, then a somewhat heavier outbreak moving west to east mid-day to afternoon. This may become quite heavy in east Ulster and north Leinster by late afternoon but elsewhere it may only amount to 5-10 mm in total. Warm and humid with highs 18 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast with partial clearing in the west and south towards morning, a few residual showers in the north, and quite mild with lows around 14 C.

THURSDAY will see a rather cloudy start leading to partly cloudy mid-day conditions and sunny skies for many places later in the afternoon and evening. There could be a few light showers in the earlier part of the day. Highs will be 19 to 23 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with lows near 12 C and highs 20 to 24 C.

SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with longer sunny intervals possible in the midlands, inland south and most of Leinster. The cloudier west and north could see a bit of coastal drizzle but also some brighter spells. It could become quite warm in any prolonged sunshine, highs will be at least 20 C and could reach 24 or 25 in sunshine.

SUNDAY will be another warm, settled day with a better chance of sunshine in more of the country, highs once again potentially could reach the mid 20s. (overnight lows both days on the weekend around 10 to 15 C but these readings only briefly around sunrise, the nights will be quite warm until well after midnight).

MONDAY there is some chance of cloud and scattered showers although I won't be too surprised if this frontal system is weak enough for the dry spell over the weekend to continue in some areas. Highs will likely be in the 19 to 23 C range.

OUTLOOK beyond that is not greatly different, temperatures continuing in the rather warm lower to mid 20s, occasional weak frontal systems bringing small amounts of rain at times, but some sunshine likely each day also.

My local weather on Tuesday was a welcome sunny day with nothing showing on the radar between the coast and the Rockies, probably the first day like that this summer across southern B.C., and it was quite warm, about 25 C "up here" and 30 C in the nearby Columbia valley where we were most of the day. (the elevation difference is 500 metres). It has clouded over since sunset and looks set to rain at times later.

The National Hurricane Center (US) is tracking a tropical system in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, moving west. This could soon become Tropical Depression number 2 (we had Andrea back in May, nothing formed in June) and possibly Tropical Storm Barry if it were to get that strong (one model shows it doing that by the weekend south of Louisiana but prolonged heavy rainfall seems to be the main risk with this system whatever status it attains).

Friday, 12 July, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland


TRENDS for the week of 12 to 18 July, 2019

-- Temperatures will be 1.5 to 3.0 deg above normal, with the inland south and southeast most likely to have the higher departures.
-- Rainfall will be 60 to 90 per cent of normal (almost all of this from Tuesday onwards, so rather dry for 3-4 days now).
-- Sunshine will average about normal to 25% above normal in some eastern counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with highs 20 to 24 C. Higher readings will be found in the inland southeast. The cloudier north could see a few brief showers but amounts will be slight.

TONIGHT will become generally clear with widespread mist and low level fog in valleys forming after midnight and clearing away an hour or two after sunrise. Lows will range from 8 to 12 C.

SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with longer sunny intervals possible in the midlands, inland south and most of Leinster. The cloudier west and north could see a bit of coastal drizzle but also some brighter spells. It could become quite warm in any prolonged sunshine, highs will be at least 20 C and could reach 24 or 25 in sunshine.

SUNDAY will be another warm, settled day with a better chance of sunshine in more of the country, highs once again could reach the mid 20s to about 26 C after overnight lows around 10 to 15 C.

MONDAY will see early sunshine and increasing afternoon cloud leading to some outbreaks of light rain by evening, lows near 12 C and highs 21 to 25 C.

TUESDAY will bring more widespread showers with lows near 14 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY also look rather unsettled with further showers likely, highs around 20 to 22 C.

OUTLOOK for FRIDAY 19th and WEEKEND of 20th-21st is generally fair and quite warm again, highs 20 to 25 C.

My local weather on Friday was rather cloudy but with brief sunny intervals, and it stayed dry reaching about 23 C.

Tropical Storm Barry has formed as expected south of Mobile Bay and is headed slowly towards a landfall south or southwest of Lafayette LA on Sunday most likely, at the moment the system's rainfall bands have weakened but they are expected to intensify again late today and on Saturday.