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Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,363 ✭✭✭✭Del.Monte


    After a crazy weekend 's betting I was back where I started this morning so went a bit mad. Whole budget committed to Leinster getting more than 13.5 points in total, plus a couple of Euros on an unlikely complete collapse. :D

    Toulon%2Bvs%2BLeinster.PNG


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 53.99 units

    - 1.5 units (9/2) Leinster to win
    - .5 units (11/2) Ian Madigan to score a try
    - .5 units (9/2) Ben Te'o to score a try

    New Balance: 51.49 units

    Wipeout...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,363 ✭✭✭✭Del.Monte


    Join the club. :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    1 unit Force +14.5 1.97, Brumbies -7 (asian) 1.93, Blues +9.5 1.98, Waratahs -11.5 1.96, Cheetahs +7.5 2.0, Stormers -2.5 1.93, Hurricanes -6.5 1.9.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 51.49 units

    - 2 units (8/5) Leinster to win

    New Balance: 49.49 units


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    185 staked, +60.07.
    matthew8 wrote: »
    1 unit Force +14.5 1.97, Brumbies -7 (asian) 1.93, Blues +9.5 1.98, Waratahs -11.5 1.96, Cheetahs +7.5 2.0, Stormers -2.5 1.93, Hurricanes -6.5 1.9.

    192 staked, +60.87.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 51.49 units

    - 2 units (8/5) Leinster to win

    New Balance: 49.49 units

    Oh Leinster, you tease.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,377 ✭✭✭Warper


    Who are people picking for this weekends final between Toulon and Clermont? Hope to God Clermont win as i have them backed at 7's.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    1 unit each Sharks +6.5 2.01, Brumbies -1.5 1.97, Force +8 (asian) 1.97, Hurricanes -3.5 1.94 and Bulls -8.5 1.93.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    Stormers +5.5 1.93, Rebels +6 (asian) 1.85 1 unit each.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    5 units 5/4 - Clermont to win
    .5 units 7/4 - Nalaga try 80 mins
    .5 units 11/2 - J Davies try 80 mins
    .5 units 11/4 - Clermont try in each half


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    1 unit each Sharks +6.5 2.01, Brumbies -1.5 1.97, Force +8 (asian) 1.97, Hurricanes -3.5 1.94 and Bulls -8.5 1.93.
    matthew8 wrote: »
    192 staked, +60.87.

    199 staked, +57.66.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    5 units 5/4 - Clermont to win :(
    .5 units 7/4 - Nalaga try 80 mins :(
    .5 units 11/2 - J Davies try 80 mins :(
    .5 units 11/4 - Clermont try in each half :D

    New Balance: 44.87 units


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,363 ✭✭✭✭Del.Monte


    After a total wipeout on the Edinburgh vs Gloucester game I moved next week's gambling budget to this week. Broke my own rules but it paid off and as a result I'm just over 25% up on the weekend. Sorry for the after timing but it was last minute stuff as usual. :D

    Clermont%2Bv%2BToulon.PNG


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Toulon are currently available at -9 at home to Castres. Apparently Castres are waving the white flag at this and not sending their strongest side with a relegation eight pointer at home to Brive on the following weekend. Toulon will probably rest players after what was a very tough, physical final but even a Toulon second team should cover that 'cap against a weak Castres team.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    1 unit each Hurricanes -9.5 1.93, Crusaders -17.5 1.96, Blues +4.5 1.9, Waratahs -8.5 1.95, Lions win (moneylne) 1.96, Stormers -2.5 1.99.


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    ah jaysus, leinster are -24 in the handicap

    have to bet against that :(


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    matthew8 wrote: »
    1 unit each Hurricanes -9.5 1.93, Crusaders -17.5 1.96, Blues +4.5 1.9, Waratahs -8.5 1.95, Lions win (moneylne) 1.96, Stormers -2.5 1.99.

    dont like betting on the highlanders, do ya? :P


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    dont like betting on the highlanders, do ya? :P

    Unfortunately they have a knack for doing just enough and not impressing me, I think they've been a team to follow on the handicaps this year but away to the Lions and they're the favourites, I'll have to oppose. Have to say I think Leinster will hockey Treviso tomorrow, forget what they did to Munster last week they're a terrible team.


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    matthew8 wrote: »
    Unfortunately they have a knack for doing just enough and not impressing me, I think they've been a team to follow on the handicaps this year but away to the Lions and they're the favourites, I'll have to oppose. Have to say I think Leinster will hockey Treviso tomorrow, forget what they did to Munster last week they're a terrible team.

    the highlanders team is quite settled at this stage and they will be planning a better end to the season than last year.

    i think the lions are reaching heady heights and if the season were to finish now theyd be happy.

    PP has the lions as -1 favs.


    and i agree about treviso, its just leinster have failed to do anything impressive all season :(


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Toulon are currently available at -9 at home to Castres. Apparently Castres are waving the white flag at this and not sending their strongest side with a relegation eight pointer at home to Brive on the following weekend. Toulon will probably rest players after what was a very tough, physical final but even a Toulon second team should cover that 'cap against a weak Castres team.
    Gone out to -11 now. Toulon have named a strong squad, team to be named tomorrow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    the highlanders team is quite settled at this stage and they will be planning a better end to the season than last year.

    i think the lions are reaching heady heights and if the season were to finish now theyd be happy.

    PP has the lions as -1 favs.


    and i agree about treviso, its just leinster have failed to do anything impressive all season :(

    Highlanders are probably a bit better than the Lions but with home advantage worth around 3 points I have to back the Lions for the win. They look very much like a team that knows how to win as well, I don't think they're much different to the Highlanders, and you have to bear in mind that the Highlanders have just had to travel a very long distance for this match. I think people are focusing too much on Leinster and not enough on Treviso, this is the team that Edinburgh thrashed twice, that gave the Dragons nothing to think about it. I think this will be Castres home all over again for Leinster.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,363 ✭✭✭✭Del.Monte


    Anybody else think Ulster -3 is a safe one? Munster look better on paper but their form has been all over the place this season. On a more optimistic note CJ Stander anytime try at 11/4 also looks tempting and same for Simon Zebo at 11/5.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 44.87 units

    - 7.5 units (10/11) Toulon -9

    New Balance: 37.37 units


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,442 ✭✭✭its_phil


    Connacht into -6 from -8 and Zebre to recieve first yellow is 5/4. Connacht winning in Fair Play league with 8 yellows, while Zebre have 24.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 44.87 units

    - 7.5 units (10/11) Toulon -9 :D

    New Balance: 37.37 units

    Boom: 51.69 units

    5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
    2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season

    New Balance: 44.69 units

    If Munster get a TBP win and Ospreys & Glasgow don't then Munster finish top. Really good odds IMO.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Bernard Laporte has confirmed Toulon will be sending the seconds to Clermont. Clermont are currently -8 on PP and I'm sure that will move when the teams are announced.

    RR are suggesting the following team:
    Fresia, Burden, Castrogiovanni, Suta, Taofifenua, Vosloo, Bruni, Gorgodze
    Escande, Seuteni, Tuisova, Yobo, Mermoz, Smith, Habana.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    1 unit each Hurricanes -9.5 1.93, Crusaders -17.5 1.96, Blues +4.5 1.9, Waratahs -8.5 1.95, Lions win (moneylne) 1.96, Stormers -2.5 1.99.
    matthew8 wrote: »
    199 staked, +57.66.

    205 staked, +55.58. 1 unit each Bulls -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.93, Chiefs +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -9.5 1.92, Brumbies -2.5 1.98, Highlanders -5 (asian) 1.94.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    1 unit Australia -11 1.91. 6 units London Welsh bottom of premiership 4/6.

    211 staked, +59.58. Should have put the house on this one, writing was on the wall after losing 0-52 to Exeter in round one. 4/6 proved a crazy price.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Boom: 51.69 units

    5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
    2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season

    New Balance: 44.69 units

    If Munster get a TBP win and Ospreys & Glasgow don't then Munster finish top. Really good odds IMO.

    Old Balance: 51.69 units

    5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
    2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season
    .5 units (5/1) Brive to win

    New Balance: 44.19 units


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,537 ✭✭✭typhoony


    doing my usual handicap 1st half bet at the Sportsground, whichever team is playing towards the college road end will have the wind at their back.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    211 staked, +59.58. Should have put the house on this one, writing was on the wall after losing 0-52 to Exeter in round one. 4/6 proved a crazy price.
    matthew8 wrote: »
    205 staked, +55.58. 1 unit each Bulls -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.93, Chiefs +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -9.5 1.92, Brumbies -2.5 1.98, Highlanders -5 (asian) 1.94.

    217 staked, +61.35.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 51.69 units

    5 units (10/11) Clermont -8
    2 units (5/2) Munster to win Pro12 regular season
    .5 units (5/1) Brive to win

    New Balance: 44.19 units

    Wipeout. How Clermont did not put a score on that Toulon lineup is beyond me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,247 ✭✭✭✭Guy:Incognito


    You were robbed on that try decision at the end.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    You were robbed on that try decision at the end.

    Meh, it happens. There has been plenty bets where the reverse happened. Nothing better than winning a bet you shouldn't have!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    1 unit each Bulls +6.5 1.94, Reds -1 (asian) 1.98.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    1 unit each Blues +6.5 2.01, Lions -2 1.93 (asian).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 44.19 units

    - 9 units (4/9) Munster to win
    - 10 units (2/5) Munster to qualify for the final

    New Balance: 25.19 units


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    1 unit each Stormers -11.5 1.92, Waratahs -2 (asian) 1.92, Force +5 (asian) 1.94.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    1 unit each Stormers -11.5 1.92, Waratahs -2 (asian) 1.92, Force +5 (asian) 1.94.
    matthew8 wrote: »
    1 unit each Blues +6.5 2.01, Lions -2 1.93 (asian).
    matthew8 wrote: »
    1 unit each Bulls +6.5 1.94, Reds -1 (asian) 1.98.

    224 staked, +60.12. 1 unit each, Hurricanes -2.5 1.89, Bulls +7.5 1.93, Rebels +8 (asian) 1.93, Highlanders -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -2.5 1.94, Cheetahs +15.5 2.02.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,363 ✭✭✭✭Del.Monte


    Jonah back again. It would be nice if the rain could hold off until halftime. :D

    Pro%2B12%2BFinal.PNG


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 52.19 units

    - 6.5 units (8/13) Munster to lift the Cup
    - 1 unit (13/10) Munster-Munster double result
    - .5 units (2/1) Munster -8
    - .5 units (9/5) Simon Zebo try in 80 mins
    - .5 units (13/5) Keith Earls try in 80 mins
    - .25 units (14/1) POC try in 80 mins

    New Balance: 42.94 units


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    matthew8 wrote: »
    224 staked, +60.12. 1 unit each, Hurricanes -2.5 1.89, Bulls +7.5 1.93, Rebels +8 (asian) 1.93, Highlanders -2.5 1.94, Reds +3 (asian) 1.94, Waratahs -2.5 1.94, Cheetahs +15.5 2.02.

    231 staked, +60.86.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Old Balance: 52.19 units

    - 6.5 units (8/13) Munster to lift the Cup
    - 1 unit (13/10) Munster-Munster double result
    - .5 units (2/1) Munster -8
    - .5 units (9/5) Simon Zebo try in 80 mins
    - .5 units (13/5) Keith Earls try in 80 mins
    - .25 units (14/1) POC try in 80 mins

    New Balance: 42.94 units

    3204840swsw.gif


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    Waratahs -9.5 1.79, Crusaders -7 (asian) 1.84, Hurricanes -8.5 1.9 1 unit each.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    Lions +7.5 1.9, Reds +3.5 2.03, Rebels -2.5 2.18, Brumbies -9.5 1.93.


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Brumbies (-15.0) @ 13/8

    Chiefs (-9.0) @ 9/5

    Hurricanes (-10.0) @ 10/11


    treble at 13/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,025 ✭✭✭skippymac6


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    Brumbies (-15.0) @ 13/8

    Chiefs (-9.0) @ 9/5

    Hurricanes (-10.0) @ 10/11


    treble at 13/1

    Brutal luck on the Brumbies. They just took their foot off the gas completely. I was even sweating on the -8 at the end there.

    Looking forward to the Stade vs Toulon game later. You'd have to fancy Toulon but I'm hoping that Stade can put it up to them after their big win over Racing last week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    skippymac6 wrote: »
    Brutal luck on the Brumbies. They just took their foot off the gas completely. I was even sweating on the -8 at the end there.

    Looking forward to the Stade vs Toulon game later. You'd have to fancy Toulon but I'm hoping that Stade can put it up to them after their big win over Racing last week.

    Not having a bet but you have to love Stade's record against Toulon, last year won 23-0 at home and lost 17-15 away, which is obviously an excellent result at Toulon and this year 30-6 at home and winning 28-24 away. You have to like Stade's ability to be workmanlike against Toulon, really solid pack that should avoid the usual Toulon pack suffocation in a knockout match. Have to like the +7. Also think it's generous to be getting +5 opposing Clermont in a neutral venue in a knockout game. Their knockout history is very significant at this point and Toulouse really weren't that bad last week, always looked in control to me but Oyonnax were a bit plucky which is why they went so close.


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,837 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    skippymac6 wrote: »
    Brutal luck on the Brumbies. They just took their foot off the gas completely. I was even sweating on the -8 at the end there.

    Looking forward to the Stade vs Toulon game later. You'd have to fancy Toulon but I'm hoping that Stade can put it up to them after their big win over Racing last week.

    yeah i thought they wouldnt take the foot off the gas with the tahs breathing down their necks :(


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