UFC/MMA LOG 2018

mailburner · 08-10-2018 2:24pm

mailburner wrote: »

BET 62

only betway have odds on the ksw card

Fancy this one to pay for my other bets on the card, mc sweeney is pants as a fighter and although silva isn't the force of old I still believe he'll have no problem knocking out mc sweeney who now has 10 ko losses with 4 of these in his last six fights.

I can't remember when maynard last looked good against anyone and hasn't beaten anyone of note since 2012 (guida)
he beat ishihara last time out but for me ishihara is in the top three worst fighters in the ufc.
Lentz is tough, never been knocked out other than a doctor stoppage, subbed one in the past ten years by oliveira and will imo dominate maynard from start to finish.

Didn't have to sweat too hard for that one.
staked 35
ret 68.93
+33.93

mailburner wrote: »

BET 63

OSP by sub 5/1
10 (meant to be 5 but did it twice by mistake)
sky

osp by sub
conor round 1 or 2
1.50@ 21.5/1

conor round one 4/1
conor round two 17/2
osp by sub 5/1
osp round two 15/2
volkov round two 7/1
volkov round three 14/1
ferguson round two 11/2
ferguson round three 10/1

32x17c trebles
16x25c fourfolds

ferguson by sub round two
osp by sub round one
volkov by ko round two
conor by ko round two
4x25c trebles
25c accum

skyb

osp outclassed and only ferguson lands from that lot.

-22.19

mailburner wrote: »

BET 63

Have gone in again on this one.

888

staked 30
ret 54.81
+24.81

mailburner wrote: »

BET 64

McGregor to Win in Round 1 or 2 @ 5/2

Khabib Nurmagomedov v Conor McGregor

Popular RequestABet

Stake:
€13.00
Potential Returns: €45.50

McGregor to Knock Khabib down in the 1st Round & Win by TKO/KO in the 2nd Round @ 10/1

Khabib Nurmagomedov v Conor McGregor

Popular RequestABet

Stake:
€2.00
Potential Returns: €22.00

Skyb

oh dear!
-15

staked 102.19/ret 123.74/+21.55

Total staked 1226.56/ret 1238.75/+12.19

mailburner · 14-10-2018 12:40am

BET 65

fedor and bendo at 1.75
50
bet 365

can't see past either, bendo fighting a lad not in his league, fedor I just can't see losing to chael...fedor has never lost on pts and only been subbed once with four ko losses...chael won't be ko'ing fedor.
chael only does pts and him subbing fedor seems like a longshot to me.

mailburner · 14-10-2018 12:45am

BET 66

tokov 4/7
kongo 13/10
5 double
bet365

tokov has shortened a lot overnight...was 4/5 last night.
kongo on the drift and is on a 6 fight win streak, maybe I'm wrong but I can't see why johnson is 8/13 and kongo 13/10?
I still don't have the confidence to bet on kongo for a single.

mailburner · 14-10-2018 4:58am

mailburner wrote: »

BET 65

fedor and bendo at 1.75
50
bet 365

can't see past either, bendo fighting a lad not in his league, fedor I just can't see losing to chael...fedor has never lost on pts and only been subbed once with four ko losses...chael won't be ko'ing fedor.
chael only does pts and him subbing fedor seems like a longshot to me.

I'm thinking these short priced doubles might not be a bad idea with last weeks one coming up easily also but time might tell.
That couldn't have come in easier, both opponents outclassed!
staked 50
ret 87.50
+37.50

mailburner wrote: »

BET 66

tokov 4/7
kongo 13/10
5 double
bet365

tokov has shortened a lot overnight...was 4/5 last night.
kongo on the drift and is on a 6 fight win streak, maybe I'm wrong but I can't see why johnson is 8/13 and kongo 13/10?
I still don't have the confidence to bet on kongo for a single.

easy for tokov and kongo get it done in a minute, kinda regret not doing a bigger single on kongo just for value.
staked 5
ret 18.08
+13.08

staked 55/ret 105.58/+50.58

Total staked 1281.56/ret 1344.33/+62.77

mailburner · 27-10-2018 11:16pm

BET 67

Johnson
villante
oezdemir
15@2.46
888

came close to having a bigger bet on the oez johnson double at 1.84 but have chickened out even though I think oez will win.
johnson can't possibly lose and villante should beat herman yet despite being a much better fighter will probably only scrape the win and I say this because I thought he'd have little problem beating alvey and cummins yet dropped a split to both...

mailburner · 03-11-2018 11:17pm

mailburner wrote: »

BET 67

Johnson
villante
oezdemir
15@2.46
888

came close to having a bigger bet on the oez johnson double at 1.84 but have chickened out even though I think oez will win.
johnson can't possibly lose and villante should beat herman yet despite being a much better fighter will probably only scrape the win and I say this because I thought he'd have little problem beating alvey and cummins yet dropped a split to both...

oez ruins that one, figured it wasn't worth betting more on though
-15

Total staked 1296.56/ret 1344.33/+47.77

Torn on tonights card as to what to do or rather how much to stake...
cormier and eubanks certs in my eyes...adding branch makes it around evens...adding adesanya to that 13/8

will probably just take the treble and maybe add a mov bet also

mailburner · 03-11-2018 11:47pm

BET 68

betstars (betfair best at 1.9 but they don't like me)

mailburner · 04-11-2018 12:15am

BET 69

Cormier ko/tko 7/5
15
pp

souza pts 11/2
3
betstars

Adesanya pts 3/1
4
betstars

Branch ko 4/1
3
pp

Eubanks ko 6/1
2
pp

adesanya pts
souza pts
1 @ 25/1
betstars

Think there's value in most of these especially souza and cormier and possibly adesanya depending on brunsons tactics.
other two look like pts wins but the odds for the ko are a bit big imo.

mailburner · 04-11-2018 12:19am

BET 70

fancy having a go, tonight might be the night :pac:

pp

mailburner · 10-11-2018 11:09pm

All of the above lost -64

Total staked 1360.56/ret 1344.33/-16.23

BET 71

Chan sung jung evens
60
bet365

4/6 this time last week, very confident and yair took this one on two
weeks notice...for me a fully fit jung wins this every day of the week
by either ko or sub.
I don't rate yair too highly either.

mailburner · 10-11-2018 11:14pm

BET 72

Donald Cerrone v Mike Perry - Method of Victory
Donald Cerrone by Points
6/1
Stake:
€3.50

Mike Trizano v Luis Pena - Method of Victory
Luis Pena by Points
7/2
Stake:
€3.50

Chan Sung Jung v Yair Rodriguez - Method of Victory
Chan Sung Jung by Submission
7/2
Stake:
€3.50

MULTIPLES
Trebles
140.75/1
1 line(s) at €1.50 per line
Donald Cerrone v Mike Perry - Method of Victory
Donald Cerrone by Points
Mike Trizano v Luis Pena - Method of Victory
Luis Pena by Points
Chan Sung Jung v Yair Rodriguez - Method of Victory
Chan Sung Jung by Submission
Stake:
€1.50
Potential returns:
€212.63

pp

mailburner · 11-11-2018 5:16pm

mailburner wrote: »

All of the above lost -64

Total staked 1360.56/ret 1344.33/-16.23

BET 71

Chan sung jung evens
60
bet365

4/6 this time last week, very confident and yair took this one on two
weeks notice...for me a fully fit jung wins this every day of the week
by either ko or sub.
I don't rate yair too highly either.

one second away from a win for jung as he was ahead on the cards :mad::mad::mad: sick
-60

mailburner wrote: »

BET 72

Donald Cerrone v Mike Perry - Method of Victory
Donald Cerrone by Points
6/1
Stake:
€3.50

Mike Trizano v Luis Pena - Method of Victory
Luis Pena by Points
7/2
Stake:
€3.50

Chan Sung Jung v Yair Rodriguez - Method of Victory
Chan Sung Jung by Submission
7/2
Stake:
€3.50

MULTIPLES
Trebles
140.75/1
1 line(s) at €1.50 per line
Donald Cerrone v Mike Perry - Method of Victory
Donald Cerrone by Points
Mike Trizano v Luis Pena - Method of Victory
Luis Pena by Points
Chan Sung Jung v Yair Rodriguez - Method of Victory
Chan Sung Jung by Submission
Stake:
€1.50
Potential returns:
€212.63

pp

-12

-72

Total staked 1432.56/ret 1344.33/-88.23

mailburner · 18-11-2018 12:39am

BET 73

Ponzinibbio to win by finish 1.68
60
888

Ponzinibbio to win by sub 14/1
6
pp

fancy him strongly to win by ko, sub price looks too big to ignore also.

mailburner · 18-11-2018 10:41pm

mailburner wrote: »

BET 73

Ponzinibbio to win by finish 1.68
60
888

Ponzinibbio to win by sub 14/1
6
pp

fancy him strongly to win by ko, sub price looks too big to ignore also.

ponz by ko rnd 4, was very patient and a sub was never likely here.

Staked 66/ret 100.80/+34.80

Total staked 1498.56/ret 1445.13/-53.43

mailburner · 24-11-2018 12:12pm

BET 74

Doubles
0.96/1
1 line(s) at €25.00 per line
Curtis Blaydes v Francis Ngannou - Fight Result
Curtis Blaydes
Alistair Overeem v Sergei Pavlovich - Will the fight go the distance?
No
Stake:
€25.00
Potential returns:
€49.00
PP

fancy blaydes strongly, reem fight going the distance seems like a
longshot but it's a bit of a punt also as I don't know his opponent.

mailburner · 25-11-2018 11:30pm

mailburner wrote: »

BET 74

Doubles
0.96/1
1 line(s) at €25.00 per line
Curtis Blaydes v Francis Ngannou - Fight Result
Curtis Blaydes
Alistair Overeem v Sergei Pavlovich - Will the fight go the distance?
No
Stake:
€25.00
Potential returns:
€49.00
PP

fancy blaydes strongly, reem fight going the distance seems like a
longshot but it's a bit of a punt also as I don't know his opponent.

guess francis is back

-25

Total staked 1523.56/ret 1445.13/-78.43

mailburner · 30-11-2018 8:24pm

BET 75

means
usman
jds

30 @ 2.72

mailburner · 02-12-2018 12:47am

BET 76

pedro 1/5
hunt 6/5
16 double (42.24 ret)
bet365

hunt over priced for me against a guy who's not faced anyone of note thus far.

mailburner · 02-12-2018 1:33pm

mailburner wrote: »

BET 75

means
usman
jds

30 @ 2.72

staked 30
ret 81.60
+51.60

mailburner wrote: »

BET 76

pedro 1/5
hunt 6/5
16 double (42.24 ret)
bet365

hunt over priced for me against a guy who's not faced anyone of note thus far.

-16

Total staked 46/ret 81.60/+35.60

Total staked 1569.56/ret 1526.73/-42.83

mailburner · 09-12-2018 1:09am

Bet 77

Elias theodorou 17/20
20
Hills

Theodorou
Santos
Holloway
Nelson
Gadelha
4 returns 50.54
Hills

I don't rate Anders at all

mailburner · 09-12-2018 2:58am

Bet 78

Mercier burns to go the distance 8/11
Gadelha
13 returns 28.87
Skybet

mailburner · 09-12-2018 4:12am

Bet 79

Santos ko
Gunni sub
10 dbl return 43.18

mailburner · 09-12-2018 10:52pm

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 77

Elias theodorou 17/20
20
Hills

Theodorou
Santos
Holloway
Nelson
Gadelha
4 returns 50.54
Hills

I don't rate Anders at all

Theo by split and Gadelha kills the accum...shortest priced pick also
staked 24
ret 37
+13

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 78

Mercier burns to go the distance 8/11
Gadelha
13 returns 28.87
Skybet

Gadelha

-13

mailburner wrote: »

Bet 79

Santos ko
Gunni sub
10 dbl return 43.18

won
staked 10
ret 43.18
+33.18

Total staked 47/ret 80.18/+33.18

Total staked 1616.56/ret 1606.91/-9.65

Regret not doing a single on Holloway, less said about gadelha the better.

mailburner · 15-12-2018 6:18pm

BET 80

Oliveira by sub evens
28
Skybet

Oliveira sub
Font pettis to go the distance
Barboza
Lee
5@ 7.79/1
Skybet

mailburner · 16-12-2018 8:23pm

mailburner wrote: »

BET 80

Oliveira by sub evens
28
Skybet

Oliveira sub
Font pettis to go the distance
Barboza
Lee
5@ 7.79/1
Skybet

was so confident that lee would bring up the fourtimer there

sub took 75 seconds

staked 33/ret 56/+23

Total staked 1649.56/ret 1662.91/+13.35

mailburner · 30-12-2018 1:09am

BET 81

ryan hall
Cat zingano
25 (ret 52.50)
888

mailburner · 30-12-2018 2:07am

BET 82

Cat Zingano v Megan Anderson - Method of Victory
Cat Zingano by Points
9/5
Stake:
€10.00
Potential returns:
€28.00

MULTIPLES
Accumulator
239.67/1
1 line(s) at €1.00 per line
Jon Jones v Alexander Gustafsson - Fight Result
Alexander Gustafsson
Ilir Latifi v Corey Anderson - Method of Victory
Ilir Latifi by KO/TKO
Carlos Condit v Michael Chiesa - Method of Victory
Michael Chiesa by Submission
Cat Zingano v Megan Anderson - Method of Victory
Cat Zingano by Points
Cris Justino v Amanda Nunes - Fight Result
Amanda Nunes
Stake:
€1.00
Potential returns:
€240.67

4 Folds
5 line(s) at €0.80 per line
Jon Jones v Alexander Gustafsson - Fight Result
Alexander Gustafsson
Ilir Latifi v Corey Anderson - Method of Victory
Ilir Latifi by KO/TKO
Carlos Condit v Michael Chiesa - Method of Victory
Michael Chiesa by Submission
Cat Zingano v Megan Anderson - Method of Victory
Cat Zingano by Points
Cris Justino v Amanda Nunes - Fight Result
Amanda Nunes
Stake:
€4.00
Potential returns:
€322.70

pp

mailburner · 30-12-2018 4:01am

BET 83

chiesa sub 9/4
10

latifi ko 21/10
8

mailburner · 30-12-2018 5:39am

BET 84

Nunes 17/10
17

mailburner · 30-12-2018 6:02am

BET 85

Gustafsson 5/2
7

UFC/MMA LOG 2018

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