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UFC/MMA LOG 2018
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27-01-2018 5:59pm#1
Comments
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mailburner wrote: »2016 Total staked 2111/ret 2044.43/-66.57
2017 Total staked 2243/ret 2766.28/+523.28
I won't have a clue how I'm getting on without a log as It's too much hassle and I don't have the same discipline so to keep myself honest...
Good start to the year having backed stephens but lost a lot more on ngannou, either way it's starts here.
I can't imagine I'll have a year as good as last year but I'll certainly try.
Bet 1
Brunson evens
35
888 (11/10 available but a free bet with this made it more worthwhile)
Minute I saw this I was thinking brunson, he's improved a lot since these last met and is on a bit of a roll. (1st round ko for souza)
Souza has been off since being pummelled by whittaker and has had surgery also which probably isn't a big deal for an athlete of souza's calibre.
This is happening in brunson's backyard so he'll be eager to atone that loss and if he doesn't do something stupid (1st fight or v whittaker) I think he can take this...just needs to be a little bit more patient at times is all.
If he goes out there trying to take the head off souza in the first minute it might not be his night.
same as the first one, souza was 11/10 right before the fight which was probably too big and yet again brunson falls short against one of the elite.
It seems obvious now
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terrible -10mailburner wrote: »BET8
5/10 Minutes away, alvey is pants but is durable
Total stake:
€10.00
Total odds:
3.00
Potential Returns:
€30.00
Winning method: Prachino, Marcin by by Decision (Winner)
888
no regrets, gave it a good shotmailburner wrote: »BET 9
torres by pts 4/1
10
hills
just value imo
-10
perrymailburner wrote: »BET 10
stephens ko
perry ko
torres andrade to go the distance
6 returns 36.75
skybet
catmailburner wrote: »BET 11
osp to win by sub 7/1
3
skyb
tempted by the enhanced price even though I can't call this
-3
-29
Total staked 172/ret 157.46/+-14.540 -
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BET 32
nearly didn't bother
moreno
laprise luque not to go the distance
11/5
7
888
same two with suarez and prazeres
3 returns 26.58
lastly a freebet which I wouldn't have placed only for that, not adding to log win or lose
very tempted by the suarez sub though, pts sticks out like a sore thumb as she'll probably ride grasso for three but odds of 4/6 or so compared to around 5/2 for the sub I find tempting0 -
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oleynik gets the sub, souza didn'tmailburner wrote: »BET 30
Oleynik by sub 7/2
7
skybet
souza by sub 11/4
10 skybet
3 double 7/2+5/2
skybet (won't let you double an enhanced price..souza)
albini over rated for me, oleynik has 43 sub wins....souza is a master on the ground and I think this price is too generous...gastelum is good but falls
short for me against the tops guys
staked 20
ret 31.50
+11.50
-15mailburner wrote: »BET 31
bader pts 5/6
machida belfort not to go the distance 8/15
13
same two with souza sub and oleynike sub
2
skybet
bader and mo cancel each other, very surprised if there was a finish here and bader much better standing, should be as exciting as watching paint dry
moreno cost me a clean sweep heremailburner wrote: »BET 32
nearly didn't bother
moreno
laprise luque not to go the distance
11/5
7
888
same two with suarez and prazeres
3 returns 26.58
lastly a freebet which I wouldn't have placed only for that, not adding to log win or lose
very tempted by the suarez sub though, pts sticks out like a sore thumb as she'll probably ride grasso for three but odds of 4/6 or so compared to around 5/2 for the sub I find tempting
-10
-6mailburner wrote: »BET 33
€1.00 Accumulator
Market Selection Price Hcp
Macedo v Lee
Method Of Victory
Lee, Andrea Submission 9/2
Grasso v Suarez
Method Of Victory
Suarez, Tatiana Submission 11/4
Pantoja v Moreno
Method Of Victory
Moreno, Brandon Points 15/8
Cummings v Prazeres
Method Of Victory
Prazeres, Michel Points 3/1
Total stake € 1.00
Estimated return € 237.19
Macedo v Lee
Method Of Victory
Lee, Andrea Submission 9/2
Total stake € 5.00
Estimated return € 27.50
betfred
maybe a bit of value in the lee sub
thought taleb was a certmailburner wrote: »BET 34
amirkhani/taleb 2/1
16
bet365
-16
-5mailburner wrote: »BET 35
amirkhani sub 12/1
5
pp
staked 5mailburner wrote: »BET 36
till v thom
fight to go the distance and timeout in the fight 5/1
5
pp
ret 30
+25
staked 10mailburner wrote: »BET 37
till 13/10
10
365
ret 23
+13
staked 87/ret 84.50/-2.50
Total staked 514/472.71/-41.290 -
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