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UFC/MMA LOG 2018

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135

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 48

    tj and dj to win 6/4
    12
    corals


    enhanced, best besides is 6/5

    cejudo pts 10/1 for value alone
    2.50
    bet365


    cejudo pts
    tj fight under 1.5
    moicano sub or ko
    under 1.5 santos holland
    50c returns 123.75


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 47

    tj v cody

    It's been the plan for weeks to back tj and was taking the 10/11 earlier but best now at 5/6
    also think this won't go the distance and that the under 3.5 rounds at 4/5 looks a safer bet, rarely change my mind but on this occasion I don't think I'll regret it and some are 4/7 on this
    I thing the rounds bet is less of a coin toss than picking the actual winner.


    Under 3.5
    Total Rounds 4
    Cody Garbrandt v TJ Dillashaw
    Odds 4/5
    Unit Stake £50.00
    Total Stake £50.00
    Est. Returns £90.00
    coral

    and this...only wanted 3 euro on it so 1.71 it is :(

    2qlwiti.jpg
    was counting my money after 2 mins on this one, never looked like it was going to go on for long and even though tj won I feel I chose the right bet

    staked 51.71
    ret 90
    +38.29

    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 48

    tj and dj to win 6/4
    12
    corals


    enhanced, best besides is 6/5

    cejudo pts 10/1 for value alone
    2.50
    bet365


    cejudo pts
    tj fight under 1.5
    moicano sub or ko
    under 1.5 santos holland :(
    50c returns 123.75
    Staked 15
    ret 27.50
    +12.50

    can't believe the under 1.5 in the santos holland fight cost me a big win, amazed that went the distance
    glad I had something on the cejudo pts for value alone, thought it might fall short but it just looked a bit too big given it was probably the only way he could have won that.

    staked 66.71/ret 117.50/+50.79


    Total staked 834.37/ret 843.13/+8.76


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 49

    justin gaethje 13/10
    32
    betway


    very surprised at the price and vicks price, don't believe the hype around vick at all and this is a huge step up for him
    I don't believe he'll be able to handle the pressure justin brings the same way poirier and alvarez did and would be very surprised if vick can take similiar damage


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 50




    Gaethje v Vick
    Method Of Victory
    Vick, James Points 13/2
    Total stake € 4.00
    Estimated return € 30.00

    Gaethje v Vick
    Method Of Victory
    Gaethje, Justin Points 10/1
    Total stake € 2.00
    Estimated return € 22.00
    Full stake € 6.00
    Full estimated return € 52.00

    betfred

    Maybe a bit of value in these esp where vick is concerned


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 51

    yahya sub
    anders round one
    5 at 5/1
    betw


    yahya sub
    anders round one
    johnson pts
    moraga pts
    1 returns 69.36


    same four with
    perez sanchez to go the distance
    gaethje
    1 returns 275.54

    betw


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 52

    Treble
    No @ 1.44
    Fight to go the Distance?

    Jake Ellenberger vs Bryan Barberena

    No @ 1.25
    Fight to go the Distance?

    Eryk Anders vs Tim Williams

    Yes @ 1.60
    Fight to go the Distance?

    John Moraga vs Deiveson Figueiredo

    1 Bet x €11.00 @ 2.89

    Stake: €11.00
    Returns: €31.78
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €11.00
    €31.78

    betstars


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 51

    yahya sub
    anders round one
    5 at 5/1
    betw


    yahya sub
    anders round one
    johnson pts
    moraga pts
    1 returns 69.36


    same four with
    perez sanchez to go the distance
    gaethje
    1 returns 275.54

    betw

    forgot to add this part of that bet, two are in already...the thought of being one out is too much so gonna take this type of bet anymore.

    20fp5i1.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 49

    justin gaethje 13/10
    32
    betway


    very surprised at the price and vicks price, don't believe the hype around vick at all and this is a huge step up for him
    I don't believe he'll be able to handle the pressure justin brings the same way poirier and alvarez did and would be very surprised if vick can take similiar damage
    easier than expected
    staked 32
    ret 73.60
    +41.60

    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 50




    Gaethje v Vick
    Method Of Victory
    Vick, James Points 13/2
    Total stake € 4.00
    Estimated return € 30.00

    Gaethje v Vick
    Method Of Victory
    Gaethje, Justin Points 10/1
    Total stake € 2.00
    Estimated return € 22.00
    Full stake € 6.00
    Full estimated return € 52.00

    betfred

    Maybe a bit of value in these esp where vick is concerned
    -6
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 51

    yahya sub
    anders round one
    5 at 5/1
    betw


    yahya sub
    anders round one
    johnson pts
    moraga pts
    1 returns 69.36


    same four with
    perez sanchez to go the distance
    gaethje
    1 returns 275.54

    betw
    anders wasn't too good
    -7
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 52

    Treble
    No @ 1.44
    Fight to go the Distance?

    Jake Ellenberger vs Bryan Barberena

    No @ 1.25
    Fight to go the Distance?

    Eryk Anders vs Tim Williams

    Yes @ 1.60
    Fight to go the Distance?

    John Moraga vs Deiveson Figueiredo

    1 Bet x €11.00 @ 2.89

    Stake: €11.00
    Returns: €31.78
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €11.00
    €31.78

    betstars
    moraga let it down
    -11
    mailburner wrote: »
    forgot to add this part of that bet, two are in already...the thought of being one out is too much so gonna take this type of bet anymore.

    20fp5i1.jpg
    4/6
    -3

    staked 59/ret 73.60/+14.60

    Disappointing not to have made more on that card, thought anders was a monster...

    Total staked 893.37/ret 916.73/+23.36


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 53

    soren bak 4/5
    50
    bet365


    facing paddy pimblett who imo has a ground game and nothing else
    bak is a wrestler so won't be fazed by paddys gameplan here and will be
    more than able to handle him
    never been subbed either which is probably the only way paddy wins this


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 53

    soren bak 4/5
    50
    bet365


    facing paddy pimblett who imo has a ground game and nothing else
    bak is a wrestler so won't be fazed by paddys gameplan here and will be
    more than able to handle him
    never been subbed either which is probably the only way paddy wins this

    bak gets the job done despite a huge scare in round one
    I cashed out in round 3 for 77.15 however.

    staked 50/ret 77.15/+27.15

    Total staked 943.37/ret 993.88/+50.51


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 54

    Abdul Razak Alhassan v Niko Price
    Niko Price
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Odds: 5/4
    Stake: 30.00
    Possible Return: 67.50
    betv

    fancied price for this minute I spotted this match up, think he's quicker than alhassan and a far more well rounded fighter with more ways to win.
    I'd probably have him a narrow favourite myself.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 55

    woodley round 5
    price pts
    203/1
    1
    5l58bs.jpg



    price and alhassan are about as tough as they come and I think the over 1.5 rnds is too big here and the fight to go the distance is great value (11/4skyb)


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 56

    I'd be gutted if I couldn't get at least one single up here

    SINGLES
    Diego Sanchez v Craig White - Method of Victory
    Diego Sanchez by Points
    5/1
    Stake:
    €4.00
    Potential returns:
    €24.00

    Aljamain Sterling v Cody Stamann - Method of Victory
    Cody Stamann by Points
    21/10
    Stake:
    €5.00
    Potential returns:
    €15.50

    Alex White v Jim Miller - Method of Victory
    Alex White by Points
    11/4
    Stake:
    €5.00
    Potential returns:
    €18.75

    Jessica Andrade v Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Method of Victory
    Jessica Andrade by Submission
    4/1
    Stake:
    €3.00
    Potential returns:
    €15.00

    MULTIPLES
    Accumulator
    2440.25/1
    1 line(s) at €0.50 per line
    Diego Sanchez v Craig White - Method of Victory
    Diego Sanchez by Points
    Abdul Razak Alhassan v Niko Price - Method of Victory
    Niko Price by Points
    Aljamain Sterling v Cody Stamann - Method of Victory
    Cody Stamann by Points
    Alex White v Jim Miller - Method of Victory
    Alex White by Points
    Jessica Andrade v Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Method of Victory
    Jessica Andrade by Submission
    Stake:
    €0.50
    Potential returns:
    €1,220.63

    4 Folds
    5 line(s) at €0.50 per line
    Diego Sanchez v Craig White - Method of Victory
    Diego Sanchez by Points
    Abdul Razak Alhassan v Niko Price - Method of Victory
    Niko Price by Points
    Aljamain Sterling v Cody Stamann - Method of Victory
    Cody Stamann by Points
    Alex White v Jim Miller - Method of Victory
    Alex White by Points
    Jessica Andrade v Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Method of Victory
    Jessica Andrade by Submission
    Stake:
    €2.50
    Potential returns:
    €1,341.19


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 57

    dodson pts
    woodley pts

    4 returns 54
    pp


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 54

    Abdul Razak Alhassan v Niko Price
    Niko Price
    (To Win the Bout - Match)
    Odds: 5/4
    Stake: 30.00
    Possible Return: 67.50
    betv

    fancied price for this minute I spotted this match up, think he's quicker than alhassan and a far more well rounded fighter with more ways to win.
    I'd probably have him a narrow favourite myself.
    quickest loser ever here
    -30
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 55

    woodley round 5
    price pts
    203/1
    1
    5l58bs.jpg




    price and alhassan are about as tough as they come and I think the over 1.5 rnds is too big here and the fight to go the distance is great value (11/4skyb)
    -30
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 56

    I'd be gutted if I couldn't get at least one single up here

    SINGLES
    Diego Sanchez v Craig White - Method of Victory
    Diego Sanchez by Points
    5/1
    Stake:
    €4.00
    Potential returns:
    €24.00

    Aljamain Sterling v Cody Stamann - Method of Victory
    Cody Stamann by Points
    21/10
    Stake:
    €5.00
    Potential returns:
    €15.50

    Alex White v Jim Miller - Method of Victory
    Alex White by Points
    11/4
    Stake:
    €5.00
    Potential returns:
    €18.75

    Jessica Andrade v Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Method of Victory
    Jessica Andrade by Submission
    4/1
    Stake:
    €3.00
    Potential returns:
    €15.00

    MULTIPLES
    Accumulator
    2440.25/1
    1 line(s) at €0.50 per line
    Diego Sanchez v Craig White - Method of Victory
    Diego Sanchez by Points
    Abdul Razak Alhassan v Niko Price - Method of Victory
    Niko Price by Points
    Aljamain Sterling v Cody Stamann - Method of Victory
    Cody Stamann by Points
    Alex White v Jim Miller - Method of Victory
    Alex White by Points
    Jessica Andrade v Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Method of Victory
    Jessica Andrade by Submission
    Stake:
    €0.50
    Potential returns:
    €1,220.63

    4 Folds
    5 line(s) at €0.50 per line
    Diego Sanchez v Craig White - Method of Victory
    Diego Sanchez by Points
    Abdul Razak Alhassan v Niko Price - Method of Victory
    Niko Price by Points
    Aljamain Sterling v Cody Stamann - Method of Victory
    Cody Stamann by Points
    Alex White v Jim Miller - Method of Victory
    Alex White by Points
    Jessica Andrade v Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Method of Victory
    Jessica Andrade by Submission
    Stake:
    €2.50
    Potential returns:
    €1,341.19
    staked 20
    ret 24
    +4

    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 57

    dodson pts
    woodley pts

    4 returns 54
    pp
    -4

    staked 84/ret 24/-60

    Total staked 1027.37/ret 1017.88/-9.49


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 58


    SINGLE
    Mairbek Taisumov by Submission @ 15.00
    Method of Victory

    Desmond Green vs Mairbek Taisumov

    1 Bet x €10.00 @ 15.00

    Stake: €10.00
    Returns: €150.00
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €10.00
    €150.00
    1 Bet x €10.00 @ 15.00

    Stake: €10.00
    Returns: €150.00
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €10.00
    €150.00
    betstars

    Treble
    Mairbek Taisumov by Submission @ 15.00
    Method of Victory

    Desmond Green vs Mairbek Taisumov

    Jan Blachowicz by Decision or Technical Decision @ 4.33
    Method of Victory

    Nikita Krylov vs Jan Blachowicz

    Aleksei Oleinik by Submission @ 3.00
    Method of Victory

    Mark Hunt vs Aleksei Oleinik

    1 Bet x €2.00 @ 195.00

    Stake: €2.00
    Returns: €390.00
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €2.00
    €390.00


    Think there's a bit of value in the taisumov sub at 14s, he's gone the distance once in his 26 wins, with 15 kos and 9 subs
    the ko win is evens, pts win is 5/2 so the sub win surely shouldn't be that big imo
    his opponent has never been knocked out either with 5 of his 7 losses on pts and 2 by sub


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 59

    Charles Oliveira by sub round one 6/5
    13
    skyb

    round two sub at 6/1
    2
    skyb

    only a matter of time but I fancy him to get it done on the first and thought about doing a much bigger bet on it


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 60

    Double
    Eryk Anders @ 2.60
    Fight Winner

    Eryk Anders vs Thiago Santos

    Charles Oliveira by Submission @ 1.50
    Method of Victory

    Charles Oliveira vs Christos Giagos

    1 Bet x €12.00 @ 3.90

    Stake: €12.00
    Returns: €46.80
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €12.00
    €46.80
    betstars



    Double
    Charles Oliveira by Submission @ 1.50
    Method of Victory

    Charles Oliveira vs Christos Giagos

    Eryk Anders by KO TKO or Disqualification @ 3.00
    Method of Victory

    Eryk Anders vs Thiago Santos

    1 Bet x €6.00 @ 4.50

    Stake: €6.00
    Returns: €27.00

    Accumulator (7)
    Charles Oliveira by Submission @ 1.50
    Method of Victory

    Charles Oliveira vs Christos Giagos

    Eryk Anders @ 2.60
    Fight Winner

    Eryk Anders vs Thiago Santos

    Under 2.5 @ 1.85
    Total Rounds

    Sergio Moraes vs Ben Saunders

    Under 2.5 @ 1.85
    Total Rounds

    Thales Leites vs Hector Lombard

    Francisco Trinaldo @ 1.53
    Fight Winner

    Francisco Trinaldo vs Evan Dunham

    Marina Rodriguez @ 1.91
    Fight Winner

    Randa Markos vs Marina Rodriguez

    Augusto Sakai by KO TKO or Disqualification @ 2.00
    Method of Victory

    Augusto Sakai vs Chase Sherman

    1 Bet x €2.00 @ 78.15

    Stake: €2.00
    Returns: €156.29


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 61

    rampage
    pico
    50@1.66
    888 sport

    bad an all rampage is wandy is worse, pico is just about the hottest
    prospect out there right now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 58


    SINGLE
    Mairbek Taisumov by Submission @ 15.00
    Method of Victory

    Desmond Green vs Mairbek Taisumov

    1 Bet x €10.00 @ 15.00

    Stake: €10.00
    Returns: €150.00
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €10.00
    €150.00
    1 Bet x €10.00 @ 15.00

    Stake: €10.00
    Returns: €150.00
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €10.00
    €150.00
    betstars

    Treble
    Mairbek Taisumov by Submission @ 15.00
    Method of Victory

    Desmond Green vs Mairbek Taisumov

    Jan Blachowicz by Decision or Technical Decision @ 4.33
    Method of Victory

    Nikita Krylov vs Jan Blachowicz

    Aleksei Oleinik by Submission @ 3.00
    Method of Victory

    Mark Hunt vs Aleksei Oleinik

    1 Bet x €2.00 @ 195.00

    Stake: €2.00
    Returns: €390.00
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €2.00
    €390.00


    Think there's a bit of value in the taisumov sub at 14s, he's gone the distance once in his 26 wins, with 15 kos and 9 subs
    the ko win is evens, pts win is 5/2 so the sub win surely shouldn't be that big imo
    his opponent has never been knocked out either with 5 of his 7 losses on pts and 2 by sub
    -12
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 59

    Charles Oliveira by sub round one 6/5
    13
    skyb

    round two sub at 6/1
    2
    skyb

    only a matter of time but I fancy him to get it done on the first and thought about doing a much bigger bet on it
    round two
    staked 15
    ret 14
    -1

    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 60

    Double
    Eryk Anders @ 2.60
    Fight Winner

    Eryk Anders vs Thiago Santos

    Charles Oliveira by Submission @ 1.50
    Method of Victory

    Charles Oliveira vs Christos Giagos

    1 Bet x €12.00 @ 3.90

    Stake: €12.00
    Returns: €46.80
    Total Stake:
    Total Returns:
    €12.00
    €46.80
    betstars



    Double
    Charles Oliveira by Submission @ 1.50
    Method of Victory

    Charles Oliveira vs Christos Giagos

    Eryk Anders by KO TKO or Disqualification @ 3.00
    Method of Victory

    Eryk Anders vs Thiago Santos

    1 Bet x €6.00 @ 4.50

    Stake: €6.00
    Returns: €27.00

    Accumulator (7)
    Charles Oliveira by Submission @ 1.50
    Method of Victory

    Charles Oliveira vs Christos Giagos

    Eryk Anders @ 2.60
    Fight Winner

    Eryk Anders vs Thiago Santos

    Under 2.5 @ 1.85
    Total Rounds

    Sergio Moraes vs Ben Saunders

    Under 2.5 @ 1.85
    Total Rounds

    Thales Leites vs Hector Lombard

    Francisco Trinaldo @ 1.53
    Fight Winner

    Francisco Trinaldo vs Evan Dunham

    Marina Rodriguez @ 1.91
    Fight Winner

    Randa Markos vs Marina Rodriguez

    Augusto Sakai by KO TKO or Disqualification @ 2.00
    Method of Victory

    Augusto Sakai vs Chase Sherman

    1 Bet x €2.00 @ 78.15

    Stake: €2.00
    Returns: €156.29
    thought anders was a bit better than that
    -20
    mailburner wrote: »
    BET 61

    rampage
    pico
    50@1.66
    888 sport

    bad an all rampage is wandy is worse, pico is just about the hottest
    prospect out there right now.
    both by ko
    staked 50
    ret 83.13
    +33.13


    staked 97/ret 97.13/+13c

    Total staked 1124.37/ ret 1115.01/-9.36


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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭racso1975


    Just to pick your brain....there's a bet I saw mcgregor more strikes, kahbib more takedowns 5/4....thought it seemed good value?


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    racso1975 wrote: »
    Just to pick your brain....there's a bet I saw mcgregor more strikes, kahbib more takedowns 5/4....thought it seemed good value?

    I'm not so sure as my own opinion is that conor could get it done in the first and might not get taken down...should it go into the second that would look pretty good I'd imagine.
    Everyone will have a different opinion on that one though and if yours differs to mine I'd say go for it.
    If you fancy khabib at all then it looks a good bet.

    the second half is safe as houses as long he isnt put away within a minute or two :pac:

    I don't know exactly what counts as significant strikes tbh...if khabib is on top of conor in side mount or full mount unloading strikes does this count?

    I see khabib getting put away in the first or second myself, his chin will be out there as per usual and I doubt he'll eat more than a couple from conor.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 62

    ehk58z.jpg


    only betway have odds on the ksw card



    Fancy this one to pay for my other bets on the card, mc sweeney is pants as a fighter and although silva isn't the force of old I still believe he'll have no problem knocking out mc sweeney who now has 10 ko losses with 4 of these in his last six fights.

    I can't remember when maynard last looked good against anyone and hasn't beaten anyone of note since 2012 (guida)
    he beat ishihara last time out but for me ishihara is in the top three worst fighters in the ufc.
    Lentz is tough, never been knocked out other than a doctor stoppage, subbed one in the past ten years by oliveira and will imo dominate maynard from start to finish.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    The pic for above bet not showing up on chrome on my desktop :confused: but is on my fone and on ie...

    mc sweeney/lentz double it is anyway at 1.97 for 35eu


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 63

    OSP by sub 5/1
    10 (meant to be 5 but did it twice by mistake)
    sky

    osp by sub
    conor round 1 or 2
    1.50@ 21.5/1


    conor round one 4/1
    conor round two 17/2
    osp by sub 5/1
    osp round two 15/2
    volkov round two 7/1
    volkov round three 14/1
    ferguson round two 11/2
    ferguson round three 10/1

    32x17c trebles
    16x25c fourfolds


    ferguson by sub round two
    osp by sub round one
    volkov by ko round two
    conor by ko round two
    4x25c trebles
    25c accum

    skyb


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    BET 63


    316x99j.jpg


    Have gone in again on this one.


    15ebvk4.jpg

    888


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    CmcG R1 sky enhanced @7 isn't too bad an offer.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    CmcG R1 sky enhanced @7 isn't too bad an offer.

    my heart sank when you said skybet https://gyazo.com/cd908e70efbb4ecce4e5f84e2c8a8af5


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